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Correction is on & Firstly Watch Next Supports

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
 (Apr 16 to Apr 20,2012)

Nifty-EOD Chart(13-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally bottom)
2- Wave-1 top at 5629.95 on 22-02-2012
3- Corrective Wave-2 bottom at 5135.95 on 29-03-2012(Correction bottom got support just below 200 Day SMA)
4- Two times support at 200 Day SMA in on going correction.
5- Wave-3 beginning from 30-03-2012 but its confirmation is required
6- Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Pattern Formation(Falling Channel) in on going post 22-02-2012 correction.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Long term trend is up,Short term trend turned turned down after Sharp fall on 13-04-2012 and Intermediate term trend is sideways in on going correction. Firstly weekly top formation and after that weekly bottom formation seen on 13-04-2012 after higher levels good selling.

36 sessions correction. Resistances and Supports within this correction are as follows:-

Resistances:

5- 5588-5625
4- 5418-5487
3- 5357-5377
2- 5318-5337
1- 5275-5305

Supports:

1- 5175-5236 
2- 5136-5167
3- Two times support at 200 Day SMA in on going correction and 200-Day SMA is today at 5145.

Correction is very much on after higher levels intraday selling and sharp fall on 13-04-2012. As above mentioned first support has been tested and no support getting confirmations yet therefore firstly above mentioned supports should be watched and any decisive up move will be considered after complete support formation confirmations.

Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Pattern Formation(Falling Channel) in on going post 22-02-2012 correction therefore expected that finally rally above 5629.95(Wave-1 top) will be seen after completion of correction. As strong and multiple resistances at higher levels therefore complete consolidations and base formation is required for a decisive rally.

Next week first trading range will be 5136-5275. Sustaining below 5136 will be deeper correction confirmation and sustaining above 5305 be first indication of correction completion. 

Next Monday Asian markets reaction on Western Markets Bloodshed

Global markets down moves started after opening of European markets but sharp fall seen after negative news flow from Europe. Global sentiment turned so highly depressed that all the US and American markets closed more than 1% down.

European,US and American Stock Markets closing on 13-04-2012 are as follows:-

European Stock Markets

DAX-      159.34 Points and 2.36% down.
CAC 40-   80.70 Points and 2.47% down.
FTSE 100- 58.67 Points and 1.03% down.
Italy 40- 510.41 Points and 3.43% down..
AEX 25-   4.76 Points and 1.53% down.
EU Stoxx 50- 60.73 Points and 2.58% down.

US Stock Markets

Dow Jones-136.99 Points and 1.05% down.
NASDAQ-  44.22 Points and 1.45% down.
S&P 500-  17.31 Points and 1.25% down.

Ameracan Stock Markets

MerVal-  60.60 Points and 2.36% down.
Bovespa- 952.40 Points and 1.51% down.
S&P TSX- 174.26 Points and 1.43% down.
IPC- 913.80 Points and 2.32% down.
500 Index-17.31 Points and 1.25% down.

Expected Asian markets reaction on 16-04-2012

Gap down opening in most of Asian markets will be seen on 16-04-2012 but Indian markets will not react so deeply because Indian markets have already reacted on 13-04-2012. Indian markets will firstly try to protect next Supports of on going correction. Just click following topic link for all the crucial supports and resistances of on going correction:-

Crucial Supports and Resistances of 36 sessions Correction

Crucial Supports and Resistances of 36 sessions Correction

Nifty-EOD Chart(13-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
36 sessions correction. Resistances and Supports within this correction are as follows:-

Resistances:

5- 5588-5625
4- 5418-5487
3- 5357-5377
2- 5318-5337
1- 5275-5305

Supports:

1- 5175-5236 
2- 5136-5167
3- Two times support at 200 Day SMA in on going correction and 200-Day SMA is today at 5145.

Crucial 3 Fibonacci Retracement Levels(5629-4532)

1- 38.2%- 5209(Aleady broken down)
2- 50.0%- 5080(Testing possibility can not be ruled out in any correction)
3- 61.8%- 4950(Testing possibility can not be ruled out in any correction)

Market capped between Supports and Resistances

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Apr 16 to Apr 20,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 5 sessions intraday charts

1- Support between 5192-5225 on 10-04-2012 and 11-04-2012
2- Selling between 5275-5305 on 13-04-2012 
3- Sharp fall after negative news from Europe on 13-04-2012.
4- Panic bottom formation after sharp fall on 13-04-2012.
5- Mixed Patterns between 5200-5236 on 13-04-2012.
6- Weekly highest and lowest formation on 13-04-2012

Conclusions from 5 days intra day chart analysis 

Good consolidation in the middle of week and new weetly top formation even after poor performance by INFY on 13-04-2012. Firstly intraday selling developed between 5275-5305 and after down moves started after weak opening in European markets. As soon as negative news started to come from Europe then simultaneous sharp fall seen in Indian and European markets.

As last more than 1 hour trading with mixed patterns between 5200-5236 after panic bottom formation in sharp fall on 13-04-2012 therefore firstly sustaining beyond mixed Patterns range(5200-5236) will be firstly watched in the beginning of next week.

Strong resistances avove 5375 and next supports are between 5192-5225 and finally down moves first indication will be after sustaining below 5192 and confirmation will be after sustaining below 5136.

Market is capped between supports and resistances therefore firstly sideways moves are expected in the beginning of next week.

Panic bottom formation on 13-04-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5275-5305
2- Sharp fall after negative news from Europe.
3- Panic bottom formation after sharp fall.
4- Mixed Patterns between 5200-5236
5- Whole day trading between 5185.40-5306.75 with weekly highest and lowest formation.

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly intraday selling developed between 5275-5305 after poor performance and below expectations guidance by INFY and after that sharp fall seen in which Nifty lost more than 70 points within 7 minutes.

Sharp fall resultant Panic bottom formation and after that more than 1 hour trading with mixed patterns between 5200-5236. As intraday support after panic bottom can not be ruled out therefore firstly sustaining beyond mixed Patterns range(5200-5236) will be firstly watched in the beginning of next week.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 13-Apr-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Apr-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII13-Apr-20122634.232496.98137.25

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII13-Apr-20121329.611809.29-479.68

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Black Candle.
2- Sharp crash from intraday higher levels after European markets fall.
3- Closing near the lower levels of the day.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.09
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Apr-2012): 18.30

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1209
BSE Declines : 1617
NSE Advances :  501
NSE Declines :  940

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Apr)- -5150(-0.71%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Apr)- -93150(-1.58%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Apr)- +198850(+23.17%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Apr)- +221250(+3.84%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +374550(+13.89%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- -284450(-4.23%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- +994150(+26.87%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- -526300(-13.81%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- +1627700(+30.47%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- +179550(+11.14%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,207.45(-69.40 Points & -1.32%)
Sensex- closed at 17,094.51(-238.11 Points & -1.37%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,579.60(-72.40 Points & -0.95%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,799.23(-43.02 Points & -0.63%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5401
R2 5353
R1 5280
Avg 5232
S1 5159
S2 5111
S3 5038

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5328     Trgt 2
H5 5301     Trgt 1
H4 5273     Long breakout
H3 5240     Go Short
H2 5229
H1 5218
L1 5195
L2 5184
L3 5173     Long
L4 5140     Short Breakout
L5 5112     Trgt 1
L6 5085     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5437
R2 5383
R1 5302
Avg 5248
S1 5167
S2 5113
S3 5032

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5356     Trgt 2
H5 5325     Trgt 1
H4 5295     Long breakout
H3 5258     Go Short
H2 5245
H1 5233
L1 5208
L2 5196
L3 5183     Long
L4 5146     Short Breakout
L5 5116     Trgt 1
L6 5085     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10918
R2 10769
R1 10548
Avg 10399
S1 10178
S2 10029
S3 9808

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10699     Trgt 2
H5 10615     Trgt 1
H4 10530     Long breakout
H3 10428     Go Short
H2 10394
H1 10360
L1 10293
L2 10259
L3 10225     Long
L4 10123     Short Breakout
L5 10038     Trgt 1
L6  9954     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 16 to Apr 20,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5401
R2 5353
R1 5280
Avg 5232
S1 5159
S2 5111
S3 5038

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5328     Trgt 2
H5 5301     Trgt 1
H4 5273     Long breakout
H3 5240     Go Short
H2 5229
H1 5218
L1 5195
L2 5184
L3 5173     Long
L4 5140     Short Breakout
L5 5112     Trgt 1
L6 5085     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 16 to Apr 20,2012)

Weekly Levels

R3 11102
R2 10845
R1 10575
Avg 10318
S1 10048
S2 9791
S3 9521

Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 10845     Trgt 2
H5 10720     Trgt 1
H4 10595     Long breakout
H3 10450     Go Short
H2 10402
H1 10354
L1 10257
L2 10209
L3 10161     Long
L4 10016     Short Breakout
L5  9891     Trgt 1
L6  9766     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(13-04-2012)

Sharp surge seen in US markets yesterday but European markets sharply down after weak opening today and neutralized positive impact of  US markets yesterday rally.

All the European markets are in Red and 4 markets are 1% to 2.25% down,its direct impact on Indian markets therefore steep falls after opening of European markets.

Nifty traded in positive zone more than 3 hours between gap of 09-04-2012(5287.90-5305.30) even after poor INFY results but could not digest the jolt from European markets and slipping to steep fall seen in Indian markets after European markets opening.

Sharp down moves and now following supports are hopes for Bulls:-

1- 5192-5205 
2- 5175
3- 5136

Mid-session Outlook-2(13-04-2012)

Market digested INFY poor performance and traded positive because good consolidations at lower levels but selling formations at higher level and starting to slip after European markets weak opening.

Intraday trading between gap of 09-04-2012(5287.90-5305.30) and after that slipping below 5287.90  means resistance from gap and until Nifty will not sustain above its top(5305.30) till then next up moves will not be considered.

Mid-session Outlook(13-04-2012)

Possibilities regarding gap of 09-04-2012(5287.90-5305.30) have been already updated in previous outlooks and Nifty is hovering it around between(5279-6306) since opening today.

Sustaining beyond mentioned gap will give confirmations to next trend as well as decisive big moves will be seen towards the direction of market settling down therefore:-

Firstly watch sustaining beyond mentioned gap(5287.90-5305.30) for the next big moves confirmation and expected that finally Nifty will settle and sustain above 5305.30 in the coming session because good consolidations at lower levels in last 4 sessions.

Post-open Outlook(13-04-2012)

Technically Indian markets are well prepared for a strong rally but sentiment is completely depressed due to below 10% guidance by Infosys after below expectation results. As Infosys is having negative impact on other heavy weight IT stocks performance also therefore all are weak and showing negative impact on benchmark Indices.

Gap up opening not seen because Infosys is more than 9% down and other IT stocks are also in Red. Although Indian markets are in Green and most stocks are also positive but island reversal pattern could not get consirmation because gap up opening above 5305.30(top of gap) not seen today.

Benchmark Indices are positive but CNX IT index is more than 5% down today morning and sustaining beyond gap of 09-04-2012(5287.90-5305.30) will be firstly watched for next trend confirmations. As Nifty is trading between mentioned gap immediately after opening today therefore just watch sustaining it beyond for next trend confirmation.

Rally after island reversal pattern formation

Technical Analysis and Research For 13-04-2012

Nifty-EOD Chart(12-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Gap formation on  09-04-2012.
2- Island formation in 4 days trading after gap down opening on 09-04-2012.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Apr 09 to Apr 12,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 4 sessions intraday charts


1- Support between 5192-5225
2- Whole day consolidation at the top of 4 days on 12-04-2012.

Conclusions from 4 days intra day chart analysis 

Consolidations at the lower levels and at the top of last 4 days market also therefore Indian markets are well prepared for a rally after consolidation confirmations in last 4 days.


Nifty-Intra Day Chart(12-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation patterns formations in whole day trading
2- Whole day trading between 5261-5289

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following line was told in Rally after Bulls conquering of 5263

1- Expected that finally rally will be seen
2- Last 2 sessions supports between 5192-5225 and sustaining above 5263 will be strong indication of rally after correction completion but follow up consolidation is also required to cross resistances between 5236-5263.

Whole day 38 Nifty points trading with intraday consolidation patterns between 5261-5289 with most of the time trading above 5263 seen on 12-Apr-2012.


Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Intraday charts analysis of last 4 sessions of after gap down opening on 09-04-2012,are showing lower levels as well as higher levels consolidations.

All the Asian markets are positive today morning after US markets strong closing yesterday and gap up opening is expected in Indian markets. Whole day trading and sustaining above 5305.30(gap highest) will be confirmation of island reversal pattern formation as well as strong rally in the coming sessions.

As last 4 sessions sessions intraday patterns conclusion is consolidations therefore finally rally is expected after Trend reversal island reversal pattern confirmation despite below expectations results of Infosys today..

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Apr-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Apr-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Apr-20122030.331894.35135.98

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Apr-20121087.74850.34237.4

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- White Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Green except IT.
3- Whole day sideways trading within narrow range.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Apr-2012): 18.65

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1696
BSE Declines : 1134
NSE Advances :  934
NSE Declines :  490

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +21050(+0.77%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- +1052300(+18.29%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- -18200(-0.48%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- +401950(+11.79%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- +215850(+4.08%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- +93350(+6.15%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Apr)- +342350(+6.82%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Apr)- -16650(-2.04%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,276.85(+50.00 Points & +0.96%)
Sensex- closed at 17,332.62 (+133.22 Points & +0.77%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,652.00(+57.95 Points & +0.76%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,842.25(+68.19 Points & +1.01%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5339
R2 5314
R1 5295
Avg 5270
S1 5251
S2 5226
S3 5207

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5320     Trgt 2
H5 5310     Trgt 1
H4 5300     Long breakout
H3 5288     Go Short
H2 5284
H1 5280
L1 5271
L2 5267
L3 5263    Long
L4 5251    Short Breakout
L5 5241    Trgt 1
L6 5231    Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5360
R2 5334
R1 5312
Avg 5286
S1 5264
S2 5238
S3 5216

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5338     Trgt 2
H5 5327     Trgt 1
H4 5316     Long breakout
H3 5303     Go Short
H2 5298
H1 5294
L1 5285
L2 5281
L3 5276     Long
L4 5263     Short Breakout
L5 5252     Trgt 1
L6 5241     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10669
R2 10569
R1 10497
Avg 10397
S1 10325
S2 10225
S3 10153

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10599     Trgt 2
H5 10559     Trgt 1
H4 10519     Long breakout
H3 10472     Go Short
H2 10456
H1 10440
L1 10409
L2 10393
L3 10377     Long
L4 10330     Short Breakout
L5 10290     Trgt 1
L6 10250     Trgt 2

Post-open Outlook(12-04-2012)

Nifty crossed 5263 and sustaining above it will be confirmation of strong rally.

Rally after Bulls conquering of 5263

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Apr 09 to Apr 11,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 3 sessions intraday charts

1- Resistance between 5236-5263
2- Minor support between 5212-5225 on 10-04-2012.
3- Support between 5192-5205 on 11-04-2012.
4- Higher Bottom formation at rising trend line.
5- Huge Volatility on 11-04-2012.
6- Last 3 Days trading between 5191-5288

Conclusions from Last 3 days intra day chart analysis 
 .
Firstly click 08-04-2012 posted following topic link of Weekly Outlook of this week and understand Indian markets technicals :-

Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Formation in EOD Chart

Technical positions and formations of on going correction has already been explained in above topic and following lines were also told:-

1- Wave-2 correction is on from 22-02-2012 in falling Channel(Bullish 'Flag Pattern') Formation which got support at  5135.95 on 29-03-2012. 

2- Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Formation in EOD Chart therefore finally Dec 2011 like strong rally will be seen after Nifty sustaining above Upper Falling Trend line of Falling Channel as well as sustaining above 5400.

3- Higher levels good selling and lower levels supports within Falling Channel(Flag) therefore expected that Nifty will trade firstly trade between 5136-5377.

Nifty traded most of the time between 5192-5263 with lower levels buying and higher levels selling in last 3 sessions.Huge volatility seen between above mentioned resistance range on 11-04-2012 and technical positions reverses in such volatility therefore weakening of mentioned resistance can not be ruled out

As mixed technical positions in last 3 sessions therefore more preparation is required for sustaining beyond this range and follow up moves within or near about yesterday trading range(5191-5263) will decide the fate and life of on going correction.

Last 2 sessions supports between 5192-5225 and sustaining above 5263 will be strong indication of rally after correction completion but follow up consolidation is also required to cross resistances between 5236-5263.

Expected that finally rally will be seen after 34 sessions correction completion but confirmations are must firstly through sustaining above 5192 and after that Bulls conquering of 5263.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 11-Apr-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Apr-2012


FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII11-Apr-20121890.352336.12-445.77

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII11-Apr-2012943.151025.39-82.24

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- White Candle.
3- Highly volatile market but clear support formation at lower levels between 5192-5205.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Nifty P/E Ratio(11-Apr-2012): 18.47

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1260
BSE Declines : 1525
NSE Advances :  542
NSE Declines :  881

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5100 CE(Apr)- +23,350(+2.43%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Apr)- +657,750(+12.64%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +589,350(+26.99%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- +563,450(+9.94%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- +909,100(+26.93%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- +53,550 (+1.56%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- +683,900(+14.30%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- -12,300(-0.79 %)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,226.85(-16.75 Points & -0.32%)
Sensex- closed at 17,199.40(-44.44 Points & -0.26% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,594.05(-47.25 Points & -0.62%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,774.06(-18.25 Points & -0.27%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5335
R2 5299
R1 5262
Avg 5226
S1 5189
S2 5153
S3 5116

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5299     Trgt 2
H5 5282     Trgt 1
H4 5266     Long breakout
H3 5246     Go Short
H2 5239
H1 5232
L1 5219
L2 5212
L3 5205     Long
L4 5185    Short Breakout
L5 5169     Trgt 1
L6 5152     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5383
R2 5337
R1 5294
Avg 5248
S1 5205
S2 5159
S3 5116

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5340     Trgt 2
H5 5320    Trgt 1
H4 5299     Long breakout
H3 5275     Go Short
H2 5267
H1 5259
L1 5242
L2 5234
L3 5226     Long
L4 5202     Short Breakout
L5 5181     Trgt 1
L6 5161     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10700
R2 10531
R1 10398
Avg 10229
S1 10096
S2 9927
S3 9794

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10574     Trgt 2
H5 10503     Trgt 1
H4 10432     Long breakout
H3 10349     Go Short
H2 10321
H1 10293
L1 10238
L2 10210
L3 10182    Long
L4 10099     Short Breakout
L5 10028     Trgt 1
L6  9957    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(11-04-2012)

We told following line again and again today and yesterday:-

"Until Nifty will not sustain above 5263 till then decisive up move will not be considered"

Nifty retraced more than 50 points from exactly 5263.65

Survival of following next supports should be firstly watched in highly volatile market today:-

1- 5192-5205
2- 5175
3- 5136

Mid-session Outlook-2(11-04-2012)

Sharp surge after intraday support between 5192-5205 and today top at this moment is at 5263.65. Sustaining above 5263 should be watched because that will be strong indication of rally after correction completion.

Mid-session Outlook(11-04-2012)

Although sharp surge after European markets positive opening and Dow's Futures more than 70 points positive trading but sigh of relief that 5175 is safe yet despite deep Red Asian markets today.

Intraday support confirmation at lower levels between 5192-5205 today but complete consolidation is required to cross following resistances:-

1- 5236
2- 5255
3- 5263

Until Nifty will not sustain above 5263 till then decisive up move will not be considered. If fresh selling does not develop and follow up consolidation emerge then Nifty will trade few more hours/sessions between 5192-5263 before decisive up move.

Bulls should watch survival of today intraday support of 5192-5205.

Post-open Outlook(11-04-2012)

Following lines were told in Post-open Outlook(10-04-2012)

Next supports are as follows:-

1- 5175-5236(strong supports)
2- 5136-5160

Nifty is trading within above mentioned 1st strong support range for the last 3 sessions and forming daily new lows within range after higher levels selling,it is weakness signal.

Correction is on and its completion indications/confirmations are required yet. Let consolidation start bottom formation confirmation come then decisive up moves will be considered.

Today trading between 5191-5213 with some up moves from lower levels only and no clear intraday pattern yet,let it develop then will be updated.

Strong Support at stake after melting global markets

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Apr 09 & Apr 10,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- More than 4 hours trading between 5245-5263 on 09-04-2012
2- Almost whole day trading and sustaining below 5245-5263 on 10-04-2012
3- Selling between 5229-5255
4- Minor support between 5212-5225

Conclusions from 2 days intra day chart analysis 

Following lines were told yesterday in Pre-Closing Outlook(10-04-2012)

more than 4 hours trading range(5245-5263) of yesterday has been broken down today and until Nifty will not sustain above 5263 till then next up move will not be considered.

As intraday selling again seen on 10-04-2012 also therefore more down moves are possible after melting global markets cues. Good supports above 5175 and its survival is at stake today therefore should be firstly watched today.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Apr-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII10-Apr-20121864.422193.09-328.67

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII10-Apr-2012790.4980.58-190.18

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Flat closing in side ways market.
2- Bullish Hammer Candle formation.
3- Most Indices recovered from intraday lower levels.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.96
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Apr-2012): 18.53

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1360
BSE Declines : 1426
NSE Advances :  628
NSE Declines :  774

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5100 CE(Apr)- +24600(+2.63%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Apr)- +164250(+3.26%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +235900(+12.11%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- +353250(+6.64%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- +350250(+11.23%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- -33600(-0.97%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- +172600(+3.72%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- -104400(-6.26%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,243.60(+9.20 Points & +0.18%)
Sensex- closed at 17,243.84(+21.70 Points & +0.13%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,641.30(+30.60 Points & +0.40%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,792.31(-8.25 Points & -0.12%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5305
R2 5280
R1 5261
Avg 5236
S1 5217
S2 5192
S3 5173

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5287     Trgt 2
H5 5277     Trgt 1
H4 5267     Long breakout
H3 5255     Go Short
H2 5251
H1 5247
L1 5238
L2 5234
L3 5230     Long
L4 5218     Short Breakout
L5 5208     Trgt 1
L6 5198     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5337
R2 5307
R1 5286
Avg 5256
S1 5235
S2 5205
S3 5184

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5317     Trgt 2
H5 5305     Trgt 1
H4 5294     Long breakout
H3 5280     Go Short
H2 5275
H1 5270
L1 5261
L2 5256
L3 5251     Long
L4 5237     Short Breakout
L5 5226     Trgt 1
L6 5214     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10457
R2 10353
R1 10294
Avg 10190
S1 10131
S2 10027
S3 9968

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10400     Trgt 2
H5 10362     Trgt 1
H4 10324     Long breakout
H3 10279     Go Short
H2 10264
H1 10249
L1 10220
L2 10205
L3 10190     Long
L4 10145     Short Breakout
L5 10107     Trgt 1
L6 10069     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(10-04-2012)

Sideways 43 Nifty points market within 5212-5255 with higher levels selling and lower levels supports today. Although recovery seen from lower levels after intraday supports today but more than 4 hours trading range(5245-5263) of yesterday has been broken down today and until Nifty will not sustain above 5263 till then next up move will not be considered.

Intraday supports at lower levels today but correction is on and its completion confirmation is required yet. Sustaining beyond following 2 ranges should be firstly watched for next decisive big moves first indications and confirmations:-

1- 5212-5255
2- 5175-5263

Mid-session Outlook(10-04-2012)

43 Points sideways market between 5212-5255 with minor selling patterns at higher levels as well as support also at lower levels. Although most of the time negative zone trading but support at lower levels also.

Nifty is trading between 5175-5236(strong supports) today and sustaining beyond this range may decide the the fate of on going correction through big moves beyond this range.

Although up moves possibilities turning higher after supports at lower levels but for confirmations sustaining beyond above mentioned both ranges(5175-5255) should be firstly watched for next moves first strong indication.

Post-open Outlook-2(10-04-2012)

Importance of 5245 has already been updated in Post-open Outlook today and Nifty is hovering it around for the last half hour. Sustaining beyond 5245 should be firstly watched for next decisive moves confirmations.

Post-open Outlook(10-04-2012)

Correction is on within 'Falling Channel' as well as correction pattern is 'Bullish flag' formation therefore expected that finally sharp surge will be seen after upward break out of 'Falling channel'.

Next supports are as follows:-

1- 5175-5236(strong supports)
2- 5136-5160

Nifty is trading between 5175-5236(strong supports) and sustaining below 5175 will mean high possibility of next support(5136) breaking down.

Nifty traded more than 4 hours between 5245-5363 yesterday and this range was broken down yesterday also as well as again trading below it since opening today. As sustaining below 5245 will be strong indication of 5175-5236(strong supports) breaking down therefore should be firstly watched today.
Blog will be updated after 10AM today

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 09-Apr-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 09-Apr-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII09-Apr-20121075.51344.93-269.43

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII09-Apr-2012586.69692.51-105.82

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(09-Apr-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Black candle formation.
2- All the Indices closed in Red except HC.
3- Most Indices closed near day's lowest.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(09-Apr-2012): 18.50

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1151
BSE Declines : 1667
NSE Advances :  472
NSE Declines :  986

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5100 CE(Apr)- +71050(+8.21%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Apr)- +5037700(+200%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Apr)- +427400(+28.13%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Apr)- -470800(-8.13%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Apr)- +637350(+25.68%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Apr)- -351150(-9.19%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- +774150(+20.03%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- -176000(-9.55%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,234.40(-88.50 Points & -1.66%)
Sensex- closed at 17,222.14(-263.88 Points & -1.51%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,671.90(-138.25 Points & -1.77%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,800.56(-44.34 Points & -0.65%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5330
R2 5308
R1 5271
Avg 5249
S1 5212
S2 5190
S3 5153

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5293     Trgt 2
H5 5279     Trgt 1
H4 5266     Long breakout
H3 5250     Go Short
H2 5244
H1 5239
L1 5228
L2 5223
L3 5217     Long
L4 5201     Short Breakout
L5 5188     Trgt 1
L6 5174     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5343
R2 5322
R1 5287
Avg 5266
S1 5231
S2 5210
S3 5175

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5309     Trgt 2
H5 5296     Trgt 1
H4 5283     Long breakout
H3 5268     Go Short
H2 5263
H1 5258
L1 5247
L2 5242
L3 5237     Long
L4 5222     Short Breakout
L5 5209     Trgt 1
L6 5196     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 10-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10485
R2 10413
R1 10285
Avg 10213
S1 10085
S2 10013
S3 9885

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10358     Trgt 2
H5 10313     Trgt 1
H4 10268     Long breakout
H3 10213     Go Short
H2 10194
H1 10176
L1 10139
L2 10121
L3 10103     Long
L4 10048     Short Breakout
L5 10002     Trgt 1
L6 9957     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(09-04-2012)

Correction is on and Nifty traded  most of the time between 5245-5363 as well as hovered it around and finally going to closed below it today. Technical positions,importance of mentioned range and implications of its sustaining  beyond has already been updated in previous outlook and that will be seen in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook-2 (09-04-2012)

Firstly almost 4 hours trading between 5245-5363 and after that breaking down as well as breaking out of this range. Market is positions just above next and strong support range(5175-5236) within 5245-5363 and finally sustaining beyond this range will give next decisive moves following strong indication:-

1- Sustaining above 5363 will be first and strong indication of on going correction completion.
2- Sustaining below 5245 will mean testing possibility of last support range of previous rally(5136-5160)

Mid-session Outlook(09-04-2012)

Although market closed positive on 03-04-2012 but we told weakness in Firstly Very Short Term Down Moves as well as told following lines on 03-04-2012 at 06:59:00 PM  

1- As good selling seen at higher levels therefore expected that Nifty will firstly slip below today lower levels

2- Until complete consolidation patterns will not develop till then Nifty will not sustain above 5377 and minimum very short term down moves are firstly expected in the coming sessions.

Correction is on Nifty is trading between 5245-5363 for the last 3 hours after weak opening,strong supports below this range between 5175-5236. As patterns within this range have not given any decisive signals yet therefore firstly break out of this range will be watched for next moves first indication.

Pre-open Outlook(09-04-2012)

US and European futures are more than 1% down and most Asian markets are trading near about 1% negative today morning. Sentiment is dampened therefore weak opening will be seen in Indian markets. Next supports are as follows:-

1- 5175-5236(strong supports)
2- 5136-5160

Next Resistances are as follows:-

1- 5326-5337
2- 5360-5377(strong resistance)

Nifty will firstly trade between 5236-5326 today and prepare for next immediate moves. Finally sustaining beyond 5136-5377 will be next decisive trend confirmations and expected that Nifty will remain sideways within mentioned range(5136-5377) in the coming sessions.

Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Formation in EOD Chart

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Apr 9 to Apr13,2012)
Nifty-EOD Chart(04-Apr-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts


1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally bottom)
2- Wave-1 top at 5629.95 on 22-02-2012(Rally top)
3- Corrective Wave-2 bottom at 5135.95 on 29-03-2012(Correction bottom got support just below 200 Day SMA)
4- Wave-3 beginning from 30-03-2012 but its confirmation is required
5- Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Formation after 22-02-2012 correction

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Wave-2 correction is on from 22-02-2012 in falling Channel(Bullish 'Flag Pattern') Formation which got support at  5135.95 on 29-03-2012. Wave-3 is on but but its confirmation is required through sustaining above 5400 but Nifty faced resistance(5377) at the Upper Falling Trend line of Falling Channel on 03-04-2012 and down moves seen on 04-04-2012 after gap down opening.

Long and short term trends are up and Intermediate term trend is sideways for the last 27 sessions within Flag Pattern and will be up above 5400.Bullish 'Flag Pattern' Formation in EOD Chart therefore finally Dec 2011 like strong rally will be seen after Nifty sustaining above Upper Falling Trend line of Falling Channel as well as sustaining above 5400.

Higher levels good selling and lower levels supports within Falling Channel(Flag) therefore expected that Nifty will trade firstly trade between 5136-5377. Although finally rally above 5377 is expected but sustaining beyond mentioned range(5136-5377) will also be firstly watched for next immediate moves confirmations in the coming week.

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 09-04-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5371
R2 5354
R1 5338
Avg 5321
S1 5305
S2 5288
S3 5272

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5355     Trgt 2
H5 5347     Trgt 1
H4 5340     Long breakout
H3 5331     Go Short
H2 5328
H1 5325
L1 5318
L2 5315
L3 5312     Long
L4 5303     Short Breakout
L5 5296     Trgt 1
L6 5288     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 09-04-2012

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5399
R2 5380
R1 5362
Avg 5343
S1 5325
S2 5306
S3 5288

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5381     Trgt 2
H5 5372    Trgt 1
H4 5364     Long breakout
H3 5354     Go Short
H2 5350
H1 5347
L1 5340
L2 5337
L3 5333     Long
L4 5323     Short Breakout
L5 5315     Trgt 1
L6 5306     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 09-04-2012

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 10534
R2 10467
R1 10415
Avg 10348
S1 10296
S2 10229
S3 10177

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10483     Trgt 2
H5 10456     Trgt 1
H4 10429     Long breakout
H3 10396     Go Short
H2 10385
H1 10374
L1 10353
L2 10342
L3 10331     Long
L4 10298     Short Breakout
L5 10271     Trgt 1
L6 10244     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 09 to Apr 13,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5474
R2 5426
R1 5374
Avg 5326
S1 5274
S2 5226 
S3 5174

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5422     Trgt 2 
H5 5399     Trgt 1
H4 5377     Long breakout 
H3 5349     Go Short 
H2 5340
H1 5312
L1 5303
L2 5331
L3 5294    Long 
L4 5267    Short Breakout 
L5 5244     Trgt 1 
L6 5221     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 09 to Apr 13,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 10823
R2 10663
R1 10501
Avg 10341
S1 10179
S2 10019
S3 9857

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 10667     Trgt 2
H5 10592    Trgt 1
H4 10517    Long breakout
H3 10428    Go Short
H2 10399
H1 10369
L1 10310
L2 10280
L3 10251     Long
L4 10162     Short Breakout
L5 10087    Trgt 1
L6 10012     Trgt 2