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Nifty-Waves Structure From Jan 2008 Crash & Strength of Indian markets

Technical Analysis and Research For 11-07-2011

Nifty-EOD Chart(08-Jul-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Nifty-Waves Structure From Jan 2008

Correction begun on 08-01-2008 from 6357.10 and Indian markets crashed in mid-Jan 2008. Correction completed in 5 waves on 27-10-2008 at 2252 and Bullish moves started in March 2009 after 5 months narrow range market. Waves structure of of ongoing up trend is as follows;-

1- 1st impulsive wave begun on 27-10-2008 from 2252 
2- 2nd corrective wave begun on 12-06-2009 from 4693 
3- 3rd impulsive wave begun on 13-07-2009 from 3919 
4- 4th corrective wave begun on 05-11-2010 from 6338(2419 Points rally of Wave-3) 
5- 5th impulsive wave begun on 11-02-2011 from 5178(1160 Points correction of Wave-4) 

Conclusions

5th impulsive wave begun on 11-02-2011 from 5178 and Nifty is trading above rising trend line of Wave-5 and also sustained above 200-Day EMA in previous week therefore Wave-5 and up trend is intact.

Above waves structure and 5th impulsive wave formation has been posted more than 5 times in previous months and as soon as we got first indication of consolidation on 22/23-06-2011 near 5270 then we started to tell only for up moves and non stop updated only positive moves because Nifty got support above 5178 and it was strong indication 5th impulsive wave survival.

Technicallly strong positive formations,patterns and developments are as follows:-

1- Nifty crossed and sustained above 39 sessions range bound(5329-5604) moves.
2- Nifty sustained above strong resistance of 5600.
3- Nifty sustained above 200-Day EMA.
4- Forceful moves and Nifty crossed  39 seesions range in only 5 sessions.

5th Wave is continued and Nifty sustained above 200-Day EMA,until these 2 lines are intact till then view will remin bullish despite whatsoever Greece problems,European issues,RBI credit policy,inflation and FIIs positions.

Indian markets are in up trend in long charts and 5th wave is intact therefore Indian markets are having potential and strength to form new high new high above 6357.10.

Larger views and analysis have been discussed above. Intermediate/Short term and micro analysis will be will be updated before Monday market.
Indian Stock Markets next moves after today intraday correction will be updated in 3/4 topics in the coming 2 days.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 11-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(08-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Positions of today intra day charts

Selling between 5705-5728

Conclusions

Correction after selling between 5705-5728 today but good supports between 5606-5628 also, Nifty will move between 5610-5685 in whatsoever bearish/bullish sentiment in the brginning of next week and also expected that Nifty will close within this range on 11-07-2011.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(08-07-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long Black Candle.
2- Dark Cloud Cover Bearish Pattern.
3- All the Indices closed in Red except Reality Index.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(08-07-2011): 20.87

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1091
BSE DECLINES : 1803
NSE ADVANCES :  438
NSE DECLINES :  968

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jul)- +341100(+7.34%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +134700(+2.03%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- +1707400(+34.12%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +212600(+6.01%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Jul)- +2119150(+32.28%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jul)- +52100(+2.50%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,660.65(-68.30 Points & -1.19%)
Sensex- closed at 18,858.04(-220.26 Points & -1.15% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,115.90(-59.85 Points & -0.73%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,375.14(-72.85 Points & -0.86%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5805
R2 5772
R1 5716
Avg 5683
S1 5627
S2 5594
S3 5538

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5749     Trgt 2
H5 5729    Trgt 1
H4 5708     Long breakout
H3 5684     Go Short
H2 5676
H1 5668
L1 5651
L2 5643
L3 5635     Long
L4 5611     Short Breakout
L5 5590    Trgt 1
L6 5570    Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5833
R2 5796
R1 5734
Avg 5697
S1 5635
S2 5598
S3 5536

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5771     Trgt 2
H5 5748    Trgt 1
H4 5726     Long breakout
H3 5699     Go Short
H2 5690
H1 5681
L1 5662
L2 5653
L3 5644     Long
L4 5617     Short Breakout
L5 5595    Trgt 1
L6 5572     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11631
R2 11560
R1 11441
Avg 11370
S1 11251
S2 11180
S3 11061

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11512     Trgt 2
H5 11469     Trgt 1
H4 11426     Long breakout
H3 11374     Go Short
H2 11356
H1 11339
L1 11304
L2 11287
L3 11269     Long
L4 11217     Short Breakout
L5 11174     Trgt 1
L6 11131     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jul 11 to Jul 15,2011)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5858
R2 5799
R1 5729
Avg 5670
S1 5600
S2 5541
S3 5471

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5790     Trgt 2
H5 5760     Trgt 1
H4 5730     Long breakout
H3 5695     Go Short
H2 5683
H1 5671
L1 5648
L2 5636
L3 5624     Long
L4 5589     Short Breakout
L5 5559     Trgt 1
L6 5529     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(08-07-2011)

Selling signals between 5705-5725 therefore very short term correction is being seen and next support range(5675-5695) will be watched first for next move confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook(08-07-2011)

Intrady correction is continued on expected lines. Nifty consolidated between 5675-5695 therefore expected that Nifty will not slip below 5675 today and will get intraday support above it. As good support within mentioned range yesterday therefore it will be watched for next moves confirmations.

Post-open Outlook(08-07-2011)

I always tell that no one can deceive the outlooks of this Blog and its today live proof is as follows. Floowing line was told before the opening of today market in Market Outlook(08-07-2011):-

"minor profit booking may be seen"

As was told 100% same happened and Nifty slipped from 5740 to 5707 within first 21 minutes. As sentiment was heated therefore minor intraday correction after minor profit booking is being seen and today expected first trading range is 5695-5740. Indian markets will first prepare for next moves within this range and break out of this range will give next moves first indication.

Market Outlook(08-07-2011)

Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topic with 1 Chart therefore not being repeated:-

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 08-07-2011

All trends are up and Indian markets will open gap up today after positive global cues. Sentiment heated today morning therefore voltality after minor profit booking may be seen but market require complete selling patterns minimum on intraday charts for any correction. Whenever any profit booking will develop then will be informed in the same manner as was told non stop again and again before the beginning of yesterday rally. As we always talk with proofs therefore live proofs of our above statement are as follows:-

1- Market Outlook(07-07-2011)

"5600 will be finally saved and fresh rally above 5672 will commence from coming sessions"

"indian markets will open little positive,test resistances of last 5 sessions range and finally close positive today"

2- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 07-07-2011

"5600 will be finally saved and rally will be seen in the coming sessions"

3- Pre-closing Outlook(06-07-2011) 

"Support at 5600 became stronger today. Rally possibility is still alive despite Red closing near 5600 today"

4- Mid-session Outlook-2(06-07-2011)

"Intraday indicators are showing divergence in last 3 hours therefore up moves possibility is also alive despite Red zone today"

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 08-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(07-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Positions of today intraday charts

1- Good intraday consolidation between 5675-5695
2- Whole day consolidation

Conclusions

All trends are up and fresh up moves begun today. Whole day good consolidations today therefore rally will remain continued and following resistances will be tested in the coming sessions:-

1- 5775
2- 5850
3- 5944

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 07-Jul-2011

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(07-07-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1 Long White Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Green.
3- All trends upward confirmation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(07-07-2011): 21.12

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1899
BSE DECLINES :  986
NSE ADVANCES :  986
NSE DECLINES :  420

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- -596150(-10.48%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +1969800(+111.07%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Jul)- +1524550(+28.99%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jul)- +1413550(+213.43%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,728.95(+103.50 Points & +1.84%)
Sensex- closed at 19,078.30(+351.33 Points & +1.88% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,175.75(+94.80 Points & +1.17%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,447.99(+90.34 Points & +1.08%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 07-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII07-Jul-20113034.332165.62868.71


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII07-Jul-20111420.571581.6-161.03

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5871
R2 5804
R1 5766
Avg 5699
S1 5661
S2 5594
S3 5556

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5834     Trgt 2
H5 5810     Trgt 1
H4 5785     Long breakout
H3 5756      Go Short
H2 5747
H1 5737
L1 5718
L2 5708
L3 5699     Long
L4 5670     Short Breakout
L5 5645     Trgt 1
L6 5621     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5893
R2 5822
R1 5783
Avg 5712
S1 5673
S2 5602
S3 5563

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5856     Trgt 2
H5 5830     Trgt 1
H4 5804     Long breakout
H3 5774     Go Short
H2 5764
H1 5754
L1 5733
L2 5723
L3 5713     Long
L4 5683     Short Breakout
L5 5657     Trgt 1
L6 5631     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11778
R2 11636
R1 11553
Avg 11411
S1 11328
S2 11186
S3 11103

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11698     Trgt 2
H5 11646     Trgt 1
H4 11593     Long breakout
H3 11531     Go Short
H2 11511
H1 11490
L1 11449
L2 11428
L3 11408     Long
L4 11346     Short Breakout
L5 11293     Trgt 1
L6 11241     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(07-07-2011)

Rally is continued after good intraday consolidtion between 5675-5695 today and expected that Nifty will test following resistances in the coming sessions.

1- 5775
2- 5850
3- 5944

Post-open Outlook(07-07-2011)

Nifty is at 5681 at this moment. Anyone can verify from all the posing in this Blog that we always told more than 50 times only for rally and up moves in all the outlooks and never told for any down move. More than 90% accurate predictions of Indian stock markets is our last 4 years record and it has been established once again today.

Rally is on and will remain continued.

Market Outlook(07-07-2011)

Nifty rallied 510 points in 7 sessions and crossed 39sessions range after 4 days consolidation below 5329. Very short term indicators moved in overbought tettoty therefore very short term correction became due and that is being seen for the last 5 sessions in range bound moves. It is the nature of bull markets that they tend to correct in range bound modes and it is being seen. As correction is on therefore next supports and Fibonacci retracement levels have already been updated in Market Outlook yesterday and last 5 sessions correction showing intraday chart is as follows:-

Nifty-Micro Analysis of 5 days Intra Day Chart(Jun 30 to Jul 06,2011)
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Positions in last 5 sessions intraday charts

1-Selling between 5648-5672
2-Intraday support between 5605-5625 in last 5 sessions

Conclusions

Some selling at high levels but supports above 5600 also seen in last 5 sessions within 5606-5672 therefore expected that 5600 will be finally saved and fresh rally above 5672 will commence from coming sessions.

Asian markets are mixed today morning and trading with minor gains/loss therefore sentiment is quiet and expected that Indian markets will open little positive,test resistances of last 5 sessions range and finally close positive today.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 07-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(06-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Main Features

1- 3 hours narrow range trading between 5611-5634
2- Minor selling between 5622-5634
3- Intraday support between 5611-5620
4- Intraday patterns are showing consolidations patterns in 45 points range bound market.

Conclusions

Mixed intraday positions but patterns of whole day intraday chart is showing consolidation formations therefore expected that 5600 will be finally saved and rally will be seen in the coming sessions.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(07-07-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Doji Candle
2- Most Indices closed with minor gains or loss.
3- Whole day range bound trading above 5600.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(07-07-2011): 20.74

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1448
BSE DECLINES : 1420
NSE ADVANCES :  707
NSE DECLINES :  703

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jul)- +8100(+0.30%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jul)- +411200(+7.40%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jul)- +299400(+6.18%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +493650(+11.33%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- +610750(+11.79%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +192450(+12.17%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,625.45(-6.65 Points & -0.12%)
Sensex- closed at 18,726.97(-17.59 Points & -0.09% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,080.95(+12.05 Points & +0.15%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,357.65(+19.23 Points & +0.23%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 06-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII06-Jul-20112076.041855.59220.45


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII06-Jul-2011991.951072.18-80.23

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5695
R2 5675
R1 5650
Avg 5630
S1 5605
S2 5585
S3 5560

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5670     Trgt 2
H5 5659    Trgt 1
H4 5649     Long breakout
H3 5637    Go Short
H2 5633
H1 5629
L1 5620
L2 5616
L3 5612    Long
L4 5600     Short Breakout
L5 5590    Trgt 1
L6 5579     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5713
R2 5690
R1 5663
Avg 5640
S1 5613
S2 5590
S3 5563

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5686     Trgt 2
H5 5674     Trgt 1
H4 5663     Long breakout
H3 5649     Go Short
H2 5645
H1 5640
L1 5631
L2 5626
L3 5622     Long
L4 5608     Short Breakout
L5 5597    Trgt 1
L6 5585     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11576
R2 11510
R1 11413
Avg 11347
S1 11250
S2 11184
S3 11087

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11480     Trgt 2
H5 11443     Trgt 1
H4 11406     Long breakout
H3 11361     Go Short
H2 11346
H1 11331
L1 11302
L2 11287
L3 11272     Long
L4 11227     Short Breakout
L5 11190     Trgt 1
L6 11153     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(06-07-2011)

Same views which have alredy been told in following topic at 02:25 PM today:-

Mid-session Outlook-2(06-07-2011)

Closing will be with minor loss but intraday support at lower levels also today and intraday patterns are also showing consolidations therefore Support at 5600 became stronger today. Rally possibility is still alive despite Red closing near 5600 today.

Mid-session Outlook-2(06-07-2011)

Nifty is trading between 5611-5634 for the last 3 hours with minor selling patterns between 5622-5634 and lower levels intraday support also between 5611-5620. Intraday indicators are showing divergence in last 3 hours therefore up moves possibility is also alive despite Red zone today.

Next move first indication will be last 3 hours range(5611-5634) break out.

Mid-session Outlook(06-07-2011)

Intraday up and down moves without any specific pattern formation within 5614-5655 and hovering around yesterday closing as well as flat at this moment therefore it will be better to wait for any clear indication with same views which have already been explained today in Market Outlook(06-07-2011).

As we never guess therefore quiet at this moment.

Strong Bullish Rally above 5672

Market Outlook(06-07-2011)

Nifty rallied 510 points in 7 sessions and crossed 39sessions range after 4 days consolidation below 5329. Very short term indicators moved in overbought tettoty therefore very short term correction became due and that is being seen for the last 4 sessions in range bound moves. It is the nature of bull markets that they tend to correct in range bound modes and it is being seen.

Next supports are as follows:-

1- 5600-5628
2- 5575-5596
3- 5496-5550

Correction is on and Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:-

13.0%-5639
23.6%-5585
27.0%-5568
38.2%-5511
50.0%-5451
61.8%-5390

Resistances are as follows:-

1- 5775
2- 5850
3- 5944

Last 4 sessions range bound market between 5606-5672 and technical positions of these 4 days intraday charts have been explained in following topics:-

1- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 06-07-2011
2- Trend confirmation Crucial Range 5600-5672

Conclusions

Weekly indicators are positive,below overbought zone and suggesting more upmoves in intermediate term but very short term indicators in daily charts are overbought therefore telling for minimum minor correction to cool down,that is continued in range bound moves for the last 3 sessions. It is an strong indication of strong rally after completion of on going correction.

Very short term correction is on between 5606-5672 after 510 points forceful rally and next bullish phase will again be seen after its completion. Sustaining beyond mentioned range will be confirmation of next moves,strong support(5575-5596) below therefore slipping below 5575 not expected in on going correction. Strong rally possibility within 2 weeks is very much high after completion of ongoing short term correction and market will take its own time in consolidation process within 5600-5672. As intraday consolidation seen at lower levels in last 4 sessions therefore expected that finally Nifty will cross and sustain above 5672 and strong rally will be seen. 

Next strong moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 5600-5672.

Global cues are quiet therefore big moves will not be seen immediately after opening today. Expected trading range of today is 5614-5672 and closing also expected between this range after most of the time trading within it.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 06-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(05-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Main Features

1- 30 Points narrow range market.
2- Intraday support and consolidation between 5614-5628

Conclusions

Intraday patterns are showing consolidations at lower levels therefore rally expectations are alive.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 05-Jul-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 05-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII05-Jul-20112666.561841.04825.52


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII05-Jul-2011984.371882.86-898.49

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5703
R2 5681
R1 5656
Avg 5634
S1 5609
S2 5587
S3 5562

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5679     Trgt 2
H5 5668     Trgt 1
H4 5657     Long breakout
H3 5644     Go Short
H2 5640
H1 5636
L1 5627
L2 5623
L3 5619     Long
L4 5606     Short Breakout
L5 5595     Trgt 1
L6 5584     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5713
R2 5691
R1 5671
Avg 5649
S1 5629
S2 5607
S3 5587

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5693     Trgt 2
H5 5683     Trgt 1
H4 5674     Long breakout
H3 5662     Go Short
H2 5658
H1 5654
L1 5647
L2 5643
L3 5639     Long
L4 5627    Short Breakout
L5 5618     Trgt 1
L6 5608    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11668
R2 11574
R1 11513
Avg 11419
S1 11358
S2 11264
S3 11205

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11608     Trgt 2
H5 11573     Trgt 1
H4 11537     Long breakout
H3 11494     Go Short
H2 11480
H1 11466
L1 11437
L2 11423
L3 11409     Long
L4 11366     Short Breakout
L5 11331     Trgt 1
L6 11295    Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(05-07-2011)


Only range bound trading is being projected since last Friday and it is being seen also. Whatsoever happened today and yesterday,all that was told in following lines on 01-07-2011

Pre-closing Outlook(01-07-2011)- Expected that Nifty will trade and consolidate between 5600-5700 on next Monday/Tuesday and after that next rally will resume.

Indian markets recovered from lower levels today but positive indications were projected in following words when Nifty was trading near today lows:-

Mid-session Outlook(05-07-2011)- Although Indian markets are in Red since opening today but intraday patterns are not suggesting selling.

Indian markets traded most of the time in Red today but intraday patterns are showing good consolidations at lower levels therefore rally expectations are alive despite being Red closing today.

Mid-session Outlook(05-07-2011)

Most Asian markets are weak today therefore Nifty slipped and trading for the last 2 hours below yesterday trading low(5634). Although Indian markets are in Red since opening today but intraday patterns are not suggesting selling.

Trend confirmation Crucial Range 5600-5672

Market Outlook(05-07-2011)

EOD Chart analysis have already been explained yesterday in following topic therefore not being repeated today:-

Market Outlook(04-07-2011)


Nifty crossed 5600 after forceful rally and sustained above for the last 3 sessions. Nifty traded between 5606-5672 in last 3 sessions this range break out will give confirmation to:-

1- Break out of last 39 sessions range(5329-5604) 
2- Long term trend turning up.
3- Completion of that 'ABC'correction which started on 05-11-2010 from 6339.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of 3 days Intra Day Chart(Jun 30 to Jul 04,2011)

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Nifty traded between 5606-5672 in last 3 sessions and technical positions within these 3 days are as follows:-

1- Selling between 5655-5672
2- Buying between 5600-5625
3- Mixed patterns between 5634-5660( Explained in Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 05-07-2011)

Conclusions

Nifty traded More than 5 hours within 26 Nifty points narrow range and trading range was between 5634-5660 on 04-07-2011 but intraday patterns were mixed therefore Nifty will firstly trade within or little beyond this range today and sustaining beyond this range will be next moves first strong indication.

Consolidation between 5600-5672 and after that finally up moves above 5672 expected in the coming sessions but intraday trading patterns between 5600-5672 will be first watched also today because follow up buying/selling today will give confirmation to next decisive trend. As Long term up trend is in question therefore Nifty sustaining above 5672 will mean worst is over for Indian stock markets and then sharp rally will be seen.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 05-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(04-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Main Features

1- Minor Selling between- 5663-5672
2- Selling between- 5652-5660
3- Buying between-  5634-5642
4- More than 5 hours 26 Nifty points narrow range trading between 5634-5660

Conclusions

Nifty traded more than 5 hours between 5634-5660 with mixed intraday trading patterns. Sustaining beyond this range will be next moves first strong indication. Supports below this range and resistances above this range in 2 previous sessions therefore Nifty will finally trade between 5600-5672 and sustaining beyond this range(5600-5672) will be confirmation of next trend.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(04-07-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Black Candle and Green closing.
2- Selling seen at higher levels.
3- Most Indices closed positive but intraday patterns are mixed.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.29
Nifty P/E Ratio(04-07-2011): 20.83

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1765
BSE DECLINES : 1097
NSE ADVANCES :  958
NSE DECLINES :  455

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jul)- +11950(+0.48%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jul)- +1102250(+29.30%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jul)- +581550(+14.44%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +1419500(+47.62%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- +997750(+25.24%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +437150(+42.35%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,650.50(+23.30 Points & +0.41%)
Sensex- closed at 18,814.48(+51.68 Points & +0.28% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,093.30(+67.20 Points & +0.84%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,322.16(+97.75 Points & +1.19%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 04-Jul-2011


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 04-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII04-Jul-20112820.061688.341131.72


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII04-Jul-2011982.131351.45-369.32

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5721
R2 5700
R1 5675
Avg 5654
S1 5629
S2 5608
S3 5583

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5696     Trgt 2
H5 5685     Trgt 1
H4 5675     Long breakout
H3 5662     Go Short
H2 5658
H1 5654
L1 5645
L2 5641
L3 5637     Long
L4 5624     Short Breakout
L5 5614     Trgt 1
L6 5603     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5737
R2 5713
R1 5689
Avg 5665
S1 5641
S2 5617
S3 5593

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5713     Trgt 2
H5 5702     Trgt 1
H4 5691     Long breakout
H3 5678     Go Short
H2 5673
H1 5669
L1 5660
L2 5656
L3 5651     Long
L4 5638     Short Breakout
L5 5627     Trgt 1
L6 5616     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11536
R2 11486
R1 11450
Avg 11400
S1 11364
S2 11314
S3 11278

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11501     Trgt 2
H5 11481     Trgt 1
H4 11462    Long breakout
H3 11438     Go Short
H2 11430
H1 11422
L1 11407
L2 11399
L3 11391     Long
L4 11367     Short Breakout
L5 11348    Trgt 1
L6 11328    Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook(04-07-2011)

Nifty traded whole day between 5634-5672 today but following lines were told for today trading which proved 100% accurate today at this moment:-

1- Pre-closing Outlook(01-07-2011)- Expected that Nifty will trade and consolidate between 5600-5700 on next Monday/Tuesday and after that next rally will resume.

2- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 04-07-2011- Indian markets will first consolidate within today range(5612 -5672) and after that next rally will begin.

3-  Market Outlook(04-07-2011)- Higher levels selling was seen between 5655-5672 last Friday therefore Indian markets have to consolidate first near about this range today

4- Post-open Outlook(04-07-2011)- As selling within mentioned range therefore some consolidations is required and expected that Indian markets will consolidated within this Nifty range

5- Mid-session Outlook(04-07-2011)- Nifty will prepare within mentioned range and sustaining beyond 5612-5672 will be next moves confirmations

6- Mid-session Outlook-2(04-07-2011)- Mixed trading positions between 5600-4672 in 2 sessions therefore Nifty is trading between this range since opening today. Let market prepare then confirmation will be come according to intraday patterns.

Only range bound moves between 5600-5672 were told and Nifty traded  between this range with Mixed intraday patterns in 3 sessions:-

1- Buying between-  5600-5642
2- selling between- 5655-5672

Consolidation between 5600-5672 and after that up moves expected in the coming sessions.

Mid-session Outlook-2(04-07-2011)

Indian markets under performed Asian markets and could not sustained at higher levels therefore showing selling at higher levels. Nifty consolidated between 5600-5640 in 2 previous sessions. Nifty again got intraday support between 5634-5642 today therefore 5600-5642 support range. Selling seen between 5655-5672 today and last Friday.

Mixed trading positions between 5600-4672 in 2 sessions therefore Nifty is trading between this range since opening today. Let market prepare then confirmation will be come according to intraday patterns.

Mid-session Outlook(04-07-2011)

Nifty traded between 5612-5672 last Friday with selling also within 5655-5672. Consolidation requirements within 5612 -5672 before any up move was told last Friday and today and Nifty is trading within that range which is being mentioned from last 4 outlooks.

Mixed intraday patterns therefore Nifty will prepare within mentioned range and sustaining beyond 5612-5672 will be next moves confirmations. Let this process complete and confirmation come then final views will be updated accordingly.

Consolidation indications at lower levels but confirmations are required at this moment.

Post-open Outlook(04-07-2011)

Following lines were told in Market Outlook today and Nifty is trading between already mentioned range since opening today:-

"Higher levels selling was seen between 5655-5672 last Friday therefore Indian markets have to consolidate first near about this range today"

As selling within mentioned range therefore some consolidations is required and expected that Indian markets will consolidated within this Nifty range and then up moves will be seen.

Market Outlook(04-07-2011)

Technical Analysis and Research of Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day have already been explained in following topics with 1 Charts therefore not being repeated:-

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 04-07-2011

Nifty-EOD Chart(01-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Forceful rally of 6 sessions reversed all trends and turned all the trends up. Nifty crossed 5600 and sustained 2 days above also but some selling was seen last Friday after good consolidations between 5600-5625 one day before. It is good support and next previous resistances are as follows:-

1- 5775
2- 5850 
3- 5944 

Higher levels selling was seen between 5655-5672 last Friday therefore Indian markets have to consolidate first near about this range today and then up moves will seen. As some selling was seen above crucial level of 5600 therefore consolidation is must today for sustaining above it confirmations

Although higher levels selling but whole day intraday patterns of last Friday showed consolidation indications therefore expected that follow up consolidations will be seen today and Nifty will finally sustain above 5600 and shoot up. Last 9 days Outlooks in this Blog are live proofs of this fact that We told more than 20 times only for Bullish rally and upmoves from the bottom of rally and never told for any Bearish market.

Indian markets will also open with good gains and close positive after whole day Green zone trading.