4 Topics for Next week Trading have already been updated and more topics will also be posted before the opening of next Monday markets.
Trading Calls
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Cross-Over of Crucial Resistances
Nifty-EOD Chart(03-Feb-2012):-
1- 6339 on 05-11-2010
2- 4532 on 20-12-2011
3-Nifty closing above trend Reversal 123 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229.
4- Closing at 5325.85 on 03-02-2012
1- Sustaining above 200 Day(SMA)-5190
2- Sustaining above 200 Day(EMA)-5135
3- Sustaining above 123 sessions sideways trading range(5229)
All trends are up after Dec 2011 sharp rally and cross-Over of above mentioned crucial resistances also in previous week.
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- 6339 on 05-11-2010
2- 4532 on 20-12-2011
3-Nifty closing above trend Reversal 123 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229.
4- Closing at 5325.85 on 03-02-2012
Three Bullish cross overs on 01-02-2012
1- Sustaining above 200 Day(SMA)-5190
2- Sustaining above 200 Day(EMA)-5135
3- Sustaining above 123 sessions sideways trading range(5229)
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
All trends are up after Dec 2011 sharp rally and cross-Over of above mentioned crucial resistances also in previous week.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart of 03-02-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(03Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 5256-5271.
2- Sharp surge
3- Up moves in Rising channel with Bearish rising wedge formation.
4- Rising Channel Broken down in last minutes.
5- Whole day trading between 5256-5333
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Strong rally after lower levels support but last one hour moves in Rising channel with Bearish rising wedge formation therefore minor intraday correction signals also from Intraday charts formations.
Strong Bullish rally is on and most of the times markets completes very short term and minor corrections within sideways markets or at higher levels also in most Bullish intraday sentiments. Although minor distribution formations but until follow up selling will not develop in the coming sessions till then any decisive down move will not be considered.
Bullish 'W' formations
Nifty-EOD Chart(03-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Correction begun from 6338 on 05-11-2010
2- Lowest of 13 months correction at 5431.15 on 20-12-2011
3- Gap down opening on 05-08-5011 with intraday high at 5229
4- 123 sessions sideways market after gap down opening on 05-08-5011
5- Bullish 'W' formation at the bottom of 13 months correction.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Strong indication of 13 months down trend reversal through Bullish 'W' formation at the bottom of 13 months correction.
803 Nifty Points Strong Rally from 13th(Fibonacci number) Month
Nifty-Monthly Chart(03-Feb-2012):-
1- Correction begun from 6338 on 05-11-2010
2- 13 Months correction
3- Lowest of 13 months correction at 5431.15 on 20-12-2011
4- 803 Nifty Points Strong Rally begun from 13th Month
Financial markets have a high probability tendency of reversing on a Fibonacci number. As Stong and sharp rally seen from 20-12-2011 in the 13th month and 13 is a Fibonacci number also therefore following possibilities are high:-
1- Lowest of 13 months correction at 5431.15.
2- Correction completion in the 13th month.
3- Trend reversal of 13 months down trend.
Importance of 13 months Fibonacci number is not being told today after watching strong rally but we told about it many times in previous Outlooks as well its importance was updated in following seperate topic on 03-12-2011 also.
Just Click following topic link and understand Indian markets rally in 2012:-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Correction begun from 6338 on 05-11-2010
2- 13 Months correction
3- Lowest of 13 months correction at 5431.15 on 20-12-2011
4- 803 Nifty Points Strong Rally begun from 13th Month
Conclusions from monthly chart analysis
Financial markets have a high probability tendency of reversing on a Fibonacci number. As Stong and sharp rally seen from 20-12-2011 in the 13th month and 13 is a Fibonacci number also therefore following possibilities are high:-
1- Lowest of 13 months correction at 5431.15.
2- Correction completion in the 13th month.
3- Trend reversal of 13 months down trend.
Importance of 13 months Fibonacci number is not being told today after watching strong rally but we told about it many times in previous Outlooks as well its importance was updated in following seperate topic on 03-12-2011 also.
Just Click following topic link and understand Indian markets rally in 2012:-
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 03-Feb-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(03-Feb-2012)
1- All the Indices closed in Green except Metals.
2- Strong rally above 5300.
3- White Candle formations.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.10
Nifty P/E Ratio(03-Feb-2012): 18.97
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1713
BSE Declines : 1184
NSE Advances : 879
NSE Declines : 560
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Feb)- -435600(-11.44%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Feb)- +1388950(+29.24%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Feb)- -631500(-10.93%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Feb)- +924250(+40.01%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Feb)- -113050(-2.13%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Feb)- +341300(+39.50%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,325.85(+55.95 Points & +1.06%)
Sensex- closed at 17,604.96(+173.11 Points & +0.99% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,324.15(+98.25 Points & +1.36%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,686.55(+77.58 Points & +1.17%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-02-2012
R3 5433
R2 5383
R1 5354
Avg 5304
S1 5275
S2 5225
S3 5196
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5405 Trgt 2
H5 5386 Trgt 1
H4 5368 Long breakout
H3 5346 Go Short
H2 5339
H1 5332
L1 5317
L2 5310
L3 5303 Long
L4 5281 Short Breakout
L5 5263 Trgt 1
L6 5244 Trgt 2
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-02-2012
R3 5473
R2 5415
R1 5380
Avg 5322
S1 5287
S2 5229
S3 5194
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5439 Trgt 2
H5 5417 Trgt 1
H4 5396 Long breakout
H3 5370 Go Short
H2 5362
H1 5353
L1 5336
L2 5327
L3 5319 Long
L4 5293 Short Breakout
L5 5272 Trgt 1
L6 5250 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 06-02-2012
R3 10544
R2 10364
R1 10259
Avg 10079
S1 9974
S2 9794
S3 9689
Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10446 Trgt 2
H5 10378 Trgt 1
H4 10310 Long breakout
H3 10232 Go Short
H2 10206
H1 10180
L1 10127
L2 10101
L3 10075 Long
L4 9997 Short Breakout
L5 9929 Trgt 1
L6 9861 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 06 to Feb 10,2012)
R3 5597
R2 5443
R1 5384
Avg 5230
S1 5171
S2 5017
S3 4958
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5548 Trgt 2
H5 5495 Trgt 1
H4 5442 Long breakout
H3 5383 Go Short
H2 5364
H1 5344
L1 5305
L2 5285
L3 5266 Long
L4 5207 Short Breakout
L5 5154 Trgt 1
L6 5101 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 06 to Feb 10,2012)
R3 11006
R2 10582
R1 10357
Avg 9933
S1 9708
S2 9284
S3 9059
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 10824 Trgt 2
H5 10657 Trgt 1
H4 10489 Long breakout
H3 10311 Go Short
H2 10251
H1 10192
L1 10073
L2 10014
L3 9954 Long
L4 9776 Short Breakout
L5 9608 Trgt 1
L6 9441 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(03-02-2012)
All trends upward confirmations at the weekend and blasting Bullish rally is on. Although minor down moves and very short term corrections may be seen any day after intraday selling but until complete selling patterns will not emerge till then short term correction will not be seen.
Mid-session Outlook(03-02-2012)
Minor intraday down moves and trading between 5256-5279 seen today after Intraday selling between 5272-5289 yesterday. Minor intraday support also seen at lower levels today.
Range of 5256-5289 should be watched for next moves confitmations because mixed technical positions between this range today and yesterday.
Range of 5256-5289 should be watched for next moves confitmations because mixed technical positions between this range today and yesterday.
NIFTY-Feb F&O-1st Shorting of 02-02-2012-Covering
NIFTY Feb F & O(Shorted on 02-02-2012)-Cover immediately-CMP-5286
NIFTY-Feb F&O-1st Shorting of 02-02-2012-Message
NIFTY-Feb F&O-1st Shorting of 02-02-2012-Market will be volatile therefore hold and cover after my covering message
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 03-02-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(02-Feb-2012):-
1- Selling patterns between 5272-5289.
2- High volatility after S.C.judgement on 2G Scam.
3- Doji candle formation
4- Whole day trading between 5226-5289
Intraday supports at lower leves after high volatility due to negative news of S.C.judgement on 2G Scam but clear intraday selling patterns at higher levels also therefore minor intraday correction is due and that will be seen today.
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling patterns between 5272-5289.
2- High volatility after S.C.judgement on 2G Scam.
3- Doji candle formation
4- Whole day trading between 5226-5289
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Intraday supports at lower leves after high volatility due to negative news of S.C.judgement on 2G Scam but clear intraday selling patterns at higher levels also therefore minor intraday correction is due and that will be seen today.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 02-Feb-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(021-Feb-2012)
1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- Doji candle formation in both NIFTY and SENSEX.
3- S.C.judgement on 2G Scam based highly volatile market today.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.16
Nifty P/E Ratio(021-Feb-2012): 18.77
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1575
BSE Declines : 1305
NSE Advances : 802
NSE Declines : 652
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5100 CE(Feb)- -284550(-12.01%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Feb)- +1139800(+20.59%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Feb)- -153800(-3.81%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Feb)- +1362450(+37.71%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Feb)- -24700(-0.42%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Feb)- +782400(+48.77%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,269.90(+34.20 Points & +0.65%)
Sensex- closed at 17,431.85(+131.27 Points & +0.76% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,225.90(+37.50 Points & +0.52%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,608.97(+35.39 Points & +0.54%)
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