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correction continuation towards next supports
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(18-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11552-11587(immediate Resistances)
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels
3- Sharp fall
4- Whole day actual trading between 11499-11587
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As Dow Futures was in deep Red and resultant all the Asian markets were trading in Negative zone trerefore weaker opening of Indian markets and firstly selling was seen between 11552-11587 hence this range will be immediate Resistances of Nifty and until Nifty will not sustain above it till then decisive up moves will not be seen.
Most of the up moves were in Bearish Rising Channels in Mid-session therefore sharp fall in last hour hence today closing was near the lowest of the day.
As Short Term indicators are Over bought and whole day good selling patterns were seen therefore today started correction continuation in expected towards following next supports:-
1- Double bottom supports at 11366
2- 11301-11357
3- 11186-11243
Finally sharp down after follow up selling
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(17-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11537-11588
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Selling between 11595-11618
4- Whole day actual trading between 11517-11618
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although today closing was at the top of the day but selling patterns were also seen 2 times and little consolidation was through in Mid-session through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
As soon as Dow Jones Futures started to move up and good opening of European markets also therefore Indian markets also have recovered.
As Short Term indicators are Over bought and selling patterns are also being seen as well as only positive sentiments drives up moves therefore finally sharp down moves will be seen in the coming 1/2 sessions after follow up selling.
Finally slip below today lowest after follow up selling
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(16-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11485-44508
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels
3- Sideways trading between 11510-11535
4- Whole day actual trading between 11443-11535
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As all the Asian markets were trading in Green after strong closing of US markets yesterday therefore positive opening of Indian markets.
Although Nifty closed 81 points up today but it was due to strong rally in Dow Jones Futures which was trading 175 points up and all the European markets were in Green.
As firstly selling between 11485-44508 and after that selling through Up moves in Bearish Rising Channels also therefore expected that Nifty will not sustain above today highest(11535) and will finally slip below today lowest(11443) after follow up selling in the coming 1/2 sessions.
Finally down moves towards next supports
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook(15-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- More than 4 hours sideways trading between 11520-11568
2- Sharp fall
3- Volatility in last hours
4- Whole day actual trading between 11384-11568
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Live Proofs of levels accuracy:-
1st resistances between 11550-11569 were posted on 12-09-2020 in "More down moves expectations after fresh selling" and today highest is exactly at 11568.90.
Nifty traded sideways more than 4 hours within and just below above mentioned resistances(11550-11569) between 11520-11568 under heated sentiments due to following positive news flow:-
1- DOW Futures was trading more than 300 points up.
2- All the Asian markets were trading in Green.
3- Oxford University said in a statement on Saturday that it is resuming the ‘paused’ vaccine trial of the ChAdOx1 COVID vaccine in clinical trial sites in the United Kingdom.
4- SEBI, in a circular, on Friday announced new set of portfolio allocation rules for multi cap mutual funds where the Market Regulator made it mandatory for the multi cap funds to invest a minimum of 25% of their portfolio each in large cap stocks, mid caps and small cap companies.
As some selling due to above Bullish developments therefore sharp fall was seen just before 02:00 PM and last hours Volatility therefore until Nifty will not sustain above today highest after complete fresh consolidation till then decisive up moves will not be seen.
Next resistances below today lowest are as follows:-
1- Double bottom supports at 11366
2- 11301-11357
3- 11186-11243
As some selling today and Very Short Term indicators have also turned over bought therefore expected that finally down moves will be seen towards above mentioned next supports after fresh selling in the coming sessions.
More down moves expectations
after fresh selling
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Sep 14 to Sep 18,2020)
Nifty-Weekly Chart Analysis
(Wave B structure & Stochastics)
Nifty-Weekly Chart (11-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in Weekly charts
1- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
2- Wave-B completion indications with recent top formation at 11794.3 on 31-08-2020
3- Stochastic-%K(5) is at 65.47 & %D(3) is at 75.73
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Wave B structure & Stochastics)
As Nifty crashed 406 points higher levels and closed 260 points down on 31-08-2020 as well as formed long Bearish Engulfing candle on both EOD and Weekly chart therefore generated strongest indication of Wave-B completion at 11794.3 and Wave-C beginning to move towards and below the ogigin of Wave-B(7511.10).
Emergence of following bearish signals from weekly Stochastics:-
1- Both lines have started to move down from over bought zone.
2- %K has intersected %d downward.
Nifty-Last 9 Sessions
intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Sep 01 to Sep 11,2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in last 9 Sessions intraday charts
1- Selling(Resistances) in last 9 sessions are between:-
A- 11550-11569
B- 11400-11460
C- 11382-11437
D- 11451-11493
2- Consolidation(Supports) in last 9 sessions are sessions:-
A- 11301-11339
B- 11186-11243
C- 11343-11357
D- Double bottom supports at 11366
3- 9 Sessions actual trading between 11186-11585
Conclusions from 9 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Nifty crashed 406 points higher levels on 31-08-2020 and after that traded last 9 sessions of this month between 11186-11585 with higher levels selling and lower levels buying.
As both higher levels higher levels good selling and lower levels equally good buying in last 9 sessions therefore Nifty will firstly trade within last 9 sessions trading range as well as prepare in the coming week for next decisive big moves beyond this range.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis
(11-Sep-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 11467-11493
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Selling between 11451-11470
4- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
5- Selling between 11457-11477
6- Whole day actual trading between 11420-11493
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As whole day sideways trading with only selling patterns formations therefore expected that down moves will be seen below last Friday lowest(11419.90) in next week.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is down.
2- Intermediate term trend is sideways between 11186-11585.
3- Short term trend is up.
Although higher levels good selling but lower levels some supports have also been developed in previous week therefore Nifty will firstly trade in next week between last 9 sessions trading range(11186-11585). As last Friday good intraday selling patterns formations therefore firstly Nifty will counter above mentioned supports(D & C)
As strongest indications of Wave-C formation to move below 7511.10 after 260 points fall on 31st Aug 2020 and weekly Stochastics is also indicating more down moves therefore expected that finally Nifty will move below the lowest(11186) of last 9 sessions trading range after fresh selling in next week.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(11-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Supports between 11343-11357
2- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
4- Double bottom supports at 11366(immediate supports)
5- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
6- Whole day actual trading between 11328-11464
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As firstly supports between 11343-11357 after gap up opening therefore up moves were seen which were in Bearish Rising Channel hence signals of some selling developed.
As some consolidation was seen through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel and Nifty got double bottom supports at 11366 therefore it will be immediate supports of Nifty.
Although closing was at the top of the day but last hour up moves in Bearish Rising Channel therefore signals of selling at higher levels also.
As after 10:30 AM and higher levels selling patterns formations therefore view will not be Bullish and expected that finally Nifty will not sustain above today highest(11464) and down moves will be seen towards following immediate supports:-
1- 11366
2- 11343
Some up moves are expectations
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(10-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (09-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Up moves with downward corrections
4- Whole day actual trading between 11186-11298
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following supports were updated at 01:52 AM on 09-09-2020 in "Firstly watch 11290 amid Dow Jones 632 points negative closing":-
Next supports below 11290 are as follows:-
1- 11166-11218
Live proofs of exact levels are as follows:-
1- 1st support was told below 11218 and today opening was exactly at 11218.60.
2- Nifty got supports within 1st support range at 11185.15 today.
As most depressing Global cues therefore gap down opening but moved up after getting supports within 1st support range(11166-11218) at 11185.15 and consolidation was also seen through Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel and last 3 hour Up moves with downward corrections therefore some up moves are expected towards 11382-11437 tomorrow.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 11166-11437 in the coming 1/2 sessions and prepare for next decisive moves within this range,let it happen then will be updated according to coming sessions intraday patterns formations.
Until Nifty will not sustain above 11437 till then decisive up moves and sustaining below 11166 after fresh selling will mean more decisive down moves which is finally expected also.
Firstly watch 11290 amid Dow Jones 632 points negative closing
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis &
Market Outlook(09-09-2020)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns formation in today intraday charts
1- Up moves with downward corrections
2- Sideways trading between 11382-11437
3- Down moves with upward corrections
4- Whole day actual trading between 11290-11437
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told on 05-09-2020 in "Strongest indications of Wave-C formation to move Nifty towards and below 7511.10":-
5th and last supports between 11290-11330 was updated in previous week and Nifty formed previous week lowest within it at 11303.6 last Friday.
Supports between 11290-11330 was updated in both previous weekly Outlooks and today lowest was exactly at 11290.45.
Firstly sustaining beyond 11290 should be watched in the coming sessions because today intraday volatility was due to following big moves of Dow Jones Futures during Indian trading hours:-
1- Indian markets moved up from negative zone because Dow Jones Futures which was trading with good gains started up moves and one time it was trading more than 300 points up.
2- Until Dow Jones Futures maintained at higher levels till then Nifty remain sideways.
3- As soon as Dow Jones Futures started to move down then Nifty also begun to slip. As Dow Jones Futures lost all it 300 points gains therefore Nifty closed at the lowest of the day.
As whole day today intraday volatility was only Dow Jones Futures led and any clear technical position formation was not seen therefore firstly sustaining beyond 11290 should be watched tomorrow amid Dow Jones 632 points negative closing because sustaining below 11290 will mean sharp fall possibility.
Next supports below 11290 are as follows:-
1- 11166-11218
2- 11086-11114
3- 11034-11060
4- 10880-10927
Strongest indications of Wave-C formation to move Nifty towards and below 7511.10
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Sep 07 to Sep 11,2020)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Average,Trendline & Stochastics)
Nifty-EOD Chart (04-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Corrective Wave-A completion at 7511.10 on 24-03-2020 and Wave-B beginning
2- Wave-c of Wave-B completion indications with recent top formation at 11794.3 on 31-08-2020
3- Wave-B Trend line at 11470
4- Long Term Trend decider 200-Day SMA is today at 10808
5- Stochastic-%K(5) is at 31.28 & %D(3) is at 33.44
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Average,Trendline & Stochastics)
Wave-B correction is very much on after its trendline at 11470 broken down on 31-08-2010 and no indication of its completion yet.
As both lines of Stochastics are moving down and not reached into Over sold zone therefore correction continuation is expected.
Long Term Trend decider 200-Day SMA is today at 10808 and finally sustaining it beyond will confirm the length of on going correction and life of Wave-B.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Bollinger Band & MACD)
Nifty-EOD Chart (04-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Down moves towards lower Band
2- Slipped below 20 Day-SMA
3- MACD intersected Average line downward.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Bollinger Band & MACD)
As Nifty is moving towards lower Band in Bollinger Band and slipped below 20 Day-SMA also therefore indications of more down moves.
MACD line intersected Average line downward is indicating Short Term Bearish trend formation.
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis
(Fibonacci retracement levels)
Nifty-EOD Chart (04-Sep-2020):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- 13.0%-11237
2- 23.6%-10783
3- 27.0%-10637
4- 38.2%-10157(Crucial)
5- 50.0%-9652(Crucial)
6- 61.8%-9147(Crucial)
7- 70.7%-8765
8- 76.4%-8521
9- 78.6%-8427
10-88.6%-7999
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
(Fibonacci retracement levels)
Correction has been started in previous week which may be deeper also therefore following levels should be watched for halting of down moves and Pull back rally from there.
Conclusions
(After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Long term trend is up.
2- Intermediate term trend is up.
3- Short term trend is has turned down in previous week.
Following lines were told on 29-08-2020 in "Watch 7 levels for deeper correction beginning confirmations ":-
As Wave-B is more than 5 months old therefore generating a signal of Wave-B time-wise completion. Weekly Stochastics is also showing negative divergence in Overbought zone hence suggesting that Wave-B is well riped for correction which may be deeper also.
Correction started from first sessions of previous week through 406 points crash from higher levels and that correction remained continued till last sessions of previous week and Nifty closed near the lowest of the week.
5th and last supports between 11290-11330 was updated in previous week and Nifty formed previous week lowest within it at 11303.6 last Friday. Next supports below it are as follows which should be watched because correction continuation is expected towards following supports in the coming week/weeks:-
1- 11166-11218
2- 11086-11114
3- 11034-11060
4- 10880-10927
Following negative signals have been generated after 406 points crash from higher levels;-
1- Long Bearish Engulfing candle formation on EOD chart on 31-08-2020.
2- Long Bearish Engulfing candle formation in previous week on Weekly chart.
3- Wave-B Trend line at 11470 has also broken down and previous weekly closing was below it at 11354.40 therefore generated strong indication of Wave-B completion.
As following developments also therefore it seems that Wave-B has been completed at 11794.25 on 31-08-2020 and strongest indications of Wave-C formation to move Nifty towards and below the origin level of Wave-B(7511.10) in the coming months:-
1- Wave-B took more than 5 months therefore signalling its time-wise completion.
2- Wave-B gained 4283.15 points and retraced more than 86% of previous fall therefore signalling its Price-wise completion also.