As again profit booking therefore not sustaining at higher levels.
Trading Calls
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Mid-session Outlook(12-09-2012)
July IIP at 0.1% vs 3.7% (YoY)
Although Indian markets slipped from intraday higher levels after minor profit booking at higher levels but intraday patterns are indicating consolidation formations also. Indian markets are reacting today announced IIP data as well as preparing for post RBI Credit Policy moves on 17-09-2012.
All trends are up and Nifty is trading within strong resistance range(5380-5450),its break out will form next big moves. Forceful break out or sustaining beyond of today 15 points intraday trading range(5402-5417) will give first signal of mentioned resistance range break out direction therefore should be firstly watched.
Although Indian markets slipped from intraday higher levels after minor profit booking at higher levels but intraday patterns are indicating consolidation formations also. Indian markets are reacting today announced IIP data as well as preparing for post RBI Credit Policy moves on 17-09-2012.
All trends are up and Nifty is trading within strong resistance range(5380-5450),its break out will form next big moves. Forceful break out or sustaining beyond of today 15 points intraday trading range(5402-5417) will give first signal of mentioned resistance range break out direction therefore should be firstly watched.
Rally continuation after correction completion
Nifty-EOD Chart (11-Sep-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Wave-2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
2- Sub Wave-1(5348.55 ON 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3(5448.40 on 23-08-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4(5215.70 on 05-09-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on after correction completion
Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on after correction completion but intraday selling between 5362-5373 was seen on 10-Sep-2012 therefore firstly negative zone trading was seen yesterday. Intraday supports at lower levels and after that more than 1 hour trading above 5373 was seen yesterday therefore on going rally(Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3) continuation possibilities turned higher yesterday.
As strong resistances between 5380-5450 therefore complete consolidations is required for rally above 5450 and up moves may be slow also but expected that finally rally will be seen above 5450 .
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
2- Sub Wave-1(5348.55 ON 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3(5448.40 on 23-08-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4(5215.70 on 05-09-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on after correction completion
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on after correction completion but intraday selling between 5362-5373 was seen on 10-Sep-2012 therefore firstly negative zone trading was seen yesterday. Intraday supports at lower levels and after that more than 1 hour trading above 5373 was seen yesterday therefore on going rally(Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3) continuation possibilities turned higher yesterday.
As strong resistances between 5380-5450 therefore complete consolidations is required for rally above 5450 and up moves may be slow also but expected that finally rally will be seen above 5450 .
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Sep-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Sep-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- Long White Candle.
3- Closing near the highs of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Aug-2012): 17.22
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1557
BSE Declines : 1293
NSE Advances : 782
NSE Declines : 642
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Aug)- -104,400(-5.51%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Aug)- 977,500(12.15%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Aug)- -146,950(-3.38%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Aug)- 1,339,150(18.64%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Aug)- -527,800(-7.82%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Aug)- 1,650,200(58.34%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Aug)- 297,700(4.25%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Aug)- 190,750(15.48%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,390.00(26.55 Points & 0.50%)
Sensex- closed at 17,852.95(86.17 Points & 0.49%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,278.25(23.75 Points & 0.33%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,579.68(38.03 Points & 0.58%)
1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- Long White Candle.
3- Closing near the highs of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Aug-2012): 17.22
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1557
BSE Declines : 1293
NSE Advances : 782
NSE Declines : 642
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Aug)- -104,400(-5.51%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Aug)- 977,500(12.15%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Aug)- -146,950(-3.38%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Aug)- 1,339,150(18.64%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Aug)- -527,800(-7.82%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Aug)- 1,650,200(58.34%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Aug)- 297,700(4.25%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Aug)- 190,750(15.48%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,390.00(26.55 Points & 0.50%)
Sensex- closed at 17,852.95(86.17 Points & 0.49%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,278.25(23.75 Points & 0.33%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,579.68(38.03 Points & 0.58%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-09-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5472
R2 5432
R1 5411
Avg 5371
S1 5350
S2 5310
S3 5289
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5451 Trgt 2
H5 5437 Trgt 1
H4 5423 Long breakout
H3 5406 Go Short
H2 5401
H1 5395
L1 5384
L2 5378
L3 5373 Long
L4 5356 Short Breakout
L5 5342 Trgt 1
L6 5328 Trgt 2
R3 5472
R2 5432
R1 5411
Avg 5371
S1 5350
S2 5310
S3 5289
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5451 Trgt 2
H5 5437 Trgt 1
H4 5423 Long breakout
H3 5406 Go Short
H2 5401
H1 5395
L1 5384
L2 5378
L3 5373 Long
L4 5356 Short Breakout
L5 5342 Trgt 1
L6 5328 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-09-2012
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5505
R2 5457
R1 5431
Avg 5383
S1 5357
S2 5309
S3 5283
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5479 Trgt 2
H5 5462 Trgt 1
H4 5445 Long breakout
H3 5425 Go Short
H2 5418
H1 5411
L1 5398
L2 5391
L3 5384 Long
L4 5364 Short Breakout
L5 5347 Trgt 1
L6 5330 Trgt 2
R3 5505
R2 5457
R1 5431
Avg 5383
S1 5357
S2 5309
S3 5283
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5479 Trgt 2
H5 5462 Trgt 1
H4 5445 Long breakout
H3 5425 Go Short
H2 5418
H1 5411
L1 5398
L2 5391
L3 5384 Long
L4 5364 Short Breakout
L5 5347 Trgt 1
L6 5330 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-09-2012
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 10358
R2 10266
R1 10211
Avg 10119
S1 10064
S2 9972
S3 9917
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10305 Trgt 2
H5 10271 Trgt 1
H4 10237 Long breakout
H3 10197 Go Short
H2 10183
H1 10170
L1 10143
L2 10130
L3 10116 Long
L4 10076 Short Breakout
L5 10042 Trgt 1
L6 10008 Trgt 2
R3 10358
R2 10266
R1 10211
Avg 10119
S1 10064
S2 9972
S3 9917
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10305 Trgt 2
H5 10271 Trgt 1
H4 10237 Long breakout
H3 10197 Go Short
H2 10183
H1 10170
L1 10143
L2 10130
L3 10116 Long
L4 10076 Short Breakout
L5 10042 Trgt 1
L6 10008 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(11-09-2012)
Last more than 3 hours positive zone trading after gap down opening today.but on the back of sharp surge in US Futures therefore confirmations are required through sustaining above 5373.
All trends are up and finally sustaining above 5373 will mean rally continuation after minor correction completion. As lower levels intraday supports today and yesterday as well as trading above yesterday intraday selling range today therefore on going rally continuation possibilities turning higher.
All trends are up and finally sustaining above 5373 will mean rally continuation after minor correction completion. As lower levels intraday supports today and yesterday as well as trading above yesterday intraday selling range today therefore on going rally continuation possibilities turning higher.
Mid-session Outlook-2(11-09-2012)
Dow's Futures was more than 50 points down and also trading in Red since opening today but its sharp surge and now +35 trading triggered recovery in presently trading all Asian markets.
Although today intraday supports at lower levels but today recovery is US Futures led also therefore confirmation is must through sustaining above 5373.
Although today intraday supports at lower levels but today recovery is US Futures led also therefore confirmation is must through sustaining above 5373.
Mid-session Outlook(11-09-2012)
Nifty is trading between yesterday intraday supports range(5349-5358) after lower levels intraday supports today.As seliing was also seen between 5362-5373 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain above 5373 till then next up moves will not be considered.
For next trend confirmations:-
1- Firstly watch sustaining beyond 5349-5358
2- Final confirmation will be sustaining beyond 5332-5373
For next trend confirmations:-
1- Firstly watch sustaining beyond 5349-5358
2- Final confirmation will be sustaining beyond 5332-5373
Post-open Outlook(11-09-2012)
Negative zone trading after gap down trading but minor intraday recovery from lower levels and testing of yesterday intraday supports range(5349-5358) as well as trading just below it for the last one hour.
As sustaining below 5349 will be correction continuation and more down moves confirmation therefore should be firstly watched today.Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(11-09-2012)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (10-Sep-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 5349-5358
2- Selling between 5362-5373
3- Whole day trading between 5349-5375
As both higher levels selling and lower levels buying were seen yesterday therefore following lines were told in Pre-Closing Outlook yesterday and being repeated today:-
"Next move first strong signal will be forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5375 and should be firstly watched"
Pre-open Outlook(11-09-2012)
US markets closed in Red at the lowest of the day yesterday therefore sentiment weakened and most Asian markets are trading negative today morning as well as some opened gap down also. As depressed sentiment today and higher levels selling in Indian markets yesterday therefore firstly negative zone trading will be seen after weaker opening today.
Intraday supports were also seen 5349-5358 yesterday and sustaining below 5349 will be more down moves confirmations. Strong up moves were seen on 07-09-2012 after lower levels good consolidations as well as strong supports were also seen. Following supports should be firstly watched for today started down moves completion/continuation confirmations;-
1- 5310-5325
2- 5260-5310(Gap support of 07-09-2012)
3- 5220-5230(Strong support)
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 5349-5358
2- Selling between 5362-5373
3- Whole day trading between 5349-5375
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As both higher levels selling and lower levels buying were seen yesterday therefore following lines were told in Pre-Closing Outlook yesterday and being repeated today:-
"Next move first strong signal will be forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5375 and should be firstly watched"
Pre-open Outlook(11-09-2012)
US markets closed in Red at the lowest of the day yesterday therefore sentiment weakened and most Asian markets are trading negative today morning as well as some opened gap down also. As depressed sentiment today and higher levels selling in Indian markets yesterday therefore firstly negative zone trading will be seen after weaker opening today.
Intraday supports were also seen 5349-5358 yesterday and sustaining below 5349 will be more down moves confirmations. Strong up moves were seen on 07-09-2012 after lower levels good consolidations as well as strong supports were also seen. Following supports should be firstly watched for today started down moves completion/continuation confirmations;-
1- 5310-5325
2- 5260-5310(Gap support of 07-09-2012)
3- 5220-5230(Strong support)
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Sep-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Benchmark Indices closed positive with minor gains.
2- Whole day sideways trading.
3- Doji Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.15
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Sep-2012): 17.15
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1499
BSE Declines : 1339
NSE Advances : 780
NSE Declines : 660
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Sep)- -186,500(-8.96%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Sep)- 253,800(3.26%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Sep)- 59,950(1.40%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Sep)- 1,120,000(18.47%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Sep)- 18,500(0.27%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Sep)- -20,650(-0.72%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Sep)- 589,000(9.19%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Sep)- 299,150(32.05%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,363.45(4.75 Points & 0.09%)
Sensex- closed at 17,766.78(17.13 Points & 0.10% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,251.15(15.35 Points & 0.21%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,541.65(45.42 Points & 0.70%)
1- Benchmark Indices closed positive with minor gains.
2- Whole day sideways trading.
3- Doji Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.15
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Sep-2012): 17.15
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1499
BSE Declines : 1339
NSE Advances : 780
NSE Declines : 660
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Sep)- -186,500(-8.96%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Sep)- 253,800(3.26%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Sep)- 59,950(1.40%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Sep)- 1,120,000(18.47%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Sep)- 18,500(0.27%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Sep)- -20,650(-0.72%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Sep)- 589,000(9.19%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Sep)- 299,150(32.05%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,363.45(4.75 Points & 0.09%)
Sensex- closed at 17,766.78(17.13 Points & 0.10% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,251.15(15.35 Points & 0.21%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,541.65(45.42 Points & 0.70%)
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Sep-2012
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-09-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5401
R2 5388
R1 5375
Avg 5362
S1 5349
S2 5336
S3 5323
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5389 Trgt 2
H5 5383 Trgt 1
H4 5377 Long breakout
H3 5370 Go Short
H2 5367
H1 5365
L1 5360
L2 5358
L3 5355 Long
L4 5348 Short Breakout
L5 5342 Trgt 1
L6 5336 Trgt 2
R3 5401
R2 5388
R1 5375
Avg 5362
S1 5349
S2 5336
S3 5323
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5389 Trgt 2
H5 5383 Trgt 1
H4 5377 Long breakout
H3 5370 Go Short
H2 5367
H1 5365
L1 5360
L2 5358
L3 5355 Long
L4 5348 Short Breakout
L5 5342 Trgt 1
L6 5336 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-09-2012
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5413
R2 5399
R1 5385
Avg 5371
S1 5357
S2 5343
S3 5329
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5399 Trgt 2
H5 5392 Trgt 1
H4 5386 Long breakout
H3 5378 Go Short
H2 5376
H1 5373
L1 5368
L2 5365
L3 5363 Long
L4 5355 Short Breakout
L5 5349 Trgt 1
L6 5342 Trgt 2
R3 5413
R2 5399
R1 5385
Avg 5371
S1 5357
S2 5343
S3 5329
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5399 Trgt 2
H5 5392 Trgt 1
H4 5386 Long breakout
H3 5378 Go Short
H2 5376
H1 5373
L1 5368
L2 5365
L3 5363 Long
L4 5355 Short Breakout
L5 5349 Trgt 1
L6 5342 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-09-2012
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 10325
R2 10262
R1 10179
Avg 10116
S1 10033
S2 9970
S3 9887
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10242 Trgt 2
H5 10209 Trgt 1
H4 10176 Long breakout
H3 10136 Go Short
H2 10122
H1 10109
L1 10082
L2 10069
L3 10055 Long
L4 10015 Short Breakout
L5 9982 Trgt 1
L6 9949 Trgt 2
R3 10325
R2 10262
R1 10179
Avg 10116
S1 10033
S2 9970
S3 9887
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10242 Trgt 2
H5 10209 Trgt 1
H4 10176 Long breakout
H3 10136 Go Short
H2 10122
H1 10109
L1 10082
L2 10069
L3 10055 Long
L4 10015 Short Breakout
L5 9982 Trgt 1
L6 9949 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(10-09-2012)
Side ways market between 5,350-5,375 today with higher levels intraday selling and lower levels buying. Intraday correction expectations were updated in both previous Outlooks and it was seen also.
Following line was told in Mid-session Outlook today and being repeated because it will give next decisive moves confirmations:-
"Next move first strong signal will be forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5375 and should be firstly watched"
Mid-session Outlook(10-09-2012)
Following line was told today in Rally continuation after correction completion
"firstly trade between last saturday trading range(5350-5366) and prepare for next moves"
Although today first 2 hours trading range is between 5350.40-5375.45 but Nifty traded most time within mentioned trading range(5350-5366).
Nesxt move first strong signal will be forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5375 and should be firstly watched.
"firstly trade between last saturday trading range(5350-5366) and prepare for next moves"
Although today first 2 hours trading range is between 5350.40-5375.45 but Nifty traded most time within mentioned trading range(5350-5366).
Nesxt move first strong signal will be forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5350-5375 and should be firstly watched.
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