ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 31-Jan-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(31-Jan-2012)
1- Long White Candle
2- All the Indices closed in Green.
3- Closing near the higher levels of the day after strong recovery.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.93
Nifty P/E Ratio(31-Jan-2012): 18.53
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1821
BSE Declines : 1031
NSE Advances : 1028
NSE Declines : 416
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Jan)- -82950(-3.56%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Jan)- +969550(+20.65%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- -306200(-11.21%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- +1218550(+32.79%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- -119300(-2.48%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- +1315650(+73.35%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,199.25(+111.95 Points & +2.20%)
Sensex- closed at 17,193.55(+330.25 Points & +1.96% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,100.55(+160.80 Points & +2.32%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,463.30(+89.71 Points & +1.41%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-02-2012
R3 5331
R2 5273
R1 5236
Avg 5178
S1 5141
S2 5083
S3 5046
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5295 Trgt 2
H5 5273 Trgt 1
H4 5251 Long breakout
H3 5225 Go Short
H2 5216
H1 5207
L1 5190
L2 5181
L3 5172 Long
L4 5146 Short Breakout
L5 5124 Trgt 1
L6 5102 Trgt 2
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-02-2012
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels
R3 5365
R2 5299
R1 5261
Avg 5195
S1 5157
S2 5091
S3 5053
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5328 Trgt 2
H5 5304 Trgt 1
H4 5280 Long breakout
H3 5251 Go Short
H2 5242
H1 5232
L1 5213
L2 5203
L3 5194 Long
L4 5165 Short Breakout
L5 5141 Trgt 1
L6 5117 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-02-2012
R3 10444
R2 10212
R1 10082
Avg 9850
S1 9720
S2 9488
S3 9358
Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10326 Trgt 2
H5 10238 Trgt 1
H4 10151 Long breakout
H3 10051 Go Short
H2 10018
H1 9985
L1 9918
L2 9885
L3 9852 Long
L4 9752 Short Breakout
L5 9665 Trgt 1
L6 9577 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(31-01-2012)
Only very short term correction was expected and it has been seen yesterday. First 5 hours intraday trading between 5130-5164 and after that and its break out is indicating strong rally after yesterday correction and today consolidation. Next resistance is between 5200-5210 and its crossing will be fresh phase of strong rally confirmation as well as its possibility can not be ruled out after today lower levels good consolidations..
Post-open Outlook(31-01-2012)
Positive global cues led strong Indian markets trading between 200-Day EMA(5130) and 200-Day SMA(5201). Sustaining beyond these two averages will give following
conclusions:-
1- Sustaining above 200-Day SMA(5201) will mean continuation of correction.worst is over after Long term trend turning up.
2- Sustaining below 200-Day EMA(5130) will mean continuation of yesterday begun correction.
Strong market today and above two averages will give confirmation to Long term trend therefore 5130-5201 must be watched for long term positions and investment decisions.
conclusions:-
1- Sustaining above 200-Day SMA(5201) will mean continuation of correction.worst is over after Long term trend turning up.
2- Sustaining below 200-Day EMA(5130) will mean continuation of yesterday begun correction.
Strong market today and above two averages will give confirmation to Long term trend therefore 5130-5201 must be watched for long term positions and investment decisions.
Pre-open Outlook(31-01-2012)
Although European markets closed in Red yesterday but US markets closed flat after good recovery from intraday lower levels as well as its futures are also positive(Dow is +37) therefore Asian markets are flat to positive and sentiment is good today morning. Indian markets will open positive after pleasantly maintained sentiment and Nifty will firstly hover around 5100 and will prepare for next moves after yesterday very short term expected correction ae well as sustaining it beyond will be first indication of next moves
Follow up buying/selling today morning and sustaining beyond 5100 will give next moves first indication therefore should be firstly watched today.
Follow up buying/selling today morning and sustaining beyond 5100 will give next moves first indication therefore should be firstly watched today.
Correction Life Decider 5000-5050
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 31-01-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(30-Jan-2012):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 5147-5165
2- Whole day down moves in falling channel
3- Whole day trading between 5077-5165
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Very Short Term correction was told in following topics during last 3 days and sustaining below 5120 possibility was also told during trading hours. All that which was told for today market proved 100% accurate during trading hours:-
1- Very Short Term Correction is Due
2- Rally after very short term correction
Correction was due and it was seen today.Good support between 5000-5050,its testing possibility can not be ruled out as well as this range will be firstly watched for the life of on going correction.
As Nifty moved down and closed below last 3 sessions range more down moves possibility can not be ruled out as well as sustaining beyond mentioned support will be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.
Just Watch 5000-5050 for correction completion/continuation confirmations.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(30-Jan-2012)
1 Long Black Candle
2- All the Indices closed in Red.
3- Closing near the lowest of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(30-Jan-2012): 18.13
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1015
BSE Declines : 1820
NSE Advances : 397
NSE Declines : 1062
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Jan)- -17150(-0.73%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Jan)- -53000(-1.05%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- +248500(+10.01%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- -170600(-4.28%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- +656650(+14.76%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- -612400(-24.92%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,087.30(-117.40 Points & -2.26%)
Sensex- closed at 16,863.30(-370.68 Points & -2.15% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,939.75(-149.90 Points & -2.11%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,373.59(-118.10 Points & -1.82%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 31-01-2012
R3 5233
R2 5199
R1 5143
Avg 5109
S1 5053
S2 5019
S3 4963
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5177 Trgt 2
H5 5156 Trgt 1
H4 5136 Long breakout
H3 5111 Go Short
H2 5103
H1 5095
L1 5078
L2 5070
L3 5062 Long
L4 5037 Short Breakout
L5 5017 Trgt 1
L6 4996 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 31-01-2012
R3 5256
R2 5223
R1 5167
Avg 5134
S1 5078
S2 5045
S3 4989
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5201 Trgt 2
H5 5181 Trgt 1
H4 5160 Long breakout
H3 5136 Go Short
H2 5128
H1 5120
L1 5103
L2 5095
L3 5087 Long
L4 5063 Short Breakout
L5 5042 Trgt 1
L6 5022 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 31-01-2012
R3 9896
R2 9818
R1 9683
Avg 9605
S1 9470
S2 9392
S3 9257
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9762 Trgt 2
H5 9714 Trgt 1
H4 9666 Long breakout
H3 9607 Go Short
H2 9588
H1 9568
L1 9529
L2 9509
L3 9490 Long
L4 9431 Short Breakout
L5 9383 Trgt 1
L6 9335 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(30-01-2012)
Very Short Term Correction was told again and again and following projection was also updated in Mid-session Outlook(30-01-2012) today:
Sustaining below 5120 is expected
Nifty slipped below 5120 and low at 5080.00 has been formed today. Correction is on and levels near 5050 will be watched now.
Sustaining below 5120 is expected
Nifty slipped below 5120 and low at 5080.00 has been formed today. Correction is on and levels near 5050 will be watched now.
Mid-session Outlook(30-01-2012)
Very short term correction was very much due and it was clearly told also as well as being seen today. Support of 5120 has been tested and next support below it at 5050..
Intraday patterns are showing selling at higher levels and sustaining below 5120 will mean 5050 fast.
Very short term correction was expected and it has been seen today. Follow up buying/selling within 5120-5130 in the next couple of hours as well as Sustaining it beyond wiil give confirmation of continuation or completion of today begun correction.
Sustaining below 5120 is expected and sustaining beyond 5120-5130 will be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.
Intraday patterns are showing selling at higher levels and sustaining below 5120 will mean 5050 fast.
Very short term correction was expected and it has been seen today. Follow up buying/selling within 5120-5130 in the next couple of hours as well as Sustaining it beyond wiil give confirmation of continuation or completion of today begun correction.
Sustaining below 5120 is expected and sustaining beyond 5120-5130 will be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.
Rally after very short term correction
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 5163-5185
2- Selling Patterns between 5187-5194
3- Selling Patterns between 5200-5210
4- Up moves without force in rising channel.
5- Whole day trading between 5163-5210
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing near the top of the day after lower levels support but up moves have been without force as well as higher levels selling patterns also therefore view is cautions. Rally is on but correction is over due because short term indicators are heated and very short term correction may be seen for cooling down of overbought indicators.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
1- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
2- Testing of 200-Day SMA and Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Strong rally in 2012 and short term cotrrection will be seen only after complete distribution patterns and that has not beeen seen yet but very short term correction is due and that may be seen any day.
(Jan 30 to Feb 03, 2012)
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Averages are as follows:
200-Day EMA is at-5131
200-Day SMA is at-5202
Conclusions
Short and Intermediate term trends are up and long term trend turning up confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day EMA as well as 200-Day SMA. Last 2 sessions closing above 200-Day EMA and testing of 200-Day SMA on 27-01-2012.
Strong breathless rally seen in last one month but last confirmation for blasing rally is left through sustaining above 200-Day SMA because Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Long term trend turning up final confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day SMA and should be watched firstly in next week.
1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 5163-5185
2- Selling Patterns between 5187-5194
3- Selling Patterns between 5200-5210
4- Up moves without force in rising channel.
5- Whole day trading between 5163-5210
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing near the top of the day after lower levels support but up moves have been without force as well as higher levels selling patterns also therefore view is cautions. Rally is on but correction is over due because short term indicators are heated and very short term correction may be seen for cooling down of overbought indicators.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Nifty tested following 2 crucial resistances on 27-Jan-2012;-
2- Testing of 200-Day SMA and Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Although Nifty retraced several times from above mentioned levels but it does not mean that it will again happen. I posted following topic on 31-12-2011:-
I am Bullish from the very first day of 2012 and not expecting more than very short term correction and hoping that on going rally will remain continued after expected very short term correction.
Just Watch 200-Day SMA for Blasting rally
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Averages are as follows:
200-Day EMA is at-5131
200-Day SMA is at-5202
Conclusions
Short and Intermediate term trends are up and long term trend turning up confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day EMA as well as 200-Day SMA. Last 2 sessions closing above 200-Day EMA and testing of 200-Day SMA on 27-01-2012.
Strong breathless rally seen in last one month but last confirmation for blasing rally is left through sustaining above 200-Day SMA because Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Long term trend turning up final confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day SMA and should be watched firstly in next week.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
200-Day EMA is at-5131
200-Day SMA is at-5202
Conclusions
Short and Intermediate term trends are up and long term trend turning up confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day EMA as well as 200-Day SMA. Last 2 sessions closing above 200-Day EMA and testing of 200-Day SMA on 27-01-2012.
Strong breathless rally seen in last one month but last confirmation for blasing rally is left through sustaining above 200-Day SMA because Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.
Long term trend turning up final confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day SMA and should be watched firstly in next week.
Rally after very short term correction
Technical Analysis and Research For 30-01-2012
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.
Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.
Very Short Term Correction is Due
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 30-01-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 5163-5185
2- Selling Patterns between 5187-5194
3- Selling Patterns between 5200-5210
4- Up moves without force in rising channel.
5- Whole day trading between 5163-5210
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing near the top of the day after lower levels support but up moves have been without force as well as higher levels selling patterns also therefore view is cautions. Rally is on but correction is over due because short term indicators are heated and very short term correction may be seen for cooling down of overbought indicators.
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