More than 5% rally after Modi ji and Nirmala Sitaraman surgical strike on Bears
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Sep 23 to Sep 27,2019)
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis(Waves structure)
Nifty-EOD Chart (20-Sep-2019):- |
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1- Impulsive Wave-1 beginning from 6825.80 on 29-02-2016 after 1 financial year(2015-16) correction completion.
2- Impulsive Wave-1 completion at 8968.70 on 07-09-2016 and corrective Wave-2 beginning
3- Corrective Wave-2 completion at 7893.80 on 26-12-2016 and impulsive Wave-3 beginning
4- Impulsive Wave-3 completion at 11760.20 on 28-08-2018 and corrective Wave-4 beginning
5- Corrective Wave-4 completion at 10004.55 on 26-10-2018 and impulsive Wave-5 beginning
6- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A beginning
7- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019
8- 34 Sessions sideways trading range(10638-11181) broken out forcefully on 20-09-2019 and that confirmed Wave-B beginning as well as Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019.
9- Long Term Trend turning up indication after last Friday closing above its decider 200-Day SMA(today at 112230).
Nifty-EOD Chart Analysis(Corrective Waves)
Nifty-EOD Chart (20-Sep-2019):- |
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1- Impulsive Wave-5 completion after life time top formation at 12103.00 on 03-06-2019 and corrective Wave-A of "ABC" correction beginning
2- Corrective Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019
3- 34 Sessions sideways trading range(10638-11181) broken out forcefully on 20-09-2019 and that confirmed Wave-B beginning as well as Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
4- Wave-B continuation with recent top formations at 11381.90 on 20-09-2019
Nifty-Last 34 Sessions intraday charts analysis
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jul 31 to Sep 20,2019):- |
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1- Previous 34 Sessions trading between 10638-11181
2- Previous 34 Sessions trading range forcefully broken out on 20-09-2019
Nifty-Intra Day Chart Analysis(20-09-2019)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (20-Sep-2019):- |
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1- Sideways trading till 10:45 AM i.e. before the beginning of F.M. Nirmala Sitaraman Press Conference.
2- Strong rally immediately after beginning of Press Conference
3- Closing near higher levels of the day after 5.32% gains
4- Whole day actual trading between 10691-11381
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
The date of 20-09-2019 will always be remembered in the history of Indian Stock Markets for more than 5% gains after just only a Press Conference. Yes,Indian Stock Markets celebrated Dipawali on 20th Sep 2019 and most of the Indices blasted more than 5%.
Nifty traded sideways between 10638-11181 in the last 34 Sessions and this trading range forcefully broken out on 20-09-2019 as well as Nifty closed above Long Term Trend decider 200-Day SMA(today at 112230) resultant Long Term Trend turning up strong indications. Once sustaining above 200-Day SMA in next week will mean all trends(Long,Intermediate and Short) turning up confirmations therefore sustaining it beyond should also be watched in the coming week for confirmations.
34 Sessions sideways trading range(10638-11181) broken out forcefully on 20-09-2019 and as per Eliot Wave Theory confirmation of Wave-B beginning and Wave-A completion at 10637.15 on 23-08-2019. It means that possibility of Wave-C slipping below Wave-A lowest(10637.15) is still alive after Wave-B completion below Wave-5 top(12103.00) but now it has been confirmed that much deeper correction of Wave-C will not be seen below Wave-A lowest(10637.15) and finally strong rally will be seen after completion of "ABC" correction completion.
As 34 Sessions like big sideways trading range broken out last Friday therefore emergence of more than 5% rally possibility which will be seen in next weeks/months after Modi ji and Nirmala Sitaraman surgical strike on Bears.