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ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 24-Jan-2013
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(24-Jan-2013)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- All Indices closed in Red and some closed in deep Red but CNX FMCG and CNX IT closed in Green.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.04
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(24-Jan-2013): 18.12
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 706
BSE Declines : 2,175
NSE Advances : 244
NSE Declines : 1,227
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Jan)- 2,600(0.29%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jan)- 1,057,350(14.24%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- 149,250(12.81%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- -554,350(-6.59%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- 1,146,200(32.55%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)- -1,260,150(-15.16%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- 1,923,650(27.31%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- -426,000(-13.76%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,923.78(-102.83 Points & -0.51%)
Nifty- closed at 6,019.35(-34.95 Points & -0.58%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,205.95(-224.05 Points & -2.66%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,618.05(-95.85 Points & -2.58%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-01-2013
R3 6111
R2 6088
R1 6053
Avg 6030
S1 5995
S2 5972
S3 5937
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6077 Trgt 2
H5 6064 Trgt 1
H4 6050 Long breakout
H3 6034 Go Short
H2 6029
H1 6024
L1 6013
L2 6008
L3 6003 Long
L4 5987 Short Breakout
L5 5973 Trgt 1
L6 5960 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-01-2013
R3 6114
R2 6091
R1 6055
Avg 6032
S1 5996
S2 5973
S3 5937
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6078 Trgt 2
H5 6064 Trgt 1
H4 6051 Long breakout
H3 6035 Go Short
H2 6029
H1 6024
L1 6013
L2 6008
L3 6002 Long
L4 5986 Short Breakout
L5 5973 Trgt 1
L6 5959 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-01-2013
R3 12818
R2 12754
R1 12659
Avg 12595
S1 12500
S2 12436
S3 12341
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12723 Trgt 2
H5 12687 Trgt 1
H4 12651 Long breakout
H3 12607 Go Short
H2 12593
H1 12578
L1 12549
L2 12534
L3 12520 Long
L4 12476 Short Breakout
L5 12440 Trgt 1
L6 12404 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(24-01-2013)
Nifty slipped and again moved into next support range(6000-6020) but without any selling pattern formation at higher levels today and firstly valid break out of 6000-6020 will be watched tomorrow for deeper correction confirmation below 6000 or sideways trend above 6020.
Mid-session Outlook-2(24-01-2013)
Firstly more than 1 hour slipping and after that 2 hours lower levels good supports between 6000-6020 as well as consolidations also between 6019-6033 today therefore possibility of again moving into sideways trend between 6000-6100 because today supports above 6000 and previous sessions good selling below 6100.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade within 6000-6068 and prepare for next moves. Let market prepare for next decisive moves then will be updated according to conclusions from intraday charts patterns formations and till then Nifty will be understood range bound between 6000-6100.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade within 6000-6068 and prepare for next moves. Let market prepare for next decisive moves then will be updated according to conclusions from intraday charts patterns formations and till then Nifty will be understood range bound between 6000-6100.
Mid-session Outlook(24-01-2013)
Although down moves were expected after some more intraday selling but weakness deepened immediately after opening due to negative news from rating agencies and Nifty traded 2 hours between next support range(6000-6020). As sentiment turned depressed and whole market turns Bearish in such mood therefore up moves are being seen after lower levels good supports but again down moves after short covering can not be ruled out.
Expected that Nifty will trade now within 6000-6068,possibility of slipping below 6000 can not be ruled out and view will be Bullish only after complete consolidations and sustaining above 6100.
Expected that Nifty will trade now within 6000-6068,possibility of slipping below 6000 can not be ruled out and view will be Bullish only after complete consolidations and sustaining above 6100.
Post-open Outlook(24-01-2013)
As yesterday last half hour surge was without any lower level consolidations and only a part of Bear market volatility therefore Indian markets slipped immediate after opening and it is weakness indication.
Finally Big Crrection after sideways Market
Nifty-EOD Chart (23-Jan-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Wave-3 continuation(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
2- Sub Wave-1(5348.55 on 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Wave-3 continuation begun from 4770.35 and now its Sub Wave-5 is contimued with above mentioned 2 Bearish formations as well as indicators are showing negative divergence also therefore Indian markets are mature for that correction which will correct;-
1- Minimum 38.2% of Whole Wave-3 up move from 4770.35.
2- Sub Wave-5 started from 5548.35 and it will be completely corrected.
Its detailed analysis have already been updated in following topics,Just click following topic link and understand the calculation of Wave-3 targets:-
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Jan-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 6052-6069
2- Support at 5021
3- Strong recovery in last half hour.
4- Whole day actual trading between 5021-6069
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
High volatility through firstly selling and strong recovery in last half hour after getting support at 5021. Whole day trading within that most crucial range(5020-6068) about which we told many times on 23-01-2013 and reacted in following manner:-
"Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068"
Firstly just watch the accuracy of our levels that Nifty traded between 6021.15-6069.80 today
Short term correction was expected and it was seen also but as soon as we saw consolidation from last 1 hour intraday charts then we cover our all shorting positions,its live proof is that we posted our Put Option covering message at 02:48 PM
We covered NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000) at Rs 28/- and that is now trading at Rs 16/-
Daily Charts are suggesting that Indian markets are at the verge of Big correction and market is preparing also for it through above mentioned formation of 2 Bearish formations near the top of on going rally. Immediate Resistance and supports are as follows:-
1- Resistances between 6068-6100
2- Supports between 6000-6020
As volatility remains high in selling markets therefore last half hour surge on 23-01-2013 will only mean Short term correction completion and any Bullish move will be considered only after completely sustaining above 6100. Although finally deeper correction will be seen in Intermediate term but market will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6000-6100 because strong resistances and supports within this range.
Under whatsoever Bullish or Bearish sentiment but Nifty will firstly trade between 6000-6100 in the coming session and prepare for next moves,its valid break out will give following conclusions:-
1- Above 6100 will mean slow up moves maxinun upto 6331.
2- Below 6000 will mean sharp down moves with deeper correction possibility.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-3 continuation(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
2- Sub Wave-1(5348.55 on 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Wave-3 continuation begun from 4770.35 and now its Sub Wave-5 is contimued with above mentioned 2 Bearish formations as well as indicators are showing negative divergence also therefore Indian markets are mature for that correction which will correct;-
1- Minimum 38.2% of Whole Wave-3 up move from 4770.35.
2- Sub Wave-5 started from 5548.35 and it will be completely corrected.
Its detailed analysis have already been updated in following topics,Just click following topic link and understand the calculation of Wave-3 targets:-
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Jan-2013):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 6052-6069
2- Support at 5021
3- Strong recovery in last half hour.
4- Whole day actual trading between 5021-6069
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
High volatility through firstly selling and strong recovery in last half hour after getting support at 5021. Whole day trading within that most crucial range(5020-6068) about which we told many times on 23-01-2013 and reacted in following manner:-
"Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068"
Firstly just watch the accuracy of our levels that Nifty traded between 6021.15-6069.80 today
Short term correction was expected and it was seen also but as soon as we saw consolidation from last 1 hour intraday charts then we cover our all shorting positions,its live proof is that we posted our Put Option covering message at 02:48 PM
We covered NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000) at Rs 28/- and that is now trading at Rs 16/-
6020 Was told many times today and Nifty reversed from 6021.15 and it is Short term correction completion strong indication.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Daily Charts are suggesting that Indian markets are at the verge of Big correction and market is preparing also for it through above mentioned formation of 2 Bearish formations near the top of on going rally. Immediate Resistance and supports are as follows:-
1- Resistances between 6068-6100
2- Supports between 6000-6020
As volatility remains high in selling markets therefore last half hour surge on 23-01-2013 will only mean Short term correction completion and any Bullish move will be considered only after completely sustaining above 6100. Although finally deeper correction will be seen in Intermediate term but market will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6000-6100 because strong resistances and supports within this range.
Under whatsoever Bullish or Bearish sentiment but Nifty will firstly trade between 6000-6100 in the coming session and prepare for next moves,its valid break out will give following conclusions:-
1- Above 6100 will mean slow up moves maxinun upto 6331.
2- Below 6000 will mean sharp down moves with deeper correction possibility.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 23-Jan-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(23-Jan-2013)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- Many Indices closed in Red including Midcap and Smallcap.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation after lower levels good recovery.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(23-Jan-2013):18.23
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,014
BSE Declines : 1,897
NSE Advances : 472
NSE Declines : 1,255
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- -9,150(-1.03%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- -23,050(-0.31%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -47,250(-3.90%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)- 383,300(4.78%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- -349,250(-9.02%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- -483,850(-5.50%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- -71,100(-1.00%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- -267,550(-7.95%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 20,026.61(45.04 Points & 0.23%)
Nifty- closed at 6,054.30(5.80 Points & 0.10%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,430.00(-74.75 Points & -0.88%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,713.90(-46.25 Points & -1.23%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-01-2013
R3 6123
R2 6096
R1 6075
Avg 6048
S1 6027
S2 6000
S3 5979
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6102 Trgt 2
H5 6091 Trgt 1
H4 6080 Long breakout
H3 6067 Go Short
H2 6062
H1 6058
L1 6049
L2 6045
L3 6040 Long
L4 6027 Short Breakout
L5 6016 Trgt 1
L6 6005 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-01-2013
R3 6140
R2 6109
R1 6089
Avg 6058
S1 6038
S2 6007
S3 5987
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6120 Trgt 2
H5 6108 Trgt 1
H4 6097 Long breakout
H3 6083 Go Short
H2 6078
H1 6073
L1 6064
L2 6059
L3 6054 Long
L4 6040 Short Breakout
L5 6029 Trgt 1
L6 6017 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-01-2013
R3 12973
R2 12851
R1 12759
Avg 12637
S1 12545
S2 12423
S3 12331
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12884 Trgt 2
H5 12835 Trgt 1
H4 12785 Long breakout
H3 12726 Go Short
H2 12707
H1 12687
L1 12648
L2 12628
L3 12609 Long
L4 12550 Short Breakout
L5 12500 Trgt 1
L6 12451 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(23-01-2013)
Live Proofs of Our Accuracy
Following line was told at 08:15 AM today in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(23-01-2013):-
"Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068"
Firstly just watch the accuracy of our levels that Nifty traded between 6021.15-6069.80 today
Short term correction was expected and it was seen also but as soon as we saw consolidation from last 1 hour intraday charts then we cover our all shorting positions,its live proof is that we posted our Put Option covering message at 02:48 PM
We covered NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000) at Rs 28/- and that is now trading at Rs 16/-
6020 Was told many times today and Nifty reversed from 6021.15 and it is Short term correction completion strong indication.
NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Bought on 18-01-2013-Covering
NIFTY-Put Option(6000)-Positional Bought on 18-01-2013-Cover immediately(Nifty moved down 50 points after our call but premium not increased)-CMP-28(Lalit39)
Mid-session Outlook-2(23-01-2013)
Although sharp fall at 01:13 PM but when Indian markets were trading near higher levels then we told following line at 11:30 AM today:-
Emergence of selling formations
That Short Term correction is being seen about which we are continuously telling for the last 3 days and its continuation is expected as well.
Emergence of selling formations
That Short Term correction is being seen about which we are continuously telling for the last 3 days and its continuation is expected as well.
Mid-session Outlook(23-01-2013)
Emergence of selling formations and confirmation are also required through trading ranges valid break out which have already been updated in previous Outlook.
Post-open Outlook(23-01-2013)
As last 2 hours fall of yesterday did not showed required force therefore follow up selling and valid break down of 6020 should be firstly watched for next down moves confirmations. Good selling between 6068-6100 in previous 3 sessions and complete consolidation is required within and below this range foe a decisive up move above 6100. Although most Asian markets are in Red but Indian markets are positive between 6057-6069 since opening today and it is first signal of strength. Indian markets are preparing for next trend within this range and valid break out of this range will be next moves 1st indication.
We never guess and whatsoever charts suggest,we update according to intraday charts formations . As no confirmation yet after small slipping from intraday higher levels and minor support also seen at lower level therefore valid break out should be firstly watched:-
1- 6057-6069(For next moves first indication)
2- 6020-6100(For deeper correction or rally continuation after short term correction completion}
Let market prepare and intraday start to show built in technical positions then will be updated accordingly.
We never guess and whatsoever charts suggest,we update according to intraday charts formations . As no confirmation yet after small slipping from intraday higher levels and minor support also seen at lower level therefore valid break out should be firstly watched:-
1- 6057-6069(For next moves first indication)
2- 6020-6100(For deeper correction or rally continuation after short term correction completion}
Let market prepare and intraday start to show built in technical positions then will be updated accordingly.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(23-01-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Jan-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1-First 3 hours selling between 6085-6100
2- Whole day actual trading between 6043-6100
Although Indian markets up on 18 Jan and 19 Jan but on the back of positive news flow and intraday charts also showed selling patterns therefore we told following lines:-
1-On 20-01-2013 in Down Moves after Positive Weekly Opening:-
1-"As above expectations RIL Quarterly results declaration after trading hours on 18-01-2013 therefore positive opening will be seen on 21-01-2013 but expected that Nifty will not sustain at higher levels"
Although low formation at 6040.50 on 22-01-2013 but it was predicted well before and told following lines on 21-01-2013 in "Short Term correction on Cards":-
1- Nifty will not sustain above 6068
2- will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.
Down moves started after 12:30 PM on 22-01-2013 but when Indian markets were trading near the higher levels then selling was clearly told at 11:51: AM in Mid-session Outlook(22-01-2013):-
1- intraday charts are also selling patterns
2- selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading
Confirm and good selling between 6068-6100 in previous 3 sessions and complete cosolidation is required for any decisive up moves above 6100 and follow up selling will mean sharp fall toward 5960.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068 and break out of this range will give confirmation to deeper correction or yesterday started correction completion.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1-First 3 hours selling between 6085-6100
2- Whole day actual trading between 6043-6100
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Indian markets up on 18 Jan and 19 Jan but on the back of positive news flow and intraday charts also showed selling patterns therefore we told following lines:-
1-On 20-01-2013 in Down Moves after Positive Weekly Opening:-
1-"As above expectations RIL Quarterly results declaration after trading hours on 18-01-2013 therefore positive opening will be seen on 21-01-2013 but expected that Nifty will not sustain at higher levels"
Although low formation at 6040.50 on 22-01-2013 but it was predicted well before and told following lines on 21-01-2013 in "Short Term correction on Cards":-
1- Nifty will not sustain above 6068
2- will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.
Down moves started after 12:30 PM on 22-01-2013 but when Indian markets were trading near the higher levels then selling was clearly told at 11:51: AM in Mid-session Outlook(22-01-2013):-
1- intraday charts are also selling patterns
2- selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading
Confirm and good selling between 6068-6100 in previous 3 sessions and complete cosolidation is required for any decisive up moves above 6100 and follow up selling will mean sharp fall toward 5960.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068 and break out of this range will give confirmation to deeper correction or yesterday started correction completion.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 22-Jan-2013
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-01-2013
R3 6147
R2 6124
R1 6086
Avg 6063
S1 6025
S2 6002
S3 5964
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6109 Trgt 2
H5 6095 Trgt 1
H4 6081 Long breakout
H3 6064 Go Short
H2 6059
H1 6053
L1 6042
L2 6036
L3 6031 Long
L4 6014 Short Breakout
L5 6000 Trgt 1
L6 5986 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-01-2013
R3 6150
R2 6129
R1 6095
Avg 6074
S1 6040
S2 6019
S3 5985
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6116 Trgt 2
H5 6103 Trgt 1
H4 6091 Long breakout
H3 6076 Go Short
H2 6071
H1 6066
L1 6055
L2 6050
L3 6045 Long
L4 6030 Short Breakout
L5 6018 Trgt 1
L6 6005 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-01-2013
R3 12975
R2 12886
R1 12745
Avg 12656
S1 12515
S2 12426
S3 12285
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12834 Trgt 2
H5 12782 Trgt 1
H4 12730 Long breakout
H3 12667 Go Short
H2 12646
H1 12625
L1 12582
L2 12561
L3 12540 Long
L4 12477 Short Breakout
L5 12425 Trgt 1
L6 12373 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(22-01-2013)
When Indian markets were trading near the higher levels today then we told following lines today in Mid-session Outlook:-
1- intraday charts are also selling patterns
2- selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading
Nifty traded at 6043 today and proved accuracy of our prediction yesterday in Short Term correction on Cards:-
1- Nifty will not sustain above 6068
2- will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.
1- intraday charts are also selling patterns
2- selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading
Nifty traded at 6043 today and proved accuracy of our prediction yesterday in Short Term correction on Cards:-
1- Nifty will not sustain above 6068
2- will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.
Short Term correction is on and its continuation is expected.
Mid-session Outlook(22-01-2013)
Indicators are showing negative divergence on Daily Charts and without force up moves as well as intraday charts are also selling patterns therefore seems that market is near its top and sharp down moves will be seen after breaking down. Although up moves but not on the back of consolidations and due to positive news flow therefore as per our views distribution is going on and minimum Short Term Correction is expected.
As most Asian markets moved up from lower levels therefore Indian markets also marginally up after flat opening. 22 points trading today between 5979-6001 with selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading. Valid break out of mentioned today trading range should be firstly watched for next immediate moves confirmations.
As most Asian markets moved up from lower levels therefore Indian markets also marginally up after flat opening. 22 points trading today between 5979-6001 with selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading. Valid break out of mentioned today trading range should be firstly watched for next immediate moves confirmations.
NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Bought on 18-01-2013-Message
NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Positional Bought on 18-01-2013-Hold and just wait for covering message.Selling therefore small up after RIL good results(Lalit39)
Short Term correction on Cards
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 18 to Jan 21,2013)
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 Sessions intraday charts
1- Selling between 6068-6082 on 18-01-2013
2- Selling between 6072-6082 on 21-01-2013
3- Selling between 6082-6092 on 21-01-2013
4- 2 Sessions actual trading between 6048-6092
Although last more than 1 hour trading near the highs of the day and near the highs of ongoing rally as well but it does not mean that it is supported by lower levels consolidations but last 2 sessions trading is under heated sentiments, firstly due to Strong Asian markets last Friday and today because of good RIL results.
As intraday selling formations seen if last 2 sessions therefore expected that Nifty will not sustain above 6068 and will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions. As per our views selling is continued on the back of positive news flows and let distribution complete then Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 6068-6082 on 18-01-2013
2- Selling between 6072-6082 on 21-01-2013
3- Selling between 6082-6092 on 21-01-2013
4- 2 Sessions actual trading between 6048-6092
Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Although last more than 1 hour trading near the highs of the day and near the highs of ongoing rally as well but it does not mean that it is supported by lower levels consolidations but last 2 sessions trading is under heated sentiments, firstly due to Strong Asian markets last Friday and today because of good RIL results.
As intraday selling formations seen if last 2 sessions therefore expected that Nifty will not sustain above 6068 and will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions. As per our views selling is continued on the back of positive news flows and let distribution complete then Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 21-Jan-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(21-Jan-2013)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- Positive closing after volatile market.
3- Doji Candle formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Nifty P/E Ratio(21-Jan-2013): 18.34
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,342
BSE Declines : 1,569
NSE Advances : 668
NSE Declines : 789
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Jan)- -12,050(-1.85%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jan)- -153,750(-3.41%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- -22,150(-2.44%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- 358,650(4.62%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -111,800(-7.47%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)- 101,350(1.21%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- -316,050(-7.84%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- 1,119,800(14.04%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- 462,600(7.58%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- 1,286,100(54.43%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 20,101.82(62.78 Points & 0.31%)
Nifty- closed at 6,082.30(17.90 Points & 0.30%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,601.10(9.75 Points & 0.11%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,800.50(16.85 Points & 0.45%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-01-2013
R3 6124
R2 6109
R1 6095
Avg 6080
S1 6066
S2 6051
S3 6037
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6111 Trgt 2
H5 6104 Trgt 1
H4 6097 Long breakout
H3 6089 Go Short
H2 6087
H1 6084
L1 6079
L2 6076
L3 6074 Long
L4 6066 Short Breakout
L5 6059 Trgt 1
L6 6052 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-01-2013
R3 6149
R2 6128
R1 6112
Avg 6091
S1 6075
S2 6054
S3 6038
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6133 Trgt 2
H5 6124 Trgt 1
H4 6116 Long breakout
H3 6106 Go Short
H2 6102
H1 6099
L1 6092
L2 6089
L3 6085 Long
L4 6075 Short Breakout
L5 6067 Trgt 1
L6 6058 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-01-2013
R3 12855
R2 12799
R1 12742
Avg 12686
S1 12629
S2 12573
S3 12516
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12799 Trgt 2
H5 12773 Trgt 1
H4 12748 Long breakout
H3 12717 Go Short
H2 12706
H1 12696
L1 12675
L2 12665
L3 12654 Long
L4 12623 Short Breakout
L5 12598 Trgt 1
L6 12572 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(21-01-2013)
Although selling was seen in first 3 hours but sharp up moves were also seen and Nifty traded at 6094 also. As sentiment is heated today due to good RIL results last Friday therefore today sharp surge may be a part of intraday volatility also. Selling was seen between 6075-5080 today and if Nifty sustains above 6080 then more up moves will be considered and correction confirmation will be below 6048.
Mid-session Outlook(21-01-2013)
Intraday selling patterns and Bearish lower top formations as well therefore again development of minimum very short term down moves possibility today.
NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Bought on 18-01-2013-Message
NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Bought on 18-01-2013-Market will be volatile but will be finally down.Hold and cover after my covering message(Lalit39)
Down Moves after Positive Weekly Opening
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jan 21 to Jan 25,2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-Jan-2013):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 6068-6082
2- Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6048-6082
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although whole day down moves in Bullish falling channel but good selling seen therefore view will not be Bullish despite Green closing and whole day trading patterns are suggesting that finally market should move down below the lowest of the day(6048)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jan 02 to Jan 18,2013):-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 6000-6026
2- Consolidation between 5940-5970
3- consolidation between 6001-6017 on 17-01-2013
4- Selling between 6040-6052 on 17-01-2013
5- Selling between 6068-6082 on 18-01-2013
6- 13 Sessions actual trading between 5940-6082
Conclusions from 13 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Firstly 9 sessions trading between 5940-6026 Consolidation at lower levels but equally good selling also at higher levels also and range broken out on 15-01-2013 but slipped again below 6026 after higher levels selling on 16-01-2013. Although 9 sessions trading range broken out on 17-01-2013 but again selling seen on 18-01-2013.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Broader trends have already been updated in following topics in previous week and no significant change in technical till now therefore not being repeated. Just click following links and understand long term trend,Indicators analysis,next correction possibilities and Waves structure:-
Market Cautious after Indo-Pak Cross Border Firing
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(16-01-2013)
As above expectations RIL Quarterly results declaration after trading hours on 18-01-2013 therefore positive opening will be seen on 21-01-2013 but expected that Nifty will not sustain at higher levels.
9 sessions trading range(5940-6026) broken out but lacking required force and selling development at higher levels therefore expected that Nifty will reverse into 9 sessions trading range and again prepare for next decisive trend in the coming week. Valid break out of 5940-6082 will give following conclusions:-
1- Below 5940 will mean Intermediate term corrcetion.
2- Above 6082 will mean up moves toward maximum up to 6331.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 18-Jan-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(18-Jan-2013)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green while CNX Midcap and CNX Smallcap closed in Red.
2- Good opening after strong global cues but mixed closing and most Indices closed with small gains or small loss.
3- Small White candle formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.07
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.96
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-Jan-2013):18.30
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,272
BSE Declines : 1,675
NSE Advances : 569
NSE Declines : 873
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Jan)- -15,300(-2.30%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jan)- -515,400(-10.26%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- 8,550(0.93%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- -230,550(-2.85%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -149,350(-9.00%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)- 468,850(5.63%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- -216,650(-5.01%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- 753,650(10.29%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- 415,500(7.04%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- 421,500(21.66%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 20,039.04(75.01 Points & 0.38%)
Nifty- closed at 6,064.40(25.20 Points & 0.42%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,591.35(-1.50 Points & -0.02%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,783.65(-3.50 Points & -0.09%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-01-2013
R3 6117
R2 6100
R1 6082
Avg 6065
S1 6047
S2 6030
S3 6012
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6099 Trgt 2
H5 6091 Trgt 1
H4 6083 Long breakout
H3 6073 Go Short
H2 6070
H1 6067
L1 6060
L2 6057
L3 6054 Long
L4 6044 Short Breakout
L5 6036 Trgt 1
L6 6028 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-01-2013
R3 6126
R2 6110
R1 6092
Avg 6076
S1 6058
S2 6042
S3 6024
Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6108 Trgt 2
H5 6100 Trgt 1
H4 6092 Long breakout
H3 6083 Go Short
H2 6080
H1 6077
L1 6070
L2 6067
L3 6064 Long
L4 6055 Short Breakout
L5 6047 Trgt 1
L6 6039 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 21-01-2013
R3 12944
R2 12884
R1 12798
Avg 12738
S1 12652
S2 12592
S3 12506
Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12858 Trgt 2
H5 12825 Trgt 1
H4 12792 Long breakout
H3 12752 Go Short
H2 12738
H1 12725
L1 12698
L2 12685
L3 12671 Long
L4 12631 Short Breakout
L5 12598 Trgt 1
L6 12565 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 21 to Jan 25,2013)
R3 6231
R2 6157
R1 6110
Avg 6036
S1 5989
S2 5915
S3 5868
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6187 Trgt 2
H5 6158 Trgt 1
H4 6130 Long breakout
H3 6097 Go Short
H2 6086
H1 6075
L1 6052
L2 6041
L3 6030 Long
L4 5997 Short Breakout
L5 5969 Trgt 1
L6 5940 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 21 to Jan 25,2013)
R3 13189
R2 13048
R1 12864
Avg 12723
S1 12539
S2 12398
S3 12214
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 13007 Trgt 2
H5 12933 Trgt 1
H4 12858 Long breakout
H3 12769 Go Short
H2 12739
H1 12709
L1 12650
L2 12620
L3 12590 Long
L4 12501 Short Breakout
L5 12426 Trgt 1
L6 12352 Trgt 2
NIFTY-Jan Put Option-Buying Trade
NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Buy-Positional-SL-14-TGT-64-CMP-28.50(Lalit39)
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