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Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 03-10-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(30-Sep-2011):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 5000-5025
2- Last one and half hour support between 4925-4945
3- Down moves in falling channel
4- Whole day trading between 4924-5025
Conclusions
Down moves in falling channel after higher levels selling between 5000-5025 but last one and half hour support also between 4925-4945 therefore expected that Nifty will open and firstly trade between 4906-5034 on Monday. As today intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations and last one and half hour support between 4925-4945 also therefore positive markets hopes are alive in Indian markets.
Although US Futures are more than .75% down and European markets are also 15 to 2.5% down at this moment but Indian markets intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation patterns therefore up moves hopes are alive for next Monday.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(30-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Bearish Harami Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Red except CD.
3- Closing near day's lower levels.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.33
Nifty P/E Ratio(30-Sep-2011): 17.85
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1020
BSE DECLINES : 1731
NSE ADVANCES : 479
NSE DECLINES : 927
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- +478200(+35.13%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +649400(+20.98%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +921400(+32.35%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +118200(+3.92%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- +889750(+39.75%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- +28150(+2.96%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,943.25(-72.20 Points & -1.44%)
Sensex- closed at 16,453.76(-244.31 Points & -1.46% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,094.00(-24.95 Points & -0.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,881.08(-61.09 Points & -0.88%)
1- Bearish Harami Candle.
2- All the Indices closed in Red except CD.
3- Closing near day's lower levels.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.33
Nifty P/E Ratio(30-Sep-2011): 17.85
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1020
BSE DECLINES : 1731
NSE ADVANCES : 479
NSE DECLINES : 927
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- +478200(+35.13%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +649400(+20.98%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +921400(+32.35%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +118200(+3.92%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- +889750(+39.75%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- +28150(+2.96%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,943.25(-72.20 Points & -1.44%)
Sensex- closed at 16,453.76(-244.31 Points & -1.46% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,094.00(-24.95 Points & -0.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,881.08(-61.09 Points & -0.88%)
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 30-Sep-2011
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5099
R2 5062
R1 4998
Avg 4961
S1 4897
S2 4860
S3 4796
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5035 Trgt 2
H5 5012 Trgt 1
H4 4989 Long breakout
H3 4961 Go Short
H2 4952
H1 4943
L1 4924
L2 4915
L3 4906 Long
L4 4878 Short Breakout
L5 4855 Trgt 1
L6 4832 Trgt 2
R3 5099
R2 5062
R1 4998
Avg 4961
S1 4897
S2 4860
S3 4796
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5035 Trgt 2
H5 5012 Trgt 1
H4 4989 Long breakout
H3 4961 Go Short
H2 4952
H1 4943
L1 4924
L2 4915
L3 4906 Long
L4 4878 Short Breakout
L5 4855 Trgt 1
L6 4832 Trgt 2
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2011
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels
R3 5114
R2 5072
R1 5003
Avg 4961
S1 4892
S2 4850
S3 4781
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5045 Trgt 2
H5 5020 Trgt 1
H4 4995 Long breakout
H3 4964 Go Short
H2 4954
H1 4944
L1 4923
L2 4913
L3 4903 Long
L4 4872 Short Breakout
L5 4847 Trgt 1
L6 4822 Trgt 2
R3 5114
R2 5072
R1 5003
Avg 4961
S1 4892
S2 4850
S3 4781
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5045 Trgt 2
H5 5020 Trgt 1
H4 4995 Long breakout
H3 4964 Go Short
H2 4954
H1 4944
L1 4923
L2 4913
L3 4903 Long
L4 4872 Short Breakout
L5 4847 Trgt 1
L6 4822 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2011
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 9821
R2 9727
R1 9574
Avg 9480
S1 9327
S2 9233
S3 9080
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9669 Trgt 2
H5 9613 Trgt 1
H4 9557 Long breakout
H3 9489 Go Short
H2 9467
H1 9444
L1 9399
L2 9376
L3 9354 Long
L4 9286 Short Breakout
L5 9230 Trgt 1
L6 9174 Trgt 2
R3 9821
R2 9727
R1 9574
Avg 9480
S1 9327
S2 9233
S3 9080
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 9669 Trgt 2
H5 9613 Trgt 1
H4 9557 Long breakout
H3 9489 Go Short
H2 9467
H1 9444
L1 9399
L2 9376
L3 9354 Long
L4 9286 Short Breakout
L5 9230 Trgt 1
L6 9174 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 03 to Oct 07,2011)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 5334
R2 5184
R1 5059
Avg 4909
S1 4784
S2 4634
S3 4509
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5219 Trgt 2
H5 5152 Trgt 1
H4 5085 Long breakout
H3 5009 Go Short
H2 4984
H1 4959
L1 4908
L2 4883
L3 4858 Long
L4 4782 Short Breakout
L5 4715 Trgt 1
L6 4648 Trgt 2
R3 5334
R2 5184
R1 5059
Avg 4909
S1 4784
S2 4634
S3 4509
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5219 Trgt 2
H5 5152 Trgt 1
H4 5085 Long breakout
H3 5009 Go Short
H2 4984
H1 4959
L1 4908
L2 4883
L3 4858 Long
L4 4782 Short Breakout
L5 4715 Trgt 1
L6 4648 Trgt 2
BankNifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 03 to Oct 07,2011)
BankNifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 10208
R2 9948
R1 9685
Avg 9425
S1 9162
S2 8902
S3 8639
BankNifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 9959 Trgt 2
H5 9834 Trgt 1
H4 9709 Long breakout
H3 9565 Go Short
H2 9517
H1 9469
L1 9374
L2 9326
L3 9278 Long
L4 9134 Short Breakout
L5 9009 Trgt 1
L6 8884 Trgt 2
R3 10208
R2 9948
R1 9685
Avg 9425
S1 9162
S2 8902
S3 8639
BankNifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 9959 Trgt 2
H5 9834 Trgt 1
H4 9709 Long breakout
H3 9565 Go Short
H2 9517
H1 9469
L1 9374
L2 9326
L3 9278 Long
L4 9134 Short Breakout
L5 9009 Trgt 1
L6 8884 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(30-09-2011)
As soon as we realised that today first session rally is Short covering rally and will not sustaining at higher levels then we updated our views and told following lines:-
Short covering rally seems today sustaining at higher levels is doubtful.
Indian markets could not sustain at higher levels and slipped aharply after our above posting.Range bound markets for the last 37 sessions and highly Volatile markets between 4906-5034 for the last 4 days. Next strong supports are between 4906-4930 and slipping below 4906 will be strong down moves confirmation. Although resistances between 5000-5034 in last 4 days but not strong.
Expected that Nifty will open and firstly trade between 4906-5034 on Monday. Although Indian markets are closing in deep Red but intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations and last one hour support between 4925-4945 also therefore positive markets hopes are alive in Indian markets despite US futures and European markets are .85% to 2.4% down.
Sustaining beyond 4906-5034 will be gid move confirmation in next week.
Short covering rally seems today sustaining at higher levels is doubtful.
Indian markets could not sustain at higher levels and slipped aharply after our above posting.Range bound markets for the last 37 sessions and highly Volatile markets between 4906-5034 for the last 4 days. Next strong supports are between 4906-4930 and slipping below 4906 will be strong down moves confirmation. Although resistances between 5000-5034 in last 4 days but not strong.
Expected that Nifty will open and firstly trade between 4906-5034 on Monday. Although Indian markets are closing in deep Red but intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations and last one hour support between 4925-4945 also therefore positive markets hopes are alive in Indian markets despite US futures and European markets are .85% to 2.4% down.
Sustaining beyond 4906-5034 will be gid move confirmation in next week.
Mid-session Outlook(30-09-2011)
It has been observed that all the Global markets dances on US markets tunes(Futures) during trading hours nowadays. Dow's Futures was trading more than 50 points down in the morning and when started to recover then up moves started in all Asian and Indian markets. As soon as Dow's Futures tumbled then all Asian markets also slipped from intra day higher levels. Dow's Futures is trading more 40 points down and Nifty is also trading 25 points down from today highest.
Short covering rally seems today sustaining at higher levels is doubtful.
Short covering rally seems today sustaining at higher levels is doubtful.
Post-open Outlook(30-09-2011)
Clearly weak opening and Nifty slipped below 4970 also. Nifty traded more than 2 hours between 4960-4987 yesterday and after that fast 50 points up moves were seen during last 1 hour yesterday. Nifty is trading between 4955-4982 after weak opening today as well as traded most time within mentioned range(4960-4987).
As Nifty traded more than 2 hours between 4960-4987 yesterday and also trading between this range today therefore next moves preparation range has to be adjusted and sustaining beyond 4955-4987 will be next moves confirmation.
Firstly watch sustaining beyond 4955-4987 today for next moves confirmation.
Pre-open Outlook(30-09-2011)
All the Asian markets are reacting US markets through flat to negative zone trading therefore Indian markets will also open in the same manner and will open weak. Strong surge yesterday and Indian markets will prepare for next moves today for next moves between 4970-5010. Indian markets are range bound for the last 36 sessions with good supports are lower levels and good resistances are at higher levels also therefore markets will have prepare for next moves between mentioned range.
Sustaining beyond mentioned range will be result of next moves preparation within 4970-5010 therefore should be watched first for next moves confirmations.
Firstly watch Asian markets reaction on US markets closing
All the Asian markets opened weak but recovered from intra day lower levels and clsed near higher levels of the day yesterday and whole of this intra day up trend was on the back on whole day rising US Futures. As Indian markets also reacted in the same manner yesterday therefore Asian markets reaction on US markets closing should be watched first because Indian markets may also react in the same manner.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 30-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(29-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 4906-4930
2- Strong rally in Rising channel
3- Whole day trading between 4906-5034
Conclusions
Whole day strong rally in rising channel after support between 4906-4930 and closing near day's highest. Strong rally today and last 2 sessions range crossed by force therefore more up moves possibility in the coming sessions is higher but today upmoves were on the back of stronger US Futures therefore more confirmations are required for the commencement of Pull Back rally. Sustaining above minimum one resistance range(5020-5060) is must for confirmation of Pull Back rally.
Dow's Futures was more than 100 points up during indian trading hours and US markets strong closing is must for maintaing of strong sentiment tomorrow. As today sharp surge was the result of strong Dow's Futures therefore US markets equally strong closing is required for continuation of rally tomorrow otherwise today started up moves may halt/reverse tomorrow.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 4906-4930
2- Strong rally in Rising channel
3- Whole day trading between 4906-5034
Conclusions
Whole day strong rally in rising channel after support between 4906-4930 and closing near day's highest. Strong rally today and last 2 sessions range crossed by force therefore more up moves possibility in the coming sessions is higher but today upmoves were on the back of stronger US Futures therefore more confirmations are required for the commencement of Pull Back rally. Sustaining above minimum one resistance range(5020-5060) is must for confirmation of Pull Back rally.
Dow's Futures was more than 100 points up during indian trading hours and US markets strong closing is must for maintaing of strong sentiment tomorrow. As today sharp surge was the result of strong Dow's Futures therefore US markets equally strong closing is required for continuation of rally tomorrow otherwise today started up moves may halt/reverse tomorrow.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 29-Sep-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(29-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Sharp rally and closing at day's higher levels.
2- Engulfing Bullish Candle.
3- Strong recovery from lower levels and most indices closed positive but BSE Mid Cap and Small Cap closed in Red.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.11
Nifty P/E Ratio(29-Sep-2011): 18.11
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1246
BSE DECLINES : 1539
NSE ADVANCES : 621
NSE DECLINES : 804
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Oct)- -3891550(-75.05%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Oct)- +3222400(+45.54%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Oct)- -3597700(-50.37%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Oct)- +266950(+4.70%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Oct)- -31750(-0.62%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Oct)- -56950(-3.69%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,015.45(+69.55 Points & +1.41%)
Sensex- closed at 16,698.07(+252.05 Points & +1.53% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,118.95(+9.75 Points & +0.14%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 6,942.17(-7.31 Points & -0.11%)
Pre-Closing Outlook(29-09-2011)
As soon as Indian markets got support at lower levels then it was immediately immediately informed at 12:03:00 PM in Mid-session Outlook today and following line was told:-
1- Clear supports near 4907 in last 2 sessions and again support at same level today
2- next decisive moves confirmation range is 4905-4982
Last 3 sessions trading range crossed by force after getting good supports therefore up moves expectations are higher now. Next resistance range is between 5020-5060 and sustaining above this range will be pull back rally strong indication.
1- Clear supports near 4907 in last 2 sessions and again support at same level today
2- next decisive moves confirmation range is 4905-4982
Last 3 sessions trading range crossed by force after getting good supports therefore up moves expectations are higher now. Next resistance range is between 5020-5060 and sustaining above this range will be pull back rally strong indication.
Mid-session Outlook(29-09-2011)
Following lines were told at 08:51:00 AM in Pre-open Outlook(29-09-2011):-
Nifty will first trade between 4907-4950 after weak opening today,slipping below 4918 will be first indication and sustainiing below 4907 will be deep down confirmation.
Nifty is trading between 4906-4943.45 and could not sustained below 4907 as well as moved up.
We cautioned within first half hour in Post-open Outlook(29-09-2011) and also clearly told for up moves in Dow's Futures, volatility and getting down moves confirmations through sustaining below 4907.
Clear supports near 4907 in last 2 sessions and again support at same level today therefore next decisive moves confirmation range is 4905-4982 and Nifty will trade between this range in the coming hours/session.
Nifty will first trade between 4907-4950 after weak opening today,slipping below 4918 will be first indication and sustainiing below 4907 will be deep down confirmation.
Nifty is trading between 4906-4943.45 and could not sustained below 4907 as well as moved up.
We cautioned within first half hour in Post-open Outlook(29-09-2011) and also clearly told for up moves in Dow's Futures, volatility and getting down moves confirmations through sustaining below 4907.
Clear supports near 4907 in last 2 sessions and again support at same level today therefore next decisive moves confirmation range is 4905-4982 and Nifty will trade between this range in the coming hours/session.
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