Intrady charts of first 2 hours are showing selling patterns but lower levels good supports above 8727 in previous sessions therefore firstly sustaining beyond 8727 should be watched today and volatility may be high also.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Post-open Outlook(26-02-2015)
Intrady charts are showing selling patterns today before railway Budget
Finally strong rally towards 9169 after Budget-2015
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(26-02-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (25-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Almost 5 hours trading between 8805-8840 with mixed patterns formations.
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel in 5 hours.
3- Minor selling patterns between 8808-8820
4- Bullish Falling Wedge formations after sharp down.
5- Consolidation patterns formations in last hour between 8752-8773
6- Whole day actual trading between 8752-8840
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told for Pre-Budget Indian markets in previous Outlooks:-
1- Fresh rally will begin immediate before or after Budget
2- Almost daily told that Sentiments is boiling,heated and extremely high expectations from Budget therefore Volatility will remain high in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term Oscillators are overbought therefore its cooling down is must as well as market has prepare and form positions for post Budget big moves.
4- Panic bottoms formations will be seen
5- Told on 21-02-2015 that- Nifty will firstly trade within or near about 8793-8913 amid high volatility and may slip also below 8793 but until Nifty will not sustain below it till then View will not be Bearish because many time Supports are broken down under consolidation process.
6- Told on 24-02-2015 that- Firstly sustaining beyond 8737-8787 should be watched for next trend strong indication.
As was updated in the Outlooks of all previous 4/5 sessions 100% same happened and Indian markets traded in the same manner as was updated well in advance.
Importance of 8737-8787 was updated yesterday and Nifty closed within this range at 8767.25 today. Almost 5 hours trading above this range between 8805-8840 and this range was broken down sharply but view will not be bearish because:-
1- sentiment is heated due to extremely high expectations from Budget and sharp down was for cutting the positions of small traders today.
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel(Bullish patterns) were also seen between 8805-8840 for cutting the positions of small traders today.
Long and Intermediate Term Trends are up and Short Term Trend is sideways between 8571-8996 for the last 18 sessions and Budget day will 21 sessions(after 26th and 27th Feb.) which is a Fibonacci Number. As market are tend to take decisive moves at Fibonacci numbers therefore blasting one sided moves will be seen on Budget day.
Lower levels consolidation and supports of last 3 sessions are as follows:-
1- Between 8752-8773 on 25-02-2015
2- Between 8727-8758 on 24-02-2015
3- Between 8737-8787 on 23-02-2015
As lower levels good supports above 8727 therefore Nifty will not easily sustain below it despite high volatility possibility in the coming sessions. Expected that follow up consolidation will be seen near about or between 8727-8787 and finally strong rally will be seen towards 9169 after Budget-2015.
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Next Trend Strong Indication from 8737-8787
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(25-02-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Most time trading between 8743-8777
2- Lower levels consolidation between 8727-8758
3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Whole day actual trading between 8727-8800
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following line was told today at 10:29 AM in "Post-open Outlook(24-02-2015):-
1- Bullish Falling Wedge formations between 8737-8787 yesterday and first hour trading within this range today
2- Nifty is preparing within this range for next moves
3- firstly valid break out of this range should be watched for next decisive moves confirmations.
4- minor indications of consolidation within this range today also therefore emergence of first signal of fresh up moves
As minor indications of consolidation within 8737-8787 therefore firstly this range broken out above 8787 but could not sustain at higher levels and sharply moved down and could not sustain below 8787 also and moved up in last hour as well as closed between 8737-8787
We told for high volatility in all previous Outlooks and it was seen today. As technical positions reverses in such volatility therefore sustaining beyond crucial levels should also be given more importance. Bullish Falling Wedge formations between 8737-8787 yesterday and Nifty traded most time within this range between 8743-8777. As no clear trading pattern formation developed amid high volatility today therefore firstly sustaining beyond watched 8737-8787 for next trend first indication.
Following retracement levels are crucial:-
1- 0.382%- 8,743(Crucial level)(Tested but closing above it today and yesterday)
2- 0.500%1 8,691(Crucial level)
3- 0.618%- 8,639(Crucial level)
Next 2 supports as follows:-
1- Supports between 8736-8751(Tested but closing above it today and yesterday)
2- Supports between 8595-8615
Above supports and retracement levels were updated yesterday also and above mentioned 1st retracement and supports got tested as well as closing above both levels in last 2 sessions. Although selling pattern formation at higher levels today but lower levels good consolidation was also seen today therefore strong indications of supports getting above mentioned 2 levels.
Above mentioned range(8737-8787) becomes most crucial for deciding next trend because:-
1- Bullish Falling Wedge formations within it yesterday.
2- Follow up supports between it today
3- Most time trading within it today
As high expectations from Budget therefore volatility may remain high in the coming sessions and Nifty may move above or below mentioned range(8737-8787) also as happened today but valid break out of this range and finally sustaining beyond this range will be next trend strong indication and should be firstly watched otherwise ours following same view which we updated yesterday:-
Fresh Rally Immediate before or after Budget but after complete consolidation
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Post-open Outlook(24-02-2015)
Bullish Falling Wedge formations between 8737-8787 yesterday and first hour trading within this range today. Nifty is preparing within this range for next moves and firstly valid break out of this range should be watched for next decisive moves confirmations.
As Bullish pattern formation between 8737-8787 yesterday and minor indications of consolidation within this range today also therefore emergence of first signal of fresh up moves.
Fresh Rally Immediate before or after Budget but after complete consolidation
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(24-02-2015)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8845-8869(Immediate Resistances)
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel near the higher levels
3- Last hours down moves with Bullish Falling Wedge formations.
4- Whole day actual trading between 8737-8869
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told on 21-02-2015 in "Finally Post Budget Rally after follow up consolidations":-
1- Nifty will firstly trade within or near about 8793-8913 amid high volatility and may slip also below 8793
2- Indian markets are well poised for Post Budget rally after high volatility and panic bottoms formations.
As was told 2 days before 100% same happened today in following manner:-
1- Nifty slipped and closed below 8793
2- Panic bottom formation after sharp 132 points fall from higher levels.
We "told for Finally Post Budget Rally" and "never told for Pre-Budget Rally" and also told following lines in "Finally Post Budget Rally after follow up consolidations":-
1- Both Feb. Derivative expiry and Union Budget in next week and sentiments will remain boiling as well as market will prepare and form positions for post Budget big moves.
2- post Budget big moves will be decided from coming 2/3 sessions intraday charts patterns formations
As mounting high expectations from Budget therefore sentiment was boiling and its cooling was necessary which was seen today after sharp down and closing near the lower levels of the day and it was necessary also for the beginning of consolidation process. Although sharp down after higher levels but following consolidation patterns were also seen:-
1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel near the higher levels
2- Last hours down moves with Bullish Falling Wedge formations at lower levels.
As above consolidation patterns today therefore emergence of minor correction completion signals. Following retracement levels should be firstly watched now for correction completion:-
[0.618] 8,743(Crucial level)(Tested but closing above it today)
[0.500] 8,691(Crucial level)
[0.382] 8,639(Crucial level)
[0.270] 8,589
[0.236] 8,574
[0.130] 8,527
Following supports should also be firstly watched for on going going correction completion:-
1- Supports between 8736-8751
2- Supports between 8595-8615
3- Supports between 8554-8574
4- Supports between 8475-8505
It was a correction day today and it should be kept in mind that sentiment is boiling due to extremely high expectations from Budget therefore firstly correction completion confirmation is must though consolidation and base formations at lower levels. As Bullish Falling Wedge formations in last hour today therefore emergence of first consolidation signal but more consolidation is required for fresh rally after correction completion.
Although Govt approved ordinance to ease Land Acquisition Act to push reforms through "land reform ordinance 2014" and it will be tabled in Parliament tomorrow but its opposition is mounting high and final stand of Union Govt on it passing will decide market sentiments. As confusion on it therefore volatility will remain high also in the coming sessions but expected that Govt. will not compromise and Land Acquisition Bill will be passed after minor changes as well as finally market sentiment will not hamper.
Expected that fresh rally will begin immediate before or after Budget but follow up complete consolidation and correction completion confirmation is must. Let market prepare for fresh rally then will be understood from coming sessions intraday charts patterns analysis and will also be updated in the same manner as being done for the last more than 4 years.
Mid-session Outlook(23-02-2015)
Following line was told on 21-02-2015 in "Finally Post Budget Rally after follow up consolidations"
Nifty will firstly trade within or near about 8793-8913 amid high volatility and may slip also below 8793
Possibility of slipping below 8793 was clearly told and today lowest at this moment is at 8761.
As sentiment is boiling due to high expectations from Budget therefore volatility will remain high and sustaining below 8793 should be firstly watched for any deeper correction confirmations.
Nifty will firstly trade within or near about 8793-8913 amid high volatility and may slip also below 8793
Possibility of slipping below 8793 was clearly told and today lowest at this moment is at 8761.
As sentiment is boiling due to high expectations from Budget therefore volatility will remain high and sustaining below 8793 should be firstly watched for any deeper correction confirmations.
Finally Post Budget Rally after follow up consolidations
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 23 to Feb 28,2015)
Waves structure from all time lowest formation after world Trade Center attack on 11-09-2001
Nifty-Weekly Chart (20-Feb-2015)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-1 beginning at 854.20 on 21-09-2001(all time lowest formation after world trade center attack on 11-09-2001) .
2- Wave-1 completion and Wave-2 beginning at 6357.10 on 08-01-2008(15 Years highest formation)
3- Wave-2 completion and Wave-3 beginning at 2252.75 on 27-10-2008(after 9 months correction completion in 2008)
4- Wave-3 continuation with all time high formations at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015.
Conclusions from Weekly chart analysis
Wave-3 continuation towards following retracement levels:-
[1.382] 7,925(Retracement completed)
[1.414] 8,056(Retracement completed)
[1.500] 8,409(Retracement completed)
[1.618] 8,893(Retracement completed)
[1.764] 9,493
[1.886] 9,994
[2.000] 10,462
[2.236] 11,430
[2.618] 12,998
[3.140] 15,141
[3.618] 17,103
On Long Charts above retracement levels of on going Wave-3 are very much possible in the coming 5 years of our honorable P.M. Narendra Modi and its beginning will be after Union Budget-2015.
Nifty-EOD Chart (20-Feb-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-1 beginning after correction completion at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014
2- Wave-1 completion at 8445.60 on 05-01-2015
3- Wave-2 completion at 8065.45 on 07-01-2015
4- Wave-3 completion at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015
5- Wave-4 completion at 8470.50 on 10-02-2015
6- Wave-5 continuation with recent top formation at 8913.45 on 19-02-2015
7- Last 4 sessions sideways trading between 8793-8913
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
All Trends are up and life time high formations at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015. Wave-5 continuation with following immediate supports and resistances:-
1- Supports between 8816-8853
2- Supports between 8795-8838
3- Supports between 8736-8751
4- Supports between 8595-8615
5- Supports between 8554-8574
6- Supports between 8475-8505
7- Resistances between 8880-8894
8- Resistances between 8918-8936
Last 4 sessions sideways trading between 8793-8913 and finally sustaining beyond this range will be first strong signal of next trend and confirmation will sustaining beyond on going Wave-5(8470-8996)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 16 to Feb 20,2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8840-8870 on 16-02-2015
2- Selling between 8850-8861 on 18-02-2015
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel on 18-02-2015
4- Selling between 8883-8894 on 18-02-2015
5- Selling between 8880-8901 on 19-02-2015
6- Consolidation between 8795-8838 on 19-02-2015
7- Consolidation between 8816-8853 on 20-02-2015
8- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel on 20-02-2015
9- 4 Sessions actual trading between 8793-8913
Conclusions from 4 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Last 4 sessions trading with both higher levels selling and lower levels buying therefore Nifty is not prepared for any side decisive moves and firstly has to prepare within or near about last 4 sessions range(8793-8913) as well as finally sustaining beyond this range will be first strong signal of next big moves.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Wave-5 is on but Short Term Oscillators are overbought therefore last 4 sessions sideways markets for its cooling down. Both Feb. Derivative expiry and Union Budget in next week and sentiments will remain boiling as well as market will prepare and form positions for post Budget big moves. Although post Budget big moves will be decided from coming 2/3 sessions intraday charts patterns formations but expected that finally up moves will be seen in uncharted region after follow up consolidation in the coming sessions. Although Nifty closed in Red and lowest of the day after last more than 1 hour down moves but consolidation patterns formations were also seen therefore rally continuation hopes are alive.
Expected that Nifty will firstly trade within or near about 8793-8913 amid high volatility and may slip also below 8793 but until Nifty will not sustain below it till then View will not be Bearish because many time Supports are broken down under consolidation process. As resistances above previous week closing are not strong and as such selling patterns also have not developed yet to say for any deeper correction therefore Indian markets are well poised for Post Budget rally after high volatility and panic bottoms formations.
Finally Post Budget Rally will be seen after follow up consolidations.
Rally Continuation with Minor Corrections possibility
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(20-02-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (19-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8880-8901
2- Sharp down
3- Consolidation between 8795-8838
4- Sharp up in last hours
5- Whole day actual trading between 8795-8913
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As good selling on 16-02-2015 therefore following lines were updated for 18-02-2015 trading in "Firstly Down Moves within Sideways Range Bound Market":-
1- Nifty will firstly slip
2- finally up moves above today highest(8870) despite firstly down moves possibilities in the coming sessions.
As was told for 18-02-2015 same happened on 19-02-2015 and Finally up moves were seen after firstly down moves.
Although Nifty closed in Green after whole day positive zone trading on 18-02-2015 but even though we were not Bullish and updated following lines in "Cautious View after Mixed Patterns Formations"-
1- sufficient selling patterns were also seen in last 2 sessions
2- view is cautious because sometimes sharp falls are seen after such markets
As was projected 100% same happened on 19-02-2015 and Nifty slipped 93 points sharply from higher levels as well as traded 60 points down within first 2 hours also.
All Trends are up and Indian markets are most Bullish as well as good consolidation was seen today at lower levels therefore rally continuation is expected in the coming sessions. As very Short Term indicators are overbought and first 2 hours selling was also seen on 19-02-2015 as well as consolidation is firstly required before next decisive up moves therefore minor down moves possibility under consolidation process can not be ruled out.
Let selling patterns develop then big correction will also be updated in the same manner as being done for the last more than 4 years. It must be kept in mind that until complete selling patterns will not develop till then deeper correction will not be seen and view will remain Bullish barring minor intraday or 1/2 sessions minor corrections which may happen any day because oscillators are over bought.
Firstly watch next supports after today Sharp fall
Nifty traded in following manner up to 11:10 AM today:-
Although firstly some up moves but Nifty slipped 93 points from higher levels and traded 60 points down today.
Although sharp fall today but I was expecting well before its happening therefore I told following line yesterday in Cautious View after Mixed Patterns Formations:-
view is cautious because sometimes sharp falls are seen after such markets
Although Nifty closed in Green after whole day positive zone trading yesterday but we were not Bullish but cautious,Just click following link and understand the reasons of ours Bearish Outlook in Bullish markets of yesterday:-
1- 8820
2- 8740
3- 8610
First support has been tested today and firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched now for today started correction completion/deeper correction.
Cautious View after Mixed Patterns Formations
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(19-02-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
2- 3 Hours Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Selling between 8850-8861
4- Selling between 8883-8894
5- Whole day actual trading between 8809-8894
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following conclusive line was updated today at 12;59 PM in Mid-session Outlook(18-02-2015):-
"It will be safer that valid break out of 8820-8870 should be firstly watched now for next trend confirmations."
Nifty moved above 8870 but could not sustain and closed just below it at 8869.10 after higher levels selling today.
1- Good selling between 8840-8870 on 16-02-2015
2- Both consolidation and selling patterns formations between 8809-8894 on 18-02-2015
Following resistances were updated in previous Outlooks;-
1- Resistances between 8820-8852
2- Resistances between 8918-8936
Above mentioned 1st resistances are between 8820-8852 and selling patterns formations were seen between 8840-8894 in last 2 sessions but consolidation patterns formations were also seen today therefore mixed patterns formations will be understood in last 2 sessions. It means that technically Nifty is not prepared for any side decisive moves and will have to trade and firstly prepare within or near about 8840-8894.
Although Green closing after whole day positive zone trading today but sufficient selling patterns were also seen in last 2 sessions therefore view is cautious because sometimes sharp falls are seen after such markets and complete consolidation is required for decisive up moves above today highest. Let one sided clear technical positions formations develop and Nifty to sustain beyond 8840-8894 then one sided moves will be seen.
Mid-session Outlook(18-02-2015)
As previous resistances were between 8820-8852 and good selling was also between 8840-8870 on 16-02-2015 therefore firstly down moves were expected but Nifty is trading within above mentioned ranges since opening today with consolidation indications. It will be safer that valid break out of 8820-8870 should be firstly watched now for next trend confirmations.
Firstly Down Moves within Sideways Range Bound Market
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(18-02-2015)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8840-8870
2- Whole day actual trading between 8793-8870
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following resistances were updated on 13-02-2015 in "9401.50 is Maximum Target of on Going Wave-5 of Nifty":-
1- Resistances between 8820-8852
2- Resistances between 8918-8936
As Nifty traded almost whole day within above mentioned 1st resistance range today with selling patterns formations and this resistance range has been strengthened therefore expected that Nifty will firstly slip towards following supports:-
1- Supports between 8736-8751
2- Supports between 8595-8615
3- Supports between 8554-8574
4- Supports between 8475-8505
As last 5 sessions trading between 8470-8870 with lower levels supports and higher level selling therefore Nifty is not prepared for any side decisive moves beyond this range and will remain sideways within this range as well as firstly prepare for next trend within this range.
Although Nifty closed positive but genuine selling at higher levels today therefore Nifty has to consolidate for fresh up moves above today highest and until that will not happen till then next up moves above today highest will not be considered. All trends are up and Indian markets are most Bullish therefore expected that finally up moves above today highest(8870) despite firstly down moves possibilities in the coming sessions.
9401.50 is Maximum Target of on Going Wave-5 of Nifty
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 16 to Feb 20,2015)
Nifty-EOD Chart (13-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 5118.85 on 28-08-2013(Wave-i of Wave-3 beginning after 'ABC' correction completion)
2- Wave-i of Wave-3(6415.25 on 09-12-2013)
3- Wave-ii of Wave-3(5933.30 on 04-02-2014)
4- Wave-iii of Wave-3(8626.95 on 04-12-2014)
5- Wave-iv of Wave-3(7961.35 on 17-12-2014)
6- Wave-v of Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8822.10 on 13-02-2015
Waves Structure of Wave-v of Wave-3
Nifty-EOD Chart (13-Feb-2015):-
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-iv of Wave-3 completion at 7961.35 on 17-12-2014 and beginning of Wave-1 of Wave-v of Wave-3)
2- Wave-1 of Wave-v of Wave-3 completion at 8445.60 on 05-01-2015
3- Wave-2 of Wave-v of Wave-3 completion at 8065.45 on 07-01-2015
4- Wave-3 of Wave-v of Wave-3 completion at 8996.60 on 30-01-2015
4- Wave-4 of Wave-v of Wave-3 completion at 8470.50 on 10-02-2015
5- Wave-5 of Wave-v of Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8822.10 on 13-02-2015
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Long and Intermediate Term Trends are up and Short Term Trend is sideways between 8470-8996 with following supports and resistances:-
1- Supports between 8595-8615
2- Supports between 8554-8574
3- Supports between 8475-8505
4- Resistances between 8820-8852
5- Resistances between 8918-8936
Wave-5 of Wave-v of Wave-3 continuation with recent top formation at 8822.10 on 13-02-2015. Nifty tested above mentioned 1st resistance on 13-02-2015 but could not sustain and closed just below it. As resistances are lying up to 8936 therefore follow up consolidation is firstly required for sustaning above it and once sustaining above 8936 will mean strong possibility of fresh rally in uncharted territory after new life time high formations. Calculation of targets above 8996 are as follows:-
As per Elliot Wave theory:-
"Wave-3 of any degree should not be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5 of same degree"
Wave-5 started from 8470.50 and it can not gain more than 931 points because Wave-3 gained 931 Points therefore target of on going Wave-5 will be less than 9401.50 and its calculations are as follows:-
1- Wave-3 of Wave-v of Wave-3 gained 931 points(8996-8065)
2- Wave-4 of Wave-v of Wave-3 completed at 8470.50
3- Wave-5 of Wave-v of Wave-3 started from 8470.50
4- As Elliot Wave theory says that Wave-5 can not gain more than more than Wave-3 therefore Wave-5 of Wave-v of Wave-3 can gain maximum 931 points and its:-
Maximum target of Nifty will be:less than 9401.50(8470.50+931)
Retracement Levels in uncharted zone:-
[1.130] 9117
[1.236] 9215
[1.270] 9247
[1.382] 9351(Crucial levels)
[1.500] 9461(Crucial levels)
Maximum target of on going Wave of Nifty is at 9401.50 which lies exactly between 1.382% and 1.5% which are crucial retracement levels therefore high possibility of on going Wave-5 of Wave-v of Wave-3 completion between 9351-9461
Short Term Trend is sideways between 8470-8996 and finally sustaining beyond this range next trend. Although supports st lower levels within this range but resistances are also lying at higher levels therefore follow up consolidation is firstly required for crossing and sustaining above mentioned resistances.
Expected that finally rally will remain continued in the uncharted zone towards 9401.50
Live Proofs of Accurate Levels
Following resistances were updated yesterday in "Pull Back Rally continuation but after Consolidation" 1- Resistance between 8820-8852
2- Resistance between 8918-8936
Nifty faced resistance at above mentioned 1st Resistance range and retraced more than 30 points after highest formation at 8822.10
Pull Back Rally continuation but after Consolidation
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(13-02-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 8662-8670
2- Consolidations between 8600-8615
1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
3- Whole day actual trading between 8599-8732
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following conclusive line was told yesterday in "line Confirmation is must through sustaining beyond 8565-8651":-
fresh rally after correction completion possibility is also turning high
As was told yesterday 100% same happened and Nifty closed 84.15 points up today after 133 points rally from lower levels
Although firstly 10 minutes selling between 8662-8670 after 49 points gap up opening but negative zone trading was also seen after first 2 hours down moves therefore sentiment dampened completely which was must for fresh consolidations. As Mixed trading patterns between 8565-8651 in last 3 sessions therefore consolidation was firstly required for decisive up moves and it was seen also between 8600-8615,resultant more than 100 points rally in last 2 hours today.
Although strong rally today with closing near the higher levels of the day but Up moves were in Bearish Rising Channel also and following resistances are also lying at higher levels therefore follow up consolidation is firstly required for decisive up moves above today highest and correction completion confirmations:-
1- Resistance between 8820-8852
2- Resistance between 8918-8936
Emergence of correction completion possibility after strong recovery from lower levels but confirmation will be after sustaining above 8936. As last 3 sessions trading range(8565-8651) broken out forcefully therefore today started Pull Back Rally continuation is expected but firstly consolidation is must because Up moves were in Bearish Rising Channel.
Mid-session Outlook(12-02-2015)
Although gap up opening by 49 points and after that first 10 minutes selling between 8662-8670 as well as sharp down and trading negative below 8600 but lower levels good consolidations also between 8600-8615 therefore Pull Back rally continuation and emergence of correction completion possibility also.
Mid-session Outlook(12-02-2015)
Although Nifty opened 49 points gap up but selling confirmations between 8662-8670.
Confirmation is must through sustaining beyond 8565-8651
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(12-02-2015)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Feb-2015):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel.
2- Complete intraday corrections before up moves.
3- Whole day actual trading between 8593-8651
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Following lines were told yesterday in "Selling amid Delhi Elections results led high volatility"
good selling in last 2 sessions and until complete consolidation will not happen as well as Nifty does not sustain above 8640 till then decisive up moves will not be considered.
Following lines were told today at 09:26 PM in "Post-open Outlook(11-02-2015)"
Selling between 8565-8640 in last 2 sessions and sustaining beyond this range will decide the fate of on going correction
As was told 100% same happened and Nifty could not sustain above 8640 as well as closed at 8627.40 today.
Nifty traded whole day between 8593-8651 with mixed patterns formations today because Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel and complete intraday corrections were also seen before up moves therefore Mixed patterns formations today and almost same following view with little change of levels:-
1- Last 3 sessions trading between 8565-8651 and once sustaining above or forceful break out of 8651 will mean a strong Pull Back rally because sufficient consolidation patterns were seen today.
2- As selling patterns were also seen today after last 2 sessions selling therefore sustaining blow after follow up selling will mean beginning of fresh deeper correction.
As steep fall was not seen after huge defeat of BJP in Delhi Assembly Elections and market got supports at the lower levels of last 3 sessions as well as Nifty traded at the higher levels of last 3 sessions range(8565-8640) today therefore fresh rally after correction completion possibility is also turning high but next trend confirmation is must through sustaining beyond 8565-8651 because mixed patterns formations within this range in last 3 sessions.
Post-open Outlook(11-02-2015)
As Dow,Jones closed 139 points up and other Indices of US markets also closed more than 1% up yesterday therefore sentiment boosted and positive opening on Indian markets today. Selling between 8565-8640 in last 2 sessions and sustaining beyond this range will decide the fate of on going correction and should be firstly watched for next decisive moves confirmations after:-
1- Correction completion above 8640
2- Correction continuation below 8565
1- Correction completion above 8640
2- Correction continuation below 8565
Selling amid Delhi Elections results led high volatility
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(11-02-2015)
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- High Volatility
2- Selling between 8590-8640(Immediate Resistances)
3- Selling between 8570-8684(Immediate Resistances)
4- Lower levels minor supports
5- Whole day actual trading between 8475-8640
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Life Proofs of our accurate Levels:-
We repeated the importance of 8565 in all the previous 3 Outlooks and Nifty closed exactly at 8565.55 today
As selling between 8565-8605 yesterday and follow up selling also seen between 8570-8684 today therefore Nifty slipped 90 points sharply. Although 100 points recovery also from lower levels in last hours but only minor supports were seen at lower levels therefore view will not be Bullish despite positive zone closing today.
Delhi Elections results led high volatility today but correction is on and its continuation is expected because good selling in last 2 sessions and until complete consolidation will not happen as well as Nifty does not sustain above 8640 till then decisive up moves will not be considered. Following next crucial retracement levels should be watched for first signal of correction completion because trend reversal possibilities remain high at these crucial retracement levels:-
1-0.500%- 8478
2-0.618%- 8356
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