Next strong resistances are between 5820-5965 and today whole day trading is at lower levels of this range with higher levels selling and lower levels buying therefore follow up moves and valid break out of today trading range(5790-5833) should be firstly watched for next very short term moves confirmations.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Mid-session Outlook-2(22-04-2013)
Firstly lower levels supports but selling development also at higher levels in last 1 hour therefore firstly valid break out of today trading range(5790-5833) should be watched for next very short term moves confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook(22-04-2013)
Indian markets are quiet today after previous week strong rally and preparing for up moves with consolidation patterns formations amid heated sentiments.
Wave 5 confirmations for new top of rally above 6111.80
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Apr 22 to Apr 26,2013)
Nifty-EOD Chart (18-Apr-2013):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Wave-3 beginning after 13 Months Wave-2 correction completion)
2- Wave 1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave 2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Impulsive Wave 3 continuation
5- Wave i(5348.55 on 10-07-2012)
6- Wave ii(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
7- Wave iii(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
8- Wave iv(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
9- Impulsive Wave v of Wave 3 completion at 6111.80 on 29-01-2013
10- Corrective Wave 4 continuation
11- Wave A(5663.60 on 04-03-2012)
12- Wave B(5971.20 on 11-03-2012)
13- Corrective Wave C of Wave 4 completion at 5477.20 on 10-04-2013
14- Impulsive Wave 5 continuation
15- 200 Day EMA and DMA at 5665 on 18-04-2012
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Following crucial levels were broken down during Corrective Wave 4 continuation:-
1- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
2- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA
3- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day DMA
4- 5548.35(Strong support broken down)
As Nifty slipped below 5629.95(Top of Wave 1) therefore whole waves structure came in question and waves recounting was to be done. In fact whole this exercise had become beyond any calculation and understanding but even after that Pull Back Rally possibility was told on 14-04-2013 in Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook(Apr 15 to Apr 18,2013)
"FIIs bought more than 3200 Cr in Stock Futures during April 2013 and lower levels supports were also seen in last 7 sessions as well as Indicators are showing positive divergence in Oversold zone therefore Pull Back Rally possibility turned alive and valid break out of previous 7 sessions trading range(5478-5610) should be firstly watched in next week for next Short Term Trend confirmations"
Previous week was real savior of Waves structure through sustaining above 5629.95 and turning all trends up through sustaining above both Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA and DMA as well as Impulsive Wave 5 continuation confirmations after completion of Wave 4 correction.
Wave 5 formation means rally towards next target above the top of rally((6111.80) and also the possibility new all time high formation above 6357.10. Minor very Short Term corrections can not be ruled out any day in next week because sentiment may turn heated but finally Wave 5 rally will remain continued.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 18-Apr-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(18-Apr-2013)
Main features of today trading are as follows
RatiosIndex Options Put Call Ratio: 1.20
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-Apr-2013): 17.32
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,321
BSE Declines : 1,052
NSE Advances : 803
NSE Declines : 521
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(Apr)- -734,200(-20.16%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Apr)- 864,400(8.47%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Apr)- -3,909,650(-46.74%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Apr)- 1,260,550(20.46%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Apr)- 539,600(7.37%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Apr)- 2,657,600(246.03%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Apr)- -769,800(-9.74%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Apr)- -58,450(-8.56%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,016.46(285.30 Points & 1.52%)
Nifty- closed at 5,783.10(94.40 Points & 1.66%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,624.10(82.65 Points & 1.10%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,207.80(23.60 Points & 0.74%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-04-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5937
R2 5865
R1 5824
Avg 5752
S1 5711
S2 5639
S3 5598
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5898 Trgt 2
H5 5871 Trgt 1
H4 5845 Long breakout
H3 5814 Go Short
H2 5803
H1 5793
L1 5772
L2 5762
L3 5751 Long
L4 5720 Short Breakout
L5 5694 Trgt 1
L6 5667 Trgt 2
R3 5937
R2 5865
R1 5824
Avg 5752
S1 5711
S2 5639
S3 5598
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5898 Trgt 2
H5 5871 Trgt 1
H4 5845 Long breakout
H3 5814 Go Short
H2 5803
H1 5793
L1 5772
L2 5762
L3 5751 Long
L4 5720 Short Breakout
L5 5694 Trgt 1
L6 5667 Trgt 2
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-04-2013
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels
R3 5935
R2 5865
R1 5824
Avg 5754
S1 5713
S2 5643
S3 5602
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5895 Trgt 2
H5 5869 Trgt 1
H4 5844 Long breakout
H3 5813 Go Short
H2 5803
H1 5793
L1 5772
L2 5762
L3 5752 Long
L4 5721 Short Breakout
L5 5696 Trgt 1
L6 5670 Trgt 2
R3 5935
R2 5865
R1 5824
Avg 5754
S1 5713
S2 5643
S3 5602
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5895 Trgt 2
H5 5869 Trgt 1
H4 5844 Long breakout
H3 5813 Go Short
H2 5803
H1 5793
L1 5772
L2 5762
L3 5752 Long
L4 5721 Short Breakout
L5 5696 Trgt 1
L6 5670 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-04-2013
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels
R3 12831
R2 12563
R1 12414
Avg 12146
S1 11997
S2 11729
S3 11580
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12695 Trgt 2
H5 12594 Trgt 1
H4 12494 Long breakout
H3 12379 Go Short
H2 12341
H1 12303
L1 12226
L2 12188
L3 12150 Long
L4 12035 Short Breakout
L5 11935 Trgt 1
L6 11834 Trgt 2
R3 12831
R2 12563
R1 12414
Avg 12146
S1 11997
S2 11729
S3 11580
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12695 Trgt 2
H5 12594 Trgt 1
H4 12494 Long breakout
H3 12379 Go Short
H2 12341
H1 12303
L1 12226
L2 12188
L3 12150 Long
L4 12035 Short Breakout
L5 11935 Trgt 1
L6 11834 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 22 to Apr 26,2013)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 6178
R2 5986
R1 5884
Avg 5692
S1 5590
S2 5398
S3 5296
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6092 Trgt 2
H5 6018 Trgt 1
H4 5944 Long breakout
H3 5863 Go Short
H2 5836
H1 5809
L1 5756
L2 5729
L3 5702 Long
L4 5621 Short Breakout
L5 5547 Trgt 1
L6 5473 Trgt 2
R3 6178
R2 5986
R1 5884
Avg 5692
S1 5590
S2 5398
S3 5296
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6092 Trgt 2
H5 6018 Trgt 1
H4 5944 Long breakout
H3 5863 Go Short
H2 5836
H1 5809
L1 5756
L2 5729
L3 5702 Long
L4 5621 Short Breakout
L5 5547 Trgt 1
L6 5473 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 22 to Apr 26,2013)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 13600
R2 12956
R1 12622
Avg 11978
S1 11644
S2 11000
S3 10666
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 13348 Trgt 2
H5 13087 Trgt 1
H4 12825 Long breakout
H3 12556 Go Short
H2 12467
H1 12377
L1 12198
L2 12108
L3 12019 Long
L4 11750 Short Breakout
L5 11488 Trgt 1
L6 11227 Trgt 2
R3 13600
R2 12956
R1 12622
Avg 11978
S1 11644
S2 11000
S3 10666
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 13348 Trgt 2
H5 13087 Trgt 1
H4 12825 Long breakout
H3 12556 Go Short
H2 12467
H1 12377
L1 12198
L2 12108
L3 12019 Long
L4 11750 Short Breakout
L5 11488 Trgt 1
L6 11227 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook(18-04-2013)
As good selling at higher levels yesterday therefore Nifty took more than 3 hours for consolidation and now above yesterday's highs as well as given Wave-5 rally continuation confirmations after all trends turning up
Post-open Outlook(18-04-2013)
Indian markets are got support at lower levels today therefore valid break out of yesterday trading range(5669-5732) should be watched for next moves confirmations because both higher levels selling and lower levels buying seen today and yesterday.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(18-04-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Apr-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1-Consolidations and supports between 5683-5710
2- Selling between 5720-5732
3- Follow up selling between 5706-5716
4- Bearish Head and Shoulders formations
5- Whole day actual trading between 5669-5732
Firstly more than 2 hours consolidations and supports between 5683-5710 but after that without force up moves and selling at higher levels as well as Bearish Head and Shoulders formations therefore down moves will be seen tomorrow.
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1-Consolidations and supports between 5683-5710
2- Selling between 5720-5732
3- Follow up selling between 5706-5716
4- Bearish Head and Shoulders formations
5- Whole day actual trading between 5669-5732
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Firstly more than 2 hours consolidations and supports between 5683-5710 but after that without force up moves and selling at higher levels as well as Bearish Head and Shoulders formations therefore down moves will be seen tomorrow.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Apr-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-Apr-2013)
Main features of today trading are as follows
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.20
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-Apr-2013):17.10
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,114
BSE Declines : 1,214
NSE Advances : 658
NSE Declines : 656
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(Apr)- -128,000(-16.36%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Apr)- -629,900(-8.72%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Apr)- -551,200(-23.06%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Apr)- -700,900(-8.10%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Apr)- -1,903,500(-33.45%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Apr)- 1,798,750(20.65%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Apr)- 761,300(9.68%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Apr)- 1,706,100(35.48%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Apr)- 444,300(6.39%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Apr)- 104,350(10.26%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18,731.16(-13.77 Points & -0.07%)
Nifty- closed at 5,688.70(-0.25 Points & 0.00%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,541.45(16.95 Points & 0.23%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,184.20(7.95 Points & 0.25%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5786
R2 5759
R1 5723
Avg 5696
S1 5660
S2 5633
S3 5597
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5751 Trgt 2
H5 5736 Trgt 1
H4 5722 Long breakout
H3 5705 Go Short
H2 5699
H1 5693
L1 5682
L2 5676
L3 5670 Long
L4 5653 Short Breakout
L5 5639 Trgt 1
L6 5624 Trgt 2
R3 5786
R2 5759
R1 5723
Avg 5696
S1 5660
S2 5633
S3 5597
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5751 Trgt 2
H5 5736 Trgt 1
H4 5722 Long breakout
H3 5705 Go Short
H2 5699
H1 5693
L1 5682
L2 5676
L3 5670 Long
L4 5653 Short Breakout
L5 5639 Trgt 1
L6 5624 Trgt 2
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2013
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels
R3 5796
R2 5764
R1 5729
Avg 5697
S1 5662
S2 5630
S3 5595
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5761 Trgt 2
H5 5746 Trgt 1
H4 5730 Long breakout
H3 5712 Go Short
H2 5706
H1 5700
L1 5687
L2 5681
L3 5675 Long
L4 5657 Short Breakout
L5 5641 Trgt 1
L6 5626 Trgt 2
R3 5796
R2 5764
R1 5729
Avg 5697
S1 5662
S2 5630
S3 5595
Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5761 Trgt 2
H5 5746 Trgt 1
H4 5730 Long breakout
H3 5712 Go Short
H2 5706
H1 5700
L1 5687
L2 5681
L3 5675 Long
L4 5657 Short Breakout
L5 5641 Trgt 1
L6 5626 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-04-2013
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels
R3 12324
R2 12205
R1 12090
Avg 11971
S1 11856
S2 11737
S3 11622
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12211 Trgt 2
H5 12157 Trgt 1
H4 12103 Long breakout
H3 12039 Go Short
H2 12017
H1 11996
L1 11953
L2 11932
L3 11910 Long
L4 11846 Short Breakout
L5 11792 Trgt 1
L6 11738 Trgt 2
R3 12324
R2 12205
R1 12090
Avg 11971
S1 11856
S2 11737
S3 11622
Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12211 Trgt 2
H5 12157 Trgt 1
H4 12103 Long breakout
H3 12039 Go Short
H2 12017
H1 11996
L1 11953
L2 11932
L3 11910 Long
L4 11846 Short Breakout
L5 11792 Trgt 1
L6 11738 Trgt 2
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