Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(15-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.88
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Apr-2013): 16.80

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,233
BSE Declines : 1,066
NSE Advances :   716
NSE Declines :   592

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400  CE(Apr)- -67,100(-6.94%)
Nifty- 5400  PE(Apr)-  1,150,100(17.53%)

Nifty- 5500  CE(Apr)- 449,550(12.73%)
Nifty- 5500  PE(Apr)- 1,804,050(27.34%)

Nifty- 5600  CE(Apr)- -516,350(-7.35%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Apr)-  655,250(12.09%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- 566,300(7.05%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)- -73,650(-2.97%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- -95,500(-1.31%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -90,500(-7.81%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,357.80(115.24 Points & 0.63%)
Nifty- closed at 5,568.40(39.85 Points & 0.72%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,421.45(1.90 Points & 0.03%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,148.55(19.55 Points & 0.62%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5698
R2 5645
R1 5606
Avg 5553
S1 5514
S2 5461
S3 5422

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5661     Trgt 2
H5 5639     Trgt 1
H4 5618     Long breakout
H3 5593     Go Short
H2 5584
H1 5576
L1 5559
L2 5551
L3 5542     Long
L4 5517     Short Breakout
L5 5496     Trgt 1
L6 5474     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5708
R2 5654
R1 5611
Avg 5557
S1 5514
S2 5460
S3 5417

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5666     Trgt 2
H5 5643     Trgt 1
H4 5621     Long breakout
H3 5594     Go Short
H2 5585
H1 5576
L1 5559
L2 5550
L3 5541     Long
L4 5514     Short Breakout
L5 5492     Trgt 1
L6 5469     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 12044
R2 11856
R1 11701
Avg 11513
S1 11358
S2 11170
S3 11015

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11895     Trgt 2
H5 11815     Trgt 1
H4 11734     Long breakout
H3 11640     Go Short
H2 11608
H1 11577
L1 11514
L2 11483
L3 11451     Long
L4 11357     Short Breakout
L5 11276     Trgt 1
L6 11196     Trgt 2

As busy therefore Stock Market Outlook is not being updated today

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook(Apr 15 to Apr 18,2013)

Nifty-EOD Chart (12-Apr-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Wave-3 beginning after 13 Months Wave-2 correction completion)
2- Wave 1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave 2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave 3(6111.80 on 29-01-2013)
5- Wave A(5663.60 on 04-03-2012)
6- Wave B(5971.20 on 11-03-2012)
7- Wave C of Wave 4 continuation with bottom formation at 5477.20 on 10-04-2012
8- 200 Day EMA at 5664 on 12-04-2012
9- 200 Day DMA at 5652 on 12-04-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Apr 15 to Apr 018,2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in last 7 Sessions intraday charts

1- Lower levels Supports and hIgher levels selling.
3- 7 Sessions actual trading between 5478-4645 

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

All trends are down after following crucial levels broken down confirmations:-

1- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
2- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(5664)
3- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day DMA(5652)
4- 5548.35(Strong support broken down)

Technically nothing is left for Bulls after crucial levels broken down confirmations but FIIs bought more than 3200 Cr in Stock Futures during April 2013 and lower levels supports were also seen in last 7 sessions as well as Indicators are showing positive divergence in Oversold zone therefore Pull Back Rally possibility turned alive and valid break out of previous 7 sessions trading range(5478-5610) should be firstly watched in next week for next Short Term Trend confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Apr-2013

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 12-Apr-2013 2858.2 2886.79 -28.59

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 12-Apr-2013 795.91 1107.83 -311.92

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.00
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Apr-2013): 16.71

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,031
BSE Declines : 1,275
NSE Advances :   548
NSE Declines :   761

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5400  CE(Apr)- -37,550(-3.74%)
Nifty- 5400  PE(Apr)- -529,000(-7.46%)

Nifty- 5500  CE(Apr)- 769,650(27.87%)
Nifty- 5500  PE(Apr)- -769,250(-10.44%)

Nifty- 5600  CE(Apr)- 1,208,750(20.79%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Apr)- -871,800(-13.85%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- 585,900(7.87%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)- -204,100(-7.62%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- 303,400(4.35%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -176,300(-13.20%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,242.56(-299.64 Points & -1.62%)
Nifty- closed at 5,528.55(-65.45 Points & -1.17%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,419.55(-6.00 Points & -0.08%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,129.00(-11.50 Points & -0.37%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5600
R2 5572
R1 5550
Avg 5522
S1 5500
S2 5472
S3 5450

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5578     Trgt 2
H5 5566     Trgt 1
H4 5555     Long breakout
H3 5541     Go Short
H2 5537
H1 5532
L1 5523
L2 5518
L3 5514     Long
L4 5500     Short Breakout
L5 5489     Trgt 1
L6 5477     Trgt 2

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-04-2013

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 5608
R2 5585
R1 5560
Avg 5537
S1 5512
S2 5489
S3 5464

Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5583     Trgt 2
H5 5572     Trgt 1
H4 5561     Long breakout
H3 5548     Go Short
H2 5543
H1 5539
L1 5530
L2 5526
L3 5521     Long
L4 5508     Short Breakout
L5 5497     Trgt 1
L6 5486     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-04-2013

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Levels

R3 11806
R2 11626
R1 11513
Avg 11333
S1 11220
S2 11040
S3 10927

Bank Nifty(Apr Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11700     Trgt 2
H5 11631     Trgt 1
H4 11562     Long breakout
H3 11481     Go Short
H2 11454
H1 11427
L1 11374
L2 11347
L3 11320     Long
L4 11239     Short Breakout
L5 11170     Trgt 1
L6 11101     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 15 to Apr 18,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5734
R2 5672
R1 5600
Avg 5538
S1 5466
S2 5404
S3 5332

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5663     Trgt 2
H5 5632     Trgt 1
H4 5601     Long breakout
H3 5564     Go Short
H2 5552
H1 5540
L1 5515
L2 5503
L3 5491     Long
L4 5454     Short Breakout
L5 5423     Trgt 1
L6 5392     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 15 to Apr 18,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 12159
R2 11801
R1 11605
Avg 11247
S1 11051
S2 10693
S3 10497

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 11990     Trgt 2
H5 11852     Trgt 1
H4 11714     Long breakout
H3 11562     Go Short
H2 11511
H1 11460
L1 11359
L2 11308
L3 11257     Long
L4 11105     Short Breakout
L5 10967     Trgt 1
L6 10829     Trgt 2

Mid-session Outlook(12-04-2013)

Although first 3 hours trading without selling patterns between 5522-5543 but this range broken down because sentiment is depressed today therefore immediate much down moves not seen. As some supports also seen at lower levels today therefore Very Short Term view is not bearish and break out of today actual trading range(5508-5543) should be watched for next moves confirmations towards next wider trading range(5478-5610)

Post-open Outlook(12-04-2013)

When INFY was trading near the top of day after gaining more than Rs 100/- then following line was told yesterday at 02:29 PM in Pre-Closing Outlook:-

As INFY was more than 30% up after previous results therefore selling can not be ruled out on the back of such bullish psychology today

As was told same happened and INFY is down more than 17% today after yesterday selling.

Technical positions have already been updated in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(12-04-2013) and INFY results led volatility today. As technical reverses sharply in such volatility therefore next moves will get confirmations after stabilising of market. 

It should be kept in mind that Technically nothing is left for Bulls after crucial levels broken down confirmations but FIIs bought more than 3200 Cr in Stock Futures during April 2013 and they were net buyers daily therefore firstly valid break out previous 2 sessions trading range(5478-5610) should be firstly watched for next trend confirmations because both buying and selling seen within this range and Nifty is trading within this range today amid most depressing sentiments.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(12-04-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Apr-2013):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5574-5589 
2- Support between 5542-5562
3- High volatility in last 2 hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 5542-5610

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Totally mixed patterns and technical positions reverses also during High volatility therefore Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves in the coming session. As Following 3 news today therefore again high volatility can not be ruled out:-

1- INFY results.
2- IIP numbers.
3- Inflation data.

Following crucial levels have already been broken down:-

1- 5548.35(Strong support because Wave v begun from this levels after almost 2 months range bound consolidations)
2- 5629.95(Top of Wave 1)
3- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day DMA at 5650 on 11-04-2012
4- Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA at 5666 on 11-04-2012

Although Bearish market confirmations through breaking down of above levels and until Nifty will not close and sustain above Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(5666) till then trend reversal will not be considered but positive moves indication also due to following reasons:-

1- Nifty closed 5548.35 in last 2 sessions. 
2- Lower levels supports also seen in last 2 sessions.
3- FIIs bought more than 3200 Cr in Stock Futures during April 2013 and they were net buyers daily.

Such high buying in Stock Futures does also mean that sentiment made depressed through Indices stocks and Futures selling and making long positions created through Stock Futures buying therefore emergence of 1st signal of up moves and coming sessions follow up positions will decide next trend.

Technically nothing is left for Bulls after above mentioned all crucial levels broken down confirmations but above mentioned 3 indications of Positive markets also seen therefore firstly valid break out of previous 2 sessions trading range(5478-5610) should be firstly watched for next trend confirmations because both buying and selling seen within this range.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 11-Apr-2013

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Apr-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 11-Apr-2013 3395.11 3358.48 36.63

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 11-Apr-2013 659.02 601.31 57.71

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Apr-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(11-Apr-2013): 16.83

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 869
BSE Declines : 812
NSE Advances : 700
NSE Declines : 611

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- -362,500(-11.60%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)-  1,228,100(20.00%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- -145,200(-2.44%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)-  628,450(11.09%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Apr)- -863,150(-10.39%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Apr)-  151,650(6.00%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Apr)- -767,200(-9.91%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Apr)- -47,550(-3.44%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 18,542.20(127.75 Points & 0.69%)
Nifty- closed at 5,594.00(35.30 Points & 0.64%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,425.55(-9.25 Points & -0.12%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,140.50(2.25 Points & 0.07 %)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-04-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5690
R2 5650
R1 5622
Avg 5582
S1 5554
S2 5514
S3 5486

Trading Strategy

H6 5662     Trgt 2
H5 5647     Trgt 1
H4 5631     Long breakout
H3 5612     Go Short
H2 5606
H1 5600
L1 5587
L2 5581
L3 5575     Long
L4 5556     Short Breakout
L5 5540     Trgt 1
L6 5525     Trgt 2