Weekly Outlook(Mar 18 to Mar 22,2013) and Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 16-03-2013 will be updated within next 3/4 hours today
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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 15-Mar-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(15-Mar-2013)
Main features of today trading are as follows
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio:1.09
Total Options Put Call Ratio:1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Mar-2013):17.72
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,089
BSE Declines : 1,786
NSE Advances : 517
NSE Declines : 1,007
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- -6,400(-1.47%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- -160,400(-2.20%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Mar)- -47,800(-4.05%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Mar)- 47,800(0.44%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Mar)- -176,650(-5.30%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Mar)- -775,700(-8.28%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Mar)- 216,150(3.80%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Mar)- -470,300(-7.92%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Mar)- 422,400(5.81%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Mar)- -535,700(-15.75%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,427.56(-142.88 Points & -0.73%)
Nifty- closed at 5,872.60(-36.35 Points & -0.62%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,725.70(-63.40 Points & -0.81%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,302.60(-18.75 Points & -0.56%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-03-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 6008
R2 5976
R1 5924
Avg 5892
S1 5840
S2 5808
S3 5756
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5956 Trgt 2
H5 5937 Trgt 1
H4 5918 Long breakout
H3 5895 Go Short
H2 5887
H1 5879
L1 5864
L2 5856
L3 5848 Long
L4 5825 Short Breakout
L5 5806 Trgt 1
L6 5787 Trgt 2
R3 6008
R2 5976
R1 5924
Avg 5892
S1 5840
S2 5808
S3 5756
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5956 Trgt 2
H5 5937 Trgt 1
H4 5918 Long breakout
H3 5895 Go Short
H2 5887
H1 5879
L1 5864
L2 5856
L3 5848 Long
L4 5825 Short Breakout
L5 5806 Trgt 1
L6 5787 Trgt 2
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-03-2013
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 6036
R2 6001
R1 5949
Avg 5914
S1 5862
S2 5827
S3 5775
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5984 Trgt 2
H5 5964 Trgt 1
H4 5944 Long breakout
H3 5920 Go Short
H2 5912
H1 5904
L1 5889
L2 5881
L3 5873 Long
L4 5849 Short Breakout
L5 5829 Trgt 1
L6 5809 Trgt 2
R3 6036
R2 6001
R1 5949
Avg 5914
S1 5862
S2 5827
S3 5775
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5984 Trgt 2
H5 5964 Trgt 1
H4 5944 Long breakout
H3 5920 Go Short
H2 5912
H1 5904
L1 5889
L2 5881
L3 5873 Long
L4 5849 Short Breakout
L5 5829 Trgt 1
L6 5809 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-03-2013
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 12341
R2 12220
R1 12049
Avg 11928
S1 11757
S2 11636
S3 11465
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12172 Trgt 2
H5 12106 Trgt 1
H4 12039 Long breakout
H3 11959 Go Short
H2 11932
H1 11905
L1 11852
L2 11825
L3 11798 Long
L4 11718 Short Breakout
L5 11651 Trgt 1
L6 11585 Trgt 2
R3 12341
R2 12220
R1 12049
Avg 11928
S1 11757
S2 11636
S3 11465
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12172 Trgt 2
H5 12106 Trgt 1
H4 12039 Long breakout
H3 11959 Go Short
H2 11932
H1 11905
L1 11852
L2 11825
L3 11798 Long
L4 11718 Short Breakout
L5 11651 Trgt 1
L6 11585 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 18 to Mar 22,2013)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 6143
R2 6057
R1 5964
Avg 5878
S1 5785
S2 5699
S3 5606
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6053 Trgt 2
H5 6011 Trgt 1
H4 5970 Long breakout
H3 5921 Go Short
H2 5904
H1 5888
L1 5855
L2 5839
L3 5822 Long
L4 5773 Short Breakout
L5 5732 Trgt 1
L6 5690 Trgt 2
R3 6143
R2 6057
R1 5964
Avg 5878
S1 5785
S2 5699
S3 5606
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6053 Trgt 2
H5 6011 Trgt 1
H4 5970 Long breakout
H3 5921 Go Short
H2 5904
H1 5888
L1 5855
L2 5839
L3 5822 Long
L4 5773 Short Breakout
L5 5732 Trgt 1
L6 5690 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 18 to Mar 22,2013)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 12872
R2 12556
R1 12186
Avg 11870
S1 11500
S2 11184
S3 10814
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 12517 Trgt 2
H5 12355 Trgt 1
H4 12193 Long breakout
H3 12004 Go Short
H2 11941
H1 11878
L1 11753
L2 11690
L3 11627 Long
L4 11438 Short Breakout
L5 11276 Trgt 1
L6 11114 Trgt 2
R3 12872
R2 12556
R1 12186
Avg 11870
S1 11500
S2 11184
S3 10814
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 12517 Trgt 2
H5 12355 Trgt 1
H4 12193 Long breakout
H3 12004 Go Short
H2 11941
H1 11878
L1 11753
L2 11690
L3 11627 Long
L4 11438 Short Breakout
L5 11276 Trgt 1
L6 11114 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook(15-03-2013)
Although Indian markets moved up sharply after WPI data yesterday but we clearly mentioned next Resistances between 5940-5970 in all the previous Outlooks as well as told the condition of valid break out above 5970 for the confirmation of any uptrend. We told following lines in Preparation for Post Credit Policy Trend:-
1- 5874-5893(crossed yesterday but sustaining above is required yet)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)
Nifty could not sustain above mentioned resistances despite trading above 5940 today and slipped more than .75% down after loosing more than .50% gains. As today down moves are without as such selling patterns therefore will be understood only intraday volatility and sustaining beyond following crucial levels will decide next trend:-
1- 5874-5893(1st indication)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)
3- 5792-5920( Next trend confirmation)
1- 5874-5893(crossed yesterday but sustaining above is required yet)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)
Nifty could not sustain above mentioned resistances despite trading above 5940 today and slipped more than .75% down after loosing more than .50% gains. As today down moves are without as such selling patterns therefore will be understood only intraday volatility and sustaining beyond following crucial levels will decide next trend:-
1- 5874-5893(1st indication)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)
3- 5792-5920( Next trend confirmation)
Post-open Outlook(15-03-2013)
As most Asian markets moved up sharply in last 1 hour and some turned more than .75% up from negative zone trading therefore sudden improvement in sentiment and benchmark Indices are more than half pct up. Resultant good opening in Indian markets and Nifty traded between next and most crucial resistance range(5940-5970),firstly sustaining beyond 5940 should be watched for next moves first strong indication.
Nifty(Mar Fut)- Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 15-03-2013
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Buy at or above:-5948
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1st Targets:5964
2nd Targets:5983
3rd Targets:6003
4th Targets:6022
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Stop Loss:5929
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Sell at or below:-5929
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1st Targets:5912
2nd Targets:5893
3rd Targets:5874
4th Targets:5855
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Stop Loss:5948
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Trading guidance:-
1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.
6- Firstly go through today Outlooks also for better profits and more accuracy.
Buy at or above:-5948
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1st Targets:5964
2nd Targets:5983
3rd Targets:6003
4th Targets:6022
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Stop Loss:5929
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Sell at or below:-5929
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1st Targets:5912
2nd Targets:5893
3rd Targets:5874
4th Targets:5855
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Stop Loss:5948
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Trading guidance:-
1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.
6- Firstly go through today Outlooks also for better profits and more accuracy.
Preparation for Post Credit Policy Trend
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(15-03-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Sharp down after opening and sideways trading till WPI inflation data announcement
2- Slow up moves in Rising Channel after WPI inflation data announcement.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5792-5920
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Sharp down immediately after opening and sideways trading till WPI inflation data announcement. As Core inflation reduced therefore recovery on expectations of rates cut by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013. Although Nifty crossed immediate resistance(5893) and it is strong indication of strength but on the back of positive news flow and up moves were without required force therefore selling development can not be ruled out.
Sentiment turned strong after sharp surge yesterday and Indian markets will trade under the sentiment of rate cut expectations and prepare for post Credit Policy moves. As strong resistances between 5940-5970 therefore any decisive up trend will be possible after valid break out above 5970 and till then range bound market is expected between 5792-5970 under all types of Bullish/Bearish sentiments in pre Credit Policy sessions.
Pre-open Outlook(15-03-2013)
Although US markets closed with sufficient gains yesterday but Asian markets are mixed today morning therefore sentiment is quiet and expected that Nifty will firstly hover around 5900. Strength of resistances are as follows:-
1- 5874-5893(crossed yesterday but sustaining above is required yet)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)
Following levels should be firstly watched:-
1- 5874(valid break down will mean fresh down moves)
2- 5893-5940(trading positions within this range will form next trends)
As market has to prepare for next trend therefore post Credit Policy moves will be ubderstood from intraday charts patterns formations and will be updated in Mid-session Outlooks.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Mar-2013
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 6084
R2 6002
R1 5955
Avg 5873
S1 5826
S2 5744
S3 5697
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6039 Trgt 2
H5 6009 Trgt 1
H4 5978 Long breakout
H3 5943 Go Short
H2 5931
H1 5919
L1 5896
L2 5884
L3 5872 Long
L4 5837 Short Breakout
L5 5806 Trgt 1
L6 5776 Trgt 2
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2013
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 6134
R2 6041
R1 5990
Avg 5897
S1 5846
S2 5753
S3 5702
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6086 Trgt 2
H5 6052 Trgt 1
H4 6018 Long breakout
H3 5978 Go Short
H2 5965
H1 5952
L1 5925
L2 5912
L3 5899 Long
L4 5859 Short Breakout
L5 5825 Trgt 1
L6 5791 Trgt 2
R3 6134
R2 6041
R1 5990
Avg 5897
S1 5846
S2 5753
S3 5702
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6086 Trgt 2
H5 6052 Trgt 1
H4 6018 Long breakout
H3 5978 Go Short
H2 5965
H1 5952
L1 5925
L2 5912
L3 5899 Long
L4 5859 Short Breakout
L5 5825 Trgt 1
L6 5791 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2013
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 12828
R2 12480
R1 12285
Avg 11937
S1 11742
S2 11394
S3 11199
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12656 Trgt 2
H5 12522 Trgt 1
H4 12388 Long breakout
H3 12239 Go Short
H2 12189
H1 12139
L1 12040
L2 11990
L3 11940 Long
L4 11791 Short Breakout
L5 11657 Trgt 1
L6 11523 Trgt 2
R3 12828
R2 12480
R1 12285
Avg 11937
S1 11742
S2 11394
S3 11199
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12656 Trgt 2
H5 12522 Trgt 1
H4 12388 Long breakout
H3 12239 Go Short
H2 12189
H1 12139
L1 12040
L2 11990
L3 11940 Long
L4 11791 Short Breakout
L5 11657 Trgt 1
L6 11523 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(14-03-2013)
As today rally is news based and on rate cut expectations by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013 therefore follow up moves in the coming 2 sessions will be watched for next moves confirmations. Strong resistances between 5940-5970 and sustaining it beyond after Credit Policy will be confirmations of next big trend and expected that till then Nifty will trade between 5792-5970 under all types of Bullish/Bearish sentiments.
Mid-session Outlook(14-03-2013)
As Core inflation reduced therefore recovery from lower levels on rate cut expectations by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013. Nifty is trading above immediate resistance(5893) for the last 1 hour and it is strong indication of strength. Market showed good enthusiasm after inflation data and it may remain continued up to Credit Policy as well as follow up trading positions tomorrow and next Monday will decide next trend but should be kept in mind that any decisive up trend will be possible after valid break out above 5970 and till then range bound market is expected between 5792-5970.
Post-open Outlook(14-03-2013)
Following Formula was posted first time today:-
Profits=Our today Outlook+Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 14-03-2013
That correction is being seen today which was clearly told not only yesterday but being updated since 08-03-2013. WPI data today and it may lead volatility,any decisive up move will be considered only above 5970
Profits=Our today Outlook+Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 14-03-2013
That correction is being seen today which was clearly told not only yesterday but being updated since 08-03-2013. WPI data today and it may lead volatility,any decisive up move will be considered only above 5970
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