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Mid-session Outlook(14-03-2013)

As Core inflation reduced therefore recovery from lower levels on rate cut expectations by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013. Nifty is trading above immediate resistance(5893) for the last 1 hour and it is strong indication of strength. Market showed good enthusiasm after inflation data and it may remain continued up to Credit Policy as well as follow up trading positions tomorrow and next Monday will decide next trend but should be kept in mind that any decisive up trend will be possible after valid break out above 5970 and till then range bound market is expected between 5792-5970.  

Post-open Outlook(14-03-2013)

Following Formula was posted first time today:-

Profits=Our today Outlook+Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 14-03-2013 

That correction is being seen today which was clearly told not only yesterday but being updated since 08-03-2013. WPI data today and it may lead volatility,any decisive up move will be considered only above 5970
Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 14-03-2013 has been posted today. Firstly  go through today Outlook in following topic also for better profits and more accuracy:- 

Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 14-03-2013

 -------------------------------
Buy at or above:-5870
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5888
2nd Targets:5907
3rd Targets:5927
4th Targets:5947

Stop Loss:5852
-------------------------------
Sell at or below:-5852
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5835
2nd Targets:5815
3rd Targets:5796
4th Targets:5775

-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5870
-------------------------------

Trading guidance:-

1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.
6- Firstly  go through today Outlooks also for better profits and more accuracy.

Correction Continuation

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (13-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- First 5 hours selling between 5874-5893
2- Closing near lower levels of the day.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5843-5893 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although Nifty closed with good gains on 08-03-2013 but we were not convinced and clearly showed our doubts on further up moves and told following lines on 09-03-2013 in 'Trading within Range Market and not Trending' 

Although strong rally on 08-03-2013 but without intraday charts complete consolidations and on the back of strong Global cues therefore market is not prepared for next sustained up moves. As Nifty traded between and below next resistance(5940-5970) with intraday charts selling patterns formations also therefore Nifty is not prepared for decisive up moves above 5970.

Nifty honored our above statement and reversed from 5971.30 in this week. We told only for Pull Back rally completion and  more down moves in almost all the Outlooks since 08-03-2013,anyone can verify this fact from "Archieve at the bottom of Blog" because we always tell with those proofs which no one can deny.


We clearly told for down moves yesterday also and told following lines in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(13-03-2013)

1- possibility of Pull Back rally termination as well as down moves in the coming sessions.
2- despite more down moves possibility.


As was continuously told same happened in first 5 hours today and selling was seen between 5874-5893 after gap down opening and closing near lower levels of the day as well as more down moves will be seen in the coming sessions. As selling markets remains more volatile therefore some up moves may be seen from lower levels but today good selling between 5874-5893 and this range has become immediate resistance,until Nifty will not sustain above it till then next up move will not be considered. 

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII13-Mar-2013 2508.122204.29303.83

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII13-Mar-2013 687.281121.66-434.38

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Mar-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.37
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.30
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Mar-2013): 17.64

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances :   960
BSE Declines : 1,930
NSE Advances :   403
NSE Declines : 1,115

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600  CE(Mar)- -2,450(-0.56%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Mar)- 1,418,100(15.46%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Mar)- -95,400(-7.23%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Mar)- 1,092,050(9.10%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Mar)- 753,150(25.74%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Mar)- -922,400(-8.66%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Mar)- 894,450(16.28%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Mar)- -608,450(-8.39%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,362.55(-202.37 Points & -1.03%)
Nifty- closed at 5,851.20(-62.90 Points & -1.06%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,728.10(-79.85 Points & -1.02%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,317.30(-44.15 Points & -1.31%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5933
R2 5913
R1 5882
Avg 5862
S1 5831
S2 5811
S3 5780

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5902     Trgt 2
H5 5890     Trgt 1
H4 5879     Long breakout
H3 5865     Go Short
H2 5860
H1 5855
L1 5846
L2 5841
L3 5836     Long
L4 5822     Short Breakout
L5 5811     Trgt 1
L6 5799     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5960
R2 5938
R1 5902
Avg 5880
S1 5844
S2 5822
S3 5786

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5925     Trgt 2
H5 5912     Trgt 1
H4 5898     Long breakout
H3 5882     Go Short
H2 5877
H1 5872
L1 5861
L2 5856
L3 5851     Long
L4 5835     Short Breakout
L5 5822     Trgt 1
L6 5808     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12229
R2 12139
R1 11981
Avg 11891
S1 11733
S2 11643
S3 11485

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12071     Trgt 2
H5 12015     Trgt 1
H4 11959     Long breakout
H3 11891     Go Short
H2 11868
H1 11845
L1 11800
L2 11777
L3 11754     Long
L4 11686     Short Breakout
L5 11630     Trgt 1
L6 11574     Trgt 2
As busy therefore Mid-session Outlooks are not being updated today

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(13-03-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5938-5950
1- Support between 5894-5912
3- Whole day actual trading between 5894-5950

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 


Although down moves were seen today but We clearly told again and again only for down moves in almost all the previous 4 days Outlooks. Importance of next resistance range(5940-5970) was also updated in almost all the topics since 09-03-2013 and more than 8 nours trading was seen between this range in last 2 sessions. As selling seen therefore mentioned resistance range has become stronger and possibility of Pull Back rally termination as well as down moves in the coming sessions.

WPI inflation on 14 and  RBI credit policy on 19 March therefore coming sessions may be volatile news generated follow up moves will be watched and will be updated accordingly.  Valid break out of 5890-5970 will be next trend firstly strong indication therefore should be firstly watched in the coming sessions despite more down moves possibility.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Mar-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Mar-2013 2740.662007.41733.25

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Mar-2013 625.671503.05-877.38

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6024
R2 5988
R1 5965
Avg 5929
S1 5906
S2 5870
S3 5847

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6001     Trgt 2
H5 5987     Trgt 1
H4 5974     Long breakout
H3 5958     Go Short
H2 5952
H1 5947
L1 5936
L2 5931
L3 5925     Long
L4 5909     Short Breakout
L5 5896     Trgt 1
L6 5882     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 6031
R2 6003
R1 5970
Avg 5942
S1 5909
S2 5881
S3 5848

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5998     Trgt 2
H5 5984     Trgt 1
H4 5970     Long breakout
H3 5953     Go Short
H2 5948
H1 5942
L1 5931
L2 5925
L3 5920     Long
L4 5903     Short Breakout
L5 5889     Trgt 1
L6 5875     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12432
R2 12327
R1 12215
Avg 12110
S1 11998
S2 11893
S3 11781

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12322     Trgt 2
H5 12273     Trgt 1
H4 12223     Long breakout
H3 12163     Go Short
H2 12143
H1 12123
L1 12084
L2 12064
L3 12044     Long
L4 11984     Short Breakout
L5 11934     Trgt 1
L6 11885     Trgt 2

Mid-session Outlook(12-03-2013)

We clearly told only for down moves in almost all the previous Outlooks and it was seen today as well as we gave following range on 09-03-2013 in Trading within Range Market and not Trending;- 

5890-5970(First indication) 

Nifty honored our above given range and traded till now between 5,893.65-5971.30. As both buying and selling seen within this range therefore expected that Nifty will trade more time within this range and its valid break out will decide next trend. 

NIFTY-Mar Put Option(5900)-Positional Buying of 11-03-2013-Covering

NIFTY-Mar PE(5900)-Positional Bought on 11-03-2013-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-62.50(Lalit39)

NIFTY-Mar Put Option(5900)-Positional Buying of 11-03-2013-Message

NIFTY-Mar PE(5900)-Bought on 11-03-2013-IIP data today and Market will be volatile. Just hold and cover after my covering message(Lalit39)

Down moves with Pull Back rally completion Possibility

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5950-5970
2- Lower levels minor supports.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5950-5970

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis

Although lower levels minor supports but higher levels good selling therefore down moves will be seen tomorrow and possibility of Pull Back rally completion also because selling was seen today between  resistance range(5940-5970). Follow up selling and sustaining below 5970 will be more down moves after Pull Back rally completion confirmations.