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Post-open Outlook(08-03-2013)

Rally continuations and now trading at 5913 after clearing of resistance above 5895 but buying should be done after intraday correction completion because sharp surge immediately after opening and some profit booking is possible at higher levels.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(08-03-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5803-5823. 
2- Whole day actual trading between 5803-5875. 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Long Term Trend is up,Intermediate Term Trend is down and Short Term Trend turned up after lower levels good consolidations and rally within resistance range(5800-5895) yesterday. As Short Term Indicators were oversold therefore Pull Back Rally was due and it was seen yesterday and until intraday selling patterns will not develop till then its continuation will be expected. As no intraday selling seen therefore up moves continuation willl be expected.

Nifty traded 61 previous sessions between 5823-6111 with Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern formations and its Neckline(5823) as well as 61 sessions range broken down on 26-03-2013 but Nifty reentered mentioned range yesterday after passing 7 sessions below 5823. As Nifty Slipped below 5823 after good higher levels selling in 61 sessions therefore strong resistances up to 6110 and complete follow up consolidation is required for up moves continuation. As up moves continuation after 'ABC' waves formations therefore correction completion possibility will also be considered.

Pre-open Outlook(08-03-2013)

Sentiment is heated today after yesterday rally and strong moves in some Asian markets therefore profit booking possibility can not be ruled out today and firstly mentioned resistance range(5800-5895) valid break out should be watched for next rally confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 01-Mar-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII01-Mar-2013 999988881111

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII01-Mar-2013 555533332222

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5970
R2 5924
R1 5893
Avg 5847
S1 5816
S2 5770
S3 5739

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5940     Trgt 2
H5 5923     Trgt 1
H4 5905     Long breakout
H3 5884     Go Short
H2 5877
H1 5870
L1 5855
L2 5848
L3 5841     Long
L4 5820     Short Breakout
L5 5802     Trgt 1
L6 5785     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 6009
R2 5956
R1 5922
Avg 5869
S1 5835
S2 5782
S3 5748

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5977     Trgt 2
H5 5956     Trgt 1
H4 5936     Long breakout
H3 5912     Go Short
H2 5904
H1 5896
L1 5881
L2 5873
L3 5865     Long
L4 5841     Short Breakout
L5 5821     Trgt 1
L6 5800     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12282
R2 12164
R1 12095
Avg 11977
S1 11908
S2 11790
S3 11721

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12215     Trgt 2
H5 12172     Trgt 1
H4 12128     Long breakout
H3 12077     Go Short
H2 12060
H1 12043
L1 12008
L2 11991
L3 11974     Long
L4 11923     Short Breakout
L5 11879     Trgt 1
L6 11836     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(07-03-2013)

As Nifty is trading between resistance range(5800-5895) and fresh consolidation is required for any up move therefore up moves are slow. Although Nifty slipped below 5828 but lower levels good consolidations today and yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5796 till then any down move will not be considered and sustaining above 5828 will be strong indication of up moves continuation. 

Mid-session Outlook(07-03-2013)

Clear consolidations patterns at lower levels today and some intraday up moves were also seen after positive opening of European markets. As intraday selling was seen at higher levels yesterday therefore some more consolidations are required for valid break out above yesterday highs(5828). Fresh up moves expectations turned alive after lower levels consolidations today and only valid break out above 5828 should be watched now for fresh up moves confirmations.

Post-open Outlook(07-03-2013)

Following lines were told yesterday in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(07-03-2013):-

1- good selling at higher levels today and follow up selling tomorrow will mean firstly down moves toward 5665 after completion of Bounce back.
2- As mixed intraday positions today therefore Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between today trading range.
3- Although down moves below 5796 are expected but valid break out of 5796-5828 should be watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

Down moves were expected and Nifty is trading in Red since opening today with lowest formation at 5801.30. Valid break out of 5796-5828 should be firstly watched today for next trend confirmations.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(07-03-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (06-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 5796-5802
2- Selling between 5818-5828
3- Whole day actual trading between 5796-5828 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Strong Global cues led gap up opening and slow up moves after lower levels supports but higher levels good selling also despite closing near intraday higher levels. As mixed intraday positions today therefore Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between today trading range. It should be kept in mind that good selling at higher levels today and follow up selling tomorrow will mean firstly down moves toward 5665 after completion of Bounce back. 

Although down moves below 5796 are expected but valid break out of 5796-5828 should be watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations. 

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 06-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII06-Mar-2013 3505.682981.63524.05

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII06-Mar-2013 938.921538.91-599.99

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5865
R2 5846
R1 5832
Avg 5813
S1 5799
S2 5780
S3 5766

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5851     Trgt 2
H5 5843     Trgt 1
H4 5836     Long breakout
H3 5827     Go Short
H2 5824
H1 5821
L1 5814
L2 5811
L3 5808     Long
L4 5799     Short Breakout
L5 5792     Trgt 1
L6 5784     Trgt 2

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 06-Mar-2013


Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5891
R2 5870
R1 5855
Avg 5834
S1 5819
S2 5798
S3 5783

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5877     Trgt 2
H5 5868     Trgt 1
H4 5860     Long breakout
H3 5850     Go Short
H2 5847
H1 5844
L1 5837
L2 5834
L3 5831     Long
L4 5821     Short Breakout
L5 5813     Trgt 1
L6 5804     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12033
R2 11988
R1 11955
Avg 11910
S1 11877
S2 11832
S3 11799

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12000     Trgt 2
H5 11982     Trgt 1
H4 11964     Long breakout
H3 11943     Go Short
H2 11936
H1 11929
L1 11914
L2 11907
L3 11900     Long
L4 11879     Short Breakout
L5 11861     Trgt 1
L6 11843     Trgt 2

Mid-session Outlook-2(06-03-2013)

Following lines have been told in both previous Outlooks:-

1- lacking strength and view is cautious because emergence of selling signals also
2- As today up moves are without required force and it is selling signal therefore view is cautious
3- As consolidations are required for decisive up moves and continuation of yesterday started rally therefore Nifty will prepare for next moves between 5795-5821 and break out of this range will give confirmation of market reaction toward mentioned resistance.
4- valid break out of mentioned range will give next trend confirmations and should be firstly watched.

Although Nifty moved and traded half hour above 5821 as well as formed intraday high at 5,828.25 but again slipped below 5821 and then again traded at 5811. At present lower levels supports and higher levels selling confirmations between 5795-5828 and follow up moves within this range in the coming hours as well as valid break out of 5795-5828 should be watched now for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(06-03-2013)

As today up moves are without required force and it is selling signal therefore view is cautious. Nifty is trading between resistance range(5800-5895) and intraday corrections with consolidations are required for decisive up moves within this range. 

Nifty firstly traded at 5821 within 1st minute of opening and since then trading below it after forming lowest at 5795.05. As consolidations are required for decisive up moves and continuation of yesterday started rally therefore Nifty will prepare for next moves between 5795-5821 and break out of this range will give confirmation of market reaction toward mentioned resistance and:-

1- Above 5821 will mean up moves after possibility of follow up consolidations within resistance range.
2- Below 5795 will mean down moves and strengthening of resistance.

Follow up moves in the coming hours and valid break out of mentioned range will give next trend confirmations and should be firstly watched.

Post-open Outlook(06-03-2013)

Positive zone trading after after good gap up opening but lacking strength and view is cautious because emergence of selling signals also.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(06-03-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation Patterns between 5725-5740 
2- Consolidation Patterns between 5747-5757 
3- Whole day actual trading between 5725-5789

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Whole day up moves with lower level consolidations and closing near higher levels of the day but multiple resistances between 5800-5895 therefore more consolidation is required for any decisive up moves between and above this range. Intermediate and Short term trends are down and Long Term Trend is up,Pull Back Rally continuation after panic bottom formation after Budget and more up moves will be seen also because no selling seen yesterday. Lot of consolidations between 5800-5895 and more confirmations are required for the projection of rally formations,let it happen then will be updated accordingly. Firstly following retracement levels should be watched for the targets of on going up moves:-

27.0%- 5784
38.2%- 5834(Most crucial)
50.0%- 5887(Most crucial)
61.8%- 5940(Most crucial)
70.7%- 5980

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 05-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII05-Mar-2013 3439.843219.05220.79

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII05-Mar-2013 1164.081408.88-244.8