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Mid-session Outlook-2(13-02-2013)

As intraday selling patterns formations and negative news of corruption in I. A. F. Helicopter deal therefore cautious view was updated in previous Outlook and market slip also from higher levels. Next moves preparation trading range is 5883-5984 and its break out should be watched for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(13-02-2013)

Some confusion today due to news of corruption in I. A. F. Helicopter deal therefore view is cautious and until Nifty will not sustain above today highs and 5984 till then immediate up move will not be considered.

NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Bought on 12-02-2013-Covering

NIFTY-(Jan CE-6000)-Bought on 12-02-2013--Cover immediately-CMP-48(Lalit39)

Post-open Outlook(13-02-2013)

Although strong rally today but when Indian markets were in Red after weaker IIP data then also we did not posted Bearish views but on the contrary told for Up Moves:-

1- At 02:18 PM:- "intraday patterns are showing buying formations therefore up moves possibility above 5915 has increased"

2- At 12:59 PM:-"As market digested negative news and got support at lower levels today therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5883 till then further down move will not be considered"


Strong rally today but equally strong resistances are between 5970-5984 and once sustaining above 5984 will mean fast up moves after Pre Budget Rally confirmations.   

Pull Back rally on Cards

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 11 to Feb 13,2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 Sessions intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5883-5900.
2- 2 Sessions most time trading between 5883-5915
3- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5883-5927

Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

As 2 Sessions most time trading between 5883-5915 with lower levels good supports and consolidation patterns formations therefore this range broken out in last hour on 12-02-2013. Expected that Pull Back rally will be seen in the coming sessions but resistances are lying between 5930-5984 therefore fresh consolidation is required for sustaining above 5984 and market will take its complete time to complete consolidation process.

Firstly Pull Back rally is expected and after sustaining above 5984 strong rally will be seen.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Feb-2013 2528.321924.16604.16

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Feb-2013 814.971227.12-412.15

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Feb-2013


Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- CNX Midcap and CNX Smallcap closed in Red.
3- White Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.92
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Feb-2013): 17.83

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances :
BSE Declines :
NSE Advances :
NSE Declines :

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- 45,850(6.02%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)- -35,800(-0.55%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- -7,800(-0.29%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)-  365,600(5.32%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- -30,450(-0.52%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)-  34,600(0.93%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- -27,350 (-0.37%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)- -48,150(-3.09%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19561.04(100.47 Points & 0.52%)
Nifty- closed at 5,922.50(24.65 Points & 0.42%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,063.00(-30.35 Points & -0.37%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,484.00(-11.65 Points & -0.33%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5978
R2 5952
R1 5937
Avg 5911
S1 5896
S2 5870
S3 5855

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6  5963    Trgt 2 
H5  5953    Trgt 1
H4  5944    Long breakout 
H3  5933    Go Short 
H2  5929 
H1  5925
L1  5918
L2  5914
L3  5910     Long 
L4  5899     Short Breakout 
L5  5890    Trgt 1 
L6  5880    Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6001
R2 5974
R1 5957
Avg 5930
S1 5913
S2 5886
S3 5869

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5985     Trgt 2 
H5 5975     Trgt 1
H4 5965     Long breakout 
H3 5953     Go Short 
H2 5949
H1 5945
L1 5936
L2 5932
L3 5928     Long 
L4 5916     Short Breakout 
L5 5906     Trgt 1 
L6 5896     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12649
R2 12559
R1 12508
Avg 12418
S1 12367
S2 12277
S3 12226

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12599     Trgt 2 
H5 12567     Trgt 1
H4 12534     Long breakout 
H3 12495     Go Short 
H2 12482
H1 12469
L1 12444
L2 12431
L3 12418     Long 
L4 12379     Short Breakout 
L5 12346     Trgt 1 
L6 12314     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Feb Call Option-Buying Trade

NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Buy-Positional-SL-24-TGT-64-CMP-42(Lalit39)

Pre-Closing Outlook(12-02-2013)

We never posted bearish views despite weaker IIP data but also told following lines:-

1- At 02:18 PM:- "intraday patterns are showing buying formations therefore up moves possibility above 5915 has increased"

2- At 12:59 PM:-"As market digested negative news and got support at lower levels today therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5883 till then further down move will not be considered"

Last 2 days range broken out after lower levels good consolidations therefore more up moves are expected and strong rally will be seen after sustaining above next resistance

Mid-session Outlook-3(12-02-2013)

Although slipping from intraday high levels in last more than 90 minutes but intraday patterns are showing buying formations therefore up moves possibility above 5915 has increased but its valid break out should also be firstly watched.

Mid-session Outlook-2(12-02-2013)

As down moves after weaker IIP data were lacking required force therefore we did not projected more down moves and told for next moves confirmations through valid break out 5883-5915. Yesterday higher levels selling and lower levels supports were seen within mentioned range and today negative news generated volatility is being seen.

As market digested negative news and got support at lower levels today therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5883 till then further down move will not be considered and valid break out above 5915 will mean rally possibility after on going correction completion strong indication.

Mid-session Outlook(12-02-2013)

Trading between 5889-5912 today but down moves were lacking required force after the news of weaker IIP data and valid break out of yesterday trading range(5883-5915) should be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.

Next Trend Decider 5883-5915

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(12-02-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Feb-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5883-5900.
2- 5 Waves of Bearish Rising Wedge formation.
3- Selling between 5907-5915
4- Whole day actual trading between 5883-5915. 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Just click following topic link and understand Daily Chart analysis:-


32 Points narrow range trading with lower level supports and consolidations and slipping also from higher levels after Bearish Rising Wedge formation and selling as well. As  mixed intraday patterns formations within 5883-5915 today therefore its valid break out should be firstly watched tomorrow for following next decisive moves confirmations:-

1- 38.2%(5895) retracement completed on 08-02-2013 and sustaining below 5883 after follow up selling will mean testing possibility of next support at 5823.

2- Intraday support also seen near about 5895 today and sustaining above 5915 after follow up consolidation will mean Short Term Up moves possibility but on going correction completion confirmation will be above next resistance range(5930-5984).

Valid Break Out of 5883-5915 should be firstly watched tomorrow for next Trend confirmations.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII11-Feb-20133630.492634.66995.83

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII11-Feb-2013668.091608.99-940.9

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Most Indices closed in Red but BANK NIFTY closed in Green.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.87
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.83
Nifty P/E Ratio(11-Feb-2013): 17.72

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,222
BSE Declines : 1,616 
NSE Advances :   622
NSE Declines :   897

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700  CE(Feb)- -8,150(-2.76%) 
Nifty- 5700  PE(Feb)- -591,600(-10.15%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- 106,700(16.28%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)- 397,450(6.48%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- 432,750(19.40%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)- -265,200(-3.72%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- 319,300(5.73%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)- -330,600(-8.17%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19517(-24.20 Points & -0.12%)
Nifty- closed at 5,897.85(-5.65 Points & -0.10%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,093.35(-16.10 Points & -0.20%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,495.65(-6.55 Points & -0.19%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5966
R2 5945
R1 5921
Avg 5900
S1 5876
S2 5855
S3 5831

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5942     Trgt 2
H5 5931     Trgt 1
H4 5921     Long breakout
H3 5909     Go Short
H2 5905
H1 5901
L1 5892
L2 5888
L3 5884     Long
L4 5872     Short Breakout
L5 5862     Trgt 1
L6 5851     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 5969
R2 5953
R1 5937
Avg 5921
S1 5905
S2 5889
S3 5873

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5953     Trgt 2 
H5 5945     Trgt 1
H4 5938     Long breakout 
H3 5929     Go Short 
H2 5926
H1 5923
L1 5918
L2 5915
L3 5912     Long 
L4 5903     Short Breakout 
L5 5896     Trgt 1 
L6 5888     Trgt 2