Certainly misunderstood market today.Sorry.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Positional Buying of 07-02-2013-Covering
NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Positional Bought on 07-02-2013-Cover immediately-CMP-38(Lalit39)
Mid-session Outlook(08-02-2013)
Although market slipped from higher levels and also trading below yesterday lowest but intraday patterns are not suggesting selling but on the contrary showing consolidation formations therefore up moves continuation hopes are still alive with same expectations which were updated yesterday in previous Outlook.
Up Moves after Correction Completion Today
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Feb-2013):-
1- Support between 5928-5938
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Whole day actual trading between 5928-5978
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 5928-5938
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
3- Whole day actual trading between 5928-5978
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although previous support at 5941 broken down and trading below it also today but Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel as well as lower levels supports therefore fresh up moves will begin from tomorrow and Nifty will trade between 6000-6100 in the coming sessions after correction completion today.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 07-Feb-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(07-Feb-2013)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except CNX IT and CNX AUTO.
2- Slipping after weaker GDP data.
3- Inverted Hammer/Gravestone Doji Bullish formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.86
Nifty P/E Ratio(07-Feb-2013):17.85
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 966
BSE Declines : 1,868
NSE Advances : 445
NSE Declines : 1,043
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Feb)- -12,300(-3.91%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Feb)- 226,050(3.79%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Feb)- 53,200(11.48%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Feb)- 873,700(18.87%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Feb)- 210,500(15.20%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Feb)- 918,550(17.19%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Feb)- 707,150(17.51%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Feb)- 103,250(2.47%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Feb)- 1,056,850(16.51%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Feb)- -113,850(-6.17%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,580.32(-59.40 Points & -0.30%)
Nifty- closed at 5,938.80(-20.40 Points & -0.34%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,171.80(-66.45 Points & -0.81%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,534.80(-44.80 Points & -1.25%)
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-02-2013
R3 6040
R2 6016
R1 5988
Avg 5964
S1 5936
S2 5912
S3 5884
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6013 Trgt 2
H5 6001 Trgt 1
H4 5989 Long breakout
H3 5975 Go Short
H2 5970
H1 5965
L1 5956
L2 5951
L3 5946 Long
L4 5932 Short Breakout
L5 5920 Trgt 1
L6 5908 Trgt 2
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-02-2013
R3 6040
R2 6016
R1 5988
Avg 5964
S1 5936
S2 5912
S3 5884
Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6013 Trgt 2
H5 6001 Trgt 1
H4 5989 Long breakout
H3 5975 Go Short
H2 5970
H1 5965
L1 5956
L2 5951
L3 5946 Long
L4 5932 Short Breakout
L5 5920 Trgt 1
L6 5908 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-02-2013
R3 12680
R2 12606
R1 12512
Avg 12438
S1 12344
S2 12270
S3 12176
Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12586 Trgt 2
H5 12548 Trgt 1
H4 12510 Long breakout
H3 12464 Go Short
H2 12448
H1 12433
L1 12402
L2 12387
L3 12371 Long
L4 12325 Short Breakout
L5 12287 Trgt 1
L6 12249 Trgt 2
NIFTY-Feb Call Option-Buying Trade
NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Positional-SL-34-TGT-78-CMP-56(Lalit39)
Pre-Closing Outlook(07-02-2013)
Although down moves after weaker GDP data and now again slipped below 5941 but today down moves are without required force and in Bullish Falling Channel also therefore view is not bearish despite trading below 5941. Sustaining below today lows will be watched tomorrow for next down moves confirmations because lower levels supports seen today.
Mid-session Outlook(07-02-2013)
Although sharp fall in CNX MIDCAP,CNX SMALLCAP and Nifty is trading below 5941 after loosing all intraday gains but negative news led down moves therefore view will be Bearish after sustaining below 5941 for next down moves toward 55823.
FY 13 GDP Growth forecast at 5%
As GDP below expectations therefore sentiment dampened and market slipped from intraday higher levels. Although all the positive and negative impact will be discounted within 5941-5984 and its valid break out will give next moves confirmation but down moves after GDP News are not forceful therefore view has not turned Bearish yet.
Post-open Outlook-3(07-02-2013)
As intraday charts showed consolidation patterns also despite higher levels selling and closing at lowest of the day yesterday therefore Indian markets are up while most Asian markets are in Red today.
We did not posted Bearish views yesterday and told for valid break out of 5941-5984 for next trend confirmation. As good recovery from lower levels today therefore sustaining above 5984 should be firstly watched now for correction completion and Short term up moves confirmation.
We did not posted Bearish views yesterday and told for valid break out of 5941-5984 for next trend confirmation. As good recovery from lower levels today therefore sustaining above 5984 should be firstly watched now for correction completion and Short term up moves confirmation.
Post-open Outlook-2(07-02-2013)
Indian markets out performed global cues today and now almost flat after recovering from lower levels while CNX MIDCAP and CNX SMALLCAP are 0.41% and 0.06% up respectively. Now expected that Nifty will firstly trade between 5941-5984 but resistances are at higher levels within this range and follow up consolidation is required for next up trend.
valid break out of 5941-5984 should be firstly watched today for next trend confirmation.
valid break out of 5941-5984 should be firstly watched today for next trend confirmation.
Post-open Outlook(07-02-2013)
As Asian markets are in Red therefore weak opening and Nifty is hovering around crucial support(5941). Firstly sustaining around 5941 should be watched today for those next moves which have already been discussed in previous Outlooks.
Next Trend Decider 5941-5984
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 05 & Feb 06,2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 Sessions intraday charts
1- Consolidations and good intraday supports between 5948-5960 on 06-02-2013
2- Selling between 5978-5984 on 07-02-2013
3- Follow up selling between 5967-5972 on 07-02-2013
4- 7 Times down moves in Bullish falling Channel in both days.
5- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5948-5984
Indian markets ignored Global cues in both previous sessions and traded in following manner:-
1- on 06-02-2013- When all the Global markets were in deep Red and Asian markets were more than 1.5% down then Indian markets were only 0.50% down and in this manner out performed. Nifty got support and consolidated at lower levels between 5948-5960.
2- on 07-02-2013- When all the Global markets were in Green,all Asian markets were were positive and Nikkei 225 closed 3.77% up then Indian markets closed flat after loosing all intraday gains and in this manner under performed. Firstly higher levels selling and after that follow up selling also seen before closing at lower levels of the day.
Rally started after consolidation between 5941-5970 in mid-Jan-2013 and supports was seen within this range yesterday. Although selling also seen above this range today but down moves were in Bullish falling Channel in both days therefore emergence of intraday consolidation patterns also and development of Short term up moves expectations as well.
Nifty traded most time between 6000-6100 in previous 14 sessions and this range broken down but support also emerged above next support(5941) yesterday and selling also seen today. As completely mixed intraday patterns in both previous sessions therefore valid break out of 5941-5984 should be firstly watched tomorrow for:-
1- Down moves toward 5823 below 5941.
2- Reentering into previous 14 sessions range(6000-6100) above 5984.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidations and good intraday supports between 5948-5960 on 06-02-2013
2- Selling between 5978-5984 on 07-02-2013
3- Follow up selling between 5967-5972 on 07-02-2013
4- 7 Times down moves in Bullish falling Channel in both days.
5- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5948-5984
Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Indian markets ignored Global cues in both previous sessions and traded in following manner:-
1- on 06-02-2013- When all the Global markets were in deep Red and Asian markets were more than 1.5% down then Indian markets were only 0.50% down and in this manner out performed. Nifty got support and consolidated at lower levels between 5948-5960.
2- on 07-02-2013- When all the Global markets were in Green,all Asian markets were were positive and Nikkei 225 closed 3.77% up then Indian markets closed flat after loosing all intraday gains and in this manner under performed. Firstly higher levels selling and after that follow up selling also seen before closing at lower levels of the day.
Rally started after consolidation between 5941-5970 in mid-Jan-2013 and supports was seen within this range yesterday. Although selling also seen above this range today but down moves were in Bullish falling Channel in both days therefore emergence of intraday consolidation patterns also and development of Short term up moves expectations as well.
Nifty traded most time between 6000-6100 in previous 14 sessions and this range broken down but support also emerged above next support(5941) yesterday and selling also seen today. As completely mixed intraday patterns in both previous sessions therefore valid break out of 5941-5984 should be firstly watched tomorrow for:-
1- Down moves toward 5823 below 5941.
2- Reentering into previous 14 sessions range(6000-6100) above 5984.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 06-Feb-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(06-Feb-2013)
1- Benchmark Indices closed flat.
2- Closing at lower levels after slipping from higher levels.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.83
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.78
Nifty P/E Ratio(06-Feb-2013): 17.92
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,465
BSE Declines : 1,378
NSE Advances : 771
NSE Declines : 710
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Feb)- -3,050(-0.96%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Feb)- 717,650(13.70%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Feb)- 10,650(2.35%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Feb)- 330,600(7.67%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Feb)- 298,600(28.05%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Feb)- 377,100(7.34%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Feb)- 474,650(13.01%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Feb)- 28,350(0.68%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Feb)- 803,650(13.66%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Feb)- 13,700(0.75%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,639.72(-20.10 Points & -0.10%)
Nifty- closed at 5,959.20(2.30 Points & 0.04%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,238.25(8.35 Points & 0.10%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,579.60(0.00 Points & 0.00%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 07-02-2013
R3 6018
R2 6004
R1 5981
Avg 5967
S1 5944
S2 5930
S3 5907
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5996 Trgt 2
H5 5987 Trgt 1
H4 5979 Long breakout
H3 5969 Go Short
H2 5965
H1 5962
L1 5955
L2 5952
L3 5948 Long
L4 5938 Short Breakout
L5 5930 Trgt 1
L6 5921 Trgt 2
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