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Pre-Closing Outlook(19-12-2012)

Although firstly higher levels profit booking but lower levels supports also seen today and more consolidation is required for crossing next resistance(5935-5965). Today intraday trading range(5910-5939) valid break out should be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(19-12-2012)

Caution message was immediately updated in 1st hour today after watching under performance of Indian markets and Nifty could not cross today intraday highs as well as continuously formation of new intraday lows. Intraday correction is on and consolidation is required for crossing next resistance.

All trends are up and rally continuation will be seen but today started intraday correction completion confirmation is must before next rally above 5965. Following levels should be firstly watched now:-

1- Next support range(5880-5905)
2- Next resistance range(5935-5965)

Expected that Nifty will prepare for next moves between 5880-5965.

Post-open Outlook-2(19-12-2012)

Sentiment heated today morning due to strong Global cues and positive news(Lok Sabha approving of Companies Bill 2011 and Banking amendment Bill) from Parliament and gap up opening seen but market under performed immediately after opening therefore intraday correction is being seen. As Nifty traded in next resistance range(5935-5965) and some consolidation is also required therefore intraday correction confirmation is must  before next rally above 5965. Following levels should be firstly watched now:-

1- Next support range(5880-5905)
2- Next resistance range(5935-5965)

Expected that Nifty will prepare for next moves between 5880-5965 and some volatile moves may also be seen tomorrow after declaration of Gujarat elections results.

Post-open Outlook(19-12-2012)

Trading between next resistance range(5935-5965) after gap up opening but under performing Global cues today therefore mentioned resistance range has to be firstly watched.

Rally Continuation after correction completion

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-Dec-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in intraday chart

1- Panic bottom formation after RBI Credit policy.
2- Consolidation between 5880-5905
3- Whole day actual trading between 5824-5905

Technical Patterns and Formations in intraday chart

As intraday consolidation patterns formations after panic bottom formation seen therefore following conclusive lines were told yesterday in Pre-Closing Outlook(18-12-2012) and being repeated for today market:-

Long term and Intermediate term trends are up and short Term sideways correction going on between 5823-5965 for the last 12 sessions. As correction completion strong indication after panic Bottom formation today therefore now possibility of rally continuation after today short Term correction completion,confirmation will be sustaining above 5920.

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6008
R2 5956
R1 5926
Avg 5874
S1 5844
S2 5792
S3 5762

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5979     Trgt 2 
H5 5960     Trgt 1
H4 5941     Long breakout 
H3 5918     Go Short 
H2 5910
H1 5903
L1 5888
L2 5880
L3 5873     Long 
L4 5850     Short Breakout 
L5 5831     Trgt 1 
L6 5812     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 6084
R2 6017
R1 5972
Avg 5905
S1 5860
S2 5793
S3 5748

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6041     Trgt 2 
H5 6016    Trgt 1
H4 5990     Long breakout 
H3 5959     Go Short 
H2 5948
H1 5938
L1 5917
L2 5907
L3 5896     Long 
L4 5865     Short Breakout 
L5 5839     Trgt 1 
L6 5814     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 13031
R2 12815
R1 12682
Avg 12466
S1 12333
S2 12117
S3 11984

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12906     Trgt 2 
H5 12825     Trgt 1
H4 12744     Long breakout 
H3 12646     Go Short 
H2 12613
H1 12581
L1 12516
L2 12484
L3 12451     Long 
L4 12353     Short Breakout 
L5 12272     Trgt 1 
L6 12191     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(18-12-2012)

Strong recovery after panic bottom completion at 5,823.15 and after that intraday consolidation patterns formations as well. Trading above next 1st resistance(5885) but follow up consolidations are required for sustaining above next crucial resistance(5920)

Long term and Intermediate term trends are up and short Term sideways correction going on between 5823-5965 for the last 12 sessions. As correction completion strong indication after panic Bottom formation today therefore now possibility of rally continuation after today short Term correction completion,confirmation will be sustaining above 5920.

Mid-session Outlook(18-12-2012)

Although down moves seen today but its possibility was told in all the previous 3 Outlooks of yesterday and today. One down move was expected and it was seen today and support of 5839 has also been tested. 

Today news based volatile market with sharp recovery from lower levels also. Nifty is range bound  between 5839-5962 for the last 12 sessions and today support at lower levels. Following resistances should be firstly watched now for next rally after correction completion confirmations:-

1- 5885  
2- 5920

NIFTY-Dec Put Option(5900)-1st Positional BUYing of 17-12-2012-Covering

NIFTY-Dec Put Option(5900)-Positional Bought on 17-12-2012-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP-78(Lalit39)

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(18-12-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Dec-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day down moves with continuous selling.
2- Whole day actual trading between 5850-5885.

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Whole day down moves after continuous selling therefore down moves are expected.

Pre-open Outlook(18-12-2012)

Most Asian markets are positive today after good rally in US markets yesterday and positive opening will be seen in Indian markets. As selling yesterday therefore expected that Nifty will firstly hover around yesterday trading range(5850-5886). RBI Credit policy will finally drive Indian markets and up moves will be seen only after any surprising positive announcements otherwise Indian markets are technically prepared for some more down moves.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 17-Dec-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Dec-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII17-Dec-20123551.682665886.68

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII17-Dec-2012853.941544.26-690.32

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-Dec-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Midcap and Smallcap closed in Green.
3- Black Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-Dec-2012): 18.18

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,524
BSE Declines : 1,374
NSE Advances :   940
NSE Declines :   784

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Dec)- 178,300(-12.49%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Dec)- 146,750(2.14%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Dec)- 123,700(4.00%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Dec)- 145,350(1.59%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Dec)- 603,200(9.52%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Dec)- -278,600(-4.49%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Dec)- 986,600(8.77%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Dec)- -115,150(-4.14%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,244.42(-72.83 Points & -0.38%)
Nifty- closed at 5,857.90(-21.70 Points & -0.37%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,382.70(20.95 Points & 0.25%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,690.50(22.95 Points & 0.63%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5914
R2 5900
R1 5878
Avg 5864
S1 5842
S2 5828
S3 5806

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5893     Trgt 2
H5 5884     Trgt 1
H4 5876     Long breakout
H3 5866     Go Short
H2 5863
H1 5860
L1 5853
L2 5850
L3 5847     Long
L4 5837     Short Breakout
L5 5829     Trgt 1
L6 5820     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 5929
R2 5918
R1 5903
Avg 5892
S1 5877
S2 5866
S3 5851

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5915     Trgt 2 
H5 5909     Trgt 1
H4 5903     Long breakout 
H3 5896     Go Short 
H2 5893
H1 5891
L1 5886
L2 5884
L3 5881     Long 
L4 5874     Short Breakout 
L5 5868     Trgt 1 
L6 5862     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12594
R2 12563
R1 12526
Avg 12495
S1 12458
S2 12427
S3 12390

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12558     Trgt 2 
H5 12542     Trgt 1
H4 12527     Long breakout 
H3 12508     Go Short 
H2 12502
H1 12496
L1 12483
L2 12477
L3 12471     Long 
L4 12452     Short Breakout 
L5 12437     Trgt 1 
L6 12421     Trgt 2

NIFTY-Dec Put Option-1st Buying of 17-12-2012-Trade

NIFTY-Dec Put Option(5900)-Buy-Positional-SL-39-TGT-84-CMP-58

Mid-session Outlook(17-12-2012)

Resistances development  was clearly  told on 15-12-2012 in "Rally after Follow Up Consolidations"

"resistances development also in last 10 sessions and extreme heated sentiment formations due to positive announcements from Indian Government"

Resistances development with its formation reasons was also clearly told and resultant Red zone trading today.

Intraday selling formations seen between 5880-5885 today and was also updated at 10:38 AM. Nifty could not trade above 5880 after mentioned posting and follow up selling seen today therefore down moves are expected.

Post-open Outlook(17-12-2012)

Intraday selling formations confirmation between 5880-5885 today.