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Trading Calls
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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 26-Nov-2012
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(26-Nov-2012)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green with nominal gains.
2- Broad based Midcap and Smallcap Indices closed with good gains.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(26-Nov-2012): 17.64
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,595
BSE Declines : 1,226
NSE Advances : 837
NSE Declines : 591
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(Nov)- -40,950(-2.69%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Nov)- -340,550(-4.72%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Nov)- -296,350(-20.41%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Nov)- 261,050(3.10%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- -127,250(-2.78%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)- 1,636,200(22.41%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)- 483,050(5.51%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)- 74,850(2.03%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18,537.01(30.44 Points & 0.16%)
Nifty- closed at 5,635.90(9.30 Points & 0.17%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,853.50(66.25 Points & 0.85%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,536.00(43.95 Points & 1.26%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-11-2012
R3 5674
R2 5661
R1 5648
Avg 5635
S1 5622
S2 5609
S3 5596
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5661 Trgt 2
H5 5655 Trgt 1
H4 5649 Long breakout
H3 5642 Go Short
H2 5639
H1 5637
L1 5632
L2 5630
L3 5627 Long
L4 5620 Short Breakout
L5 5614 Trgt 1
L6 5608 Trgt 2
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-11-2012
R3 5679
R2 5666
R1 5654
Avg 5641
S1 5629
S2 5616
S3 5604
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5667 Trgt 2
H5 5661 Trgt 1
H4 5655 Long breakout
H3 5648 Go Short
H2 5646
H1 5644
L1 5639
L2 5637
L3 5635 Long
L4 5628 Short Breakout
L5 5622 Trgt 1
L6 5616 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-11-2012
R3 12120
R2 11827
R1 11641
Avg 11348
S1 11162
S2 10869
S3 10683
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11951 Trgt 2
H5 11834 Trgt 1
H4 11718 Long breakout
H3 11586 Go Short
H2 11542
H1 11498
L1 11411
L2 11367
L3 11323 Long
L4 11191 Short Breakout
L5 11075 Trgt 1
L6 10958 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(26-11-2012)
Whole day trading between immediate resistance range(5620-5650) today with mixed intraday patterns. Firstly support at lower levels with intraday consolidation patterns as well as small intraday up moves also seen but minor profit booking development at higher levels also therefore next short term trend confirmation will be after valid break out of immediate resistance range(5620-5650).
Mid-session Outlook(26-11-2012)
First 4 hours trading between immediate resistance range(5620-5650) today with intraday consolidation patterns formation therefore expected that Nifty will move above 5650 and short term up moves will be seen in the coming sessions.
Bullish Flag formation confirming strong Wave-5 Rally
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Nov26 to Nov 30,2012)
Nifty-EOD Chart (23-Nov-2012):-![]() |
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally beginning after 13 Months correction completion)
2- Wave-1(5629.95 on 22-02-2012)
3- Wave-2(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
4- Wave-3(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
5- Bullish Flag formation in last 41 sessions Wave-4 correction between 5549-5815
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Wave-3 gained 1045 points in 87 sessions and Wave-4 corrected 266 points(25.4%) in 41 sessions(47.1%). Financial markets corrects both time wise and value wise and has sufficiently corrected time wise but value wise correction is small.
Although Wave-4 corrected only 25.4% but time wise sufficient correction of 47.1%. As strong Bullish markets does not slip too much during correction and possibility of impulsive Wave-5 rally is very much alive after time wise correction completion. As corrective Wave-4 is on with Bullish Flag formation therefore strong rally above 5815 can not be ruled out after on going correction completion.
![]() |
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Wave-2 correction completion at 4770.35 on 04-06-2012 and Wave-3 beginning.
2- Wave 3 top formation at 5815.35 on 05-10-2012 and Wave-4 correction continuation for the last 41 sessions.
3- Firstly Wave-4 sideways correction with 24 sessions most time trading between 5639-5733.
4- 1st Break down of sideways trading range after RBI Credit policy on 30-10-2012 and new sideways range low formation at 5583.05 on 31-10-2012.
5- 1st Break out of sideways trading range after Obama victory in US Predential Elections on 07-11-2012 and new sideways range high formation at 5777.30 on 07-11-2012.
6- 2nd Break down of sideways trading range after Indian Rupee weakening and sharp fall of European markets on 16-11-2012 and new sideways range low formation at 5548.35 on 20-11-2012.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Firstly sideways trading range(5639-5733) formation and after that its 2 times negative news based without force break down and in the same manner once without force break out also after positive news,resultant Wave-4 correction with Bullish Flag formation.
As corrective Wave-4 is on with Bullish Flag formation therefore strong rally above 5815 can not be ruled out after on going correction completion.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Nov 15 to Nov 23,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Good consolidations between 5549-5606 in 4 sessions of previous week.
2- Minor selling between 5620-5650.
3- Break down of sideways trading range(5583-5777) after Indian Rupee weakening and sudden sharp fall of European markets on 16-11-2012
5- Previous 7 sessions trading between 5549-5650.
Conclusions from 7 Sessions intra day chart analysis
8 Points gap down on 15-11-2012 and after that new sideways trading range low formation at 5548.35 on 20-11-2012 but good lower levels consolidations between 5549-5606 in 4 sessions of previous week. Although minor selling at higher levels but lower levels good consolidation also therefore up moves are expected. As selling between 5620-5650 also therefore follow up consolidation is also required for sustaining above 5650.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Down moves from 11:00AM after Parliament adjournment on FDI despite first hour consolidation.
2- Consolidation between 5594-5606.
3- Whole day consolidation pattern formations.
4- Whole day actual trading between 5594-5636.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As whole day intraday consolidation patterns and lower levels supports also after negative news Parliament adjournment on FDI therefore up moves are expected in the beginning of next week.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
As on going Wave-4 correction completion possibility after time wise correction completion therefore it is also possible that Wave-4 may not show deeper correction. Bullish Flag formation developed also in last 41 sessions correction and strong Wave-5 rally will be seen after on going Wave-4 correction completion.
Immediate supports are as follows:-
1- 5581-5606.
2- 5549-5566.
As good intraday consolidation seen last Friday therefore expected that firstly up moves will be seen in the beginning of next week and Nifty will counter following next resistances:-
1- 5620-5650(Immediate resistance)
2- 5652-5660(Gap created on 15-11-2012)
3- 5672-5705.
4- 5700-5720/5733/5777/5815(Multiple Resistances)
As multiple resistances above last Friday closing(5,626.60) therefore market require complete consolidation for any up move and will take its own complete time to cross and sustain above Wave-3 top(5815) but Bullish Flag formation in last 41 sessions Wave-4 correction therefore finally Wave-5 strong and blasting up moves will be seen without much deeper correction.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 23-Nov-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(23-Nov-2012)
1- Benchmark Indices flat.
2- All the Indices closed with marginal gains or loss.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(23-Nov-2012): 17.60
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,291
BSE Declines : 1,522
NSE Advances : 624
NSE Declines : 790
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(Nov)- -52,150(-3.31%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Nov)- -45,500(-0.62%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Nov)- -165,150(-10.21%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Nov)- -518,650(-5.67%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Nov)- -96,350(-1.99%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Nov)- -589,100(-7.16%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Nov)- 973,500(12.01%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Nov)- -278,500(-7.04%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18,506.57(-10.77 Points & -0.06%)
Nifty- closed at 5,626.60(-1.15 Points & -0.02%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,787.25(1.80 Points & 0.02%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,492.05(9.30 Points & 0.27%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 26-11-2012
R3 5688
R2 5662
R1 5644
PIVOT 5618
S1 5600
S2 5574
S3 5556
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5670 Trgt 2
H5 5660 Trgt 1
H4 5650 Long breakout
H3 5638 Go Short
H2 5634
H1 5630
L1 5621
L2 5617
L3 5613 Long
L4 5601 Short Breakout
L5 5591 Trgt 1
L6 5581 Trgt 2
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 26-11-2012
R3 5704
R2 5675
R1 5654
PIVOT 5625
S1 5604
S2 5575
S3 5554
Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5683 Trgt 2
H5 5671 Trgt 1
H4 5660 Long breakout
H3 5646 Go Short
H2 5642
H1 5637
L1 5628
L2 5623
L3 5619 Long
L4 5605 Short Breakout
L5 5594 Trgt 1
L6 5582 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 26-11-2012
R3 11734
R2 11657
R1 11576
PIVOT 11499
S1 11418
S2 11341
S3 11260
Bank Nifty(Nov Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11655 Trgt 2
H5 11618 Trgt 1
H4 11582 Long breakout
H3 11539 Go Short
H2 11524
H1 11510
L1 11481
L2 11467
L3 11452 Long
L4 11409 Short Breakout
L5 11373 Trgt 1
L6 11336 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Nov26 to Nov 30,2012)
R3 5758
R2 5700
R1 5663
PIVOT 5605
S1 5568
S2 5510
S3 5473
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5722 Trgt 2
H5 5700 Trgt 1
H4 5678 Long breakout
H3 5652 Go Short
H2 5643
H1 5634
L1 5617
L2 5608
L3 5599 Long
L4 5573 Short Breakout
L5 5551 Trgt 1
L6 5529 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Nov26 to Nov 30,2012)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R2 11749
R1 11612
PIVOT 11434
S1 11297
S2 11119
S3 10982
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 11796 Trgt 2
H5 11722 Trgt 1
H4 11648 Long breakout
H3 11561 Go Short
H2 11532
H1 11503
L1 11446
L2 11417
L3 11388 Long
L4 11301 Short Breakout
L5 11227 Trgt 1
L6 11153 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(23-11-2012)
As negative news of Parliament adjournment after uproar on FDI therefore slipping below resistance range(5620-5650) and getting support also within immediate next support range(5581-5602). Today down moves are negative news based and without selling patterns therefore breaking down of next support(5581) is must for next down trend confirmation.
1st hour trading between 5621-5633 with intraday consolidation patterns today and this trading range is within next resistance range(5620-5650) therefore next up moves strong indication will be above 5650.
Tight range bound market with immediate supports(5581-5602) and resistances(5620-5650) therefore until 5581-5650 will not decisively break till then next Short Term Trend will not be considered.
1st hour trading between 5621-5633 with intraday consolidation patterns today and this trading range is within next resistance range(5620-5650) therefore next up moves strong indication will be above 5650.
Tight range bound market with immediate supports(5581-5602) and resistances(5620-5650) therefore until 5581-5650 will not decisively break till then next Short Term Trend will not be considered.
Mid-session Outlook-3(23-11-2012)
As both houses of Parliament adjourned after uproar and sentiment weakened therefore down moves seen immediately after adjournment announcement. Nifty got support above 5609 yesterday therefore it was next support and Nifty is trading just below it for the last 1 hour.
Technical positions reverses according to news flow therefore more down moves and testing of supports below 5600 can not be ruled.
Technical positions reverses according to news flow therefore more down moves and testing of supports below 5600 can not be ruled.
Mid-session Outlook-2(23-11-2012)
Lok Sabha adjourned till Monday after uproar and sentiment dampened therefore Indian markets also slipped from intraday higher levels. Consolidation was seen between 5609-5619 yesterday and breaking it down will mean failure to cross resistance and will be fresh down moves confirmation
Mid-session Outlook(23-11-2012)
Nifty traded 1st hour between 5621-5633 with intraday consolidation patterns today and it is first signal of next up moves also. As next short term up moves confirmation will be after break out of present trading resistance range(5620-5650) therefore its break out has to be firstly watched.
Pre-open Outlook(23-11-2012)
All the Asian markets are positive with marginal gains therefore sentiment is quiet today morning. As lower levels supports and higher levels mixed patterns were seen within next resistance range(5620-5650) yesterday therefore Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves and will firstly trade within this range after flat to positive opening today.
Tight range bound market with immediate supports and resistances therefore next moves can be decided after watching of day to day intraday moves and valid break out of any crucial range.Let follow up buying/selling develop and break out of mentioned resistance range happen then strength of Indian markets will be clear because that will be strengthening or weakening of resistances also.
Detailed analysis has already been updated in following topic yesterday:-
Tight range bound market with immediate supports and resistances therefore next moves can be decided after watching of day to day intraday moves and valid break out of any crucial range.Let follow up buying/selling develop and break out of mentioned resistance range happen then strength of Indian markets will be clear because that will be strengthening or weakening of resistances also.
Detailed analysis has already been updated in following topic yesterday:-
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