Follow up good selling at higher levels today. As today selling is within and below previous resistance range(5700-5733) therefore more down will be seen to test again levels near 5639 and possibility of slipping below it also.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Mid-session Outlook-3(19-10-2012)
As soon as intraday selling emerged then it was immediately updated within 1st hour today in Post-open Outlook(19-10-2012). Although Nifty slipped forcefully below 5685 after higher levels selling today but strong supports also above 5639 therefore complete follow up selling is required for decisive down moves below 5639.
Following line should be kept in mind which was told today in Mid-session Outlook-2:-
Following line should be kept in mind which was told today in Mid-session Outlook-2:-
"sustaining beyond 5685 should be firstly watched today"
Mid-session Outlook-2(19-10-2012)
Nifty traded last more than 3 hours yesterday between 5685-5710 with intraday consolidation patterns and also first 3 hours trading within this range between 5693-5710 with higher levels intraday selling. .
Although consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday but selling at higher levels also seen within this range today therefore sustaining beyond 5685 should be firstly watched today.
Although consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday but selling at higher levels also seen within this range today therefore sustaining beyond 5685 should be firstly watched today.
Mid-session Outlook(19-10-2012)
First 2 hours trading between 5694-5710 with firstly slipping after some higher levels profit booking but immediately intraday supports also at 5694. Following lines were told today in Pre-open Outlook and should be kept in mind today:-
"consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5685 after follow up selling till then next down moves will not be considered"
"consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5685 after follow up selling till then next down moves will not be considered"
Pre-open Outlook(19-10-2012)
As most of the Asian markets are weak today morning therefore negative to flat opening is expected today but higher levels consolidation patterns seen between 5685-5710 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5685 after follow up selling till then next down moves will not be considered.
As 5700-5733 is already a resistance range therefore fresh consolidation is must within it before a decisive rally above 5733/5756.
Next moves deciding first range for today is 5685-5733 and should be firstly watched.
As 5700-5733 is already a resistance range therefore fresh consolidation is must within it before a decisive rally above 5733/5756.
Next moves deciding first range for today is 5685-5733 and should be firstly watched.
Nifty on the Verge of strong rally above 19 sessions range
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(19-10-2012)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-Oct-2012):-
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1- Consolidation between 5650-5668
2- Consolidation patterns between 5685-5710
3- Whole day acual trading between 5650-5721
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Strong up moves after lower levels good consolidation and last more than 3 hours trading between 5685-5710 with intraday consolidation patterns. As consolidation patterns seen within next strong resistance range(5700-5733) also therefore last 19 sessions sideways market range(5639-5733) upward break out possibility increased today,subject to the condition of follow up consolidations in the coming sessions.
Indian markets are on the verge of strong rally after 19 sessions trading range(5639-5733) upward break out but confirmation is must through forceful surge or sustaining above 5733/5756.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 18-Oct-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(18-Oct-2012)
1- All the Indices closed in Green except CNX PHARMA
2- Whole day strong up moves after positive opening.
3- Long White Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.04
Nifty P/E Ratio(18-Oct-2012): 17.99
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1696
BSE Declines : 1161
NSE Advances : 951
NSE Declines : 500
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- -654,000(-28.42%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)- 863,600(10.94%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- -1,498,850(-22.13%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 1,777,400(33.66%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Oct)- -2,204,850(-18.78%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Oct)- 633,250(53.88%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18,791.93(181.16 Points & 0.97%)
Nifty- closed at 5,718.70(58.45 Points & 1.03%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,945.35(83.80 Points & 1.07%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,545.40(52.00 Points & 1.49%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2012
R3 5815
R2 5768
R1 5743
Avg 5696
S1 5671
S2 5624
S3 5599
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5790 Trgt 2
H5 5774 Trgt 1
H4 5757 Long breakout
H3 5737 Go Short
H2 5731
H1 5724
L1 5711
L2 5704
L3 5698 Long
L4 5678 Short Breakout
L5 5661 Trgt 1
L6 5645 Trgt 2
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2012
R3 5843
R2 5793
R1 5764
Avg 5714
S1 5685
S2 5635
S3 5606
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5816 Trgt 2
H5 5797 Trgt 1
H4 5779 Long breakout
H3 5757 Go Short
H2 5750
H1 5743
L1 5728
L2 5721
L3 5714 Long
L4 5692 Short Breakout
L5 5674 Trgt 1
L6 5656 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-10-2012
R3 11958
R2 11797
R1 11710
Avg 11549
S1 11462
S2 11301
S3 11214
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11877 Trgt 2
H5 11818 Trgt 1
H4 11760 Long breakout
H3 11692 Go Short
H2 11669
H1 11646
L1 11601
L2 11578
L3 11555 Long
L4 11487 Short Breakout
L5 11429 Trgt 1
L6 11370 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(18-10-2012)
As Indian markets traded whole day yesterday with intraday consolidation patterns and also got lower levels supports therefore deeper correction was not projected and following lines were told in both previous Outlooks yesterday:-
1- supports strengthened near 5639
2- sideways correction(5634-5733) will remain continued tomorrow.
3- Indian markets are in sideways correction mode between 5639-5733.
Today trading within adove mentioned ranges without any deeper correction today. Indian markets are in sideways correction mode between 5639-5733 and today trading within it as well as today trading also betweeen next resistance range(5700-5733)
As today intraday patterns are also showing good consolidation therefore possibility of above mentioned range break out above 5733/5756 increased but 19 sessions sideways market and its break out confirmation is must through forceful break out or sustaining above 5733/5756.
1- supports strengthened near 5639
2- sideways correction(5634-5733) will remain continued tomorrow.
3- Indian markets are in sideways correction mode between 5639-5733.
Today trading within adove mentioned ranges without any deeper correction today. Indian markets are in sideways correction mode between 5639-5733 and today trading within it as well as today trading also betweeen next resistance range(5700-5733)
As today intraday patterns are also showing good consolidation therefore possibility of above mentioned range break out above 5733/5756 increased but 19 sessions sideways market and its break out confirmation is must through forceful break out or sustaining above 5733/5756.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(18-10-2012)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Oct-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Minor selling between 5656-5670
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Support between 5634-5646.
4- Whole day intraday consolidations patterns
5- Whole day acual trading between 5634-574
Firstly down moves in Falling Channel after minor selling at higher levels and intraday supports also at lower levels. Although crucial support of 5639 broken but got support just below at 5634 and Whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations also therefore supports strengthened near 5639.
Nifty traded most time between 5639-5733 in last 18 sessions and correcting sideways after 600 Nifty points strong rally in 21 sessions from 05-09-2012 to 05-10-2012. As Whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations with lower levels good supports today therefore expected that on going range bound sideways correction(5634-5733) will remain continued tomorrow.
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1- Minor selling between 5656-5670
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Support between 5634-5646.
4- Whole day intraday consolidations patterns
5- Whole day acual trading between 5634-574
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Firstly down moves in Falling Channel after minor selling at higher levels and intraday supports also at lower levels. Although crucial support of 5639 broken but got support just below at 5634 and Whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations also therefore supports strengthened near 5639.
Nifty traded most time between 5639-5733 in last 18 sessions and correcting sideways after 600 Nifty points strong rally in 21 sessions from 05-09-2012 to 05-10-2012. As Whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations with lower levels good supports today therefore expected that on going range bound sideways correction(5634-5733) will remain continued tomorrow.
Market takes its own time for building up positions and one has to wait for final forceful break out or sustaining beyond
5634-5733/5656.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 17-Oct-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(17-Oct-2012)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green with nominal gains.
2- Sideways narrow range market.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(17-Oct-2012): 17.83
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1324
BSE Declines : 1543
NSE Advances : 626
NSE Declines : 811
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5500 CE(Oct)- -14,650(-1.36%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Oct)- 2,108,600(32.61%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- 218,950(9.54%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)- 658,950(8.53%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- -147,850(-2.05%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 292,750(5.81%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Oct)- 2,133,500(21.22%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Oct)- -161,800(-11.95%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 18,610.77(33.07 Points & 0.18%)
Nifty- closed at 5,660.25(12.25 Points & 0.22%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,861.55(2.25 Points & 0.03%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,493.40(11.00 Points & 0.32%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2012
R3 5736
R2 5710
R1 5685
Avg 5659
S1 5634
S2 5608
S3 5583
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5711 Trgt 2
H5 5699 Trgt 1
H4 5688 Long breakout
H3 5674 Go Short
H2 5669
H1 5664
L1 5655
L2 5650
L3 5645 Long
L4 5631 Short Breakout
L5 5620 Trgt 1
L6 5608 Trgt 2
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2012
R3 5742
R2 5718
R1 5693
Avg 5669
S1 5644
S2 5620
S3 5595
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5718 Trgt 2
H5 5707 Trgt 1
H4 5695 Long breakout
H3 5682 Go Short
H2 5677
H1 5673
L1 5664
L2 5660
L3 5655 Long
L4 5642 Short Breakout
L5 5630 Trgt 1
L6 5619 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2012
R3 11562
R2 11504
R1 11446
Avg 11388
S1 11330
S2 11272
S3 11214
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11504 Trgt 2
H5 11478 Trgt 1
H4 11451 Long breakout
H3 11419 Go Short
H2 11409
H1 11398
L1 11377
L2 11366
L3 11356 Long
L4 11324 Short Breakout
L5 11297 Trgt 1
L6 11271 Trgt 2
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