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5639-5735 For Correction Completion Confirmation

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Oct-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- 28 Points narrow range whole day achual trading between 5694-5722
2- Slow up moves

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As whole day only slow up moves without clear patterns formations in intraday charts therefore unable to indicate next decisive moves. Following lines were told on 30-09-2012 in Minimum target of Nifty at 5869.15 from Elliot Wave Theory:-

1- All trends are up and previous week was corrective after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points strong rally from 05-09-2012 to 21-09-2012,correction was due after such good up moves and it was seen also in previous week but correction was not deep. As many times Bullish completes correction within narrow range moves and Nifty traded also narrow within 96 between 5639-5735 in last week.

2- Lower levels supports and higher levels selling was seen between 5639-5735 in last week

As both intraday buying and selling was seen in previous week therefore follow up decisive trading was also required therefore following lines were told in above mentioned topic:-

"expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves within this range(5639-5735)"

Nifty will traded and prepared for next moves within already mentioned range between 5694-5722 on 01-10-2012 but intraday charts did not showed clear patterns formations therefore more preparation is required in intraday charts for decisive moves beyond last 6 sessions trading range(5639-5735)

All trends are up and expected that finally on going rally will remain continued but correction is continued from last 6 sessions and firstly correction completion confirmation is required through sustaining above 5735.

Let market prepare for next moves in the coming sessions and next trend will be decided through coming sessions intraday charts formations.Sustaining beyond 5639-5735 should be firstly watched because that will be next decisive moves confirmation

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 01-Oct-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Oct-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII01-Oct-20122104.61897.09207.51

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII01-Oct-2012866.811341.01-474.2

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Oct-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- All the Indices closed in Green except BANK NIFTY,CNX FINANCE,CNX ENERGY
3- White candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.99
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Oct-2012): 18.04

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1771
BSE Declines : 1140
NSE Advances :  944
NSE Declines :  529

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- -14,150(-0.77%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)-  666,950(18.17%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- -376,750(-9.69%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)-  323,500(8.73%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Oct)- 724,600(17.11%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Oct)- 258,800(23.89%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,718.80(15.50 Points & 0.27%)
Sensex- closed at 18,823.91(61.17 Points & 0.33% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,916.85(76.30 Points & 0.97%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,494.50(42.85 Points & 1.24%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5756
R2 5739
R1 5728
Avg 5711
S1 5700
S2 5683
S3 5672

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5746     Trgt 2
H5 5739     Trgt 1
H4 5733     Long breakout
H3 5725     Go Short
H2 5723
H1 5720
L1 5715
L2 5712
L3 5710     Long
L4 5702     Short Breakout
L5 5696     Trgt 1
L6 5689     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2012

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5810
R2 5784
R1 5769
Avg 5743
S1 5728
S2 5702
S3 5687

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  5795    Trgt 2
H5  5785    Trgt 1
H4  5776    Long breakout
H3  5765    Go Short
H2  5761
H1  5757
L1  5750
L2  5746
L3  5742    Long
L4  5731    Short Breakout
L5  5722    Trgt 1
L6  5712    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2012

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 11647
R2 11589
R1 11546
Avg 11488
S1 11445
S2 11387
S3 11344

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11605     Trgt 2
H5 11582     Trgt 1
H4 11559     Long breakout
H3 11531     Go Short
H2 11522
H1 11513
L1 11494
L2 11485
L3 11476     Long
L4 11448     Short Breakout
L5 11425     Trgt 1
L6 11402     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(01-10-2012)

Following lines were told on 30-09-2012 in Minimum target of Nifty at 5869.15 from Elliot Wave Theory:-

"Firstly trading and next moves preparation between 5639-5735 in next week and should be firstly watched" 

Nifty traded whole day today between between 5,694.00-5,720.40

Whole day slow up moves and no clear patterns formations in intraday charts to indicate next moves. Let market prepatre then next moves will be decided from intraday charts formations sustaining beyond 5639-5735 will be confirmation of correction continuation or rally beginning after correction completion. 

Minimum target of Nifty at 5869.15 from Elliot Wave Theory

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)

Nifty-EOD Chart (28-Sep-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Wave-1-6338.50 completed on 05-11-2010 and Wave-2 started
2- Wave-2-4531.15 completed on 20-12-2011 and Wave-3 started
3- Sub Wave-1 of Wave-3-5629.95 completed on 22-02-2012
4- Sub Wave-2 of Wave-3-4770.35 completed on 04-06-2012
5- Sub Wave-3 of Wave-3 is on
6- Doji Candle formation in weekly chart.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Impulsive Sub Wave-3 of Wave-3 is on toward minimum target at 5869.15 and its minimum target calculations as per Elliot Wave Theory is as follows:-                                          
1- Sub Wave-1 gained 1098.80 points=[(Sub Wave-1)5629.95-(Sub Wave-2)4531.15] 
2- Sub Wave 2 completed at 4770.35
3- Sub Wave-3 is on from 4770.35 and as per Elliot Wave theory Wave-3 should never be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5 therefore it will move minimum 1098.80 points which was gained by Sub Wave-1 and then Sub Wave-3 minimum target will be-
 4- Minimum 5869.15=[4770.35(Sub Wave-3 starting point)+1098.80(Sub Wave-3 gaining minimum points)]

Weekly Outlook(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)

All trends are up and previous week was corrective after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points strong rally from 05-09-2012 to 21-09-2012,correction was due after such good up moves and it was seen also in previous week but correction was not deep. As many times Bullish completes correction within narrow range moves and Nifty traded also narrow within 96 between 5639-5735 in last week.

Nifty previous week closing at weekly highs and closing at 52 week high also therefore it may be first indication of correction completion within narrow range moves but  weekly Doji Candle formation in last week and intraday selling at higher levels was also seen last Friday therefore correction completion confirmation is must in the beginning of next week.

Lower levels supports and higher levels selling was seen between 5639-5735 in last week and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves within this range. Although expected that on going Bullish rally will remain continued but ongoing correction completion confirmation is firstly required and that will be after sustaining above previous week highs(5735) because intraday selling was seen just below it.

Firstly trading and next moves preparation between 5639-5735 in next week and should be firstly watched because sustaining it beyond will be confirmation of correction continuation / rally beginning after correction completion. 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 28-Sep-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 28-Sep-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII28-Sep-20123987.752757.41230.35

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII28-Sep-20121412.262091.32-679.06

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-10-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5783
R2 5759
R1 5731
Avg 5707
S1 5679
S2 5655
S3 5627

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5755     Trgt 2
H5 5743     Trgt 1
H4 5731     Long breakout
H3 5717     Go Short
H2 5712
H1 5707
L1 5698
L2 5693
L3 5688     Long
L4 5674     Short Breakout
L5 5662     Trgt 1
L6 5650     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-10-2012

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5814
R2 5790
R1 5759
Avg 5735
S1 5704
S2 5680
S3 5649

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5784     Trgt 2
H5 5771     Trgt 1
H4 5759     Long breakout
H3 5744     Go Short
H2 5739
H1 5734
L1 5723
L2 5718
L3 5713     Long
L4 5698     Short Breakout
L5 5686     Trgt 1
L6 5673     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-10-2012

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 11700
R2 11650
R1 11581
Avg 11531
S1 11462
S2 11412
S3 11343

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  11632    Trgt 2
H5  11605    Trgt 1
H4  11578    Long breakout
H3  11545    Go Short
H2  11534
H1  11523
L1  11502
L2  11491
L3  11480    Long
L4  11447    Short Breakout
L5  11420    Trgt 1
L6  11393    Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5841
R2 5788
R1 5745
Avg 5692
S1 5649
S2 5596
S3 5553

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5800     Trgt 2
H5 5777     Trgt 1
H4 5755     Long breakout
H3 5729     Go Short
H2 5720
H1 5711
L1 5694
L2 5685
L3 5676     Long
L4 5650     Short Breakout
L5 5628    Trgt 1
L6 5605     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 11771
R2 11654
R1 11555
Avg 11438
S1 11339
S2 11222
S3 11123

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 11674     Trgt 2
H5 11624     Trgt 1
H4 11574     Long breakout
H3 11515     Go Short
H2 11495
H1 11475
L1 11436
L2 11416
L3 11396     Long
L4 11337     Short Breakout
L5 11287     Trgt 1
L6 11237     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(28-09-2012)

Indian markets strong up moves after good opening and also outperforming Global markets as well as Nifty trading above previous resistance(5709) but not sustaining at higher levels therefore profit booking possibility also can not be ruled out today.

Following lines were told in Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012) and being repeated:-

"possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation"

Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012)

As Asian markets moves up in last one hour therefore strong opening in Indian markets and also possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation.

Correction Fate Confirmation through 5639-5709

Pre-open Outlook(28-09-2012)

US markets closed with sufficient gains yesterday but Asian markets are almost flat therefore sentiment is quiet today morning and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between yesterday trading range(5639-5693)

Closing near intraday lower levels after Selling between 5680-5693 yesterday but intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications and intraday consolidation also between 5639-5670 on 26-09-2012 therefore sustaining beyond yesterday trading range(5639-5693) should be firstly watched today for:-

1- Forceful break down or sustaining below 5639 will be correction continuation confirmation with deeper correction possibility.
2- Firstly crossing above 5693 and after that forceful break out or sustaining above 5709 will be confirmation of fresh rally after correction completion.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(28-09-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (27-Sep-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5680-5693
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications
3- Whole day acual trading between5639-5693

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Correction in this week after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points rally in previous couple of weeks. Firstly selling between 5680-5693 and today closing near the lower levels of the day but down moves in Falling Channel and Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications also.

Lower levels consolidation and higher levels selling in 4 previous sessions but no lower levels intra day supports and consolidation today. As consolidation between 5639-5670 yesterday and Nifty closed also within this range today therefore Sustaining beyond 5639 should be firstly watched tomorrow for correction continuation or completion first indication. 

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 27-Sep-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII27-Sep-20125509.535109.79399.74

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII27-Sep-20121496.191944.06-447.87