ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Oct-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Oct-2012)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- All the Indices closed in Green except BANK NIFTY,CNX FINANCE,CNX ENERGY
3- White candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.99
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Oct-2012): 18.04
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1771
BSE Declines : 1140
NSE Advances : 944
NSE Declines : 529
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- -14,150(-0.77%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)- 666,950(18.17%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- -376,750(-9.69%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 323,500(8.73%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Oct)- 724,600(17.11%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Oct)- 258,800(23.89%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,718.80(15.50 Points & 0.27%)
Sensex- closed at 18,823.91(61.17 Points & 0.33% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,916.85(76.30 Points & 0.97%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,494.50(42.85 Points & 1.24%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2012
R3 5756
R2 5739
R1 5728
Avg 5711
S1 5700
S2 5683
S3 5672
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5746 Trgt 2
H5 5739 Trgt 1
H4 5733 Long breakout
H3 5725 Go Short
H2 5723
H1 5720
L1 5715
L2 5712
L3 5710 Long
L4 5702 Short Breakout
L5 5696 Trgt 1
L6 5689 Trgt 2
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2012
R3 5810
R2 5784
R1 5769
Avg 5743
S1 5728
S2 5702
S3 5687
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5795 Trgt 2
H5 5785 Trgt 1
H4 5776 Long breakout
H3 5765 Go Short
H2 5761
H1 5757
L1 5750
L2 5746
L3 5742 Long
L4 5731 Short Breakout
L5 5722 Trgt 1
L6 5712 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-10-2012
R3 11647
R2 11589
R1 11546
Avg 11488
S1 11445
S2 11387
S3 11344
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11605 Trgt 2
H5 11582 Trgt 1
H4 11559 Long breakout
H3 11531 Go Short
H2 11522
H1 11513
L1 11494
L2 11485
L3 11476 Long
L4 11448 Short Breakout
L5 11425 Trgt 1
L6 11402 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(01-10-2012)
Following lines were told on 30-09-2012 in Minimum target of Nifty at 5869.15 from Elliot Wave Theory:-
"Firstly trading and next moves preparation between 5639-5735 in next week and should be firstly watched"
Nifty traded whole day today between between 5,694.00-5,720.40
Whole day slow up moves and no clear patterns formations in intraday charts to indicate next moves. Let market prepatre then next moves will be decided from intraday charts formations sustaining beyond 5639-5735 will be confirmation of correction continuation or rally beginning after correction completion.
"Firstly trading and next moves preparation between 5639-5735 in next week and should be firstly watched"
Nifty traded whole day today between between 5,694.00-5,720.40
Whole day slow up moves and no clear patterns formations in intraday charts to indicate next moves. Let market prepatre then next moves will be decided from intraday charts formations sustaining beyond 5639-5735 will be confirmation of correction continuation or rally beginning after correction completion.
Minimum target of Nifty at 5869.15 from Elliot Wave Theory
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)
Nifty-EOD Chart (28-Sep-2012):-
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1- Wave-1-6338.50 completed on 05-11-2010 and Wave-2 started
2- Wave-2-4531.15 completed on 20-12-2011 and Wave-3 started
3- Sub Wave-1 of Wave-3-5629.95 completed on 22-02-2012
4- Sub Wave-2 of Wave-3-4770.35 completed on 04-06-2012
5- Sub Wave-3 of Wave-3 is on
6- Doji Candle formation in weekly chart.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Impulsive Sub Wave-3 of Wave-3 is on toward minimum target at 5869.15 and its minimum target calculations as per Elliot Wave Theory is as follows:-
1- Sub Wave-1 gained 1098.80 points=[(Sub Wave-1)5629.95-(Sub Wave-2)4531.15]
2- Sub Wave 2 completed at 4770.35
3- Sub Wave-3 is on from 4770.35 and as per Elliot Wave theory Wave-3 should never be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5 therefore it will move minimum 1098.80 points which was gained by Sub Wave-1 and then Sub Wave-3 minimum target will be-
4- Minimum 5869.15=[4770.35(Sub Wave-3 starting point)+1098.80(Sub Wave-3 gaining minimum points)]
Weekly Outlook(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)
All trends are up and previous week was corrective after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points strong rally from 05-09-2012 to 21-09-2012,correction was due after such good up moves and it was seen also in previous week but correction was not deep. As many times Bullish completes correction within narrow range moves and Nifty traded also narrow within 96 between 5639-5735 in last week.
Nifty previous week closing at weekly highs and closing at 52 week high also therefore it may be first indication of correction completion within narrow range moves but weekly Doji Candle formation in last week and intraday selling at higher levels was also seen last Friday therefore correction completion confirmation is must in the beginning of next week.
Lower levels supports and higher levels selling was seen between 5639-5735 in last week and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves within this range. Although expected that on going Bullish rally will remain continued but ongoing correction completion confirmation is firstly required and that will be after sustaining above previous week highs(5735) because intraday selling was seen just below it.
Firstly trading and next moves preparation between 5639-5735 in next week and should be firstly watched because sustaining it beyond will be confirmation of correction continuation / rally beginning after correction completion.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 28-Sep-2012
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-10-2012
R3 5783
R2 5759
R1 5731
Avg 5707
S1 5679
S2 5655
S3 5627
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5755 Trgt 2
H5 5743 Trgt 1
H4 5731 Long breakout
H3 5717 Go Short
H2 5712
H1 5707
L1 5698
L2 5693
L3 5688 Long
L4 5674 Short Breakout
L5 5662 Trgt 1
L6 5650 Trgt 2
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-10-2012
R3 5814
R2 5790
R1 5759
Avg 5735
S1 5704
S2 5680
S3 5649
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5784 Trgt 2
H5 5771 Trgt 1
H4 5759 Long breakout
H3 5744 Go Short
H2 5739
H1 5734
L1 5723
L2 5718
L3 5713 Long
L4 5698 Short Breakout
L5 5686 Trgt 1
L6 5673 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 01-10-2012
R3 11700
R2 11650
R1 11581
Avg 11531
S1 11462
S2 11412
S3 11343
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11632 Trgt 2
H5 11605 Trgt 1
H4 11578 Long breakout
H3 11545 Go Short
H2 11534
H1 11523
L1 11502
L2 11491
L3 11480 Long
L4 11447 Short Breakout
L5 11420 Trgt 1
L6 11393 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)
R3 5841
R2 5788
R1 5745
Avg 5692
S1 5649
S2 5596
S3 5553
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 5800 Trgt 2
H5 5777 Trgt 1
H4 5755 Long breakout
H3 5729 Go Short
H2 5720
H1 5711
L1 5694
L2 5685
L3 5676 Long
L4 5650 Short Breakout
L5 5628 Trgt 1
L6 5605 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 01 to Oct 05,2012)
R3 11771
R2 11654
R1 11555
Avg 11438
S1 11339
S2 11222
S3 11123
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 11674 Trgt 2
H5 11624 Trgt 1
H4 11574 Long breakout
H3 11515 Go Short
H2 11495
H1 11475
L1 11436
L2 11416
L3 11396 Long
L4 11337 Short Breakout
L5 11287 Trgt 1
L6 11237 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(28-09-2012)
Indian markets strong up moves after good opening and also outperforming Global markets as well as Nifty trading above previous resistance(5709) but not sustaining at higher levels therefore profit booking possibility also can not be ruled out today.
Following lines were told in Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012) and being repeated:-
"possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation"
Following lines were told in Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012) and being repeated:-
"possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation"
Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012)
As Asian markets moves up in last one hour therefore strong opening in Indian markets and also possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation.
Correction Fate Confirmation through 5639-5709
Pre-open Outlook(28-09-2012)
US markets closed with sufficient gains yesterday but Asian markets are almost flat therefore sentiment is quiet today morning and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between yesterday trading range(5639-5693)
Closing near intraday lower levels after Selling between 5680-5693 yesterday but intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications and intraday consolidation also between 5639-5670 on 26-09-2012 therefore sustaining beyond yesterday trading range(5639-5693) should be firstly watched today for:-
1- Forceful break down or sustaining below 5639 will be correction continuation confirmation with deeper correction possibility.
2- Firstly crossing above 5693 and after that forceful break out or sustaining above 5709 will be confirmation of fresh rally after correction completion.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(28-09-2012)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (27-Sep-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 5680-5693
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications
3- Whole day acual trading between5639-5693
Correction in this week after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points rally in previous couple of weeks. Firstly selling between 5680-5693 and today closing near the lower levels of the day but down moves in Falling Channel and Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications also.
Lower levels consolidation and higher levels selling in 4 previous sessions but no lower levels intra day supports and consolidation today. As consolidation between 5639-5670 yesterday and Nifty closed also within this range today therefore Sustaining beyond 5639 should be firstly watched tomorrow for correction continuation or completion first indication.
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1- Selling between 5680-5693
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications
3- Whole day acual trading between5639-5693
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Correction in this week after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points rally in previous couple of weeks. Firstly selling between 5680-5693 and today closing near the lower levels of the day but down moves in Falling Channel and Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications also.
Lower levels consolidation and higher levels selling in 4 previous sessions but no lower levels intra day supports and consolidation today. As consolidation between 5639-5670 yesterday and Nifty closed also within this range today therefore Sustaining beyond 5639 should be firstly watched tomorrow for correction continuation or completion first indication.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 27-Sep-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(27-Sep-2012)
1- All the Indices closed with moderate gains or loss.
2- Most Indices closed near the lows of the day.
3- Black Candle formation
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.16
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Oct-2012): 17.79
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1503
BSE Declines : 1378
NSE Advances : 734
NSE Declines : 717
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- 272,650(17.06%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)- 285,700(10.54%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- 1,077,250(-00.00%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 595,000(29.72%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- 861,700(24.40%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 152,150(27.11%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,649.50(-13.95 Points & -0.25%)
Sensex- closed at 18,579.50(-52.67 Points & 31.54% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,744.70(27.60 Points & 0.36%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,958.46(10.62 Points & 0.15%)
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