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ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 03-Aug-2012
Pre-Closing Outlook(03-08-2012)
We always try to post only realistic views and telling only for getting confirmations through forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5200-5250 and Nifty is closing between this range for the last 3 sessions. When US and European markets were trading in deep Red yesterday then also we told following lines at 07:27:00 PM yesterday:-
Although US and European markets are in deep Red at this moment but lower levels intraday support seen today therefore sustaining above 5250 possibilities are still alive. Finally forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5200-5250 will be next trend confirmation and should be firstly watched.
As Indian markets got good support at lower levels and today intraday charts are showing consolidation formations also therefore finally sustaining above 5250 possibility has increased today despite Red closing after whole day negative zone trading today.
Although US and European markets are in deep Red at this moment but lower levels intraday support seen today therefore sustaining above 5250 possibilities are still alive. Finally forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5200-5250 will be next trend confirmation and should be firstly watched.
As Indian markets got good support at lower levels and today intraday charts are showing consolidation formations also therefore finally sustaining above 5250 possibility has increased today despite Red closing after whole day negative zone trading today.
Mid-session Outlook-2(03-08-2012)
As Indian markets consolidated also at lower levels in last 2 sessions therefore we did not posted Bearish views despite ECB negative news led crashing Global markets today. We told only for getting confirmations through sustaining beyond 5200-5250 and Nifty did not sustained below 5200 and now trading at 5207 despite most depressing news.
As intraday supports today above Long Term Trend deciders 200-Day SMA(today at 5106) and 200-Day EMA(today at 5163) therefore Long Term Trend survival hopes are alive and final confirmation is expected in next week.
As intraday supports today above Long Term Trend deciders 200-Day SMA(today at 5106) and 200-Day EMA(today at 5163) therefore Long Term Trend survival hopes are alive and final confirmation is expected in next week.
Mid-session Outlook(03-08-2012)
Whole day negative zone trading after gap down opening but lower levels support also seen between 5165-5175 amid depressing global sentiments. As intraday supports today above Long Term Trend deciders 200-Day SMA(today at 5106) and 200-Day EMA(today at 5163) therefore Long Term Trend survival hopes are alive.
As both buying and selling seen between 5200-5250 in last 2 sessions therefore finally sustaining it beyond will be next trend confirmations. It will happen in next week and resultant big up or down moves will be seen according to Long Term Trend confirmation.
As both buying and selling seen between 5200-5250 in last 2 sessions therefore finally sustaining it beyond will be next trend confirmations. It will happen in next week and resultant big up or down moves will be seen according to Long Term Trend confirmation.
Global Stock Markets crash after European Central Bank president Mario Draghi's failure
Investors had hoped that Draghi would announce some form of new action after his promise last week that ECB would do "whatever it takes" to preserve the euro and all the Global stock markets showed good rally also after his positive announcement but investors were disappointed by European Central Bank president.
In absence of an explicit commitment, borrowing costs in Spain and Italy moved higher yesterday. Spain's 10-year yield rose back above 7%, while Italy's 10-year yield moved above 6%.
Indian markets Outlook after Mario Draghi's failure
Weak opening is confirm after dampned Global sentiments. As Nifty traded between 5210-5246 with both lower levels consolidations and higher levels selling therefore sustaining below 5210 should be firstly watched amid most depressed sentiments today morning. Today intraday moves will be the impact of weak sentiments also therefore firstly today intraday charts patterns formations should be watched because both following possibilities are alive:-
1- Fresh selling after disappointing sentiments or
2- Lower levels again consolidations after last 2 sessions.
Next Monday markets will be free from depressing mood and next trend final confirmation will be sustaining beyond 5200-5250.
Firstly watch next trend decider 5200-5250
Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook
(03-08-2012)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Aug 01 & Aug 02,2012):-(03-08-2012)
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 5213-5226 on 01-08-2012
2- Selling between 5238-5246 on 01-08-2012
3- Consolidation between 5210-5224 on 02-08-2012
4- Two sessions trading between 5210-5246
Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Completely narrow range trading within 36 points and between most crucial resistance range(5200-5250) with both lower levels consolidations and higher levels selling. Although Nifty is trading above long term trend decider 200-Day SMA and 200-Day EMA for the last 4 sessions but sustaining above confirmation is required yet.
As both buying and selling patterns are seen in last 2 sessions therefore it will be understood that technically Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves and if sentiment does not remain boiling then Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next trend within mentioned resistance range(5200-5250).
Although US and European markets are in deep Red at this moment but lower levels intraday support seen today therefore sustaining above 5250 possibilities are still alive. Finally forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5200-5250 will be next trend confirmation and should be firstly watched.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(02-Aug-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- SENSEX and NIFTY closed in Red with minor loss.
2- Midcap and SMLcap closed in Green.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(02-Aug-2012): 17.07
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1495
BSE Declines : 1178
NSE Advances : 788
NSE Declines : 624
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Aug)- -21,650(-1.2%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Aug)- 954,600(11.27%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Aug)- -154,800(-6.4%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Aug)- 24,150(0.39%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Aug)- 285,250(7.33%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Aug)- 244,250(5.16%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Aug)- 383,650(9.28%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Aug)- -42,300(-1.88%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,227.75(-12.75 Points & -0.24%)
Sensex- closed at 17,224.36(-33.02 Points & -0.19% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,255.90(24.80 Points & 0.34%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,550.79(30.49 Points & 0.47%)
1- SENSEX and NIFTY closed in Red with minor loss.
2- Midcap and SMLcap closed in Green.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.02
Nifty P/E Ratio(02-Aug-2012): 17.07
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1495
BSE Declines : 1178
NSE Advances : 788
NSE Declines : 624
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Aug)- -21,650(-1.2%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Aug)- 954,600(11.27%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Aug)- -154,800(-6.4%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Aug)- 24,150(0.39%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Aug)- 285,250(7.33%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Aug)- 244,250(5.16%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Aug)- 383,650(9.28%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Aug)- -42,300(-1.88%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,227.75(-12.75 Points & -0.24%)
Sensex- closed at 17,224.36(-33.02 Points & -0.19% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,255.90(24.80 Points & 0.34%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,550.79(30.49 Points & 0.47%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-08-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5266
R2 5251
R1 5239
Avg 5224
S1 5212
S2 5197
S3 5185
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5254 Trgt 2
H5 5247 Trgt 1
H4 5241 Long breakout
H3 5234 Go Short
H2 5231
H1 5229
L1 5224
L2 5222
L3 5219 Long
L4 5212 Short Breakout
L5 5206 Trgt 1
L6 5199 Trgt 2
R3 5266
R2 5251
R1 5239
Avg 5224
S1 5212
S2 5197
S3 5185
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5254 Trgt 2
H5 5247 Trgt 1
H4 5241 Long breakout
H3 5234 Go Short
H2 5231
H1 5229
L1 5224
L2 5222
L3 5219 Long
L4 5212 Short Breakout
L5 5206 Trgt 1
L6 5199 Trgt 2
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-08-2012
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels
R3 5288
R2 5270
R1 5258
Avg 5240
S1 5228
S2 5210
S3 5198
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5276 Trgt 2
H5 5269 Trgt 1
H4 5262 Long breakout
H3 5254 Go Short
H2 5251
H1 5248
L1 5243
L2 5240
L3 5237 Long
L4 5229 Short Breakout
L5 5222 Trgt 1
L6 5215 Trgt 2
R3 5288
R2 5270
R1 5258
Avg 5240
S1 5228
S2 5210
S3 5198
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5276 Trgt 2
H5 5269 Trgt 1
H4 5262 Long breakout
H3 5254 Go Short
H2 5251
H1 5248
L1 5243
L2 5240
L3 5237 Long
L4 5229 Short Breakout
L5 5222 Trgt 1
L6 5215 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-08-2012
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels
R3 10588
R2 10525
R1 10476
Avg 10413
S1 10364
S2 10301
S3 10252
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10540 Trgt 2
H5 10515 Trgt 1
H4 10489 Long breakout
H3 10458 Go Short
H2 10448
H1 10438
L1 10417
L2 10407
L3 10397 Long
L4 10366 Short Breakout
L5 10340 Trgt 1
L6 10315 Trgt 2
R3 10588
R2 10525
R1 10476
Avg 10413
S1 10364
S2 10301
S3 10252
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10540 Trgt 2
H5 10515 Trgt 1
H4 10489 Long breakout
H3 10458 Go Short
H2 10448
H1 10438
L1 10417
L2 10407
L3 10397 Long
L4 10366 Short Breakout
L5 10340 Trgt 1
L6 10315 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(02-08-2012)
Following topic was posted yesterday for today trading:-
Firstly watch 5200-5250 for Long Term Trend Fate
Nifty traded whole day today within above mentioned range between 5209.95-5236.90.As today intraday patterns are showing consolidations patterns therefore finally trading above 5250 possibilities turned higher despite whole day negative zone trading today.
Mid-session Outlook(02-08-2012)
Following lines were today yesterday which proved 100% accurate today:-
"Whole day narrow range trading within 33 points but both consolidations and distribution patterns therefore more preparations is required for next decisive moves near about today trading range"
Nifty traded Whole day between 5213-5246 yesterday and today first 4 hours trading range is 5210- 5236.
Nifty is preparing for next decisive moves within 5200-5250 with both higher levels selling as well as lower levels buying seen within this range. Nifty is trading above long term trend decider 200-Day SMA and 200-Day EMA and all trends turning up confirmation is required through forceful break out or sustaining above 5250 for next up moves confirmations.
As lower levels sopports today therefore upward break out above 5250 possibilities are very much alive despite whole day negative zone trading today but firstly watch forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5200-5250 also for next trend confirmations.
"Whole day narrow range trading within 33 points but both consolidations and distribution patterns therefore more preparations is required for next decisive moves near about today trading range"
Nifty traded Whole day between 5213-5246 yesterday and today first 4 hours trading range is 5210- 5236.
Nifty is preparing for next decisive moves within 5200-5250 with both higher levels selling as well as lower levels buying seen within this range. Nifty is trading above long term trend decider 200-Day SMA and 200-Day EMA and all trends turning up confirmation is required through forceful break out or sustaining above 5250 for next up moves confirmations.
As lower levels sopports today therefore upward break out above 5250 possibilities are very much alive despite whole day negative zone trading today but firstly watch forceful break out or sustaining beyond 5200-5250 also for next trend confirmations.
Post-open Outlook(02-08-2012)
As soon as selling developed yesterday then it was immediately updated in following lines yesterday at 01:54:00 PM in Mid-session Outlook:-
"selling signals emerging in last one hour intraday charts therefore view turned cautious and firstly previous resistance range(5200-5250) break out should be watched for next moves confirmations."
In all 3 previous outlooks selling at higher levels was told and showed in intraday charts also. Result is clear that Indian markets are in Red and slipped from yesterday higher levels.
View is same and next trend confirmation will be after forceful break out or sustaining beyond resistance range(5200-5250).
Firstly watch 5200-5250 for Long Term Trend Fate
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For
02-08-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Aug-2012):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 5213-5226
2- Selling between 5238-5246
3- Whole day trading between 5213-5246
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Whole day narrow range trading within 33 points but both consolidations and distribution patterns therefore more preparations is required for next decisive moves near about today trading range.
Nifty is trading above long term trend decider 200-Day SMA and 200-Day EMA but selling patterns also seen within resistance range(5200-5250) today therefore all trends turning up confirmation is required through forceful break out or sustaining above 5250 for next up moves confirmations.
Firstly watch sustaining beyond 5200-5250 tomorrow for next trend confirmations because it will give confirmations to Long Term Trend fate.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Aug-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Aug-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- Small White Candle.
3- Whole day narrow range moves.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Aug-2012): 17.13
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1687
BSE Declines : 1150
NSE Advances : 945
NSE Declines : 489
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Aug)- -12,450 (-0.69%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Aug)- 304,450 (3.71%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Aug)- -287,700(-10.57%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Aug)- 526,500(9.28%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Aug)- -121,750(-2.95%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Aug)- 1,146,600(30.31%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Aug)- 114,400(2.76%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Aug)- 249,450(12.21%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,240.50(11.50 Points & 0.22%)
Sensex- closed at 17,257.38(21.20 Points & 0.12% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,231.10(62.60 Points & 0.87%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,520.30(72.41 Points & 1.12%)
1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- Small White Candle.
3- Whole day narrow range moves.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Aug-2012): 17.13
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1687
BSE Declines : 1150
NSE Advances : 945
NSE Declines : 489
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Aug)- -12,450 (-0.69%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Aug)- 304,450 (3.71%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Aug)- -287,700(-10.57%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Aug)- 526,500(9.28%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Aug)- -121,750(-2.95%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Aug)- 1,146,600(30.31%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Aug)- 114,400(2.76%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Aug)- 249,450(12.21%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,240.50(11.50 Points & 0.22%)
Sensex- closed at 17,257.38(21.20 Points & 0.12% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,231.10(62.60 Points & 0.87%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,520.30(72.41 Points & 1.12%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5287
R2 5266
R1 5253
Avg 5232
S1 5219
S2 5198
S3 5185
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5274 Trgt 2
H5 5266 Trgt 1
H4 5258 Long breakout
H3 5249 Go Short
H2 5246
H1 5243
L1 5236
L2 5233
L3 5230 Long
L4 5221 Short Breakout
L5 5213 Trgt 1
L6 5205 Trgt 2
R3 5287
R2 5266
R1 5253
Avg 5232
S1 5219
S2 5198
S3 5185
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5274 Trgt 2
H5 5266 Trgt 1
H4 5258 Long breakout
H3 5249 Go Short
H2 5246
H1 5243
L1 5236
L2 5233
L3 5230 Long
L4 5221 Short Breakout
L5 5213 Trgt 1
L6 5205 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5287
R2 5266
R1 5253
Avg 5232
S1 5219
S2 5198
S3 5185
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5274 Trgt 2
H5 5266 Trgt 1
H4 5258 Long breakout
H3 5249 Go Short
H2 5246
H1 5243
L1 5236
L2 5233
L3 5230 Long
L4 5221 Short Breakout
L5 5213 Trgt 1
L6 5205 Trgt 2
R3 5287
R2 5266
R1 5253
Avg 5232
S1 5219
S2 5198
S3 5185
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5274 Trgt 2
H5 5266 Trgt 1
H4 5258 Long breakout
H3 5249 Go Short
H2 5246
H1 5243
L1 5236
L2 5233
L3 5230 Long
L4 5221 Short Breakout
L5 5213 Trgt 1
L6 5205 Trgt 2
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2012
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels
R3 5308
R2 5287
R1 5271
Avg 5250
S1 5234
S2 5213
S3 5197
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5293 Trgt 2
H5 5284 Trgt 1
H4 5276 Long breakout
H3 5266 Go Short
H2 5262
H1 5259
L1 5252
L2 5249
L3 5245 Long
L4 5235 Short Breakout
L5 5227 Trgt 1
L6 5218 Trgt 2
R3 5308
R2 5287
R1 5271
Avg 5250
S1 5234
S2 5213
S3 5197
Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5293 Trgt 2
H5 5284 Trgt 1
H4 5276 Long breakout
H3 5266 Go Short
H2 5262
H1 5259
L1 5252
L2 5249
L3 5245 Long
L4 5235 Short Breakout
L5 5227 Trgt 1
L6 5218 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-08-2012
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Levels
R3 10654
R2 10581
R1 10523
Avg 10450
S1 10392
S2 10319
S3 10261
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10597 Trgt 2
H5 10567 Trgt 1
H4 10537 Long breakout
H3 10501 Go Short
H2 10489
H1 10477
L1 10452
L2 10440
L3 10428 Long
L4 10392 Short Breakout
L5 10362 Trgt 1
L6 10332 Trgt 2
R3 10654
R2 10581
R1 10523
Avg 10450
S1 10392
S2 10319
S3 10261
Bank Nifty(Aug Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10597 Trgt 2
H5 10567 Trgt 1
H4 10537 Long breakout
H3 10501 Go Short
H2 10489
H1 10477
L1 10452
L2 10440
L3 10428 Long
L4 10392 Short Breakout
L5 10362 Trgt 1
L6 10332 Trgt 2
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