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Mid-session Outlook(11-06-2012)

US Futures are more than 1% up today after US Markets good closing last Friday,resultant all the Asian/European markets are 1% to 2% up but Indian markets are under performing and less than 1% up therefore profit booking possibility on the back of strong global cues can not be ruled out today.

First 3 hours sideways quiet market between 5106-5124 today and juat watch sustaining it beyond  for next moves confirmations despite strong and blasting  global cues.

Strong Rally above 200-Day SMA(today at 5066)

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Jun 11 to Jun 15,2012)

Nifty-EOD Chart(08-Jun-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Testing of 200-Day SMA
2- Testing of corrective falling Trendline.
3- Forceful upmoves after Double Bottom formations in previous week.
4- MACD- Buying signal generation through MACD line upward crossing over of trigger line.
5- MACD- MACD line sharply up after getting support at trigger line.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Short and Intermediate term trends are up and Long term trend will be up after sustaining above 200-Day SMA(today at 5066). Testing of corrective falling Trendline and 200-Day SMA was seen on 11-06-2012 and sustaining above these 2 levels will be strong rally confirmation.

Trend decider MACD has already given Uptrend formation confirmation through MACD line upward crossing over and support getting at trigger line therefore on going rally continuation will be seen in the coming week and testing of next resistances are expected:

Next resistances of on going 76 sessions correction are as follows:-

1- Resistance between 5070-5125
2- Resistance between 5190-5305
3- Resistance between 5318-5337
4- Resistance between 5357-5377
5- Resistance between 5418-5487
6- Resistance between 5588-5625

Next supports after 20-12-2011 rally are as follows:- 

1- 4995-5022
2- 4852-4880
3- 4771-4797(Double Bottom supports within this range)
4- 4635-4663
5- 4602-4624
6- 4560-4590

Multiple and strong resistances at higher levels but strong supports also emerged above 4560 and no selling in previous week therefore continuation of ongoing rally is expected in the coming week. Most crucial confirmation of sustaining above 200-Day SMA and Falling Trendline is required yet therefore only watch sustaining above both levels for strong rally after all trends turning up.. 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 08-Jun-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 08-Jun-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII08-Jun-20121779.51577.49202.01

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII08-Jun-2012716.51797.99-81.48

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-06-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5193
R2 5138
R1 5103
PIVOT 5048
S1 5013
S2 4958
S3 4923

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5159     Trgt 2
H5 5138     Trgt 1
H4 5117     Long breakout
H3 5092     Go Short
H2 5084
H1 5076
L1 5059
L2 5051
L3 5043     Long
L4 5018     Short Breakout
L5 4997     Trgt 1
L6 4976     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-06-2012

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 5217
R2 5148
R1 5103
PIVOT 5034
S1 4989
S2 4920
S3 4875

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5175     Trgt 2
H5 5148     Trgt 1
H4 5121    Long breakout
H3 5090     Go Short
H2 5079
H1 5069
L1 5048
L2 5038
L3 5027     Long
L4 4996     Short Breakout
L5 4969     Trgt 1
L6 4942     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 11-06-2012

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 10330
R2 10157
R1 10048
PIVOT 9875
S1 9766
S2 9593
S3 9484

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10227     Trgt 2
H5 10160     Trgt 1
H4 10094     Long breakout
H3 10016     Go Short
H2  9990
H1  9964
L1  9913
L2  9887
L3  9861    Long
L4  9783    Short Breakout
L5  9717    Trgt 1
L6  9650    Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jun 11 to Jun 15,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5492
R2 5288
R1 5178
PIVOT 4974
S1 4864
S2 4660
S3 4550

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5401     Trgt 2
H5 5321     Trgt 1
H4 5240     Long breakout
H3 5154     Go Short
H2 5125
H1 5096
L1 5039
L2 5010
L3 4981     Long
L4 4895     Short Breakout
L5 4814     Trgt 1
L6 4734     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jun 11 to Jun 15,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 9459
R2 9745
R1 9427
PIVOT 9713
S1 9395
S2 9681
S3 9363

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 9139     Trgt 2
H5 9133    Trgt 1
H4 9127     Long breakout
H3 9118     Go Short
H2 9115
H1 9112
L1 9107
L2 9104
L3 9101     Long
L4 9092     Short Breakout
L5 9086     Trgt 1
L6 9080     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(08-06-2012)

Dow's Futures 75 points fast recovery changed Global sentiment and triggered sharp surge in Indian and European markets. Next trend confirmations through sustaining beyond 5009-5022 was told in the today posted all the outlooks and Nifty gave decisive forceful upward break out.

200-Day SMA will decide the fate of Long Term Trend through sustaining beyond 5065 therefore should be firstly watched in next week.

Mid-session Outlook(08-06-2012)

Nifty Consolidated and got support between 5009-5022 yesterday and trading within this range for the last 100 Minutes therefore break out of this range will generate decisive moves and trends.

Just watch sustaining beyond mentioned range and get next decisive big moves confirmations. 

Mid-session Outlook(08-06-2012)

Detailed analysis and next trend deciding levels have already been updated in previous 3 Outlooks and Nifty trading within mentioned levels and no break out seen in first 3 hours today.

Nifty slipped after higher levels selling and trding within/above mentioned support range(5009-5022) and sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched today.

Firstly Watch saviour(5009-5022) in Depressed Global Sentiments

Indian Stock Markets Reports(07-Jun-2012)

Main features  are as follows:

1- White Candle formation.
2- All the Indices closed in Green except CD.
3- Benchmark Indices more than 1% up but BSE SMLcap closed 0.46% up.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(07-Jun-2012): 16.96

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1509
BSE Declines : 1215
NSE Advances :  823
NSE Declines :  580

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4800 CE(Jun)- -204250(-8.77%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Jun)- -11000(-0.15%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Jun)- -145450(-4.33%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Jun)- +1190000(+24.60%)

Nifty- 5000 CE(Jun)- -457550(-8.72%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Jun)- +772250(+25.29%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Jun)- +428450(+9.45%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jun)- +132100(+13.49%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,049.65(+52.55 Points & +1.05%)
Sensex- closed at 16,649.05(+194.75 Points & +1.18% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,005.35(+59.15 Points & +0.85%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,313.63(+29.01 Points & +0.46%)

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 08-06-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Jun2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5009-5022.
2- Without force up moves with Rising Wedge(Bearish) formation.
3- Last more than 2 hours trading between 5041-5054 with mixed patterns formations
4- Whole day trading between 5008-5059

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following conclusions were updated in Mid-session Outlook yesterday and being repeated for today market:-

Although some recovery from lower levels today but without much force and last one hour up moves are also showing Rising Wedge(Bearish) formation therefore suggesting more requiirement for consolidation.


Finally sustaining beyond 5009-5065 will give next immediate trend confirmations therefore should be firstly watched.

Pre-open Outlook(08-06-2012)

US markets slipped lost most of the intraday gains after Ben Bernanke statement yesterday therefore sentiment weakened today morning and all the Asian markets are in Red with Dow'Futures is allso trading more than 30 points down at this moment.

Sentiment depressed today morning therefore weak opening will be seen and following 2 ranges should be seen today:

1- 5041-5054- Last more than 2 hours trading between this range with mixed formations, As Rising Wedge(Bearish) formation was seen between and below this range yesterday therefore firstly trading below this range is expected because sentiment is weak. Sustaining beyond this range will be next moves first strong signal.

2- 5009-5065- Sustaining above 5065 will be strong rally confirmations after all trends turning up and sustaining below 5009 will be termination confirmation of this week Pull Back rally.

3- Nifty got intraday support between 5009-5022 yesterday therefore this range is first saviour and sustaining beyond will be next moves confirmation also in dampened global sentiment today. 

Finally sustaining beyond 5009-5065 will be next trend confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 07-Jun-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 07-Jun-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII07-Jun-20122737.992062.51675.48

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII07-Jun-2012939.25972.99-33.74

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-06-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5121
R2 5090
R1 5069
Avg 5038
S1 5017
S2 4986
S3 4965

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5101     Trgt 2
H5 5089     Trgt 1
H4 5077     Long breakout
H3 5063     Go Short
H2 5058
H1 5053
L1 5044
L2 5039
L3 5034     Long
L4 5020     Short Breakout
L5 5008     Trgt 1
L6 4996     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-06-2012

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 5106
R2 5071
R1 5050
Avg 5015
S1 4994
S2 4959
S3 4938

Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5085     Trgt 2
H5 5072     Trgt 1
H4 5059     Long breakout
H3 5044     Go Short
H2 5039
H1 5034
L1 5023
L2 5018
L3 5013     Long
L4 4998     Short Breakout
L5 4985     Trgt 1
L6 4972     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 08-06-2012

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Levels

R3 10105
R2 9989
R1 9922
Avg 9806
S1 9739
S2 9623
S3 9556

Bank Nifty(Jun Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10041     Trgt 2
H5  9998     Trgt 1
H4  9955     Long breakout
H3  9905    Go Short
H2  9888
H1  9871
L1  9838
L2  9821
L3  9804    Long
L4  9754    Short Breakout
L5  9711    Trgt 1
L6  9668    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(07-06-2012)

Detailed analysis from today intraday charts have already been updated in Mid-session Outlook(07-06-2012)  and nothing new after that therefore may go though mentioned topic.

Mid-session Outlook(07-06-2012)

As indian markets opening was not strong despite good gap up opening therefore following line was told within first 10 minutes today in Post-open Outlook:-

"Gap up opening today but not strong and sustaining beyond 5065 will be firstly watched"

Nifty slipped more than 25 points after our above message and consolidation seen between 5009-5022. Although some recovery from lower levels today but without much force and last one hour up moves are also showing Rising Wedge(Bearish) formation therefore suggesting more requiirement for consolidation.

Finally sustaining beyond 5009-5065 will give next immediate trend confirmations therefore should be firstly watched.

Post-open Outlook(07-06-2012)

Gap up opening today but not strong and sustaining beyond 5065 will be firstly watched today and in the coming sessions for next decisive trends(Long and Intermediate) confirmations.