Market was expecting rates cut but no change in all the rates therefore sharp fall after Credit Policy announcement and Nifty slipped below 5417. Sustaining beyond 5417 will be firstly watched for the next decisive moves confirmations.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Status Quo in RBI Credit Policy
Market was expecting rates cut but no change in all the rates therefore sharp fall after Credit Policy announcement and Nifty slipped below 5417. Sustaining beyond 5417 will be firstly watched for the next decisive moves confirmations.
Post-open Outlook(15-03-2012)
Sentiment dampened due to Railway Minister resignation issue and weakness in all the Asian markets(except Nikkei) therefore negative zone trading after weak opening. Railway Minister resignation issue will be resolved and today down moves are only sentimental impact.
Expected that Indian markets will get support and Nifty will not sustain below 5438 and finally on going rally will remain continued.
Next decisive moves confirmation range before and after Budget is sustaining beyond 5417-5463,precautionally should be kept in mind because market may be highly volatile also.
Rally despite whatsoever Union Budget-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(14-Mar-2012):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 5438-5463
2- Whole day trading between 5438-5485
As intraday selling therefore following guidance was given yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.
Nifty got support exactly at 5437.80 after slipping from higher levels and whole day sustained above 5438. More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5422-5458 on 29-02-2012 and Nifty consilidated within this range today between 5438-5463 therefore almost confirmation of this resistance range clearing.
Long and Short term trends were already up and Intermediate term trend(5340) turning up confirmation today therefore rally will remain continued after all trends turning up and high testing possibility of following 2 resistance ranges of Dec 2011 started rally:-
1- 5485-5533
2- 5590-5627
Big events(RBI Credit Policy and Union Budget-2012) in the next 2 sessions therefore high volatility can not be ruled out but until Nifty will not sustain below today lowest(5438) till then any down move will not be considered because good consolidation above it today. Rally is on after completion of correction and crossing resistances therefore complete selling patterns are must minimum on intraday and daily charts for rally termination. As no such signal today therefore:-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 5438-5463
2- Whole day trading between 5438-5485
Conclusions
As intraday selling therefore following guidance was given yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.
Nifty got support exactly at 5437.80 after slipping from higher levels and whole day sustained above 5438. More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5422-5458 on 29-02-2012 and Nifty consilidated within this range today between 5438-5463 therefore almost confirmation of this resistance range clearing.
Long and Short term trends were already up and Intermediate term trend(5340) turning up confirmation today therefore rally will remain continued after all trends turning up and high testing possibility of following 2 resistance ranges of Dec 2011 started rally:-
1- 5485-5533
2- 5590-5627
Big events(RBI Credit Policy and Union Budget-2012) in the next 2 sessions therefore high volatility can not be ruled out but until Nifty will not sustain below today lowest(5438) till then any down move will not be considered because good consolidation above it today. Rally is on after completion of correction and crossing resistances therefore complete selling patterns are must minimum on intraday and daily charts for rally termination. As no such signal today therefore:-
only rally continuation conclusion despite whatsoever RBI Credit Policy and Union Budget-2012.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Mar-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(14-Mar-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Green closing.
2- Black Candle.
3- Most Indices closed in Green but some closed in Red specially IT and Small Cap.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Mar-2012): 19.31
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1364
BSE Declines : 1562
NSE Advances : 651
NSE Declines : 798
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -136500(-4.51%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +737300(+12.83%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -240000(-6.36%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +285950(+6.05%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -91300(-1.80%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +612400(+20.64%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +741000(+13.24%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +172000(+13.06%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Mar)- +473700(+10.18%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Mar)- +233700(+77.15%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,463.90(+34.40 Points & +0.63%)
Sensex- closed at 17,919.30(+105.68 Points & +0.59%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,886.35(+54.80 Points & +0.70%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,846.64(-19.29 Points & -0.28%)
1- Green closing.
2- Black Candle.
3- Most Indices closed in Green but some closed in Red specially IT and Small Cap.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Mar-2012): 19.31
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1364
BSE Declines : 1562
NSE Advances : 651
NSE Declines : 798
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -136500(-4.51%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +737300(+12.83%)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -240000(-6.36%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +285950(+6.05%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -91300(-1.80%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +612400(+20.64%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +741000(+13.24%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +172000(+13.06%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(Mar)- +473700(+10.18%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Mar)- +233700(+77.15%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,463.90(+34.40 Points & +0.63%)
Sensex- closed at 17,919.30(+105.68 Points & +0.59%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,886.35(+54.80 Points & +0.70%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,846.64(-19.29 Points & -0.28%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5557
R2 5528
R1 5495
Avg 5466
S1 5433
S2 5404
S3 5371
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5525 Trgt 2
H5 5511 Trgt 1
H4 5497 Long breakout
H3 5480 Go Short
H2 5474
H1 5468
L1 5457
L2 5451
L3 5445 Long
L4 5428 Short Breakout
L5 5414 Trgt 1
L6 5400 Trgt 2
R3 5557
R2 5528
R1 5495
Avg 5466
S1 5433
S2 5404
S3 5371
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5525 Trgt 2
H5 5511 Trgt 1
H4 5497 Long breakout
H3 5480 Go Short
H2 5474
H1 5468
L1 5457
L2 5451
L3 5445 Long
L4 5428 Short Breakout
L5 5414 Trgt 1
L6 5400 Trgt 2
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 5611
R2 5576
R1 5541
Avg 5506
S1 5471
S2 5436
S3 5401
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5576 Trgt 2
H5 5560 Trgt 1
H4 5544 Long breakout
H3 5525 Go Short
H2 5518
H1 5512
L1 5499
L2 5493
L3 5486 Long
L4 5467 Short Breakout
L5 5451 Trgt 1
L6 5435 Trgt 2
R3 5611
R2 5576
R1 5541
Avg 5506
S1 5471
S2 5436
S3 5401
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5576 Trgt 2
H5 5560 Trgt 1
H4 5544 Long breakout
H3 5525 Go Short
H2 5518
H1 5512
L1 5499
L2 5493
L3 5486 Long
L4 5467 Short Breakout
L5 5451 Trgt 1
L6 5435 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2012
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 11234
R2 11124
R1 11052
Avg 10942
S1 10870
S2 10760
S3 10688
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11165 Trgt 2
H5 11123 Trgt 1
H4 11081 Long breakout
H3 11031 Go Short
H2 11014
H1 10997
L1 10964
L2 10947
L3 10930 Long
L4 10880 Short Breakout
L5 10838 Trgt 1
L6 10796 Trgt 2
R3 11234
R2 11124
R1 11052
Avg 10942
S1 10870
S2 10760
S3 10688
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11165 Trgt 2
H5 11123 Trgt 1
H4 11081 Long breakout
H3 11031 Go Short
H2 11014
H1 10997
L1 10964
L2 10947
L3 10930 Long
L4 10880 Short Breakout
L5 10838 Trgt 1
L6 10796 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(14-03-2012)
sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations.
We told above line in:-
1- yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
2- Today in Mid-session Outlook
Nifty retraced today after forming the lowest at:- 5437.80
Indian markets slipped immediately after opening and its technical reasons have already been explained in previous outlooks today. As news based market today therefore for precaution sustaining beyond today trading range will be watched for confirmation but Intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation formations and continuation of rally is expected in the coming sessions.
Mid-session Outlook(14-03-2012)
As higher levels selling was seen yesterday therefore following topic was posted yesterday:-
Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
Following line was told in Post-open Outlook today:-
As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.
Following conclusive line was told yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.
Huge gap up opening today after blasting Global cues but could not sustaining at higher levels because selling yesterday and slipped for cooling down of heated sentiment as well as to conoslidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.
sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations.
Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
Following line was told in Post-open Outlook today:-
As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.
Following conclusive line was told yesterday in Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.
Huge gap up opening today after blasting Global cues but could not sustaining at higher levels because selling yesterday and slipped for cooling down of heated sentiment as well as to conoslidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.
sustaining beyond 5417-5438 should be firstly watched today for next moves confirmations.
Post-open Outlook(14-03-2012)
5458 was resistance but Nifty is well above after strong global cues today. As some selling at higher levels yesterday therefore market is slipped from higher levels immediately after opening to consolidate and absorb yesterday intraday selling.
Complete selling patterns on intraday and minimum on daily charts are required for any down move or correction and until that will not happen till then rally will remain continued.
Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation is being seen today after strong Global cues.
Complete selling patterns on intraday and minimum on daily charts are required for any down move or correction and until that will not happen till then rally will remain continued.
Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation is being seen today after strong Global cues.
Sparkling Rally after Blasting Global markets
Pre-open Outlook(14-03-2012)
As higher levels selling patterns were seen yesterday therefore view is cautious but strong rally in all the Global markets. Most Asian markets are 1% to 2% up after more than 1.6% positive closing in US markets therefore sentiment is blasting and Indian markets will consolidate at higher levels after gap up opening.
Rally is on after correction completion on 07-03-2012 and its continuation will be seen today after sparkling Global cues.
Cautious view after intraday selling patterns today
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For
14-03-2012
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-Mar-2012):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Most time trading within 21 points between 5417-5438
2- Intraday selling patterns at higher levels between 5428-5438.
3- Up moves lacking force.
4- Whole day trading between 5406-5438
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
More than 3 hours good selling was seen between 5458-5422 on 29-02-2012 and it is last resistance of previous 12 sessions trading range also. Nifty traded almost whole day between and little below this range within 21 points between 5417-5438 today.
As clear selling patterns today between 29th Feb selling range therefore previous resistance range has strengthened today and view is cautious. Firstly sustaining above today intraday selling range(5428-5438) and after that sustaining above 29th Feb resistance range top(5458) is must for continuation of rally.
Rally is on after completion of correction and only one day intraday selling patterns are not sufficient and more selling patterns are must to tell for rally termination.
Follow up consolidation/distribution patterns and sustaining beyond 5417-5438 will be firstly watched tomorrow for next moves confirmations.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Mar-2012
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Mar-2012)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- White Candle.
3- Whole day without force upmoves after gap up opening.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Mar-2012): 19.18
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1716
BSE Declines : 1225
NSE Advances : 953
NSE Declines : 493
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -171750(-5.99%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +726600(+9.63%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -308100(-9.22%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +354,350(+6.49 %)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -462350(-10.76%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +941000(+24.50%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -61000(-1.17%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +205050(+7.36%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +634750(+12.10%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +586100(+76.81%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,429.50(+69.95 Points & +1.31%)
Sensex- closed at 17,813.62(+225.95 Points & +1.28%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,831.55(+71.80 Points & +0.93%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,865.93(+69.67 Points & +1.03%)
1- All the Indices closed in Green.
2- White Candle.
3- Whole day without force upmoves after gap up opening.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.12
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Mar-2012): 19.18
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1716
BSE Declines : 1225
NSE Advances : 953
NSE Declines : 493
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5200 CE(Mar)- -171750(-5.99%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Mar)- +726600(+9.63%)
Nifty- 5300 CE(Mar)- -308100(-9.22%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Mar)- +354,350(+6.49 %)
Nifty- 5400 CE(Mar)- -462350(-10.76%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Mar)- +941000(+24.50%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(Mar)- -61000(-1.17%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Mar)- +205050(+7.36%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(Mar)- +634750(+12.10%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Mar)- +586100(+76.81%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,429.50(+69.95 Points & +1.31%)
Sensex- closed at 17,813.62(+225.95 Points & +1.28%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,831.55(+71.80 Points & +0.93%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,865.93(+69.67 Points & +1.03%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5496
R2 5467
R1 5448
Avg 5419
S1 5400
S2 5371
S3 5352
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5477 Trgt 2
H5 5466 Trgt 1
H4 5455 Long breakout
H3 5442 Go Short
H2 5437
H1 5433
L1 5424
L2 5420
L3 5415 Long
L4 5402 Short Breakout
L5 5391 Trgt 1
L6 5380 Trgt 2
R3 5496
R2 5467
R1 5448
Avg 5419
S1 5400
S2 5371
S3 5352
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5477 Trgt 2
H5 5466 Trgt 1
H4 5455 Long breakout
H3 5442 Go Short
H2 5437
H1 5433
L1 5424
L2 5420
L3 5415 Long
L4 5402 Short Breakout
L5 5391 Trgt 1
L6 5380 Trgt 2
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 5612
R2 5544
R1 5506
Avg 5438
S1 5400
S2 5332
S3 5294
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5575 Trgt 2
H5 5551 Trgt 1
H4 5526 Long breakout
H3 5497 Go Short
H2 5487
H1 5477
L1 5458
L2 5448
L3 5438 Long
L4 5409 Short Breakout
L5 5384 Trgt 1
L6 5360 Trgt 2
R3 5612
R2 5544
R1 5506
Avg 5438
S1 5400
S2 5332
S3 5294
Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5575 Trgt 2
H5 5551 Trgt 1
H4 5526 Long breakout
H3 5497 Go Short
H2 5487
H1 5477
L1 5458
L2 5448
L3 5438 Long
L4 5409 Short Breakout
L5 5384 Trgt 1
L6 5360 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-03-2012
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels
R3 10909
R2 10867
R1 10816
Avg 10774
S1 10723
S2 10681
S3 10630
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10858 Trgt 2
H5 10837 Trgt 1
H4 10816 Long breakout
H3 10790 Go Short
H2 10782
H1 10773
L1 10756
L2 10747
L3 10739 Long
L4 10713 Short Breakout
L5 10692 Trgt 1
L6 10671 Trgt 2
R3 10909
R2 10867
R1 10816
Avg 10774
S1 10723
S2 10681
S3 10630
Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10858 Trgt 2
H5 10837 Trgt 1
H4 10816 Long breakout
H3 10790 Go Short
H2 10782
H1 10773
L1 10756
L2 10747
L3 10739 Long
L4 10713 Short Breakout
L5 10692 Trgt 1
L6 10671 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(13-03-2012)
Whole day trading with more than 1% gains and going to close also more than 1.30% up after more than 5 hours trading between 5417-5435 but today intraday patterns are mixed formations and selling patterns also seen therefore views is cautious now and firstly sustaining beyond mentioned range will be firstly watched for next moves confirmations.
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