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"Daily and Weekly accurate Outlooks" 
with "Intraday Charts Analysis"for the 
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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Feb-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII13-Feb-20122600.012130.24469.77


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII13-Feb-2012832.721430.03-597.31

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Feb-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Doji Candle formation.
2- Mid Cap and Small Cap Indices closed with moderate gains while other Indices closed flat.
3- Market is preparing for next blasting moves in the coming sessions.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.27
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Feb-2012):18.94

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1496
BSE Declines : 1390
NSE Advances : 754
NSE Declines : 706

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5300 CE(Feb)- -250750(-6.97%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Feb)- +955200(+14.10%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Feb)- +230250(+4.01%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Feb)- +599900(+12.66%)

Nifty- 5500 CE(Feb)- +259100(+3.71%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Feb)- +340300(+26.26%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,390.20(+8.60 Points & +0.16%)
Sensex- closed at 17,772.84(+24.15 Points & +0.14%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,551.80(+14.55 Points & +0.19%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,903.57(+12.72 Points & +0.18%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-02-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5427
R2 5424
R1 5357
Avg 5354
S1 5287
S2 5284
S3 5217

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5460     Trgt 2
H5 5444     Trgt 1
H4 5428     Long breakout
H3 5409     Go Short
H2 5402
H1 5396
L1 5383
L2 5377
L3 5370     Long
L4 5351     Short Breakout
L5 5335     Trgt 1
L6 5319     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-02-2012

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 5528
R2 5486
R1 5452
Avg 5410
S1 5376
S2 5334
S3 5300

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5494     Trgt 2
H5 5477     Trgt 1
H4 5459     Long breakout
H3 5438     Go Short
H2 5431
H1 5424
L1 5411
L2 5404
L3 5397     Long
L4 5376     Short Breakout
L5 5358     Trgt 1
L6 5341     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-02-2012

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 10865
R2 10727
R1 10625
Avg 10487
S1 10385
S2 10247
S3 10145

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10590     Trgt 2
H5 10574     Trgt 1
H4 10559     Long breakout
H3 10541     Go Short
H2 10535
H1 10529
L1 10516
L2 10510
L3 10504     Long
L4 10486     Short Breakout
L5 10471     Trgt 1
L6 10456     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(13-02-2012)

Indian markets completely under performed Global marktes today. Most of the Asian markets except SSEC closed more than half pct. up while Indian markets traded most of the time with marginal gains and in negative zone.

Indian markets moved up after all the European markets more than 1% positive trading and Dow'Futures turning 86 points up.

As today up moves from lower levels are lacking force and on the back of strong European markets news also therefore next upmoves confirmation is required tomorrow from sustaining above 5427 despite good recovery from intraday lower levels today.

Mid-session Outlook-2(13-02-2012)


Nifty traded between 5422-5342 with higher levels selling and lower levels intraday supports. In the same manner today also higher levels selling and lower levels sypport seen between 5352-5392.

Today is 6th consecutive side ways market between 5323-5427 and next big moves final confirmation will be sustaining it beyond as well as result of preparation within this range.

Mid-session Outlook(13-02-2012)

Detailed analysis have already been updated in last 3 days. Intraday selling confirmations at higher levels between 5372-5392 today.


Long term Trend Up but Short Term Correction Due


Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Feb 13 to Feb 17,2012)

6 Confirmations of Long Term Trend turning up

Technical Analysis & Research
Nifty-EOD Chart(10-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
6 Confirmations of Long Term Trend turning up
Long Term Trend turning up following 6 confirmations

1- 8 Sessions closing above trend Reversal 200-Day SMA (today is at 5178)
2- 9 Sessions closing above trend Reversal 200-Day EMA (today is at 5147)
3- 7 Sessions closing above trend Reversal 123 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229.
4- 123 Sessions sideways market break out confirmation through more than 3 sessions sustaining above 5229.
5- 123 Sessions sideways market break out confirmation through more than 3% upward trading and closing near about 5386{5229+157(3% of 5229)}
6- Falling trend line break out.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Although corrections will be seen but Long Term Trend turning up 6 confirmations and it means high possibility of that rally continuation which started on 20-12-2011 from 4532.

Daily Indicators suggesting Short Term Correction

Daily Indicators and Averages Analysis

Nifty-Daily Indicators and Averages Chart(10-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Conclusions

1- Averages(EMA-8,21,55,200)- Averages are as follows:
8 Day EMA is at- 5327
21 Day EMA is at- 5176
55 Day EMA is at- 5030
200 Day EMA is at- 5147
2- Bollinger Band- is continuously moving along with Upper Band for the last 20 sessions therefore showing maturity of up trend.
3- MACD- Rising both lines are above 120 and in overbought zone.
4- ADX is above 65 and near its peaking level.
5- ROC- Showing divergence just below overbought zone.
5- RSI- Showing divergence in overbought zone.

Conclusions (After Putting All Indicators Together)

On going upmove is so strong that all the averages are rising in less than 2 months rally but all the indicators are overbought and showing clear divergence therefore short term correction is very much due now.

5325-5382 Will decide Deeper or Sideways Correction
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 13-02-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(10-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5410-5427
2- Mixed Patterns between 5342-5382 in last more than 3 hours
3- Whole day trading between 5342-5427

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly selling between 5410-5427 was seen after heated sentiment due to last hour sharp surge one day before. Although Nifty slipped to 5341.05 but when Nifty was trading at 5409 then following lines were told in Mid-session Outlook at 11:29:00 AM on 10-02-2012

"Although Nifty is trading above 5400 since opening today but intraday patterns are signalling selling patterns also at today higher levels"

Last 3 hours mixed intraday patterns were seen 5342-5382 on 10-02-2012 and more than 5 hours mixed intraday patterns were seen in almost same range within 5325-5380 on 09-02-2012 therefore range of 5325-5382 has become most crucial and will give following moves confirmations:-

1- Correction completion within 5 days sideways moves(5323-5427) after fresh consolidation between 5325-5382.
2- Depper correction after follow up selling between or near about 5325-5382 on next Monday and then breaking down of 5 days range(5323-5427). 

Although deeper correction possibilities turned higher after higher levels selling and lower levels mixed patterns but next big decisive moves first strong signal will arrive from sustaining beyond 5325-5382 on 13-02-2012 and should be firstly watched for confirmations.


Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

6 Confirmations of Long Term Trend turning up after 894 Nifty Points rally but Sentiment is boiling and Indicators are overbought as well as showing divergences also therefore short term correction is very much due now.

Nifty was completely sideways between 5323-5427 in the previous week and mixed intraday trading patterns within this range. Suustaining below 5323 will mean deeper correction and its possibilities have turned higher also after higher levels selling in previous week. Sustaining below 5323 will mean high possibility of next supports testing near 5250/5100

Many times Bull markets corrects at higher levels within sideways moves and it has been seen in previous week all 5 sessions trading therefore firstly sustaining beyond previous week range(5323-5427) should be watched. Follow up consolidation in next week will mean rally continuation after sustaining above 5427 and sustaining below 5323 will mean firstly deeper correcton and latern on rally after its completions.

Daily Indicators suggesting Short Term Correction


Daily Indicators and Averages Analysis

Nifty-Daily Indicators and Averages Chart(10-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Conclusions

1- Averages(EMA-8,21,55,200)- Averages are as follows:
8 Day EMA is at- 5327
21 Day EMA is at- 5176
55 Day EMA is at- 5030
200 Day EMA is at- 5147
2- Bollinger Band- is continuously moving along with Upper Band for the last 20 sessions therefore showing maturity of up trend.
3- MACD- Rising both lines are above 120 and in overbought zone.
4- ADX is above 65 and near its peaking level.
5- ROC- Showing divergence just below overbought zone.
5- RSI- Showing divergence in overbought zone.

Conclusions (After Putting All Indicators Together)

On going upmove is so strong that all the averages are rising in less than 2 months rally but all the indicators are overbought and showing clear divergence therefore short term correction is very much due now.

6 Confirmations of Long Term Trend turning up

Technical Analysis & Research

Nifty-EOD Chart(10-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
6 Confirmations of Long Term Trend turning up
Long Term Trend turning up following 6 confirmations

1- 8 Sessions closing above trend Reversal 200-Day SMA (today is at 5178)
2- 9 Sessions closing above trend Reversal 200-Day EMA (today is at 5147)
3- 7 Sessions closing above trend Reversal 123 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229.
4- 123 Sessions sideways market break out confirmation through more than 3 sessions sustaining above 5229.
5- 123 Sessions sideways market break out confirmation through more than 3% upward trading and closing near about 5386{5229+157(3% of 5229)}
6- Falling trend line break out.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Although corrections will be seen but Long Term Trend turning up 6 confirmations and it means high possibility of that rally continuation which started on 20-12-2011 from 4532.

5325-5382 Will decide Deeper or Sideways Correction

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 13-02-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(10-Feb-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5410-5427
2- Mixed Patterns between 5342-5382 in last more than 3 hours
3- Whole day trading between 5342-5427

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly selling between 5410-5427 was seen after heated sentiment due to last hour sharp surge one day before. Although Nifty slipped to 5341.05 but when Nifty was trading at 5409 then following lines were told in Mid-session Outlook at 11:29:00 AM on 10-02-2012

"Although Nifty is trading above 5400 since opening today but intraday patterns are signalling selling patterns also at today higher levels"

Last 3 hours mixed intraday patterns were seen 5342-5382 on 10-02-2012 and more than 5 hours mixed intraday patterns were seen in almost same range within 5325-5380 on 09-02-2012 therefore range of 5325-5382 has become most crucial and will give following moves confirmations:-

1- Correction completion within 5 days sideways moves(5323-5427) after fresh consolidation between 5325-5382.
2- Depper correction after follow up selling between or near about 5325-5382 on next Monday and then breaking down of 5 days range(5323-5427). 

Although deeper correction possibilities turned higher after higher levels selling and lower levels mixed patterns but next big decisive moves first strong signal will arrive from sustaining beyond 5325-5382 on 13-02-2012 and should be firstly watched for confirmations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 10-Feb-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 10-Feb-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII10-Feb-20122672.612476.49196.12


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII10-Feb-20121335.591384.89-49.3

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(10-Feb-2012)


Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Black Doji Candle.
2- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
3- All the Indices closed with flat to minor losses except Metals which closed with minor gains.
4- Most of the Indices slipped from higher levels.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio:1.15
Nifty P/E Ratio(10-Feb-2012):19.00

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1434
BSE Declines : 1515
NSE Advances : 645
NSE Declines : 804

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5200 CE(Feb)- -256750(-9.19%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Feb)- +258650(+3.83%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Feb)- -218600(-5.70%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Feb)- +285800(+4.26%)

Nifty- 5400 CE(Feb)- +480200(+8.99%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(Feb)- +722350(+17.11%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,381.60(-30.75 Points & -0.57%)
Sensex- closed at 17,748.69(-82.06 Points & -0.46%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,537.25(+3.65 Points & +0.05%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,890.85(-1.64 Points & -0.02%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5511
R2 5469
R1 5425
Avg 5383
S1 5339
S2 5297
S3 5253

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5467     Trgt 2
H5 5447     Trgt 1
H4 5428     Long breakout
H3 5404     Go Short
H2 5396
H1 5388
L1 5373
L2 5365
L3 5357     Long
L4 5333     Short Breakout
L5 5314     Trgt 1
L6 5294     Trgt 2

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2012

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 5536
R2 5489
R1 5443
Avg 5396
S1 5350
S2 5303
S3 5257

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5490     Trgt 2
H5 5469     Trgt 1
H4 5448     Long breakout
H3 5422     Go Short
H2 5414
H1 5405
L1 5388
L2 5379
L3 5371     Long
L4 5345     Short Breakout
L5 5324     Trgt 1
L6 5303     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2012

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 10832
R2 10711
R1 10588
Avg 10467
S1 10344
S2 10223
S3 10100

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10711    Trgt 2
H5 10655    Trgt 1
H4 10599    Long breakout
H3 10532    Go Short
H2 10509
H1 10487
L1 10442
L2 10420
L3 10397     Long
L4 10330     Short Breakout
L5 10274     Trgt 1
L6 10218     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 13 to Feb 17 2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5535
R2 5481
R1 5431
Avg 5377
S1 5327
S2 5273
S3 5223

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5486     Trgt 2
H5 5462     Trgt 1
H4 5438     Long breakout
H3 5409     Go Short
H2 5400
H1 5390
L1 5371
L2 5361
L3 5352     Long
L4 5323     Short Breakout
L5 5299     Trgt 1
L6 5275     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Feb 13 to Feb 17 2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 10975
R2 10765
R1 10603
Avg 10393
S1 10231
S2 10021
S3 9859

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 10823     Trgt 2
H5 10735     Trgt 1
H4 10646     Long breakout
H3 10544     Go Short
H2 10510
H1 10476
L1 10407
L2 10373
L3 10339     Long
L4 10237     Short Breakout
L5 10148     Trgt 1
L6 10060     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(10-02-2012)

Following topic name was posted in the Weekly Outlook of this week:-

Blasting Rally is on After all trends turning Up

Positive weekly closing has proved the accuracy of our weekly projection.

Whole week sideways market between 5323-5427 with both lower levels buying and higher levels selling therefore Nifty will firstly trade within this range in the beginning of next week. Technically confirmation of all trends turning up as well as continuation of Bull rally but correction is main demand also. Following 2 demands in the beginning of next week;-

1- If Nifty finally sustains above 5427 in next week then that will be confirmation of Bullish rally after correction completion within range bound market of this week.
2- Sustaining below 5323 will mean rally after deeper correction.