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ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-Dec-2011
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed in Red except Auto,Oil & Gas and FMCF.
2- Most Indices recovered from intraday lower levels.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation in Daily chart today.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Dec-2011): 16.71
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 733
BSE DECLINES : 2068
NSE ADVANCES : 251
NSE DECLINES : 1210
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4500 CE(Dec)- +712350(+77.280%)
Nifty- 4500 PE(Dec)- +945350(+14.96%)
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +948800(+29.98%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +344450(+6.23%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +335450(+7.25%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- -1054100(-15.06%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,613.10(-38.50 Points & -0.83%)
Sensex- closed at 15,379.34(-112.01 Points & -0.72%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,169.45(-115.85 Points & -1.84%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,546.16 (-142.23 Points & -2.50%)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except Auto,Oil & Gas and FMCF.
2- Most Indices recovered from intraday lower levels.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation in Daily chart today.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Dec-2011): 16.71
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 733
BSE DECLINES : 2068
NSE ADVANCES : 251
NSE DECLINES : 1210
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4500 CE(Dec)- +712350(+77.280%)
Nifty- 4500 PE(Dec)- +945350(+14.96%)
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +948800(+29.98%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +344450(+6.23%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +335450(+7.25%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- -1054100(-15.06%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,613.10(-38.50 Points & -0.83%)
Sensex- closed at 15,379.34(-112.01 Points & -0.72%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,169.45(-115.85 Points & -1.84%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,546.16 (-142.23 Points & -2.50%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4707
R2 4665
R1 4639
Avg 4597
S1 4571
S2 4529
S3 4503
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4681 Trgt 2
H5 4666 Trgt 1
H4 4650 Long breakout
H3 4631 Go Short
H2 4625
H1 4619
L1 4606
L2 4600
L3 4594 Long
L4 4575 Short Breakout
L5 4559 Trgt 1
L6 4544 Trgt 2
R3 4707
R2 4665
R1 4639
Avg 4597
S1 4571
S2 4529
S3 4503
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4681 Trgt 2
H5 4666 Trgt 1
H4 4650 Long breakout
H3 4631 Go Short
H2 4625
H1 4619
L1 4606
L2 4600
L3 4594 Long
L4 4575 Short Breakout
L5 4559 Trgt 1
L6 4544 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4724
R2 4679
R1 4651
Avg 4606
S1 4578
S2 4533
S3 4505
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4696 Trgt 2
H5 4680 Trgt 1
H4 4663 Long breakout
H3 4643 Go Short
H2 4636
H1 4629
L1 4616
L2 4609
L3 4602 Long
L4 4582 Short Breakout
L5 4565 Trgt 1
L6 4549 Trgt 2
R3 4724
R2 4679
R1 4651
Avg 4606
S1 4578
S2 4533
S3 4505
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4696 Trgt 2
H5 4680 Trgt 1
H4 4663 Long breakout
H3 4643 Go Short
H2 4636
H1 4629
L1 4616
L2 4609
L3 4602 Long
L4 4582 Short Breakout
L5 4565 Trgt 1
L6 4549 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8342
R2 8210
R1 8067
Avg 7935
S1 7792
S2 7660
S3 7517
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8203 Trgt 2
H5 8139 Trgt 1
H4 8075 Long breakout
H3 7999 Go Short
H2 7974
H1 7949
L1 7898
L2 7873
L3 7848 Long
L4 7772 Short Breakout
L5 7708 Trgt 1
L6 7644 Trgt 2
R3 8342
R2 8210
R1 8067
Avg 7935
S1 7792
S2 7660
S3 7517
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8203 Trgt 2
H5 8139 Trgt 1
H4 8075 Long breakout
H3 7999 Go Short
H2 7974
H1 7949
L1 7898
L2 7873
L3 7848 Long
L4 7772 Short Breakout
L5 7708 Trgt 1
L6 7644 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(19-12-2011)
As soon as support developed at lower levels then it was updated in Mid-session Outlook-2 today. Clear support at lower levels today and sustaining above 4640 tomorrow will give up moves confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook-2(19-12-2011)
Dow,s Futures is more than 70 points down and European markets futures are also .60% to 1.80% down at this moment, all the Asian markets are also .80% to 3.4% down today morning. Sentiment is completely dampened and Indian market slipped but intrday support also seen at lower levels therefore today trading range(5561-5600) break out will be firstly watched for next moves consimations.
Mid-session Outlook(19-12-2011)
Intraday charts are not showing consoladation patterns after gap down opening therefore more down moves possibilities turned higher now.
Only Red Colour in all Global Markets Today
Pre-open Outlook(19-12-2011)
All the Asian markets are in Red after US and European markets Futures negative zone trading. As sentiment is completely depressed today morning therefore firstly negative zone trading after gap down opening will be seen and Nifty will firstly trade below 4640. Next moves possibilities beyond 4640 have aready been discussed in following topic therefore just go through:-
Sustaining beyond 4640 will decide the fate of Bulls and Bears
All the Asian markets are in Red after US and European markets Futures negative zone trading. As sentiment is completely depressed today morning therefore firstly negative zone trading after gap down opening will be seen and Nifty will firstly trade below 4640. Next moves possibilities beyond 4640 have aready been discussed in following topic therefore just go through:-
Sustaining beyond 4640 will decide the fate of Bulls and Bears
Sustaining beyond 4640 will decide the fate of Bulls and Bears
Weekly Outlook(Dec 19 to Dec 23,2011)
Technical Analysis and Research of EOD charts,Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 3 Charts therefore not being repeated. Just click following topic links and go through detailed analysis for trading in nexr week:-
1-25 Months Trend and Waves structure Failure on 16-12-2011
2-Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern is Intact
3-Bounce back Possible Next Monday
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Nifty closed at the lowest of 13 months correction as well as 25 months lowest closing seen last Friday. As trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in last 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction and it is still intact therefore up moves hopes after correction completion are still alive.
Previous bottom was at 4640 and NIfty closed above it last Friday therefore more confirmations are required for heavy break down below 4640 and either forceful breaking of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 will be huge down fall confirmation.
As sharp fall last Friday and indicators are showing positive divergence therefore Indian markets may bounce next Monday and Indian markets will firstly give confirmation of next moves through sustaining beyond 4640 and then Next big move will be seen.
Confirmation through sustaining beyond 4640 is firstly required in the next couple of sessions and next week final moves will be seen according to sustaining beyond 4640..
Technical Analysis and Research of EOD charts,Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 3 Charts therefore not being repeated. Just click following topic links and go through detailed analysis for trading in nexr week:-
1-25 Months Trend and Waves structure Failure on 16-12-2011
2-Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern is Intact
3-Bounce back Possible Next Monday
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Nifty closed at the lowest of 13 months correction as well as 25 months lowest closing seen last Friday. As trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in last 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction and it is still intact therefore up moves hopes after correction completion are still alive.
Previous bottom was at 4640 and NIfty closed above it last Friday therefore more confirmations are required for heavy break down below 4640 and either forceful breaking of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 will be huge down fall confirmation.
As sharp fall last Friday and indicators are showing positive divergence therefore Indian markets may bounce next Monday and Indian markets will firstly give confirmation of next moves through sustaining beyond 4640 and then Next big move will be seen.
Confirmation through sustaining beyond 4640 is firstly required in the next couple of sessions and next week final moves will be seen according to sustaining beyond 4640..
Bounce back Possible Next Monday
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(16-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 4772-4815
2- 190 Points fall and Panic Bottom formation in 1 Hour and 44 Minutes
3- Positive cross over in MACD
4- Oversold intraday Indicators.
5- Indicators recovery from oversold zone
6- Positive divergence in oversold zone
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Panic bottom formations after 190 points fall in 104 minutes and such formations are seen at the time of trend reversal also but more confirmations are required in the coming couple of sessions. As intraday indicators are showing positive divergence in oversold zone therefore Bounce Back is expected on coming Monday. Although Dead Cat Bounce possibility also can not be ruled out but retracement of 190 fall according to Fibonacci levels can not be ruled out. Crucial 3 Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:-
38.2%- 4701
50.0%- 4724
61.8%- 4746
1- Selling between 4772-4815
2- 190 Points fall and Panic Bottom formation in 1 Hour and 44 Minutes
3- Positive cross over in MACD
4- Oversold intraday Indicators.
5- Indicators recovery from oversold zone
6- Positive divergence in oversold zone
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Panic bottom formations after 190 points fall in 104 minutes and such formations are seen at the time of trend reversal also but more confirmations are required in the coming couple of sessions. As intraday indicators are showing positive divergence in oversold zone therefore Bounce Back is expected on coming Monday. Although Dead Cat Bounce possibility also can not be ruled out but retracement of 190 fall according to Fibonacci levels can not be ruled out. Crucial 3 Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:-
38.2%- 4701
50.0%- 4724
61.8%- 4746
Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern is Intact
Nifty-EOD Chart(16-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- 13 Months correction
2- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction.
Conclusions
Closing at the lowest of 89 Sessions Trend reversal Broadening Pattern but Up moves hopes are alive because pattern is still intact. If Nifty sustaining below 4629 or forcefully breaking down in the coming couple of sessions then Indian markets will crash like World Trade Centre on 11-09-2001.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 13 Months correction
2- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction.
Conclusions
Closing at the lowest of 89 Sessions Trend reversal Broadening Pattern but Up moves hopes are alive because pattern is still intact. If Nifty sustaining below 4629 or forcefully breaking down in the coming couple of sessions then Indian markets will crash like World Trade Centre on 11-09-2001.
25 Months Trend and Waves structure Failure on 16-12-2011
Nifty-EOD Chart(16-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- 25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011
2- Top of Wave 1-4693
3- 13 Months corrective Wave 4-closing at 4629 on 16-12-2011
Conclusions
25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011 and Nifty slipped and closed below the top of Wave 1.
As per Elliot Wave Theory:-
"The bottom of wave 4 should not dip below the top of wave 1 of the same degree,at least on a closing price level"
25 Months structure and Wave 4 failure on 16-12-2011. Almost confirmations but closing above 4640 therefore little more confirmations are required. As huge structure and long term waves formations are at stake therefore either forceful breaking down of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 should also be watched for confirmations in the coming couple of sessions.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011
2- Top of Wave 1-4693
3- 13 Months corrective Wave 4-closing at 4629 on 16-12-2011
Conclusions
25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011 and Nifty slipped and closed below the top of Wave 1.
As per Elliot Wave Theory:-
"The bottom of wave 4 should not dip below the top of wave 1 of the same degree,at least on a closing price level"
25 Months structure and Wave 4 failure on 16-12-2011. Almost confirmations but closing above 4640 therefore little more confirmations are required. As huge structure and long term waves formations are at stake therefore either forceful breaking down of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 should also be watched for confirmations in the coming couple of sessions.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 16-Dec-2011
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4960
R2 4889
R1 4770
Avg 4699
S1 4580
S2 4509
S3 4390
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4841 Trgt 2
H5 4798 Trgt 1
H4 4755 Long breakout
H3 4703 Go Short
H2 4685
H1 4668
L1 4633
L2 4616
L3 4598 Long
L4 4546 Short Breakout
L5 4503 Trgt 1
L6 4460 Trgt 2
R3 4960
R2 4889
R1 4770
Avg 4699
S1 4580
S2 4509
S3 4390
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4841 Trgt 2
H5 4798 Trgt 1
H4 4755 Long breakout
H3 4703 Go Short
H2 4685
H1 4668
L1 4633
L2 4616
L3 4598 Long
L4 4546 Short Breakout
L5 4503 Trgt 1
L6 4460 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4995
R2 4917
R1 4780
Avg 4702
S1 4565
S2 4487
S3 4350
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4858 Trgt 2
H5 4810 Trgt 1
H4 4761 Long breakout
H3 4702 Go Short
H2 4682
H1 4662
L1 4623
L2 4603
L3 4583 Long
L4 4524 Short Breakout
L5 4475 Trgt 1
L6 4427 Trgt 2
R3 4995
R2 4917
R1 4780
Avg 4702
S1 4565
S2 4487
S3 4350
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4858 Trgt 2
H5 4810 Trgt 1
H4 4761 Long breakout
H3 4702 Go Short
H2 4682
H1 4662
L1 4623
L2 4603
L3 4583 Long
L4 4524 Short Breakout
L5 4475 Trgt 1
L6 4427 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 9009
R2 8817
R1 8478
Avg 8286
S1 7947
S2 7755
S3 7416
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8672 Trgt 2
H5 8552 Trgt 1
H4 8431 Long breakout
H3 8285 Go Short
H2 8236
H1 8187
L1 8090
L2 8041
L3 7992 Long
L4 7846 Short Breakout
L5 7726 Trgt 1
L6 7605 Trgt 2
R3 9009
R2 8817
R1 8478
Avg 8286
S1 7947
S2 7755
S3 7416
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8672 Trgt 2
H5 8552 Trgt 1
H4 8431 Long breakout
H3 8285 Go Short
H2 8236
H1 8187
L1 8090
L2 8041
L3 7992 Long
L4 7846 Short Breakout
L5 7726 Trgt 1
L6 7605 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 19 to Dec 23,2011)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 5113
R2 5011
R1 4831
Avg 4729
S1 4549
S2 4447
S3 4267
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 4934 Trgt 2
H5 4870 Trgt 1
H4 4806 Long breakout
H3 4728 Go Short
H2 4702
H1 4676
L1 4625
L2 4599
L3 4573 Long
L4 4495 Short Breakout
L5 4431 Trgt 1
L6 4367 Trgt 2
R3 5113
R2 5011
R1 4831
Avg 4729
S1 4549
S2 4447
S3 4267
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 4934 Trgt 2
H5 4870 Trgt 1
H4 4806 Long breakout
H3 4728 Go Short
H2 4702
H1 4676
L1 4625
L2 4599
L3 4573 Long
L4 4495 Short Breakout
L5 4431 Trgt 1
L6 4367 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 19 to Dec 23,2011)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 9478
R2 9199
R1 8685
Avg 8406
S1 7892
S2 7613
S3 7099
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 8968 Trgt 2
H5 8787 Trgt 1
H4 8607 Long breakout
H3 8389 Go Short
H2 8316
H1 8243
L1 8098
L2 8025
L3 7952 Long
L4 7734 Short Breakout
L5 7554 Trgt 1
L6 7373 Trgt 2
R3 9478
R2 9199
R1 8685
Avg 8406
S1 7892
S2 7613
S3 7099
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 8968 Trgt 2
H5 8787 Trgt 1
H4 8607 Long breakout
H3 8389 Go Short
H2 8316
H1 8243
L1 8098
L2 8025
L3 7952 Long
L4 7734 Short Breakout
L5 7554 Trgt 1
L6 7373 Trgt 2
NIFTY-Dec F&O-1st Buying of 16-12-2011-Trade
NIFTY(Dec Call Option-Buy-Positional)SL-4624-TGT-4714-S.P.FOR Call-4700(Dec Fut-Rates for all Options)-CMP-4642(No covering today)
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