Nifty traded between crucial support range((4640-4690) and intraday support also seen between this range within 4675-4690. Both selling and intraday support seen between 4675-4726 today. Market is dicounting and reacting on advance tax figures and decreased inflation also with mixed intraday patterns. As intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves are expected but more confirmations are required and today trading range(4675-4726) break out will be kept in mind for next moves confirmations.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Long Term Trend Decider 4640-4690
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(14-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 4800-4838
2- Whole day trading between 4752-4838
3- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770
4- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Next supports are as follows:-
1- 4735(Next Support)
2- Last support of 87 sessions Broadening Pattern is between 4640-4690
As strong support at 4735 and following two trading positions today therefore follow up selling and sustaining below 4735 is must for more down confirmations:-
1- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770 during last hour today.
2- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications today.
Following two points are suggesting more weakness tomorrow:-
1- Good selling at higher levels and closing near the lower levels of the day today.
2- European markets closed from 1.6% to 3% down and US markets are more than 1% down at this moment.
All trends are down and more down moves can not be ruled out tomorrow on the back of weaker Global cues.
As above mentioned 2 trading positions during last 3 hours today therefore sustaining beyond above mentioned last support levels(4640-4690) will decide next trend and should be firstly watched for next big moves and long term trend confirmations.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 4800-4838
2- Whole day trading between 4752-4838
3- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770
4- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Next supports are as follows:-
1- 4735(Next Support)
2- Last support of 87 sessions Broadening Pattern is between 4640-4690
As strong support at 4735 and following two trading positions today therefore follow up selling and sustaining below 4735 is must for more down confirmations:-
1- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770 during last hour today.
2- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications today.
Following two points are suggesting more weakness tomorrow:-
1- Good selling at higher levels and closing near the lower levels of the day today.
2- European markets closed from 1.6% to 3% down and US markets are more than 1% down at this moment.
All trends are down and more down moves can not be ruled out tomorrow on the back of weaker Global cues.
As above mentioned 2 trading positions during last 3 hours today therefore sustaining beyond above mentioned last support levels(4640-4690) will decide next trend and should be firstly watched for next big moves and long term trend confirmations.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Dec-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(14-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed in Red except FMCG
2- Black Candle.
3- Closing near the lowest of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Dec-2011): 17.25
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1066
BSE DECLINES : 1669
NSE ADVANCES : 447
NSE DECLINES : 998
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- -6150(-0.20%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +435550(+5.04%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +899000(+22.73%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +432950(+7.75%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +638000(+13.22%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -389650(-9.41%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,763.25(-37.35 Points & -0.78%)
Sensex- closed at 15,881.14(-121.37 Points & -0.76% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,447.35(-44.70 Points & -0.69%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,869.98(-48.19 Points & -0.81%)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except FMCG
2- Black Candle.
3- Closing near the lowest of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Dec-2011): 17.25
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1066
BSE DECLINES : 1669
NSE ADVANCES : 447
NSE DECLINES : 998
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- -6150(-0.20%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +435550(+5.04%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +899000(+22.73%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +432950(+7.75%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +638000(+13.22%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -389650(-9.41%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,763.25(-37.35 Points & -0.78%)
Sensex- closed at 15,881.14(-121.37 Points & -0.76% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,447.35(-44.70 Points & -0.69%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,869.98(-48.19 Points & -0.81%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4907
R2 4873
R1 4818
Avg 4784
S1 4729
S2 4695
S3 4640
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4852 Trgt 2
H5 4832 Trgt 1
H4 4811 Long breakout
H3 4787 Go Short
H2 4779
H1 4771
L1 4754
L2 4746
L3 4738 Long
L4 4714 Short Breakout
L5 4693 Trgt 1
L6 4673 Trgt 2
R3 4907
R2 4873
R1 4818
Avg 4784
S1 4729
S2 4695
S3 4640
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4852 Trgt 2
H5 4832 Trgt 1
H4 4811 Long breakout
H3 4787 Go Short
H2 4779
H1 4771
L1 4754
L2 4746
L3 4738 Long
L4 4714 Short Breakout
L5 4693 Trgt 1
L6 4673 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4921
R2 4884
R1 4824
Avg 4787
S1 4727
S2 4690
S3 4630
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4861 Trgt 2
H5 4839 Trgt 1
H4 4817 Long breakout
H3 4790 Go Short
H2 4781
H1 4772
L1 4755
L2 4746
L3 4737 Long
L4 4710 Short Breakout
L5 4688 Trgt 1
L6 4666 Trgt 2
R3 4921
R2 4884
R1 4824
Avg 4787
S1 4727
S2 4690
S3 4630
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4861 Trgt 2
H5 4839 Trgt 1
H4 4817 Long breakout
H3 4790 Go Short
H2 4781
H1 4772
L1 4755
L2 4746
L3 4737 Long
L4 4710 Short Breakout
L5 4688 Trgt 1
L6 4666 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8884
R2 8786
R1 8649
Avg 8551
S1 8414
S2 8316
S3 8179
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8748 Trgt 2
H5 8694 Trgt 1
H4 8641 Long breakout
H3 8576 Go Short
H2 8555
H1 8533
L1 8490
L2 8468
L3 8447 Long
L4 8382 Short Breakout
L5 8329 Trgt 1
L6 8275 Trgt 2
R3 8884
R2 8786
R1 8649
Avg 8551
S1 8414
S2 8316
S3 8179
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8748 Trgt 2
H5 8694 Trgt 1
H4 8641 Long breakout
H3 8576 Go Short
H2 8555
H1 8533
L1 8490
L2 8468
L3 8447 Long
L4 8382 Short Breakout
L5 8329 Trgt 1
L6 8275 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(14-12-2011)
Technical positions of 2 sessions are as follows;-
1- Strong support between 4735-4765 yesterday
2- Good selling seen above 4800-4838 today.
Next moves preparation range is 4765-4800. As good selling today therefore down moves possibilities turned equally higher now and Next decisive moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
1- Strong support between 4735-4765 yesterday
2- Good selling seen above 4800-4838 today.
Next moves preparation range is 4765-4800. As good selling today therefore down moves possibilities turned equally higher now and Next decisive moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
Mid-session Outlook-2(14-12-2011)
Good selling at higher levels today and after that sharp down but strong support between 4735-4765 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not slip below 4735 till then next down trend will not be considered.
News based high volatility and next decisive moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
News based high volatility and next decisive moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
Mid-session Outlook(14-12-2011)
Nifty moved above 4823 on the expectations of positive news of inflation. Although Inflation reduced from 9.73 to 9.11(MoM) but not according to market expectations therefore sharp down.As intraday charts between 4808-4838 are also showing selling patterns therefore more down moves can not be ruled out.
Watch only sustaining beyond 4735-4823
Pre-open Outlook(14-12-2011)
Nifty-EOD Chart(13-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- All trends are down.
2- Nifty is range bound between 4720-5229 for the last 74 sessions
3- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formations during last 86 sessions at the bottom of 13 months long term correction.
Conclusions
Most uncertain European news led highly volatile markets for the last 86 sessions between 4640-5400 and sustaining beyond this range will be next long term trend. Until Nifty is trding within mentioned ranges till then views should remain for trading within these ranges.
Sentiment is weak today morning after Red closing in US markets therefore Nifty will trade and prepare for next moves within yesterday trading range(4735-4823) after negative opening. As buying and selling both were seen yesterday therefore follow up intraday positions and sustaining beyond yesterday trading range will be next moves confirmations.
No guessing and no speculation. Just watch sustaining beyond yesterday range(4735-4823) for next decisive moves confirmations. As and when next moves conclusions will be drawn from intraday charts formations then will be updated in Mid-session Outlooks.
Nifty-EOD Chart(13-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- All trends are down.
2- Nifty is range bound between 4720-5229 for the last 74 sessions
3- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formations during last 86 sessions at the bottom of 13 months long term correction.
Conclusions
Most uncertain European news led highly volatile markets for the last 86 sessions between 4640-5400 and sustaining beyond this range will be next long term trend. Until Nifty is trding within mentioned ranges till then views should remain for trading within these ranges.
Sentiment is weak today morning after Red closing in US markets therefore Nifty will trade and prepare for next moves within yesterday trading range(4735-4823) after negative opening. As buying and selling both were seen yesterday therefore follow up intraday positions and sustaining beyond yesterday trading range will be next moves confirmations.
No guessing and no speculation. Just watch sustaining beyond yesterday range(4735-4823) for next decisive moves confirmations. As and when next moves conclusions will be drawn from intraday charts formations then will be updated in Mid-session Outlooks.
Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(14-12-2011)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 4735-4765
2- Selling between 4780-4795
3- Whole day trading between 4735-4823
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Indian markets closed near the top of the day but mixed intrady trading patterns with both buying at lower levels and selling at higher levels.
As intraday support seen above strong support range(4640-4690) today therefore survival hopes of Trend reversal Broadening Pattern is still alive but selling also seen at higher levels therefore complete confirmations are required despite closing at day's higher levels after last 45 minutes sharp surge.
Follow up moves(buying/selling) and finally sustaining beyond 4735-4815 tomorrow will give next moves confirmations and should be watched first.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 4735-4765
2- Selling between 4780-4795
3- Whole day trading between 4735-4823
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Indian markets closed near the top of the day but mixed intrady trading patterns with both buying at lower levels and selling at higher levels.
As intraday support seen above strong support range(4640-4690) today therefore survival hopes of Trend reversal Broadening Pattern is still alive but selling also seen at higher levels therefore complete confirmations are required despite closing at day's higher levels after last 45 minutes sharp surge.
Follow up moves(buying/selling) and finally sustaining beyond 4735-4815 tomorrow will give next moves confirmations and should be watched first.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Dec-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Green closing.
2- White Candle.
3- Volatile market today
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Dec-2011): 17.38
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1105
BSE DECLINES : 1626
NSE ADVANCES : 519
NSE DECLINES : 905
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +130650(+30.95%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +161250(+3.21%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +599250(+23.61%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +330500(+3.92%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +54300(+1.33%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +66050(+1.13%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +309900(+6.79%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -97150(-2.25%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,800.60 (+36.00 Points & +0.76%)
Sensex- closed at 16,002.51(+132.16 Points & +0.83% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,492.05(-22.95 Points & -0.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,918.17(-42.31 Points & -0.71%)
1- Green closing.
2- White Candle.
3- Volatile market today
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Dec-2011): 17.38
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1105
BSE DECLINES : 1626
NSE ADVANCES : 519
NSE DECLINES : 905
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +130650(+30.95%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +161250(+3.21%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +599250(+23.61%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +330500(+3.92%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +54300(+1.33%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +66050(+1.13%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +309900(+6.79%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -97150(-2.25%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,800.60 (+36.00 Points & +0.76%)
Sensex- closed at 16,002.51(+132.16 Points & +0.83% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,492.05(-22.95 Points & -0.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,918.17(-42.31 Points & -0.71%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4936
R2 4880
R1 4840
Avg 4784
S1 4744
S2 4688
S3 4648
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4897 Trgt 2
H5 4875 Trgt 1
H4 4852 Long breakout
H3 4826 Go Short
H2 4817
H1 4808
L1 4791
L2 4782
L3 4773 Long
L4 4747 Short Breakout
L5 4724 Trgt 1
L6 4702 Trgt 2
R3 4936
R2 4880
R1 4840
Avg 4784
S1 4744
S2 4688
S3 4648
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4897 Trgt 2
H5 4875 Trgt 1
H4 4852 Long breakout
H3 4826 Go Short
H2 4817
H1 4808
L1 4791
L2 4782
L3 4773 Long
L4 4747 Short Breakout
L5 4724 Trgt 1
L6 4702 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4964
R2 4901
R1 4856
Avg 4793
S1 4748
S2 4685
S3 4640
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4920 Trgt 2
H5 4895 Trgt 1
H4 4870 Long breakout
H3 4840 Go Short
H2 4830
H1 4820
L1 4801
L2 4791
L3 4781 Long
L4 4751 Short Breakout
L5 4726 Trgt 1
L6 4701 Trgt 2
R3 4964
R2 4901
R1 4856
Avg 4793
S1 4748
S2 4685
S3 4640
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4920 Trgt 2
H5 4895 Trgt 1
H4 4870 Long breakout
H3 4840 Go Short
H2 4830
H1 4820
L1 4801
L2 4791
L3 4781 Long
L4 4751 Short Breakout
L5 4726 Trgt 1
L6 4701 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8947
R2 8795
R1 8674
Avg 8522
S1 8401
S2 8249
S3 8128
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8831 Trgt 2
H5 8767 Trgt 1
H4 8703 Long breakout
H3 8628 Go Short
H2 8603
H1 8578
L1 8527
L2 8502
L3 8477 Long
L4 8402 Short Breakout
L5 8338 Trgt 1
L6 8274 Trgt 2
R3 8947
R2 8795
R1 8674
Avg 8522
S1 8401
S2 8249
S3 8128
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8831 Trgt 2
H5 8767 Trgt 1
H4 8703 Long breakout
H3 8628 Go Short
H2 8603
H1 8578
L1 8527
L2 8502
L3 8477 Long
L4 8402 Short Breakout
L5 8338 Trgt 1
L6 8274 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(13-12-2011)
Only volatile markets between 4735-4810 with with intraday support at lower levels between 4745-4765. Sustaining above 4815 will be first indication of correction completion and beginning of minor Pull Back rally. As today intraday charts are showing consolidation formations therefore up moves possibilities turned higher today
Crucial technical positions have been updated in Mid-session Outlook-2 also.
Crucial technical positions have been updated in Mid-session Outlook-2 also.
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