Selling formations seen between 5050-5060 today.
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Post-open Outlook-2(19-09-2011)
Dow's Futures is trading more than 140 points down and European markets Futures are also .95% to 1:50% down today. All Asian markets are .75% to 2.10% down therefore sentiment is dampened today morning and negative zone trading is being seen after gap down opening today but Indian markets are out performing Global markets and now 60% down.
As good selling at higher levels above 5100 and good buying at lower levels also below 5000 therefore market require complete prepartion for next decisive moves. Coming hours intraday charts formations will give next moves first indication and and conclusions will be updated in the Blog.
Following levels break out will also give next moves indications therefore should be watched also;-
1- 5030-5075 for 1st indication.
2- 4969-5130 for confirmations.
Post-open Outlook(19-09-2011)
Selling and higher levels between 5100-5130 and buying at lower levels between 4969-5000 in two previous sessions. Next moves preparation range is 5000-5100 and Nifty will trade between this range today and prepare for next moves. Follow up buying/selling will decide that Nifty will break 5130 or 4969 for next decisive trend.
Let market prepare for next moves then will be updated in the Blog according to intraday charts formations.
NIFTY-Sep F&O-1st Shorting of 16-09-2011-Covering
NIFTY Sep F & O(Shorted on 16-09-2011)-Cover and book profit immediately-CMP- 5041
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 19-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(16-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 5100-5130
2- Whole day trading between 5070-5139
Conclusions
Good selling at higher levels between 5100-5130 and today selling is at lower levels of previous resistance range of 5120-5169 and 5120-5220. Today selling has strengthened previous resistance ranges and confirmed further down moves.
More down moves will be seen in the coming sessions and next support range(4969-5000) testing is possible.
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 5100-5130
2- Whole day trading between 5070-5139
Conclusions
Good selling at higher levels between 5100-5130 and today selling is at lower levels of previous resistance range of 5120-5169 and 5120-5220. Today selling has strengthened previous resistance ranges and confirmed further down moves.
More down moves will be seen in the coming sessions and next support range(4969-5000) testing is possible.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(16-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Green closing.
2- Red Candle.
3- Higher levels selling patterns in most Indices.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.09
Nifty P/E Ratio(16-Sep-2011): 18.36
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1287
BSE DECLINES : 1531
NSE ADVANCES : 627
NSE DECLINES : 797
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +68850(+1.24%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +1464300(+21.46%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- +561250(+10.38%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- +571900(+15.76%)
Nifty- 5200 CE(Sep)- +839900(+14.49%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Sep)- +608700(+35.08%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,084.25(+8.55 Points & +0.17%)
Sensex- closed at 16,933.83(+57.29 Points & +0.34% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,346.45(+6.05 Points & +0.08%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,213.02(-0.74 Points & -0.01%)
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 16-Sep-2011
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
NIFTY-Sep F&O-1st Selling of 16-09-2011-Trade
NIFTY(Sep Fut-Sell-Positional)SL-5126-TGT-5036-CMP-5088
NIFTY(Sep Put Option-Buy-Positional)SL-5126-TGT-5036-S.P.FOR Put-5000,5100(Sep Fut-Rates
for all Options)-CMP-5088
Pre-Closing Outlook(16-09-2011)
Nifty is trading within mentioned range( 5095-5130) after credit policy and today intraday patterns are showing selling therefore weakness expected in the coming session.
Volatile Market after RBI Credit Policy
Volatile Market was told in following lines in Mid-session Outlook today before RBI Credit Policy today and voltality is clear in following today intraday chart of after credit policy:-
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today.
Nifty could not sustained above 5120 and also moved below 5095 also. 25 Basis points rates increase and it is on expected lines also therefore if Nifty sustains below 5095 today then it will be negative reaction confirmation.
Sustaing beyond 5095 will be market reaction confirmation on credit policy and should be watched first today for next trend confirmations.
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today.
 |
| (Just click on chart for its enlarged view) |
Sustaing beyond 5095 will be market reaction confirmation on credit policy and should be watched first today for next trend confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook(16-09-2011)
Only next resistance range(5120-5220) testing possibility was told in all the outlooks which were updated for today market and Nifty hovered around 5120 in first two hours today. It was also told again and again that 5120-5169 is next resistance and Nifty slipped below 5120 sharply after first 2 hours trading above it.
Completely news(strong global markets,petroleum rates hike and RBI Credit policy) based market today and technical positions reverses sharply in such markets also. Finally sustaining beyond 5120 will be next moves strong indication and will decide next trend also therefore this level should be watched first for next moves confirmation.
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today..
Completely news(strong global markets,petroleum rates hike and RBI Credit policy) based market today and technical positions reverses sharply in such markets also. Finally sustaining beyond 5120 will be next moves strong indication and will decide next trend also therefore this level should be watched first for next moves confirmation.
Volatile moves may be seen after credit policy announcement therefore cautious approach is required and sustaing beyond 5095-5130 will be next moves confirmation after credit policy announcement at 12:00 noon today..
Long Term Trend Deciding 27 Sessions Range(4720-5229)
Technical Analysis and Research
Nifty-EOD Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Falling trendline resistance at the top of 27 sesions range.
2- 10 Months Bearish market
3- 94 Points Gap on 05-08-2011
4- 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229
5- Strong resistance range is 5120-5220 within 27 days range
Conclusions
All trends are down and Indian markets are slipping for the last 10 months. Nifty opened 94 points gap down on 05-08-2011 and since then 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229.
Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations. As range bound markets signals are emerging between 4720-5229 therefore this range break out will decide that 10 months long long term correction is over or not.Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
Nifty will first trade between strong resistance range is 5120-5220 after positive opening today. Nifty failed to cross this range in previous after selling between 5120-5169 therefore it will be next resistance range.
Sustaining beyond 5120-5169 will be next moves strong indication therefore should be watched first after gap up opening today.
Nifty-EOD Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Falling trendline resistance at the top of 27 sesions range.
2- 10 Months Bearish market
3- 94 Points Gap on 05-08-2011
4- 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229
5- Strong resistance range is 5120-5220 within 27 days range
Conclusions
All trends are down and Indian markets are slipping for the last 10 months. Nifty opened 94 points gap down on 05-08-2011 and since then 27 sessions range bound markets between 4720-5229.
Markets always require completion consolidation for any rally after such big fall. Big rally started in March 2009 after lower level 5 monthe range bound consolidations. As range bound markets signals are emerging between 4720-5229 therefore this range break out will decide that 10 months long long term correction is over or not.Investment decisions,long term positions and Portfolio management should be done according to break out of mentioned range.
Nifty will first trade between strong resistance range is 5120-5220 after positive opening today. Nifty failed to cross this range in previous after selling between 5120-5169 therefore it will be next resistance range.
Sustaining beyond 5120-5169 will be next moves strong indication therefore should be watched first after gap up opening today.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 16-09-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(15-Sep-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation between 4969-5000
2- Whole day trading between 4969-5089.
3- Up moves between 5000-5055 without force.
4- Last half hour sharp forceful break out above 5055.
Conclusions
Long term and Intermediate term trends are down and short term trend is up. Highly volatile markets in first sessions and Nifty got support between 4969-5000. As without force up moves started after opening of European markets between 5000-5055 therefore down moves was also a possibility but on the contrary last half hour sharp forceful break out seen above 5055.
Nifty closed at the top of the day and sentiment turned strong also therefore next resistance range(5120-5169) testing may be seen if Asian markets remains completely strong tomorrow morning because Petrol Price hike news after today market and Indian markets will firstly react on that tomorrow.
Technically on going up moves continuation possibility is alive but Indian markets will react on Petrol Price hike and Credit policy tomorrow as well as without force upmoves between 5000-5055 also.
Sustaining above 5055 will be ongoing upmoves confirmation and should be watched first.
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation between 4969-5000
2- Whole day trading between 4969-5089.
3- Up moves between 5000-5055 without force.
4- Last half hour sharp forceful break out above 5055.
Conclusions
Long term and Intermediate term trends are down and short term trend is up. Highly volatile markets in first sessions and Nifty got support between 4969-5000. As without force up moves started after opening of European markets between 5000-5055 therefore down moves was also a possibility but on the contrary last half hour sharp forceful break out seen above 5055.
Nifty closed at the top of the day and sentiment turned strong also therefore next resistance range(5120-5169) testing may be seen if Asian markets remains completely strong tomorrow morning because Petrol Price hike news after today market and Indian markets will firstly react on that tomorrow.
Technically on going up moves continuation possibility is alive but Indian markets will react on Petrol Price hike and Credit policy tomorrow as well as without force upmoves between 5000-5055 also.
Sustaining above 5055 will be ongoing upmoves confirmation and should be watched first.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 15-Sep-2011
| ||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(15-Sep-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the sectors closed in Green except CG.
2- Bullish Hammer Candle.
3- Strong recovery from Intraday lower levels.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Sep-2011): 18.33
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1514
BSE DECLINES : 1281
NSE ADVANCES : 818
NSE DECLINES : 604
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4900 CE(Sep)- -83900(-2.20%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Sep)- +307650(+4.40%)
Nifty- 5000 CE(Sep)- +180050(+3.30%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Sep)- +1046350(+16.93%)
Nifty- 5100 CE(Sep)- +334700(+6.09%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Sep)- +644850(+21.64%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,075.70(+63.15 Points & +1.26%)
Sensex- closed at 16,876.54(+166.94 Points & +1.000% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,340.40(+77.65 Points & +1.07%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7,213.76(+18.36 Points & +0.26%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-09-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5245
R2 5168
R1 5121
Avg 5044
S1 4997
S2 4920
S3 4873
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5201 Trgt 2
H5 5172 Trgt 1
H4 5143 Long breakout
H3 5109 Go Short
H2 5097
H1 5086
L1 5063
L2 5052
L3 5040 Long
L4 5006 Short Breakout
L5 4977 Trgt 1
L6 4948 Trgt 2
R3 5245
R2 5168
R1 5121
Avg 5044
S1 4997
S2 4920
S3 4873
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5201 Trgt 2
H5 5172 Trgt 1
H4 5143 Long breakout
H3 5109 Go Short
H2 5097
H1 5086
L1 5063
L2 5052
L3 5040 Long
L4 5006 Short Breakout
L5 4977 Trgt 1
L6 4948 Trgt 2
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-09-2011
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 5278
R2 5189
R1 5135
Avg 5046
S1 4992
S2 4903
S3 4849
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5227 Trgt 2
H5 5193 Trgt 1
H4 5159 Long breakout
H3 5120 Go Short
H2 5107
H1 5094
L1 5067
L2 5054
L3 5041 Long
L4 5002 Short Breakout
L5 4968 Trgt 1
L6 4934 Trgt 2
R3 5278
R2 5189
R1 5135
Avg 5046
S1 4992
S2 4903
S3 4849
Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5227 Trgt 2
H5 5193 Trgt 1
H4 5159 Long breakout
H3 5120 Go Short
H2 5107
H1 5094
L1 5067
L2 5054
L3 5041 Long
L4 5002 Short Breakout
L5 4968 Trgt 1
L6 4934 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-09-2011
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels
R3 10182
R2 9961
R1 9817
Avg 9596
S1 9452
S2 9231
S3 9087
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10049 Trgt 2
H5 9961 Trgt 1
H4 9873 Long breakout
H3 9773 Go Short
H2 9739
H1 9706
L1 9639
L2 9606
L3 9572 Long
L4 9472 Short Breakout
L5 9384 Trgt 1
L6 9296 Trgt 2
R3 10182
R2 9961
R1 9817
Avg 9596
S1 9452
S2 9231
S3 9087
Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10049 Trgt 2
H5 9961 Trgt 1
H4 9873 Long breakout
H3 9773 Go Short
H2 9739
H1 9706
L1 9639
L2 9606
L3 9572 Long
L4 9472 Short Breakout
L5 9384 Trgt 1
L6 9296 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(1509-2011)
Following conclusive line was told before the beginning of today market in Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook:-
Expected that Nifty will sustain above 5055 after fresh intraday consolidations and yesterday begun rally will remain continued.
Good supprt and consolidation at lower level. Nifty crossed and sustained above 5028(Resistance) also therefore more up moves are expected in the coming sessions and Nifty will test next resistance range 5120-5169..
Expected that Nifty will sustain above 5055 after fresh intraday consolidations and yesterday begun rally will remain continued.
Good supprt and consolidation at lower level. Nifty crossed and sustained above 5028(Resistance) also therefore more up moves are expected in the coming sessions and Nifty will test next resistance range 5120-5169..
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)