Trading Calls
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Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-05-2011
R3 5842.00
R2 5784.00
R1 5676.00
PIVOT 5618.00
S1 5510.00
S2 5452.00
S3 5344.00
Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5734 Trgt 2
H5 5696 Trgt 1
H4 5659 Long breakout
H3 5613 Go Short
H2 5598
H1 5583
L1 5552
L2 5537
L3 5522 Long
L4 5476 Short Breakout
L5 5439 Trgt 1
L6 5401 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-05-2011
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 11757.33
R2 11568.67
R1 11243.33
PIVOT 11054.67
S1 10729.33
S2 10540.67
S3 10215.33
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11434 Trgt 2
H5 11317 Trgt 1
H4 11200 Long breakout
H3 11059 Go Short
H2 11012
H1 10965
L1 10870
L2 10823
L3 10776 Long
L4 10635 Short Breakout
L5 10518 Trgt 1
L6 10401 Trgt 2
R3 11757.33
R2 11568.67
R1 11243.33
PIVOT 11054.67
S1 10729.33
S2 10540.67
S3 10215.33
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11434 Trgt 2
H5 11317 Trgt 1
H4 11200 Long breakout
H3 11059 Go Short
H2 11012
H1 10965
L1 10870
L2 10823
L3 10776 Long
L4 10635 Short Breakout
L5 10518 Trgt 1
L6 10401 Trgt 2
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 03-05-2011-TRADE
NIFTY(MAY FUT-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5544-TGT-5644-CMP-5567
NIFTY(MAY CALL OPTION-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5544-TGT-5644-S.P.FOR CALL-5500,5600(MAY FUT-RATES FOR ALL OPTIONS)-CMP-5567
Mid-session Outlook-2(03-05-2011)
Last 21 days range and 55 Days EMA(5704) forcefully broken down today and Nifty is hovering around 200 Days EMA(5633) and sustaining below it today will mean Long term trend turning down. As today intraday charts suggested intra day selling indications therefore we sold our long positions at 5597(proofs are available in blog-Just Click).
Sustaining beyond 5633 will be Long term trend confirmations and slipping below it will mean Bearish market possibility. Next support is 5561 below 5633.
Mid-session Outlook(03-05-2011)
RBI Credit Policy triggered intermediate term down trend after huge intraday voltality today. Last 21 days range and 55 Days EMA broken down today. More down moves and 200 Days EMA testing possibility can not be ruled out.
Post-open Outlook(03-05-2011)
Global cues are weak and Nifty is trading below 5700 since opening today. Indian markets are technically poised for pull back rally but voltality is possible due to weaker global cues and RBI credit policy uncertainity. Decisive moves are expected after credit policy announcements and sustainability beyond 5700 will be confirmation.
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-05-2011-COVERING
NIFTY MAY F & O(BOUGHT ON 02-05-2011)-COVER IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5697(WE MAY BUY AGAIN BUT FIRST COVER)
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-05-2011-MESSAGE
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-05-2011- MARKET WILL BE VOLATILE,HOLD AND WE MAY WAIT UPTO RBI CREDIT POLICY & COVERING MESSAGE WILL BE POSTED POSITIVELY
Pre-Open Market Outlook(03-05-2011)
Indian markets are technically poised for a pull back rally between 5700-5800 but global markets are slipping today therefore sustaining beyond 5700 will be watched after weak opening today and according to that next market view will be formed. Sustaining beyond 5700 implications have already been discussed in Post-closing Report(02-05-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook yesterday.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of 5 Days Intra Day Chart
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Main features are as follows
1- Water-Fall(Bullish) pattern in last 4 sessions
2- Last 4 sessions down moves are in falling Channel
Channel break out will give first indication of next strong move. As Water-Fall(Bullish) pattern formations in last 4 sessions therefore rally expected after upside break out.
Post-closing Report(02-05-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Black Candle
2- Most Indices closed in Red except IT,Reality,CG,Power and Health Care
3- Consolidation seen in last 3 hours at crucial support(5700)
4- Consolidation seen in 2/3 of 30 SENSEX Stocks
Ratios:
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.87
Nifty P/E Ratio(02-05-2011): 21.19
Advances & Declines:
BSE ADVANCES : 1002
BSE DECLINES : 1861
NSE ADVANCES : 421
NSE DECLINES : 988
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(28APR2011)- +152900(+25.40%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(28APR2011)- +417850(+8.82%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(28APR2011)- +523150(+35.90%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(28APR2011)- +48150(+1.05%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(28APR2011)- +557350(+15.83%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(28APR2011)- +142150(+4.44%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,701.30(-48.20 Points & -0.84%)
Sensex- closed at 18,998.02(-137.94 Points & -0.72% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,120.10(-80.85 Points & -99%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,615.19(-100.12 Points & -1.15%)
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(02-05-2011):
Tomorrow(03-05-2011) Outlook
Last 10 days Intra Day Charts Micro Analysis is showing water-Fall(bullish) pattern and Micro Analysis of today Nifty Intra Day Chart is also suggesting last 3 hours intraday buying patterns between 5690-5710. 21 sessions trading range is 5688-5944 and consolidation signals emerged at lower levels of the range.
Technical positions are as follows:
1- 55 Day EMA is at 5704 today and sustaining it beyond will give intermediate term trend confirmation.
2- Nifty is at lower band of Bollinger Band and up moves within last 21 sessions range can be expected at this moment if follow up buying develop tomorrow.
3- very short term indicators(Stochastic and William %R) are oversold and very short term up moves can be expected at this moment if follow up buying develop tomorrow.
Survival of Intermediate term trend is at stake,tomorrow is its deciding day and that will be decided according to sustaining beyond 5700. Follow up buying tomorrow will mean sharp surge because water-Fall(bullish) pattern in last week and follow up selling will mean sustaining below 5693 and deep correction confirmations.
As lower levels consolidations today therefore up moves expected after follow up buying development and sustaining above 5700.
1- Black Candle
2- Most Indices closed in Red except IT,Reality,CG,Power and Health Care
3- Consolidation seen in last 3 hours at crucial support(5700)
4- Consolidation seen in 2/3 of 30 SENSEX Stocks
Ratios:
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.87
Nifty P/E Ratio(02-05-2011): 21.19
Advances & Declines:
BSE ADVANCES : 1002
BSE DECLINES : 1861
NSE ADVANCES : 421
NSE DECLINES : 988
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(28APR2011)- +152900(+25.40%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(28APR2011)- +417850(+8.82%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(28APR2011)- +523150(+35.90%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(28APR2011)- +48150(+1.05%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(28APR2011)- +557350(+15.83%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(28APR2011)- +142150(+4.44%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,701.30(-48.20 Points & -0.84%)
Sensex- closed at 18,998.02(-137.94 Points & -0.72% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,120.10(-80.85 Points & -99%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,615.19(-100.12 Points & -1.15%)
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(02-05-2011):
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Last 10 days Intra Day Charts Micro Analysis is showing water-Fall(bullish) pattern and Micro Analysis of today Nifty Intra Day Chart is also suggesting last 3 hours intraday buying patterns between 5690-5710. 21 sessions trading range is 5688-5944 and consolidation signals emerged at lower levels of the range.
Technical positions are as follows:
1- 55 Day EMA is at 5704 today and sustaining it beyond will give intermediate term trend confirmation.
2- Nifty is at lower band of Bollinger Band and up moves within last 21 sessions range can be expected at this moment if follow up buying develop tomorrow.
3- very short term indicators(Stochastic and William %R) are oversold and very short term up moves can be expected at this moment if follow up buying develop tomorrow.
Survival of Intermediate term trend is at stake,tomorrow is its deciding day and that will be decided according to sustaining beyond 5700. Follow up buying tomorrow will mean sharp surge because water-Fall(bullish) pattern in last week and follow up selling will mean sustaining below 5693 and deep correction confirmations.
As lower levels consolidations today therefore up moves expected after follow up buying development and sustaining above 5700.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(02-05-2011):
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
Conclusions are as follows
1- Last 3 hours consolidation between 5690-5710
2- Distribution between 5725-6740
As base formation and support between 5725-5740 and some selling at higher levels also today therefore firstly trading between 5690-5750 will be seen. Base formation at lower level today therefore firstly very short term up moves expected tomorrow. Let follow up buying/selling develop tomorrow then final conclusions will be drawn from 5690-5750 break out.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 02-May-2011
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Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-05-2011
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 11864
R2 11726
R1 11505
Avg 11367
S1 11146
S2 11008
S3 10787
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11644 Trgt 2
H5 11563 Trgt 1
H4 11481 Long breakout
H3 11382 Go Short
H2 11349
H1 11316
L1 11251
L2 11218
L3 11185 Long
L4 11086 Short Breakout
L5 11004 Trgt 1
L6 10923 Trgt 2
R3 11864
R2 11726
R1 11505
Avg 11367
S1 11146
S2 11008
S3 10787
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11644 Trgt 2
H5 11563 Trgt 1
H4 11481 Long breakout
H3 11382 Go Short
H2 11349
H1 11316
L1 11251
L2 11218
L3 11185 Long
L4 11086 Short Breakout
L5 11004 Trgt 1
L6 10923 Trgt 2
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 02-05-2011-TRADE
NIFTY(MAY FUT-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5684-TGT-5784-CMP-5719
NIFTY(MAY CALL OPTION-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5684-TGT-5784-S.P.FOR CALL-5700,5800(MAY FUT-RATES FOR ALL OPTIONS)-CMP-5719
NIFTY(MAY CALL OPTION-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5684-TGT-5784-S.P.FOR CALL-5700,5800(MAY FUT-RATES FOR ALL OPTIONS)-CMP-5719
Pre-closing Outlook(02-05-2011)
Nifty moves 2 times below 5693 today and if sustains below then that will be Intermediate term trend turning down and deeper correction confirmation. As last 2 hours intraday charts are showing consolidation indications therefore this confirmation is must.
Mid-session Outlook-2(02-05-2011)
Market slipped after higher levels selling today and trading near 5700. Nifty sustaining below 5693 will mean crucial support breaking down and Intermediate term trend turning down as well and that will be deeper correction corfirmation.
Watch 5693 breaking down and then be bearish.
Watch 5693 breaking down and then be bearish.
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