5580 is Strong Rally Decider

Pre-Open Market Outlook(25-03-2011)

Technical positions,Supports,Resistances,F&O data and levels have already been discussed in "Post-closing Report(24-03-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook" yesterday  therefore not being repeated today.

US markets closed with good gains yesterday and all the Asian markets are positive today morning,sentiment strong therefore positive opening and Nifty will first hover around 5550 and in the begining.  Nifty will trade in last resistance range(5540-5580) and today follow up buying and consolidation will give confirmation to yesterday buying and consolidation.

Following lines were told in yesterday Pre-Open Outlook that

"Pennant formation in EOD chart and its break out will give first strong indication of next Indian markets moves and confirmation points will be sustaining beyong 5400 or 5600."

1- Pennant up side break out in EOD Chart:-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Pennant up side break out seen yesterday and if Nifty sustains above trend line then it will be strong indication of rally and then market above 5600 will be expected.

Indian markets will participate Global markets rally after gap up opening and will trade in last resistance range today. Nifty retraced 2 times from 5600 in last 2 months therefore today intraday consolidation is must. Nifty sustaining above 5600 will mean worst is over and then fast rally toward 5900 will be seen after completion of correction. 

Bullish sentiment is high and only cautious approach is required at the top of last 2 months range. Today consolidation and sustaining above 5580 will pave the way of Indian mrkets strong rally toward minimum 5900.

Post-closing Report(24-03-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook

Gap up opening,whole day trading within resistance range(5500-5535) and closing near the top of the day today. Nifty intraday charts of today is indicating some selling signals and pivotal stocks are showing also mixed patterns. I mean to say that some stocks are showing clear buying formations and some are showing selling formations also.

Nifty F&O data of today as follows 

Put Call Ratio- 1.17

Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(31MAR2011)- -163600(-2.65%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(31MAR2011)- +1311650(+22.07%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(31MAR2011)- -251400(-3.7300%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(31MAR2011)- +990100(+59.61%)

Today Closing

Sensex- closed at 18350.74(+144.58 Points & +0.79% )
Nifty- closed at 5522.40(+42.15 Points & +0.77%%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,747.20(+46.10 Points & +0.60%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 7868.13(+52.71 Points & +0.67%)

Nifty Intra Day Chart of Today:-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Tomorrow(25-03-2011) Outlook

Immediate Resistances are as follows:-

1- 5500-5535 
2- 5540-5580

It seems that global markets have discounted all the bad news of last one month and started to recover and Indian markets are also following suit. Intraday charts of today are showing mixed patterns and Nifty PUT options positions building today are suggesting follow up buying and more consolidations requirements for sustained up moves because next and strong resistance range is just above today trading range.

Nifty has retraced from 5600 earlier and complete consolidations require in the coming sessions between 5500-5580 for sustained rally above 5600. Let clear signals develop and intraday charts show buying patterns then moves above 5600 will get confirmations.

Next move indication range is 5500-5580. Just watch sustaining beyond this range for next moves confirmations.    

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 24-Mar-2011

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 24-Mar-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 24-Mar-2011 2238.75 1930.93 307.82

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 24-Mar-2011 1451.34 1073.22 378.12

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-03-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5568
R2 5548
R1 5535
Avg 5515
S1 5502
S2 5482
S3 5469

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5555     Trgt 2
H5 5547     Trgt 1
H4 5540     Long breakout
H3 5531     Go Short
H2 5528
H1 5525
L1 5518
L2 5515
L3 5512     Long
L4 5503     Short Breakout
L5 5496     Trgt 1
L6 5488     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-03-2011

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5605
R2 5579
R1 5562
Avg 5536
S1 5519
S2 5493
S3 5476

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5588     Trgt 2
H5 5578     Trgt 1
H4 5568     Long breakout
H3 5556     Go Short
H2 5552
H1 5548
L1 5541
L2 5537
L3 5533     Long
L4 5521     Short Breakout
L5 5511     Trgt 1
L6 5501     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 25-03-2011

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 11307
R2 11221
R1 11172
Avg 11086
S1 11037
S2 10951
S3 10902

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11259     Trgt 2
H5 11228     Trgt 1
H4 11197     Long breakout
H3 11160     Go Short
H2 11147
H1 11135
L1 11110
L2 11098
L3 11085     Long
L4 11048     Short Breakout
L5 11017     Trgt 1
L6 10986     Trgt 2

India's food inflation at 10.05 pct y/y on March 12-govt

India's food price index rose 10.05 percent and the fuel price index climbed 12.79 percent in the year to March 12, government data on Thursday showed.

In the previous week, annual food and fuel inflation stood at 9.42 percent and 12.79 percent.

The primary articles price index was up 13.53 percent, compared with an annual rise of 12.31 percent a week earlier.

The wholesale price index-based inflation , the most widely watched gauge of prices in India , unexpectedly quickened an annual 8.31 percent in February from 8.23 percent in January.

Mid-session Outlook(24-03-2011)

Global markets are strong,Sentiment is heated and Nifty is trading within next resistance range(5500-5535) after gap up opening today. As sentiment is heated therefore profit booking possibility should also be kept in mind and next move final conclusion should be drawn after break out of mentioned resistance range.

Post-open Outlook(24-03-2011)

Nifty forcefully entered and trading within resistance range 5500-5535, Follow up buying and Consolidation required within this range today,its confirmation and first strong up move indication will come above 5535..

Pre-Open Market Outlook(24-03-2011)

Pennant formation in EOD chart and its break out will give first strong indication of next Indian markets moves and confirmation points will be sustaining beyong 5400 or 5600.

1- EOD chartshowing Pennant Pattern:-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

US markets closed with good gains yesterday therefore Asian markets are positive today morning. It seens that global markets have recovered from Middle-East and Japanese shocks and now started up moves. Indian markets tolerated worst news and maitained within last 38 sessions range(5200-5600).

Technical positions,Supports,Resistances and levels have already been discussed in "Post-closing Report(23-03-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook" therefore not being repeated today.

Next moves deciding range is 5455-5535. Immediate resistances above 5500 and immediate supports below 5500 also. Nifty will hover around 5500,prepare for next moves and sustaining above or below will be next moves first indication. Let market prepare for next moves and get first indication after crossing of 5455-5535.

Post-closing Report(23-03-2011) & Tomorrow Outlook

Long Term and Intermediate term trends are down and Short term trend turned up after good gains today. Nifty traded most of the time between 5455-5475 in rising channel with intraday consolidation patterns today and If sustains above it tomorrow then today trading range will be good support.

Nifty Intra Day Chart of Today:-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

-Sensex closed at 18206.16 with 217.86 (1.21%) points up today.
-Nifty closed at 5480.25 with 66.40 (1.23%)  points up today.

Tomorrow(24-03-2011) Outlook:-

Next immediate Resistances are as follows:-

1- 5500-5535
2- 5540-5580

Nifty has to cross immediate resistance above 5500 therefore require fresh consolidation near 5500 tomorrow and Nifty will first hover around it. Nifty traded most days between 5400-5600 in last 38 sessions and Indian markets have to prepare for its crossing. Nifty will trade in the middle of this range near 5500 tomorrow with good resistances at higher levels and also equally good supports at lower levels.

Next move preperation range is 5455-5535 and expected that Nifty will trade whole day within this range tomorrow. Next Indian markets will be decided step by step and crossing of supports or resistances and finally sustaining beyond 5400-5600 will give next moves confirmations. 5400 proved strong support in worst situations and sentiments and things are turning normal. If Middle-East normalise and Crude price stabilise then 5600 crosing will be seen.

Let market prepare for next moves and get first indication after crossing of 5455-5535

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 23-Mar-2011

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 23-Mar-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 23-Mar-2011 1930.24 1618.14 312.1

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 23-Mar-2011 2042.81 931.13 1111.68

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-03-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5592
R2 5538
R1 5509
Avg 5455
S1 5426
S2 5372
S3 5343

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5564     Trgt 2
H5 5544     Trgt 1
H4 5525     Long breakout
H3 5502     Go Short
H2 5495
H1 5487
L1 5472
L2 5464
L3 5457     Long
L4 5434     Short Breakout
L5 5415     Trgt 1
L6 5395     Trgt 2

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-03-2011

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5620
R2 5562
R1 5531
Avg 5473
S1 5442
S2 5384
S3 5353

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5590     Trgt 2
H5 5569     Trgt 1
H4 5548     Long breakout
H3 5524     Go Short
H2 5516
H1 5508
L1 5491
L2 5483
L3 5475     Long
L4 5451     Short Breakout
L5 5430     Trgt 1
L6 5409     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-03-2011

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 5207
R2 2054
R1 4466
Avg 7619
S1 14139
S2 17292
S3 23812

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11217     Trgt 2
H5 11164     Trgt 1
H4 11110     Long breakout
H3 11048     Go Short
H2 11027
H1 11006
L1 10965
L2 10944
L3 10923     Long
L4 10861     Short Breakout
L5 10807     Trgt 1
L6 10754     Trgt 2

Pre-closing outlook(23-03-2011)

Indian markets are range bound(5400-5600) and not trending, All trends are down but not sustained below 5400 also and recovered 4 times. All the worst and negative news are digested by this range but multiple redidtances above 5500 also and market require complete consolidation at every point above 5500.

Today up move is nice and Nifty is trading between 5455-5475 for the last 5 hours. Nifty sustaining beyond today range will decide that today rally is genuine or not. As today patterns are showing consolidation therefore up move possibility is high and Nifty is trading at 5480 at this moment but if sustains above 5475 tomorrow then rally above 5500 will be considered.

Although consolidation signals between 5455-5475 today but confirmation required tomorrow from sustaining above.

Mid-session outlook-2(23-03-2011)

Sentiment turned completely depressed due to internal disturbances in Middle-East countries and US attack on Libya. As retailers shorts would have developed at lower levels therefore today rally seen immediately after oprning. As we understood rally possibility therefore we covered our shorting position near today lower levels before the begining of up moves. Resistances above 5500 therefore Nifty will trade between 5400-5500 and next moves will depend on the developments in Middle East countries and Crude price.

NIFTY-MAR F&O-1ST SHORTING OF 22-03-2011-COVERING

NIFTY MAR F & O(SHORTED ON 22-03-2011)-COVER IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5440

Pre-Open Market Outlook(23-03-2011)

All the Asian markets were positive and sentiment was strong due to US markets good gains one day before therefore Indian markets traded and closed positive yesterday. Asian markets are weak today morning after negative US markets closing therefore Nifty will trade between 5375-5410 after weak opening,this range break out and sustaining beyond will decide the strength of 5400. Selling patterns were seen between 5375-5410 in 2 previous sessions and today follow up selling will mean finally break down of 5375.

Firstly trading between 5375-5410 and finally below 5375 expected within couple of sessions.