Post-Open Outlook(19-11-2010)

All the Asian markets slipped from higher levels. Hangseng and China are more than 1% down therefore sentiment weakened and Indian markets down as well as trading at lower levels of yesterday last 4 hours range(5950-6015). Breaking below 5950 and sustaining below 5932 will be deeper correction confirmation.

Although upmoves were expected after warching consolidations within last 4 hours range yesterday but Asain markets led weakness is being seen in Indian markets today therefore mentioned levels should be watched for next down move confirmations also.

Pre-Open Market Outlook-2(19-11-2010)

US and European markets closed with good gains yesterday but Asian markets are not responding those gains and trading mixed today therefore sentiment is quiet today morning. Flat opening and firstly trading within 6090-6150 expected in changed sentiments. Next immediate move confirmation range is yesterday last 4 hours range(5950-6015). As consolidation signals were seen within this range yesterday therefore up moves from this range expected and fresh selling patterns required today to break it down.

As Asian markets are mixed therefore 6090-6150 will be next move confirmation range and intraday patterns within this range will give next move confirmations today. As yesterday last 4 hours consolidation patterns therefore up moves expected at this moment.

Pre-Open Market Outlook(19-11-2010)

Nifty tested strong support 5932 amid violent voltality and recovered as well as closed in Green yesterday. Nifty traded last 4 hours today within 5950-6015 yesterday and Nifty traded within 5975-6010 last tuesday. 8 hours trading range(5950-6015) is sufficient to give first strong indication to next moves therefore this range break out should be used for next move confirmations.

Last 8 hours trading range(5950-6015) is indicating consolidations and expected that Nifty will sustain above it today. 5932-6015 is now strong support range,Good selling patterns requires to break this range.

Nest resistance ranges are as follows:-

1- 6080-6120(Minor Resistance)
2- 6180-6195(Minor Resistance)
3- 6250-6320(Strong Resistance)

Indian markets moved into range bound mode and will first prepare within 6015-6250 for next moves. Break out and sustaining beyond 5932-6339 will give following next moves confirmations:-

1- Sustaing below 5932 will mean deeper correction
2- Sustaing above 6339 will mean completion of short term correction in range bound mode.

Positive opening and firstly trading wthin 6020-6080 expected.Green closing after whole day positive zone trading expected and sustaining above 6120 will give next good upmove confirmations.

Until Nifty does not sustain beyond mentioned ranges till then only range bound market should be expected trading targets should be within range.

Mid-Session Outlook-4(18-11-2010)

Indian markets firstly reacted last 2 days global markets steep falls and and after that reacted following sharp surge in global markets:-

1- Dow's futures trading currently trading 100 points up
2- Most Asian markets closed with good gains
3- European markets are also trading more than 1% positive

No final conclusion can be drawn from such Global sentimets led Indian markets huge voltality because technical positions reverses sharply during these big movements. It will be better to wait for markets settling down and next trend confirmations should be drawn from Nifty sustaining beyond 5932-6010.

Mid-Session Outlook-3(18-11-2010)

Huge intraday voltality. Market broke 5932 by force and recovered with same speed also. Let Nifty sustain above or below 5932 then final conclusions should be drawn.

Mid-Session Outlook-2(18-11-2010)

5932 Broken down by force. Although sustainability is must for confirmations but today down move force is giving almost confirmation of intermediate term trend turning downward. Intermediate term turning down means down trend from 3 weeks to 3 months. As good selling at higher levels therefore I was non stop telling for correction and 5932 testing possibility for the last 1 month. As 5932 broken by force today and if sustains below it then testing possibility of 200-Day EMA(today near 5500) testing possibility can not be ruled out. I shall update regularly but keep mentioned possibilities in mind.

Mid-Session Outlook(18-11-2010)

Very short term up move expected and up move fused after little up moves. 5932 should be watched for intermediate term trend confirmations.

Post-Open Outlook(18-11-2010)

Following lines were told in crashing like sentiments during last 2 days not today:-

1- People expectecting blood bath and immediate crash in Indian markets. I would like to add here that market never crash in such bearish sentiments but recover also.
2- minor pull back rally possibility is been seen after finding mixed trading signals within 5975-6010.
3-last 4 hours narrow movewithin 5975-6010.Positions are mixed and will be better to get confirmations from break out from the range.

Minor pull back is being seen and Nifty sustaining above 6010 today will be consolidation and very short term up move confirmation and mentioned up move expected also.

Only Watch 5932 in Most Bearish Sentiments

People expectecting blood bath and immediate crash in Indian markets. I would like to add here that market never crash in such bearish sentiments but recover also. Again repeating for watching and getting confirmations from sustaining below 5932.

Let confirmations come then I shall post my conclusions from intraday charts analysis in Mid-Session Outlooks.

Watch 5932 for Confirmations

Pre-Open Market Outlook(18-11-2010)

Nifty tested crucial suppoort range 5932-6100 and also closed within this range as well as traded last 4 hours with mixed trading signals within 5975-6010 last tuesday. Sentiment is most bearish and firstly trading below 5975 possibility can not be ruled out but sustaining below it is must for next immediate down move confirmations because minor pull back rally possibility is been seen after finding mixed trading signals within 5975-6010. Correction is continued,sentiment is depressed and if Nifty sustainins below 5975 then testing of 5932 and lower levels possibility will be high.

Global sentiment is extremely weak and good selling patterns at higher levels in Indices and Pivotal stocks also and 5932 breaking possibility is also high but confirmation through sustaining below 5932 is must because Nifty has already got 3 times support within this range(5930-6000) and intermediate term trend will be down below 5932 as well as testing possibility of 200 Day EMA(today at 5501) will be high. I am repesting heading of my weekly outlook:-

"High Possibility of Intermediate Trend Turning Down & Only Saviour is 5932"

Opening will depend on global sentiment and:-

1- Minor pull back rally possibility will be decided acoording to sustaining above mentioned mixed signals range(5975-6010).
2- Intermediate term down trend will get confirmations through sustaining below 5932.

Big move has to be decided amid most bearish global sentiments and negative news flow therefore final view will be formed according to sustaining and today trading patterns.

Just watch sustainability beyond 5932 and get confirmations for next big moves.

2 Correction possibilities below 5932

On going upmove started on 31-08-2010 from 5349 and reversed from 6339 . Fibonacci retracement levels will be calculated between 5349-6339 after sustaining below 5932 and after getting intermediate term down move confirmations.

Wave 3 started on 13-07-2009 from 3919 toward minimum target at 6359 and market reversed from 6339 without achieving its minimum target. Although Nifty could not achieve target theoritically but shorting of mere 20 points is negligible in 2440 points rally. Sustaining below 5932 will mean nullification of 39 sessions up move and confirmations of heavy selling at higher levels above 6000. If Nifty sustains below 5932 then ABC correction possibility of whole 2440 points will also be considered and fibonacci retracement levels between 3919-6339 will also be kept in mind.

Let market sustain below 5932 then above posibilities of deeper corrections will be under consideration.

Mid-Session Outlook-5(16-11-2010)

last 4 hours narrow movewithin 5975-6010.Positions are mixed and will be better to get confirmations from break out from the range. View is bearish but mixed trading positions are suggesting to get confirmations from break out of mentioned range.

Mid-Session Outlook-4(16-11-2010)

As intraday charts showed selling near 6000 therefore breaking down of 5932 is higher now.

Mid-Session Outlook-3(16-11-2010)

Nifty trading within strong support range 5932-6000. Nifty got 3 times support withn this range previously therefore should be watched for next move confirmations.Breaking down 5932 will mean intermediate trend turning down and market correction from minimum 3 weeks to 3 months.

Be cautious.Just watch 5932 and its breaking  will mean deeper correction.

Mid-Session Outlook-2(16-11-2010)

I told following lines within 2 hours today:-

"intraday charts are showining weakness therefore further down move expectations turns higher."


Nifty moved more than 100 points down within 40 minutes after my above posting at 11:08 am.

Market is weak.No bottom fishing and long positions only after consolidation confirmations.

Mid-Session Outlook(16-11-2010)

Although firstly positive zone trading was expected but weak US futures and Asian markets led Indian markets to trade in negative zone first. Today almost first 2 hours intraday charts are showining weakness therefore further down move expectations turns higher.

Post-Open Outlook(16-11-2010)

Dow's futures trading 50 points down.Weak opening and sustaining beyond 6100 will give next move confirmations.

Range Bound Market within 6100-6260

Pre-Open Market Outlook(16-10-2010)

I told in weekly on 14-10-2010:-"Only minor pull back rally possibility in the begining of week"

I told in Pre-Open Outlook(15-10-2010):- "minor pull back rally possibility can not be ruled out"

I told within 3 hours in Mid-session outlook(15-10-2010):-"minor pull back rally possibility emerged today"

Following 2 supports were told in this week weekly:-

1- 1st Support- 6033-6057(Last Gap)
2- 2nd Support- 5932-6000(Strong support range)

Nifty got support within gap at 6039 yesterday above last strong support range and this gap has strengthened last support range.  Nifty got support 3 times within this range previously and got support above it yesterday therefore mentioned 2nd Support has become stronger.Now strong support range is 5932-6100.Good selling at higher levels therefore strong resistance range is 6260-6315

Indian market is trapped by strong supports and resistances and wil prepare for decisive moves within 6100-6260 in the minimum next couple of sessions. Markets always takes its own time for taking positions and let it prepare then next moves will be decided and also will be posted in the Mid-session outlooks as posted yesterday within first 3 hours before the begining of pull back rally.

As long and intermediate term trends are up therefore coming couple of sessions consolidations will mean rally arter completion of range bound correction(5937-6339). Selling will mean breaking down possibility of 5932 and it is only saviour otherwise deeper correction will be seen.

Opening will be decided by global sentiments but positive zone trading expected firstly and finally flat to positive closing also expected today.

Mid-Session Outlook-2(15-11-2010)

following support was mentioned in Weekly yesterday:-

1:- 1st Support- 6033-6057(Last Gap)

Nifty got support within this range at 6039 today. Today intraday patterns are showing consolidations and I told for it at 11:56 am today. Indian markets consolidated whole day today and recovered from intraday lows despite weak European markets and US futures. As consolidations today therefore repeating morning told line:-

"minor pull back rally possibility emerged today"

Mid-Session Outlook(15-11-2010)

Intraday patterns of today are suggesting consolidations therefore minor pull back rally possibility emerged today.

Pre-Open Market Outlook(15-11-2010)

US markets were down last Friday but Asian markets are flat today morning therefore sentiment is quiet. As last 2 sessions trading pattern is fountain and it is fountain consolidation formation therefore minor pull back rally possibility can not be ruled out. If Nifty sustains above 6100 today then minor pull back rally will be considered. Today first session intraday charts and sustaining above or below 6100 will decide pull back rally or continuation of ongoing last week down trend.

Market not prepared for any side move and will first prepare for next moves in first session today. Sustaining beyond 6100 should be used for next above mentioned moves confirmations.