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Rally in Next Week after Some More Consolidations


Technical Analysis and Research For 13-01-2012

Nifty-EOD Chart(12-Jan-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Pennant Formation
2- Pennant upward break out on 10-01 2011
3- Falling Trendline
4- Falling Trendline break out on 10-01 2011
5- Positive MACD
6- Doji Candle in 2 previous sessions.
7- MACD up ward intersected average line

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Rally is on after lower levels consolidations and showed strengh after Pennant and Falling Trendline break out on 10-01 2011 but today down moves after intraday selling on 11-01 2011. As soon as selling developed then we immediately updated down movws projections during and after trading hours on 11-01 2011 in following manner:-

1- We clearly told during and after trading hours  on 11-01 2011 that down moves will be considered after INFY quarterly results on 12-01 2011.

2- We also clearly told that until Nifty will not sustain above 4876 till then upmoves will not be considered and highest on 12-01 2011 was at 4869.20

135 Points upmoves in two sessions and its correction yesterday. Technicals of 2 previous sessions are as follows:-

1- Two Doji Candle formation
2- Both higher levels selling and lower levels buying.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(12-Jan-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 4843-4868
2- Buying between 4805-4830
3- Intraday pattern is showing consolidation formation.
4- Whole day trading between 4804-4869

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(Jan 11 & Jan 12,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 sessions intraday charts

1- Selling between 4857-4876
2- Buying between 4805-4830
3- Two days trading between 4804-4876

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Although slow but rally is on and short term trend is up as well as its very short term correction has begun after good selling at higher levels on 11-01-2012 and confirmation of support also between 4812-4728 on 12-01-2012

On going rally has not shown so much strength that we should immediately consider strong rally and on the other hand only one day selling is not suffiient to say for termination of rally.

As selling and buying both are seen in two previous sessions between 4804-4876 therefore Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next decisive moves as well as sustaining beyond this range will be next moves confirmations.

Although good selling on 10-01-2012 but expected that follow up consolidation will develop in the coming sessions and Nifty will finally sustain above 4876 in the coming sessions and rally begun on 21-12-20110 will remain continued in next week.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Jan-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed with minor gains or loss except IT Index which closed with big loss.
2- Doji Candle formation.
3- INFY results.IIP numbers and Inflation data news led volatile market.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Jan-2012): 17.50

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1433
BSE Declines : 1317
NSE Advances : 719
NSE Declines : 724

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(Jan)- -68800(-2.79%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Jan)- +439800(+6.54%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Jan)- +377850(+10.45%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Jan)- -160100(-3.25%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Jan)- +380150(+6.64%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Jan)- -53800(-2.37%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,831.25(-29.70 Points & -0.61%)
Sensex- closed at 16,037.51-138.35 Points & -0.86%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,591.10(+43.95 Points & +0.67%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,075.43(+78.95 Points & +1.32%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Jan-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Jan-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Jan-20122538.652031.85506.8

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Jan-2012944.071940.98-996.91

Down Moves predictions After INFY Results only in this Blog

When whole India was confused and speculating on Indian market moves after Infosys results then only we told again and again for down moves in Indian market after INFY results.

We told for today down moves between and after trading hours yesterday. When no one can even imagine for today down moves then we told      again and again.

For Live Proofs of above facts just click following link and verify all the proofs on yours own:-

http://enjoydailyprofits.blogspot.com/2012/01/live-proofs-of-down-moves-predictions.html

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-01-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4931
R2 4900
R1 4865
Avg 4834
S1 4799
S2 4768
S3 4733

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4897     Trgt 2
H5 4882     Trgt 1
H4 4867     Long breakout
H3 4849     Go Short
H2 4843
H1 4837
L1 4824
L2 4818
L3 4812     Long
L4 4794     Short Breakout
L5 4779     Trgt 1
L6 4764     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-01-2012

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 4957
R2 4922
R1 4887
Avg 4852
S1 4817
S2 4782
S3 4747

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4922     Trgt 2
H5 4906     Trgt 1
H4 4890     Long breakout
H3 4871     Go Short
H2 4864
H1 4858
L1 4845
L2 4839
L3 4832     Long
L4 4813     Short Breakout
L5 4797     Trgt 1
L6 4781     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-01-2012

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 9318
R2 9183
R1 9070
Avg 8935
S1 8822
S2 8687
S3 8574

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9209     Trgt 2
H5 9151     Trgt 1
H4 9093     Long breakout
H3 9025     Go Short
H2 9002
H1 8979
L1 8934
L2 8911
L3 8888     Long
L4 8820     Short Breakout
L5 8762     Trgt 1
L6 8704     Trgt 2

Intraday support today & Next trend confirmation range is 4804-4876

Pre-Closing Outlook (12-01-2012)

Confirmation of support between 4812-4728.  Next trend confirmation range is 4804-4876 and expected that Nifty will trade and prepare for next moves between this range as well as sustaining beyond this range will be next moves confirmation.

As good selling at higher levels   therefore  too much consolidation is required for sustaining above 4876 and  continuation of on going rally.

Rally is on but consolidation is required after good selling

Mid-session Outlook(12-01-2012)

News based highly volatile market today. Although Market moved up sharply after improved IIP numbers but could not cross our given level of 4876 and today highest is at 4869.20.

Market plummeted after increased Inflation data because good intraday selling yesterday and it was being told continuously since yesterday. Good supports are at much lower levels near 4750 therefore next moves preparation range at present is 4750-4876 and follow up buying/selling between this range will give next moves confirmations.

Rally is on after good support at lower levels but fresh consolidation is required after yesterday good selling.

No gossiping and no guessing.For Whatsoever trend market will prepare that will be updated in Mid-Sessions outlooks from intraday charts analysis and conclusions.  

Minor intraday support seen between 4812-4728 today but its validity and confirmations is required at this moment.

Live Proofs of Down Moves Predictions after INFY Results Today

Post-open Outlook(12-01-2012)

As soon as selling developed then it was told in following words at 1:07:00 PM yesterday:-

intraday selling signals at higher levels today.

Down moves after INFY results were told in following words at 3:07:00 PM yesterday:-

As today intraday patterns are showing selling at higher levels also therefore down moves will also be considered after INFY quarterly results tomorrow

Down moves after INFY results were told in following words at 11:34:00 PM yesterday:-

As good intraday selling one day before INFY results therefore down moves will also be considered after INFY quarterly results tomorrow.

Only We told again and again yesterday for down moves after INFY quarterly results today and it is being seen today. Next resistance is between 4857-4876 today therefore market require complete consolidation to sustain above 4876. Expected down moves have been seen and slipping 4615 will mean more down moves.

Rally is on but yesterday intraday selling yesterday is certainly a threat and until Nifty will not sustain above 4876 till then next upmove will not be considered. Follow up buying/selling during next couple of hours will give next moves confirmations.

INFY results but rally confirmation after sustaining above 4876

Nifty-Micro Analysis of  Intra Day Chart For 12-01-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(11-Jan-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 4857-4876
2- Whole day trading between 4843-4876

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Good higher levels selling at higher levels selling between 4857-4876 today therefore this range will be resistance and require complete consolidation to sustain above 4876. As good intraday selling one day before INFY results therefore down moves will also be considered after INFY quarterly results tomorrow.

Whatsoever INFY results tomorrow but until Nifty will not sustain above 4876 till then upmoves will not be considered and sustaining above it is must.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 11-Jan-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Jan-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII11-Jan-20122631.162199.85431.31


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII11-Jan-2012967.781149.96-182.18

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(11-Jan-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed flat.
2- Doji Candle.
3- Some Indices closed with good gains,some with losses and some flat today.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.00
Nifty P/E Ratio(11-Jan-2012):17.61

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1880
BSE Declines : 951
NSE Advances : 1009
NSE Declines : 452

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 4700 CE(Jan)- -120500(-4.62%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Jan)- +458150(+7.21%)

Nifty- 4800 CE(Jan)- -63150(-1.70%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Jan)- +626300(+14.27%)

Nifty- 4900 CE(Jan)- +1051700(+21.19%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Jan)- +435100(+23.53%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 4,860.95(+11.40 Points & +0.24%)
Sensex- closed at 16,175.86(+10.77 Points & +0.07% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 6,547.15(+79.60 Points & +1.23%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,075.43(+78.95 Points & +1.32%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-01-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 4913
R2 4895
R1 4877
Avg 4859
S1 4841
S2 4823
S3 4805

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 4896     Trgt 2
H5 4887     Trgt 1
H4 4879     Long breakout
H3 4869     Go Short
H2 4866
H1 4863
L1 4856
L2 4853
L3 4850     Long
L4 4840     Short Breakout
L5 4832     Trgt 1
L6 4823     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-01-2012

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 4989
R2 4939
R1 4905
Avg 4855
S1 4821
S2 4771
S3 4737

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 4957     Trgt 2
H5 4937     Trgt 1
H4 4918     Long breakout
H3 4895     Go Short
H2 4887
H1 4879
L1 4864
L2 4856
L3 4848     Long
L4 4825     Short Breakout
L5 4806     Trgt 1
L6 4786     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 12-01-2012

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 9067
R2 8974
R1 8914
Avg 8821
S1 8761
S2 8668
S3 8608

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9010     Trgt 2
H5 8974     Trgt 1
H4 8939     Long breakout
H3 8897     Go Short
H2 8883
H1 8869
L1 8840
L2 8826
L3 8812     Long
L4 8770     Short Breakout
L5 8735     Trgt 1
L6 8699     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(11-01-2012)

As decisive big up moves were least expected today therefore we told following words in all outlooks which were updated for today market;-

next up moves are expected within couple of sessions.

As today intraday patterns are showing selling at higher levels also therefore down moves will also be considered after INFY quarterly results tomorrow. News based market will be seen tomorrow and 2 sessions are showing intraday mixed patterns therefore trading range of today and yesterday will be kept for next moves confirmations.

Firstly watch sustaining beyond 4814-4876 tomorrow for next moves confirmations.

Mid-session Outlook(11-01-2012)

Following lines were told at 05:51:00 AM today in Continuation of rally after minor correction

As mixed intra day patterns during 5 hours of trading on 10-01-2012 therefore consolidation is required and that may be seen between yesterday mixed patterns trading range also.

As was told same happened and Benchmark Indices firstly hovering around and consolidated near about yesterday closing and after that moved up. First 2 hours trading range is 4847-4864 and Nifty is trading above this range. Although some intraday volatility is expected but expected that rally will remain continued in Indian markets and next decisive up moves will be seen within couple of sessions.

Sustaining beyond 4847-4864 will be Next moves confirmation therefore should be firstly watched also in next couple of sessions because intraday selling signals at higher levels today.

Continuation of rally after minor correction

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 11-01-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(10-Jan-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day up moves.
2- Mixed Patterns between 4814-4854
3- Whole day trading between 4879-4854

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Long term and intermediate term trends are down while short term trend gave upward confirmation yesterday. Intermediate term trend will be up after sustaining above 5100. Long term trend and revival of bull markets hopes will be after sustaining above 200 Day EMA(today at 5148). As 200 Day SMA(today at 5251) has posed resistance 3 times earlier therefore sustaining above will be confirmation of up trend strength.

Expected that rally will remain continued but consolidation is required before each up move because multiple resistances at higher levels.As mixed intraday patterns during 5 hours of trading on 10-01-2012 therefore consolidation is required and that may be seen between yesterday mixed pattrens trading range also.

Opening will depend on global cues but expected that rally will remain continued in Indian markets and next up moves are expected within couple of sessions.

Although strong upmoves were seen on 10-Jan-2011 but it was projected more than 10 times in previous outlooks. For supports,resistances and detailed analysis just click following weekly analysis link which was updated on 07-1-2012