Pre-Closing Outlook(28-09-2012)

Indian markets strong up moves after good opening and also outperforming Global markets as well as Nifty trading above previous resistance(5709) but not sustaining at higher levels therefore profit booking possibility also can not be ruled out today.

Following lines were told in Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012) and being repeated:-

"possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation"

Post-open Outlook(28-09-2012)

As Asian markets moves up in last one hour therefore strong opening in Indian markets and also possibility of fresh rally after correction completion,sustaining above 5709 will be its confirmation.

Correction Fate Confirmation through 5639-5709

Pre-open Outlook(28-09-2012)

US markets closed with sufficient gains yesterday but Asian markets are almost flat therefore sentiment is quiet today morning and expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between yesterday trading range(5639-5693)

Closing near intraday lower levels after Selling between 5680-5693 yesterday but intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications and intraday consolidation also between 5639-5670 on 26-09-2012 therefore sustaining beyond yesterday trading range(5639-5693) should be firstly watched today for:-

1- Forceful break down or sustaining below 5639 will be correction continuation confirmation with deeper correction possibility.
2- Firstly crossing above 5693 and after that forceful break out or sustaining above 5709 will be confirmation of fresh rally after correction completion.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(28-09-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (27-Sep-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5680-5693
2- Down moves in Falling Channel.
3- Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications
3- Whole day acual trading between5639-5693

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Correction in this week after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points rally in previous couple of weeks. Firstly selling between 5680-5693 and today closing near the lower levels of the day but down moves in Falling Channel and Intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications also.

Lower levels consolidation and higher levels selling in 4 previous sessions but no lower levels intra day supports and consolidation today. As consolidation between 5639-5670 yesterday and Nifty closed also within this range today therefore Sustaining beyond 5639 should be firstly watched tomorrow for correction continuation or completion first indication. 

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 27-Sep-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 27-Sep-2012 5509.53 5109.79 399.74

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 27-Sep-2012 1496.19 1944.06 -447.87

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(27-Sep-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed with moderate gains or loss.
2- Most Indices closed near the lows of the day.
3- Black Candle formation

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.16
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Oct-2012): 17.79

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1503
BSE Declines : 1378
NSE Advances :  734
NSE Declines :  717

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600 CE(Oct)- 272,650(17.06%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Oct)- 285,700(10.54%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- 1,077,250(-00.00%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 595,000(29.72%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Oct)- 861,700(24.40%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Oct)- 152,150(27.11%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,649.50(-13.95 Points & -0.25%)
Sensex- closed at 18,579.50(-52.67 Points & 31.54% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,744.70(27.60 Points & 0.36%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,958.46(10.62 Points & 0.15%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-09-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5735
R2 5714
R1 5681
Avg 5660
S1 5627
S2 5606
S3 5573

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5703     Trgt 2
H5 5690     Trgt 1
H4 5678     Long breakout
H3 5663     Go Short
H2 5658
H1 5653
L1 5644
L2 5639
L3 5634     Long
L4 5619    Short Breakout
L5 5607     Trgt 1
L6 5594     Trgt 2

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-09-2012

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 5761
R2 5740
R1 5712
Avg 5691
S1 5663
S2 5642
S3 5614

Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5733     Trgt 2
H5 5722     Trgt 1
H4 5710     Long breakout
H3 5697     Go Short
H2 5692
H1 5688
L1 5679
L2 5675
L3 5670    Long
L4 5657     Short Breakout
L5 5645     Trgt 1
L6 5634     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 28-09-2012

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels

R3 11643
R2 11594
R1 11536
Avg 11487
S1 11429
S2 11380
S3 11322

Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11586     Trgt 2
H5 11562     Trgt 1
H4 11537     Long breakout
H3 11508     Go Short
H2 11498
H1 11488
L1 11469
L2 11459
L3 11449     Long
L4 11420     Short Breakout
L5 11395     Trgt 1
L6 11371     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(27-09-2012)

As last 4 sessions most time trading between 5639-5709 with lower levels intraday supports after higher levels selling during on going correction therefore follow up consolidation was must after good consolidation yesterday but selling at higher levels seen today.

As today intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications despite higher levels selling without any lower levels supports therefore correction completion confirmation is must through sustaining above 5639. As intraday selling today therefore sustaining beyond 5639 sgould be firstly watched tomorrow for correction completion/continuation confirmation.

Post-open Outlook(27-09-2012)

As intraday consolidation patterns were seen between 5639-5670 yesterday therefore Nifty opened above this range and now trading also above this range. As intraday selling was also seen between between 5682-5704 in previous 3 sessions therefore follow up consolidation is required for sustaining and fresh rally above 5709.

Expected that rally will continue after correction completion yesterday but follow up consolidation and sustaining above 5709 is must.

Sustaining beyond 5639-5709 should also be watched for next moves confirmation.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(27-09-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (26-Sep-2012):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5639-5654
2- Most time trading between yesterday intraday support range(5653-5670) with intraday consolidation patterns.
3- Whole day acual trading between 5639-5670.

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although all the Global markets were .55% to 2% down today and Nifty slipped also below yesterday intraday support range(5653-5670) but Nifty could not sustain below 5653 and recovered after getting support between 5639-5654.

As Nifty traded most time between above mentioned yesterday intraday support range(5653-5670) with intraday consolidation patterns and intraday supports at lower levels also today therefore high possibility of rally continuation after correction completion today.  

Next trend confirmation range is 5639-5709. 

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 26-Sep-2012

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 26-Sep-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value FII 26-Sep-2012 3601 2912.51 688.49

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores) Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value DII 26-Sep-2012 1315.8 2011.7 -695.9

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(26-Sep-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Midcap and SMLCAP closed in Green.
3- Doji like white Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.01
Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Aug-2012): 17.87

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1414
BSE Declines : 1477
NSE Advances :  704
NSE Declines :  735

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600 CE(Sep)-  132,900(3.30%)
Nifty- 5600 PE( Sep)-  890,150(11.54%)

Nifty- 5700 CE( Sep )-  1,442,400(20.94%)
Nifty- 5700 PE( Sep )- -284,450(-5.44%)

Nifty- 5800 CE( Sep )- -320,600(-3.58%)
Nifty- 5800 PE( Sep )- -97,850(-6.96%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,663.45(-10.45 Points & -0.18%)
Sensex- closed at 18,632.17(- 62.24 Points & -0.33% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,717.10(28.15 Points & 0.37%)
BSE SMLcap- closed at 6,947.84(44.69 Points & 0.65%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-09-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5711
R2 5691
R1 5677
PIVOT 5657
S1 5643
S2 5623
S3 5609

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6  5697    Trgt 2
H5  5689    Trgt 1
H4  5681    Long breakout
H3  5672    Go Short
H2  5669
H1  5666
L1  5659
L2  5656
L3  5653    Long
L4  5644    Short Breakout
L5  5636    Trgt 1
L6  5628    Trgt 2

Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-09-2012

Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels

R3 5718
R2 5698
R1 5683
PIVOT 5663
S1 5648
S2 5628
S3 5613

Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5704     Trgt 2
H5 5696     Trgt 1
H4 5688     Long breakout
H3 5678     Go Short
H2 5675
H1 5672
L1 5665
L2 5662
L3 5659     Long
L4 5649     Short Breakout
L5 5641     Trgt 1
L6 5633     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-09-2012

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Levels

R3 11616
R2 11537
R1 11485
PIVOT 11406
S1 11354
S2 11275
S3 11223

Bank Nifty(Sep Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11565     Trgt 2
H5 11535     Trgt 1
H4 11505     Long breakout
H3 11469     Go Short
H2 11457
H1 11445
L1 11420
L2 11408
L3 11396     Long
L4 11360     Short Breakout
L5 11330     Trgt 1
L6 11300     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(26-09-2012)

Although all the global markets are from .55% to 2% down today but we told in all the today Outlooks only for watching and sustaining beyond 5653-5670,Nifty traded also within this arnge more than 3 hours today. Nifty slipped below 5653 on the back of depressing Global cues but did not sustained below and now again trading within mentioned range.

Nifty got support between 5653-5670 and consolidation signals are again seen within and near about this range today also. Nifty traded between 5639-5672 today and also got support at lower levels.

Correction is on after 12 sessions 505 Nifty points strong rally and new intraday lows formations for the last 3 sessions but down moves are without force. Although intraday selling at higher levels but lower levels intraday supports also seen in last 4 sessions therefore if no big jolt from global markets then correction completion is expected without deeper down moves.

As today and yesterday intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns formations therefore rally continuation possibilities are alive after correction completion near about today and yesterday lows.

Deeper correction confirmation will be forceful breaking down or sustaining below 5653/5639. Sustaining above 5670 will be strong up moves first indication and finally above 5709 will be rally continuation confirmation after correction completion.

Mid-session Outlook(26-09-2012)

Nifty got intraday support between 5653-5670 yesterday but traded first hour below it today because sentiment depressed due to weaker global cues. Nifty again got support between 5644-5654 today and trading for the almost last 3 hours between above mentioned yesterday support range.

Sustaining above 5670 will be strong up moves indication and finally above 5709 will be rally continuation after correction confirmation. Forceful breaking down or sustaining below 5653/5644 will be last 2 sessions intraday supports broken down as well as deeper correction confirmation.

Post-open Outlook(26-09-2012)

All the Asian markets were more than .60% down therefore Indian markets opened weak but outperformed and got intraday support at lower level as well as did not sustained below yesterday support of 5653.

Nifty got intraday support between 5653-5670 yesterday and finally sustaining it beyond will decide deeper correction or correction completion after forming today lows under weaket global cues at 5,643.75.