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Pre-closing Outlook(15-07-2011)

Follwing line was told in Technical Analysis and Research & Market Outlook(15-07-2011) today:-

Quiet markets expected near 5600 and firstly trading between 5570-5625 and Nifty traded most of the time between 29 points range within 5566-5595 with lower levels consolidation indications. and next trend confirmation range is sustaining beyond 5566-5595

Mid-session Outlook(15-07-2011)

Market could not sustain at higher levels after positive opening and trading between 5566-5590 for the last 2 hours with mixed patterns and signals. Mentioned intraday range of today will give next moves first indication.

Technical Analysis and Research & Market Outlook(15-07-2011)

Technical Analysis and Research of Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Charts already been explained in following topic with 1 chart therefore not being repeated:-

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 15-07-2011

Daily Indicators & Averages Analysis Chart(14-07-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Conclusions

1- Averages(EMA-8,21,55,200)- All the averages are between 5551-5600.
2- Bollinger Band- Nifty is moving around its middle line for the last 3 sessions and showing no direction.
3- MACD- Both lines are kissing and not confirming any trend.
4- ROC- Resting at zero line and not confirming any direction.
5- RSI- At equalibrium line and not confirming any direction.
6- Slow Stochastic- At oversold line and not suggesting any immediate very short termbig move.
6- William %R- Near equalibrium line and not suggesting any immediate very short termbig move.

Conclusions (From Daily Indicators & Averages Analysis)

Direction less market and Indian market will prepare for next moves in the coming sessions.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

All the trends are also side ways and Indian markets are trying to find direction through hovering around 200 Day EMA(5582) for the last 3 sessions and all the crucial averages are also between 5551-5600.

Nifty is trading between 5496-5470 for the last 13 sessions with good support between 5500-5580 and 2 resistances between(5620-5655 & 5700-5725). Nifty will trade first between 5570-5625 and next moves frist confirmation range is 5540-5655.

Quiet markets expected near 5600 and firstly trading between 5570-5625 today and Indian markets will try to find direction within this range and next moves first indication will be sustaining beyond this range.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 15-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(14-Jul-2011):
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intra day charts:-

1- Condolidation between- 5542-5565
2- Condolidation between- 5580-5590
3- Mixed Patterns between- 5630-5653

Conclusions

Good consolidation at lower levels but Indian markets slipped sharply from higher levels after last 2 hours range bound moves between 5620-5653,intraday patterns within this range are mixed and short covering possibility within this range can not be ruled out.

Confirm consolidation at lower levels but mixed patterns at higher levels therefore Nifty will trade within today range(5542-5653) tomorrow and prepare for next moves and follow up buying/selling tomorrow will give next move indication.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(14-Jul-2011)


Main features of today trading are as follows

1- White Candle.
2- Mixed closing. Indices closed from from flat to Red and Green.
3- Volatile market.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.03
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Jul-2011): 20.55

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1614
BSE DECLINES : 1233
NSE ADVANCES : 837
NSE DECLINES : 579

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jul)- -264250(-6.09%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jul)- +267150(+2.69%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jul)- +432900(+7.13%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +802950(+14.89%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- +262250(+3.19%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +974850(+37.45%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,599.80(+ 14.35 Points & +0.26%)
Sensex- closed at18,618.20(+22.18 Points & +0.12%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at8,168.40(+65.40 Points & +0.81%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at  8,356.39(+14.67 Points & + 0.18%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 14-Jul-2011

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII14-Jul-20112339.992128.53211.46


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII14-Jul-20111591.71073.88517.82

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-07-2011


Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5766
R2 5709
R1 5654
Avg 5597
S1 5542
S2 5485
S3 5430

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5712     Trgt 2
H5 5686     Trgt 1
H4 5660     Long breakout
H3 5629     Go Short
H2 5619
H1 5609
L1 5588
L2 5578
L3 5568     Long
L4 5537     Short Breakout
L5 5511     Trgt 1
L6 5485     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-07-2011


Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5783
R2 5725
R1 5662
Avg 5604
S1 5541
S2 5483
S3 5420

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5722     Trgt 2
H5 5694     Trgt 1
H4 5666     Long breakout
H3 5633     Go Short
H2 5622
H1 5611
L1 5588
L2 5577
L3 5566     Long
L4 5533     Short Breakout
L5 5505     Trgt 1
L6 5477     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11721
R2 11563
R1 11419
Avg 11261
S1 11117
S2 10959
S3 10815

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11582     Trgt 2
H5 11512     Trgt 1
H4 11442     Long breakout
H3 11359     Go Short
H2 11331
H1 11303
L1 11248
L2 11220
L3 11192     Long
L4 11109     Short Breakout
L5 11039     Trgt 1
L6 10969     Trgt 2

Pre-closing Outlook-2(14-07-2011)

Last 2 hours trading between 5620-5653 but Nifty could not sustained at higher levels within this range therefore this range will be firstly watched for next up moves confirmations because short covering possibility within this range can not be ruled out.

Pre-closing Outlook(14-07-2011)

When  SGX Nifty WAS trading 45 points down then we told following lines in Market Outlook(14-07-2011):-

"expected that Indian markets wil again  consolidate today and Indian markets will finally close flat to Green today"

We told following lines for Indian markets reaction on Mumbai serial Blasts

1-"Indian markets will not be affected from these serial Blasts"

We were cautious but confident for upmoves because yesterday intraday consolidations between 5557-5575. Nifty cleared all the resistances and next immediate resistance is above 5700 and its testing is expected now.

Mid-session Outlook(14-07-2011)

When Indian markets were trading near today's lows then lines were told in Post-open Outlook(14-07-2011):-

As good consolidation between 5557-5575 yesterday therefore sustaining below is must and will be watched also today for next down moves confirmations despite Mumbai blasts.

Nifty recovered and trading above after intraday support between 5542-5550 and intraday patterns are suggesting consolidations. Next moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 5542-5575 and outlook is positive despite Red trading since morning today.

Post-open Outlook(14-07-2011)

It was expected that Indian markets will not adversely react Mumbai seraial blasts but clear nervousness seen today. Indian markets under performing global markets due to blasts and Nifty slipped below yesterday consolidation range lowest of 5557.

Nifty sustaining below 5557 will mean more down moves and sharp declines because that will be confirmation of all trends turning down. As good consolidation between 5557-5575 yesterday therefore sustaining below is must and will be watched also today for next down moves confirmations despite Mumbai blasts.

Market Outlook(14-07-2011)

US markets closed positive but slipped frrm higher levels yesterday and US futures is in Red since morning today therefore sentiment is depressed and some Asian markets are trading weak. Sentiment is subdued due to Mumbai serial blasts also therefore flat to Red opening is possible in Indian markets but Good intraday support between 5557-5575 yesterday.

As far as Indian stock Markets reactions on Mumbai Blasts are concerned that Indian markets will not be affected from these serial Blasts and Nifty will not slip below 5557 in whatsoever worse situation. Whole day good consolidation between 5557-5575 yesterday and Nifty will finally sustain above 5557. Although SGX Nifty is trading 45 points down at this moment but expected that Indian markets wil again  consolidate today and Indian markets will finally close flat to Green today.

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 14-07-2011

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-Jul-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Condolidation between- 5557-5575

Conclusions

Market consolidated whole day therefore following lines were told in Pre-closing Outlook(13-07-2011)

1-intraday patterns are showing consolidation today as well as possibility of sustaining above 5578 is higher also
2- confirmation is must through sustaining above 5578 or forceful up move above 5578 because global markets pressure is high nowadays.

Nifty tested 5500 yesterday due to crashing Global markets but Indian markets consolidated today and Nifty sustaining above 5628 will be next up moves strong indication and it is expected also after today whole day consolidations.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Jul-2011)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Long White Candle.
2- All the indices closed in Green.
3- Good support at lower levels today.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.99
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-07-2011): 20.51

Advances & Declines

BSE ADVANCES : 1848
BSE DECLINES : 1055
NSE ADVANCES : 1034
NSE DECLINES : 373

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5500 CE(Jul)- -515150(-10.61%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(Jul)- +1683900(+19.92%)

Nifty- 5600 CE(Jul)- +9600(+0.15%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(Jul)- +964900(+21.80.00%)

Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- +497550(+6.42%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- +102000(+4.08.00%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,585.45(+59.30 Points & +1.07%)
Sensex- closed at 18,596.02(+184.40 Points & +1.00% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 8,103.00(+98.40 Points & +1.23%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,341.72(+79.90 Points & +0.97%)

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Jul-2011

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII13-Jul-20112387.522071.57315.95


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII13-Jul-2011963.381332.29-368.91

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-07-2011

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 5681
R2 5645
R1 5622
Avg 5586
S1 5563
S2 5527
S3 5504

Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5658   Trgt 2
H5 5644   Trgt 1
H4 5631   Long breakout
H3 5615   Go Short
H2 5609
H1 5604
L1 5593
L2 5588
L3 5582    Long
L4 5566    Short Breakout
L5 5553    Trgt 1
L6 5539    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-07-2011

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels

R3 11327
R2 11262
R1 11216
Avg 11151
S1 11105
S2 11040
S3 10994

Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 11281     Trgt 2
H5 11256     Trgt 1
H4 11231     Long breakout
H3 11200     Go Short
H2 11190
H1 11180
L1 11159
L2 11149
L3 11139    Long
L4 11108   Short Breakout
L5 11083   Trgt 1
L6 11058   Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-07-2011

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5662
R2 5629
R1 5607
Avg 5574
S1 5552
S2 5519
S3 5497`

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5640     Trgt 2
H5 5627     Trgt 1
H4 5615     Long breakout
H3 5600     Go Short
H2 5595
H1 5590
L1 5579
L2 5574
L3 5569    Long
L4 5554    Short Breakout
L5 5542    Trgt 1
L6 5529.   Trgt 2