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Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-05-2011
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 10962
R2 10853
R1 10759
Avg 10650
S1 10556
S2 10447
S3 10353
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10871 Trgt 2
H5 10824 Trgt 1
H4 10777 Long breakout
H3 10721 Go Short
H2 10703
H1 10684
L1 10647
L2 10628
L3 10610 Long
L4 10554 Short Breakout
L5 10507 Trgt 1
L6 10460 Trgt 2
R3 10962
R2 10853
R1 10759
Avg 10650
S1 10556
S2 10447
S3 10353
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10871 Trgt 2
H5 10824 Trgt 1
H4 10777 Long breakout
H3 10721 Go Short
H2 10703
H1 10684
L1 10647
L2 10628
L3 10610 Long
L4 10554 Short Breakout
L5 10507 Trgt 1
L6 10460 Trgt 2
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 20-May-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(20-05-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed positive except FMCG.
2- White Candle
3- Whole day consolidations except minor profit booking at higher levels.
4- Revival of upmoves expectations after sustaining above 5444.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.85
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-05-2011): 20.20
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1548
BSE DECLINES : 1288
NSE ADVANCES : 834
NSE DECLINES : 560
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(20-05-2011)- -2892950(-41.97%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(20-05-2011)- +760750(+9.56%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(20-05-2011)- -1169900(-14.58)
Nifty- 5500 PE(20-05-2011)- +1690550(39.15%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(20-05-2011)- +146700(+1.83)
Nifty- 5600 PE(20-05-2011)- +581100(+22.48)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,486.35(+58.25 Points & +1.07%)
Sensex- closed at 18,326.09(+184.69 Points & +1.02% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,873.15 (+40.25 Points & +0.51%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,185.18(+39.61 Points & +0.49%)
1- All the Indices closed positive except FMCG.
2- White Candle
3- Whole day consolidations except minor profit booking at higher levels.
4- Revival of upmoves expectations after sustaining above 5444.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.85
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-05-2011): 20.20
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1548
BSE DECLINES : 1288
NSE ADVANCES : 834
NSE DECLINES : 560
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(20-05-2011)- -2892950(-41.97%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(20-05-2011)- +760750(+9.56%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(20-05-2011)- -1169900(-14.58)
Nifty- 5500 PE(20-05-2011)- +1690550(39.15%)
Nifty- 5600 CE(20-05-2011)- +146700(+1.83)
Nifty- 5600 PE(20-05-2011)- +581100(+22.48)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,486.35(+58.25 Points & +1.07%)
Sensex- closed at 18,326.09(+184.69 Points & +1.02% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,873.15 (+40.25 Points & +0.51%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,185.18(+39.61 Points & +0.49%)
Pre-closing Outlook(20-05-2011) & Impact of Kanimozhi arrest on Indian Stock Markets
As rally were expected therefore up moves confirmation levels were given in Mid-session Outlook. Confirmation of Nifty sustaining above 5444 has been achieved and with this Bullish markets building up hopes also survived after Oxygen therapy at 5400. Nifty crossed 5495 but slipped also sharply and it seems that it may be psychological impact on Kanimozhi bail rejection and resultant fear of DMK withdrawing support from UPA Govt. As per my view DMK will not withdraw support and if happens also then there UPA will be able to arrange required support.
Intraday patterns are showing consolidation except minor selling between 5505-5517 and next resistance is between 5520-5530. In this manner now next resistance range is 5505-5530. As strong base formations at crucial levels near 5400 and Nifty has sustained above 5444 therefore expected that Indian markets will first consolidate between 5444-5500 in next week and then fresh upmoves will be seen.
No impact of Kanimozhi arrest will be seen on Indian markets in next week
Intraday patterns are showing consolidation except minor selling between 5505-5517 and next resistance is between 5520-5530. In this manner now next resistance range is 5505-5530. As strong base formations at crucial levels near 5400 and Nifty has sustained above 5444 therefore expected that Indian markets will first consolidate between 5444-5500 in next week and then fresh upmoves will be seen.
No impact of Kanimozhi arrest will be seen on Indian markets in next week
Mid-session Outlook(20-05-2011)
Following line was told in Post-open Outlook today:-
"5480-5495 is next resistance and sustaining above 5495 will mean strong rally"
Nifty traded about 3 hours within mentioned resistance range and slipped. Pull Back rally was expected and it has been seen. Now next moves will be decided according to coming hours intraday charts formations. For next upmoves sustaining above 5444 and crossing 5495 are confirmation levels.
"5480-5495 is next resistance and sustaining above 5495 will mean strong rally"
Nifty traded about 3 hours within mentioned resistance range and slipped. Pull Back rally was expected and it has been seen. Now next moves will be decided according to coming hours intraday charts formations. For next upmoves sustaining above 5444 and crossing 5495 are confirmation levels.
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 19-05-2011-COVERING
NIFTY MAY F & O(BOUGHT ON 19-05-2011)-COVER AND BOOK PROFIT IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5481
NIFTY-MAY F&O-1ST BUYING OF 19-05-2011-MESSAGE
NIFTY MAY F &; O(BOUGHT ON 19-05-2011)-PLACE TRAILLING STOP LOSS AT 5467 AND HOLD-CMP-5475
Pull Back Rally on Cards
Tomorrow Market(20-05-2011) Outlook,Technical Analysis & Research
Detailed analysis and reasons for Pull Back Rally expectations have been posted in Following topics:-
1- Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-05-2011)
2- Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(19-05-2011)
3- Nifty-Micro Analysis of 3 days Intra Day Charts(May 17 to May 19,2011)
Conclusions
All trends are down and Nifty sustained 3 days below 5444 but last 3 sessions patterns are suggesting lower levels consolidations and base formations therefore minimum Pull back rally expected in the coming sessions and expected that Nifty will consolidate tomorrow within last 2 days trading range(5402-5455)and after that upmoves will be seen in the coming week.
Nifty-Micro Analysis of 3 days Intra Day Charts(May 17 to May 19,2011)
Nifty- 3 days Intra Day Chart:-
Main Features
1- Water Falling pattern on 17-05-2011
2- 2 Days good consolidations between 5402-5431
3- 2 Days minor distributions between 5436-5455
Conclusions
Good consolidations and base formations in last 2 days between 5402-5431 and minor distributions between 5436-5455. Nifty moved down on 17-05-2011 in Water Falling pattern and it means that down moves without much selling.
Good consolidations in last 2 days therefore expected that minor resistances will be crossed and pull back rally will be seen in the coming sessions.
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Water Falling pattern on 17-05-2011
2- 2 Days good consolidations between 5402-5431
3- 2 Days minor distributions between 5436-5455
Conclusions
Good consolidations and base formations in last 2 days between 5402-5431 and minor distributions between 5436-5455. Nifty moved down on 17-05-2011 in Water Falling pattern and it means that down moves without much selling.
Good consolidations in last 2 days therefore expected that minor resistances will be crossed and pull back rally will be seen in the coming sessions.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-May-2011
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Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(19-05-2011)
-Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart(19-05-2011):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Nifty trading range- 5411-5441
2- Whole day Intraday consolidation between 5412-5431
Conclusions
Minor intraday selling but whole day Intraday consolidation between 5412-5431 therefore today intraday charts are showing strong possibility of up moves tomorrow.
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-05-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Nifty trading range- 5411-5441
2- Confirm consolidation between 5412-5431 today.
3- Indices closing is mixed but intraday charts of most of the Indices charts are showing consolidations.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.74(Minimum in May 2011)
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-05-2011): 20.20
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1060
BSE DECLINES : 1716
NSE ADVANCES : 467
NSE DECLINES : 924
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(26-05-2011)- +625700(+9.77%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(26-05-2011)- +500900(+6.41%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(26-05-2011)- +299600(+3.66%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(26-05-2011)- -478050(-9.73%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,428.10(+7.50 Points & +0.14%)
Sensex- closed at 18,141.40(+55.20 Points & +0.31%% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,832.90 (-28.65 Points & -0.36%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,145.57(-44.00 Points & -0.54)
1- Nifty trading range- 5411-5441
2- Confirm consolidation between 5412-5431 today.
3- Indices closing is mixed but intraday charts of most of the Indices charts are showing consolidations.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.74(Minimum in May 2011)
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-05-2011): 20.20
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1060
BSE DECLINES : 1716
NSE ADVANCES : 467
NSE DECLINES : 924
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5400 CE(26-05-2011)- +625700(+9.77%)
Nifty- 5400 PE(26-05-2011)- +500900(+6.41%)
Nifty- 5500 CE(26-05-2011)- +299600(+3.66%)
Nifty- 5500 PE(26-05-2011)- -478050(-9.73%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 5,428.10(+7.50 Points & +0.14%)
Sensex- closed at 18,141.40(+55.20 Points & +0.31%% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 7,832.90 (-28.65 Points & -0.36%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 8,145.57(-44.00 Points & -0.54)
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-05-2011
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 10783
R2 10721
R1 10633
Avg 10571
S1 10483
S2 10421
S3 10333
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10695 Trgt 2
H5 10661 Trgt 1
H4 10627 Long breakout
H3 10586 Go Short
H2 10572
H1 10558
L1 10531
L2 10517
L3 10503 Long
L4 10462 Short Breakout
L5 10428 Trgt 1
L6 10394 Trgt 2
R3 10783
R2 10721
R1 10633
Avg 10571
S1 10483
S2 10421
S3 10333
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10695 Trgt 2
H5 10661 Trgt 1
H4 10627 Long breakout
H3 10586 Go Short
H2 10572
H1 10558
L1 10531
L2 10517
L3 10503 Long
L4 10462 Short Breakout
L5 10428 Trgt 1
L6 10394 Trgt 2
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