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NIFTY-JAN F&O-1ST BUYING OF 21-01-2011-COVERING
NIFTY JAN F & O(BOUGHT ON 21-01-2011)-COVER AND BOOK PROFIT IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5738(WE MAY BUY AGAIN BUT FIRST BOOK PROFIT NOW)
Mid-session outlook(24-01-2011)
Following lines were clearly told in weekly today morning:-
"Firstly rally expected in the begining of coming week"
Rally seen immediately today morning and Next resistance is at 5752. Nifty traded little below it for the last one hour and and crossed now. Nifty sustaining above 5752 will mean crossing of strong resistance as well as short term trend turning upward.
As last one hour intraday charts are suggesting consolidation therefore expected that Nifty will cross and sustain above 5752.
Trading Levels for 24-01-11 & Next Week Levels
Nifty Spot Levels for 24-01-11
R3 5761
R2 5739
R1 5718
AVG 5696
S1 5675
S2 5653
S3 5632
Nifty Jan Futures Levels for 24-01-11
R3 5775
R2 5746
R1 5723
AVG 5694
S1 5671
S2 5642
S3 5619
Bank Nifty Jan Futures Levels for 07 -01-11
R3 11144
R2 11036
R1 10966
AVG 10858
S1 10788
S2 10680
S3 10610
Nifty Spot Weekly Levels (24 Jan to 28 Jan 2011)
R3 5879
R2 5813
R1 5755
AVG 5689
S1 5631
S2 5565
Pull Back rally is Confirm
Weekly Analysis- 24-01-2011 to 28-01-2011
It is the character of bull rallies that they are tend to test 200-Day EMA in intermediate term corrections and if primary up trend is continued then reverse to rally after some consolidation near it. AsJan 2011 fall was on the back of serial negative news blast without intraday genuine selling patterns and Indian markets tested 200-Day EMA(today at 5650) and after 5 sessions hovering near about closed above it last Friday therefore Long term trend is still up, Intermediate term and short term trends are down.
Previous week and last Friday candle is Doji which means uncertainity in markets but intraday patterns of last Friday and last 5 sessions is clearly suggesting consolidations. Although Weekly and Daily charts are not signalling any side moves but intraday charts are confirming consolidations therefore rally will be seen in the coming week. Consolidation developd at lower levels after every fall and it is shown in following last week intraday chat ;-
1-Genuine Intraday Consolidation Patterns in Last 5 Days chart:-
(Just click on chart for its enlarged view)
10 Days intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns:-
1- Rounding bottom support.
2- Double bottom support at 5630
3- Falling channel break out at 10 days intraday chart and whole day trading above it last Friday.
2-10 Days Intraday Consolidation Patterns chart:-
Wave 3 is on and corrected according to its nature. As negative news flow was strong therefore down moves were sharp and 200-Day EMA tested and Nifty hovered around it last week before weekly closing above it. This fact should also be kept in mind that Nifty tested 200-Day EMA in May 2010 before 1553 Points Rally and until nifty will not sustain below it till then any type od down move will not be considered. Falling Channel range bound moves in Last 4 months and after testing lower line of channel Nifty has to sustain below it also for any down move confirmations but support seen here in whole last week therefore upmove within on going channel will be seen first.
3- Wave3 Testing & Sustaining above 200-Day EMA:-
Firstly vertical falling channel formation in Jan 2011 and after that narrow range trading seen within 5630-5745 in last week. Nifty got strong support at 5630 and good consolidation range is 5630-5700. Jan 2011 Falling vertical Channel broken out last Friday when Nifty traded whole day above it with intraday consolidation patterns within 5680-5715.
4- Jan 2011 Correction and last 6 sessions Consolidation CDhart:-
Coonclusions
Short term and Intermediate term trends are down but long term up trend is intact after Jan 2011 1st half cracking down. Nifty got strong support at 5630 and last week good consolidation seen within 5630-5700. 200-Day EMA is today at 5650 and consolidation seen its near about therefore long term up trend is safe. As good support and consolidation in last week and Jan 2011 Falling vertical Channel broken out last Friday when Nifty traded whole day above it with intraday consolidation patterns within 5680-5715 therefore;-
"Fistly rally expected in the begining of coming week"
As intermediate term correction completion signals in last week therefore;-
"Strong Pull Back rally will be seen"
As good consolidations at lower levels therefore:-
"Whatsoever may be RBI credit policy on 25th Jan 2011 but rally will be seen after its declaration"
Deposits grow 14.5 pc; credit offtake up 20.4 pc in Q1: RBI
Just click on above heading for detailed news
CNBC-TV18 Poll: RBI may hike repo, reverse repo by 25 bps
Just click on above heading for detailed news
FM talks of inflation, fiscal responsibility at FSDC meet
Just click on above heading for detailed news
NIFTY-JAN F&O-1ST BUYING OF 21-01-2011-TRADE
NIFTY(JAN FUT-BUY-POSITIONAL)SL-5674-TGT-5774-CMP-5696
NIFTY(JAN CALL OPTION-BUY-BTST)-S.P.FOR CALL-5700,5800-NIFTY(JAN FUT)-RATES ARE
FOR SL-5674-TGT-5774 FOR ALL OPTIONS-CMP-5696
Mid-session outlook(21-01-2011)
As told for profit booking immediately after opening today,same is seen and Nifty could not sustained at higher levels and slipped. Selling confirmation between 5695-5714 and this range is resistance also. As good support at lower level also therefore expected that Nifty will hover today between 5650-5695 and prepare for next moves. Good buying at lower levels and good selling also higher level today therefore both side moves are capped and it will be better to wait for break out of 5650-5695.
Post-open outlook(21-01-2011)
Profit booking signals since morning therefore view is cautious today.
NIFTY-JAN F&O-1ST BUYING OF 20-01-2011-COVERING
NIFTY JAN F & O(BOUGHT ON 20-01-2011)-COVER IMMEDIATELY-CMP-5700(WE SHALL BUY AGAIN BUT FIRST COVER)
NIFTY-JAN F&O-1ST BUYING OF 20-01-2011-COVERING
NIFTY JAN F & O(BOUGHT ON 20-01-2011)-GLOBAL MARKETS WEAK TODAY MORNING BUT HOLD AND JUST WAIT FOR MY COVERING MESSAGE
Bull has taken charge
Pre-Open Market Outlook(21-01-2011)
As Weekly,EOD and intraday charts are not suggesting bearish markets therefore no weakness projections were posted even yesterday when all the global markets were in deep Red but on the contrary bullish indications were given in following words:-
1- Pre-open outlook- View is bullish for the reasons expressed in last 3 days outlooks
2- Post-open outlook(10:42 am)- Indian markets out performing global markets today
Nifty traded most of the time within 5630-5745 in last 4 sessions snd this range break out will decide survival of 200 Day EMA and long term trend of Indian markets therefore intraday positions within this range of last 5 sessions shown in following intraday chart:-
1- 5 days intraday chart:-
(Just click on chart for its enlarged view)
As base formation seen at lower levels therefore finally upside break out of last 4 days range expected as well as long term up trend will also survive and also expected that strong rally will be seen after mentioned range break out and completion on intermediate term correction.
Opening will depend on global cues and expected that Nifty will sustain above 5700 finally and Green closing will be seen today.
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