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ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-Dec-2011
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed in Red except Auto,Oil & Gas and FMCF.
2- Most Indices recovered from intraday lower levels.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation in Daily chart today.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Dec-2011): 16.71
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 733
BSE DECLINES : 2068
NSE ADVANCES : 251
NSE DECLINES : 1210
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4500 CE(Dec)- +712350(+77.280%)
Nifty- 4500 PE(Dec)- +945350(+14.96%)
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +948800(+29.98%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +344450(+6.23%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +335450(+7.25%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- -1054100(-15.06%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,613.10(-38.50 Points & -0.83%)
Sensex- closed at 15,379.34(-112.01 Points & -0.72%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,169.45(-115.85 Points & -1.84%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,546.16 (-142.23 Points & -2.50%)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except Auto,Oil & Gas and FMCF.
2- Most Indices recovered from intraday lower levels.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation in Daily chart today.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.90
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Dec-2011): 16.71
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 733
BSE DECLINES : 2068
NSE ADVANCES : 251
NSE DECLINES : 1210
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4500 CE(Dec)- +712350(+77.280%)
Nifty- 4500 PE(Dec)- +945350(+14.96%)
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +948800(+29.98%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +344450(+6.23%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +335450(+7.25%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- -1054100(-15.06%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,613.10(-38.50 Points & -0.83%)
Sensex- closed at 15,379.34(-112.01 Points & -0.72%)
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,169.45(-115.85 Points & -1.84%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,546.16 (-142.23 Points & -2.50%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4707
R2 4665
R1 4639
Avg 4597
S1 4571
S2 4529
S3 4503
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4681 Trgt 2
H5 4666 Trgt 1
H4 4650 Long breakout
H3 4631 Go Short
H2 4625
H1 4619
L1 4606
L2 4600
L3 4594 Long
L4 4575 Short Breakout
L5 4559 Trgt 1
L6 4544 Trgt 2
R3 4707
R2 4665
R1 4639
Avg 4597
S1 4571
S2 4529
S3 4503
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4681 Trgt 2
H5 4666 Trgt 1
H4 4650 Long breakout
H3 4631 Go Short
H2 4625
H1 4619
L1 4606
L2 4600
L3 4594 Long
L4 4575 Short Breakout
L5 4559 Trgt 1
L6 4544 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4724
R2 4679
R1 4651
Avg 4606
S1 4578
S2 4533
S3 4505
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4696 Trgt 2
H5 4680 Trgt 1
H4 4663 Long breakout
H3 4643 Go Short
H2 4636
H1 4629
L1 4616
L2 4609
L3 4602 Long
L4 4582 Short Breakout
L5 4565 Trgt 1
L6 4549 Trgt 2
R3 4724
R2 4679
R1 4651
Avg 4606
S1 4578
S2 4533
S3 4505
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4696 Trgt 2
H5 4680 Trgt 1
H4 4663 Long breakout
H3 4643 Go Short
H2 4636
H1 4629
L1 4616
L2 4609
L3 4602 Long
L4 4582 Short Breakout
L5 4565 Trgt 1
L6 4549 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 20-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8342
R2 8210
R1 8067
Avg 7935
S1 7792
S2 7660
S3 7517
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8203 Trgt 2
H5 8139 Trgt 1
H4 8075 Long breakout
H3 7999 Go Short
H2 7974
H1 7949
L1 7898
L2 7873
L3 7848 Long
L4 7772 Short Breakout
L5 7708 Trgt 1
L6 7644 Trgt 2
R3 8342
R2 8210
R1 8067
Avg 7935
S1 7792
S2 7660
S3 7517
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8203 Trgt 2
H5 8139 Trgt 1
H4 8075 Long breakout
H3 7999 Go Short
H2 7974
H1 7949
L1 7898
L2 7873
L3 7848 Long
L4 7772 Short Breakout
L5 7708 Trgt 1
L6 7644 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(19-12-2011)
As soon as support developed at lower levels then it was updated in Mid-session Outlook-2 today. Clear support at lower levels today and sustaining above 4640 tomorrow will give up moves confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook-2(19-12-2011)
Dow,s Futures is more than 70 points down and European markets futures are also .60% to 1.80% down at this moment, all the Asian markets are also .80% to 3.4% down today morning. Sentiment is completely dampened and Indian market slipped but intrday support also seen at lower levels therefore today trading range(5561-5600) break out will be firstly watched for next moves consimations.
Mid-session Outlook(19-12-2011)
Intraday charts are not showing consoladation patterns after gap down opening therefore more down moves possibilities turned higher now.
Only Red Colour in all Global Markets Today
Pre-open Outlook(19-12-2011)
All the Asian markets are in Red after US and European markets Futures negative zone trading. As sentiment is completely depressed today morning therefore firstly negative zone trading after gap down opening will be seen and Nifty will firstly trade below 4640. Next moves possibilities beyond 4640 have aready been discussed in following topic therefore just go through:-
Sustaining beyond 4640 will decide the fate of Bulls and Bears
All the Asian markets are in Red after US and European markets Futures negative zone trading. As sentiment is completely depressed today morning therefore firstly negative zone trading after gap down opening will be seen and Nifty will firstly trade below 4640. Next moves possibilities beyond 4640 have aready been discussed in following topic therefore just go through:-
Sustaining beyond 4640 will decide the fate of Bulls and Bears
Sustaining beyond 4640 will decide the fate of Bulls and Bears
Weekly Outlook(Dec 19 to Dec 23,2011)
Technical Analysis and Research of EOD charts,Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 3 Charts therefore not being repeated. Just click following topic links and go through detailed analysis for trading in nexr week:-
1-25 Months Trend and Waves structure Failure on 16-12-2011
2-Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern is Intact
3-Bounce back Possible Next Monday
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Nifty closed at the lowest of 13 months correction as well as 25 months lowest closing seen last Friday. As trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in last 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction and it is still intact therefore up moves hopes after correction completion are still alive.
Previous bottom was at 4640 and NIfty closed above it last Friday therefore more confirmations are required for heavy break down below 4640 and either forceful breaking of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 will be huge down fall confirmation.
As sharp fall last Friday and indicators are showing positive divergence therefore Indian markets may bounce next Monday and Indian markets will firstly give confirmation of next moves through sustaining beyond 4640 and then Next big move will be seen.
Confirmation through sustaining beyond 4640 is firstly required in the next couple of sessions and next week final moves will be seen according to sustaining beyond 4640..
Technical Analysis and Research of EOD charts,Micro Analysis of Nifty Intra Day Chart,Technical Positions,next possibilities have already been explained in following topics with 3 Charts therefore not being repeated. Just click following topic links and go through detailed analysis for trading in nexr week:-
1-25 Months Trend and Waves structure Failure on 16-12-2011
2-Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern is Intact
3-Bounce back Possible Next Monday
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
Nifty closed at the lowest of 13 months correction as well as 25 months lowest closing seen last Friday. As trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in last 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction and it is still intact therefore up moves hopes after correction completion are still alive.
Previous bottom was at 4640 and NIfty closed above it last Friday therefore more confirmations are required for heavy break down below 4640 and either forceful breaking of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 will be huge down fall confirmation.
As sharp fall last Friday and indicators are showing positive divergence therefore Indian markets may bounce next Monday and Indian markets will firstly give confirmation of next moves through sustaining beyond 4640 and then Next big move will be seen.
Confirmation through sustaining beyond 4640 is firstly required in the next couple of sessions and next week final moves will be seen according to sustaining beyond 4640..
Bounce back Possible Next Monday
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(16-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 4772-4815
2- 190 Points fall and Panic Bottom formation in 1 Hour and 44 Minutes
3- Positive cross over in MACD
4- Oversold intraday Indicators.
5- Indicators recovery from oversold zone
6- Positive divergence in oversold zone
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Panic bottom formations after 190 points fall in 104 minutes and such formations are seen at the time of trend reversal also but more confirmations are required in the coming couple of sessions. As intraday indicators are showing positive divergence in oversold zone therefore Bounce Back is expected on coming Monday. Although Dead Cat Bounce possibility also can not be ruled out but retracement of 190 fall according to Fibonacci levels can not be ruled out. Crucial 3 Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:-
38.2%- 4701
50.0%- 4724
61.8%- 4746
1- Selling between 4772-4815
2- 190 Points fall and Panic Bottom formation in 1 Hour and 44 Minutes
3- Positive cross over in MACD
4- Oversold intraday Indicators.
5- Indicators recovery from oversold zone
6- Positive divergence in oversold zone
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Panic bottom formations after 190 points fall in 104 minutes and such formations are seen at the time of trend reversal also but more confirmations are required in the coming couple of sessions. As intraday indicators are showing positive divergence in oversold zone therefore Bounce Back is expected on coming Monday. Although Dead Cat Bounce possibility also can not be ruled out but retracement of 190 fall according to Fibonacci levels can not be ruled out. Crucial 3 Fibonacci retracement levels are as follows:-
38.2%- 4701
50.0%- 4724
61.8%- 4746
Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern is Intact
Nifty-EOD Chart(16-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- 13 Months correction
2- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction.
Conclusions
Closing at the lowest of 89 Sessions Trend reversal Broadening Pattern but Up moves hopes are alive because pattern is still intact. If Nifty sustaining below 4629 or forcefully breaking down in the coming couple of sessions then Indian markets will crash like World Trade Centre on 11-09-2001.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 13 Months correction
2- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formation in 89 Sessions at the bottom of 13 months correction.
Conclusions
Closing at the lowest of 89 Sessions Trend reversal Broadening Pattern but Up moves hopes are alive because pattern is still intact. If Nifty sustaining below 4629 or forcefully breaking down in the coming couple of sessions then Indian markets will crash like World Trade Centre on 11-09-2001.
25 Months Trend and Waves structure Failure on 16-12-2011
Nifty-EOD Chart(16-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- 25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011
2- Top of Wave 1-4693
3- 13 Months corrective Wave 4-closing at 4629 on 16-12-2011
Conclusions
25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011 and Nifty slipped and closed below the top of Wave 1.
As per Elliot Wave Theory:-
"The bottom of wave 4 should not dip below the top of wave 1 of the same degree,at least on a closing price level"
25 Months structure and Wave 4 failure on 16-12-2011. Almost confirmations but closing above 4640 therefore little more confirmations are required. As huge structure and long term waves formations are at stake therefore either forceful breaking down of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 should also be watched for confirmations in the coming couple of sessions.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- 25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011
2- Top of Wave 1-4693
3- 13 Months corrective Wave 4-closing at 4629 on 16-12-2011
Conclusions
25 Months lowest closing on 16-12-2011 and Nifty slipped and closed below the top of Wave 1.
As per Elliot Wave Theory:-
"The bottom of wave 4 should not dip below the top of wave 1 of the same degree,at least on a closing price level"
25 Months structure and Wave 4 failure on 16-12-2011. Almost confirmations but closing above 4640 therefore little more confirmations are required. As huge structure and long term waves formations are at stake therefore either forceful breaking down of 4640 or sustaining below 4640 should also be watched for confirmations in the coming couple of sessions.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 16-Dec-2011
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4960
R2 4889
R1 4770
Avg 4699
S1 4580
S2 4509
S3 4390
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4841 Trgt 2
H5 4798 Trgt 1
H4 4755 Long breakout
H3 4703 Go Short
H2 4685
H1 4668
L1 4633
L2 4616
L3 4598 Long
L4 4546 Short Breakout
L5 4503 Trgt 1
L6 4460 Trgt 2
R3 4960
R2 4889
R1 4770
Avg 4699
S1 4580
S2 4509
S3 4390
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4841 Trgt 2
H5 4798 Trgt 1
H4 4755 Long breakout
H3 4703 Go Short
H2 4685
H1 4668
L1 4633
L2 4616
L3 4598 Long
L4 4546 Short Breakout
L5 4503 Trgt 1
L6 4460 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4995
R2 4917
R1 4780
Avg 4702
S1 4565
S2 4487
S3 4350
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4858 Trgt 2
H5 4810 Trgt 1
H4 4761 Long breakout
H3 4702 Go Short
H2 4682
H1 4662
L1 4623
L2 4603
L3 4583 Long
L4 4524 Short Breakout
L5 4475 Trgt 1
L6 4427 Trgt 2
R3 4995
R2 4917
R1 4780
Avg 4702
S1 4565
S2 4487
S3 4350
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4858 Trgt 2
H5 4810 Trgt 1
H4 4761 Long breakout
H3 4702 Go Short
H2 4682
H1 4662
L1 4623
L2 4603
L3 4583 Long
L4 4524 Short Breakout
L5 4475 Trgt 1
L6 4427 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 19-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 9009
R2 8817
R1 8478
Avg 8286
S1 7947
S2 7755
S3 7416
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8672 Trgt 2
H5 8552 Trgt 1
H4 8431 Long breakout
H3 8285 Go Short
H2 8236
H1 8187
L1 8090
L2 8041
L3 7992 Long
L4 7846 Short Breakout
L5 7726 Trgt 1
L6 7605 Trgt 2
R3 9009
R2 8817
R1 8478
Avg 8286
S1 7947
S2 7755
S3 7416
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8672 Trgt 2
H5 8552 Trgt 1
H4 8431 Long breakout
H3 8285 Go Short
H2 8236
H1 8187
L1 8090
L2 8041
L3 7992 Long
L4 7846 Short Breakout
L5 7726 Trgt 1
L6 7605 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 19 to Dec 23,2011)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 5113
R2 5011
R1 4831
Avg 4729
S1 4549
S2 4447
S3 4267
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 4934 Trgt 2
H5 4870 Trgt 1
H4 4806 Long breakout
H3 4728 Go Short
H2 4702
H1 4676
L1 4625
L2 4599
L3 4573 Long
L4 4495 Short Breakout
L5 4431 Trgt 1
L6 4367 Trgt 2
R3 5113
R2 5011
R1 4831
Avg 4729
S1 4549
S2 4447
S3 4267
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 4934 Trgt 2
H5 4870 Trgt 1
H4 4806 Long breakout
H3 4728 Go Short
H2 4702
H1 4676
L1 4625
L2 4599
L3 4573 Long
L4 4495 Short Breakout
L5 4431 Trgt 1
L6 4367 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 19 to Dec 23,2011)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 9478
R2 9199
R1 8685
Avg 8406
S1 7892
S2 7613
S3 7099
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 8968 Trgt 2
H5 8787 Trgt 1
H4 8607 Long breakout
H3 8389 Go Short
H2 8316
H1 8243
L1 8098
L2 8025
L3 7952 Long
L4 7734 Short Breakout
L5 7554 Trgt 1
L6 7373 Trgt 2
R3 9478
R2 9199
R1 8685
Avg 8406
S1 7892
S2 7613
S3 7099
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 8968 Trgt 2
H5 8787 Trgt 1
H4 8607 Long breakout
H3 8389 Go Short
H2 8316
H1 8243
L1 8098
L2 8025
L3 7952 Long
L4 7734 Short Breakout
L5 7554 Trgt 1
L6 7373 Trgt 2
NIFTY-Dec F&O-1st Buying of 16-12-2011-Trade
NIFTY(Dec Call Option-Buy-Positional)SL-4624-TGT-4714-S.P.FOR Call-4700(Dec Fut-Rates for all Options)-CMP-4642(No covering today)
Pre-open Outlook(16-12-2011)
Almost flat to positive and quiet Global markets but Indian markets may be volatile on the back of RBI Credit Policy. Nifty traded last more than one hour with intraday consolidation patterns between 4735-4762 yesterday and finally sustaining beyond this range will be next moves first confirmations.
Finally positive markets are expected today and sustaining beyond 4735-4762 will be next decisive moves confirmation range.
Finally positive markets are expected today and sustaining beyond 4735-4762 will be next decisive moves confirmation range.
Up moves and Positive market on 16-12-2011
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(15-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 4675-4700
2- Last more than one hour consolidation at higher level between 4735-4762
3- Whole day intraday consolidation formations.
4- Whole day trading between 4675-4767
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Up moves after lower levels consolidation and after that last more than one hour again consolidation today therefore more up moves are expected in the coming sessions.
Although multiple resistances at higher levels and decisive rally will get confirmation after sustaining above minimum next resistance(4800-4838) but minimum its testing and positive markets expected tomorrow because today whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations.
Expected that Nifty will finally sustain above 4838 after today bottom formation and let it happen then next moves will be discussed.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 4675-4700
2- Last more than one hour consolidation at higher level between 4735-4762
3- Whole day intraday consolidation formations.
4- Whole day trading between 4675-4767
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Up moves after lower levels consolidation and after that last more than one hour again consolidation today therefore more up moves are expected in the coming sessions.
Although multiple resistances at higher levels and decisive rally will get confirmation after sustaining above minimum next resistance(4800-4838) but minimum its testing and positive markets expected tomorrow because today whole day intraday patterns are showing consolidation formations.
Expected that Nifty will finally sustain above 4838 after today bottom formation and let it happen then next moves will be discussed.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 15-Dec-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(15-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Red closing.
2- White Candle
3- Up moves after support at lower levels.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.96
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Dec-2011): 17.19
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 885
BSE DECLINES : 1846
NSE ADVANCES : 369
NSE DECLINES : 1075
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +427100(+71.35%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +51700(+1.03%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +824900(+26.84%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +288850(+3.23%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- -375050(-7.92%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- -509350(-8.92%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,746.35(-16.90 Points & -0.35%)
Sensex- closed at 15,836.47(-44.67 Points & -0.28% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,398.75(-48.60 Points & -0.75%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,781.04(-88.94 Points & -1.52%)
1- Red closing.
2- White Candle
3- Up moves after support at lower levels.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.96
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Dec-2011): 17.19
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 885
BSE DECLINES : 1846
NSE ADVANCES : 369
NSE DECLINES : 1075
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +427100(+71.35%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +51700(+1.03%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +824900(+26.84%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +288850(+3.23%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- -375050(-7.92%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- -509350(-8.92%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,746.35(-16.90 Points & -0.35%)
Sensex- closed at 15,836.47(-44.67 Points & -0.28% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,398.75(-48.60 Points & -0.75%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,781.04(-88.94 Points & -1.52%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4880
R2 4824
R1 4785
Avg 4729
S1 4690
S2 4634
S3 4595
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4842 Trgt 2
H5 4820 Trgt 1
H4 4798 Long breakout
H3 4772 Go Short
H2 4763
H1 4754
L1 4737
L2 4728
L3 4719 Long
L4 4693 Short Breakout
L5 4671 Trgt 1
L6 4649 Trgt 2
R3 4880
R2 4824
R1 4785
Avg 4729
S1 4690
S2 4634
S3 4595
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4842 Trgt 2
H5 4820 Trgt 1
H4 4798 Long breakout
H3 4772 Go Short
H2 4763
H1 4754
L1 4737
L2 4728
L3 4719 Long
L4 4693 Short Breakout
L5 4671 Trgt 1
L6 4649 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4916
R2 4850
R1 4803
Avg 4737
S1 4690
S2 4624
S3 4577
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4872 Trgt 2
H5 4845 Trgt 1
H4 4819 Long breakout
H3 4788 Go Short
H2 4777
H1 4767
L1 4746
L2 4736
L3 4725 Long
L4 4694 Short Breakout
L5 4668 Trgt 1
L6 4641 Trgt 2
R3 4916
R2 4850
R1 4803
Avg 4737
S1 4690
S2 4624
S3 4577
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4872 Trgt 2
H5 4845 Trgt 1
H4 4819 Long breakout
H3 4788 Go Short
H2 4777
H1 4767
L1 4746
L2 4736
L3 4725 Long
L4 4694 Short Breakout
L5 4668 Trgt 1
L6 4641 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 16-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8689
R2 8606
R1 8528
Avg 8445
S1 8367
S2 8284
S3 8206
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8612 Trgt 2
H5 8575 Trgt 1
H4 8538 Long breakout
H3 8494 Go Short
H2 8479
H1 8464
L1 8435
L2 8420
L3 8405 Long
L4 8361 Short Breakout
L5 8324 Trgt 1
L6 8287 Trgt 2
R3 8689
R2 8606
R1 8528
Avg 8445
S1 8367
S2 8284
S3 8206
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8612 Trgt 2
H5 8575 Trgt 1
H4 8538 Long breakout
H3 8494 Go Short
H2 8479
H1 8464
L1 8435
L2 8420
L3 8405 Long
L4 8361 Short Breakout
L5 8324 Trgt 1
L6 8287 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(15-12-2011)
When Indian markets were near lower levels then following line was told in Mid-session Outlook today:-
As intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves are expected
More than 1% upmoves were seen after above message today. Nifty got support again within 4675-4690 and between crucial support range((4640-4690) but multiple resistances at higher levels and decisive rally will get confirmation after sustaining above minimum next resistance(4800-4838)
As sentimrnt is heated at this moment therefore minor intraday correction is expected but finally sustaining above 4690 will mean continuation of today begun pull back rally in the coming sessions.
As intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves are expected
More than 1% upmoves were seen after above message today. Nifty got support again within 4675-4690 and between crucial support range((4640-4690) but multiple resistances at higher levels and decisive rally will get confirmation after sustaining above minimum next resistance(4800-4838)
As sentimrnt is heated at this moment therefore minor intraday correction is expected but finally sustaining above 4690 will mean continuation of today begun pull back rally in the coming sessions.
Mid-session Outlook(15-12-2011)
Nifty traded between crucial support range((4640-4690) and intraday support also seen between this range within 4675-4690. Both selling and intraday support seen between 4675-4726 today. Market is dicounting and reacting on advance tax figures and decreased inflation also with mixed intraday patterns. As intraday patterns are showing consolidations therefore up moves are expected but more confirmations are required and today trading range(4675-4726) break out will be kept in mind for next moves confirmations.
Long Term Trend Decider 4640-4690
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(14-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 4800-4838
2- Whole day trading between 4752-4838
3- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770
4- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Next supports are as follows:-
1- 4735(Next Support)
2- Last support of 87 sessions Broadening Pattern is between 4640-4690
As strong support at 4735 and following two trading positions today therefore follow up selling and sustaining below 4735 is must for more down confirmations:-
1- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770 during last hour today.
2- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications today.
Following two points are suggesting more weakness tomorrow:-
1- Good selling at higher levels and closing near the lower levels of the day today.
2- European markets closed from 1.6% to 3% down and US markets are more than 1% down at this moment.
All trends are down and more down moves can not be ruled out tomorrow on the back of weaker Global cues.
As above mentioned 2 trading positions during last 3 hours today therefore sustaining beyond above mentioned last support levels(4640-4690) will decide next trend and should be firstly watched for next big moves and long term trend confirmations.
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 4800-4838
2- Whole day trading between 4752-4838
3- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770
4- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Next supports are as follows:-
1- 4735(Next Support)
2- Last support of 87 sessions Broadening Pattern is between 4640-4690
As strong support at 4735 and following two trading positions today therefore follow up selling and sustaining below 4735 is must for more down confirmations:-
1- Mixed Patterns between 4752-4770 during last hour today.
2- Falling Channel in last 3 hours with consolidation indications today.
Following two points are suggesting more weakness tomorrow:-
1- Good selling at higher levels and closing near the lower levels of the day today.
2- European markets closed from 1.6% to 3% down and US markets are more than 1% down at this moment.
All trends are down and more down moves can not be ruled out tomorrow on the back of weaker Global cues.
As above mentioned 2 trading positions during last 3 hours today therefore sustaining beyond above mentioned last support levels(4640-4690) will decide next trend and should be firstly watched for next big moves and long term trend confirmations.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Dec-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(14-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- All the Indices closed in Red except FMCG
2- Black Candle.
3- Closing near the lowest of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Dec-2011): 17.25
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1066
BSE DECLINES : 1669
NSE ADVANCES : 447
NSE DECLINES : 998
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- -6150(-0.20%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +435550(+5.04%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +899000(+22.73%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +432950(+7.75%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +638000(+13.22%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -389650(-9.41%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,763.25(-37.35 Points & -0.78%)
Sensex- closed at 15,881.14(-121.37 Points & -0.76% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,447.35(-44.70 Points & -0.69%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,869.98(-48.19 Points & -0.81%)
1- All the Indices closed in Red except FMCG
2- Black Candle.
3- Closing near the lowest of the day.
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Nifty P/E Ratio(14-Dec-2011): 17.25
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1066
BSE DECLINES : 1669
NSE ADVANCES : 447
NSE DECLINES : 998
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- -6150(-0.20%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +435550(+5.04%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +899000(+22.73%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +432950(+7.75%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +638000(+13.22%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -389650(-9.41%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,763.25(-37.35 Points & -0.78%)
Sensex- closed at 15,881.14(-121.37 Points & -0.76% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,447.35(-44.70 Points & -0.69%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,869.98(-48.19 Points & -0.81%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4907
R2 4873
R1 4818
Avg 4784
S1 4729
S2 4695
S3 4640
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4852 Trgt 2
H5 4832 Trgt 1
H4 4811 Long breakout
H3 4787 Go Short
H2 4779
H1 4771
L1 4754
L2 4746
L3 4738 Long
L4 4714 Short Breakout
L5 4693 Trgt 1
L6 4673 Trgt 2
R3 4907
R2 4873
R1 4818
Avg 4784
S1 4729
S2 4695
S3 4640
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4852 Trgt 2
H5 4832 Trgt 1
H4 4811 Long breakout
H3 4787 Go Short
H2 4779
H1 4771
L1 4754
L2 4746
L3 4738 Long
L4 4714 Short Breakout
L5 4693 Trgt 1
L6 4673 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4921
R2 4884
R1 4824
Avg 4787
S1 4727
S2 4690
S3 4630
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4861 Trgt 2
H5 4839 Trgt 1
H4 4817 Long breakout
H3 4790 Go Short
H2 4781
H1 4772
L1 4755
L2 4746
L3 4737 Long
L4 4710 Short Breakout
L5 4688 Trgt 1
L6 4666 Trgt 2
R3 4921
R2 4884
R1 4824
Avg 4787
S1 4727
S2 4690
S3 4630
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4861 Trgt 2
H5 4839 Trgt 1
H4 4817 Long breakout
H3 4790 Go Short
H2 4781
H1 4772
L1 4755
L2 4746
L3 4737 Long
L4 4710 Short Breakout
L5 4688 Trgt 1
L6 4666 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8884
R2 8786
R1 8649
Avg 8551
S1 8414
S2 8316
S3 8179
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8748 Trgt 2
H5 8694 Trgt 1
H4 8641 Long breakout
H3 8576 Go Short
H2 8555
H1 8533
L1 8490
L2 8468
L3 8447 Long
L4 8382 Short Breakout
L5 8329 Trgt 1
L6 8275 Trgt 2
R3 8884
R2 8786
R1 8649
Avg 8551
S1 8414
S2 8316
S3 8179
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8748 Trgt 2
H5 8694 Trgt 1
H4 8641 Long breakout
H3 8576 Go Short
H2 8555
H1 8533
L1 8490
L2 8468
L3 8447 Long
L4 8382 Short Breakout
L5 8329 Trgt 1
L6 8275 Trgt 2
Pre-Closing Outlook(14-12-2011)
Technical positions of 2 sessions are as follows;-
1- Strong support between 4735-4765 yesterday
2- Good selling seen above 4800-4838 today.
Next moves preparation range is 4765-4800. As good selling today therefore down moves possibilities turned equally higher now and Next decisive moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
1- Strong support between 4735-4765 yesterday
2- Good selling seen above 4800-4838 today.
Next moves preparation range is 4765-4800. As good selling today therefore down moves possibilities turned equally higher now and Next decisive moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
Mid-session Outlook-2(14-12-2011)
Good selling at higher levels today and after that sharp down but strong support between 4735-4765 yesterday therefore until Nifty will not slip below 4735 till then next down trend will not be considered.
News based high volatility and next decisive moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
News based high volatility and next decisive moves confirmation range is sustaining beyond 4735-4838.
Mid-session Outlook(14-12-2011)
Nifty moved above 4823 on the expectations of positive news of inflation. Although Inflation reduced from 9.73 to 9.11(MoM) but not according to market expectations therefore sharp down.As intraday charts between 4808-4838 are also showing selling patterns therefore more down moves can not be ruled out.
Watch only sustaining beyond 4735-4823
Pre-open Outlook(14-12-2011)
Nifty-EOD Chart(13-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- All trends are down.
2- Nifty is range bound between 4720-5229 for the last 74 sessions
3- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formations during last 86 sessions at the bottom of 13 months long term correction.
Conclusions
Most uncertain European news led highly volatile markets for the last 86 sessions between 4640-5400 and sustaining beyond this range will be next long term trend. Until Nifty is trding within mentioned ranges till then views should remain for trading within these ranges.
Sentiment is weak today morning after Red closing in US markets therefore Nifty will trade and prepare for next moves within yesterday trading range(4735-4823) after negative opening. As buying and selling both were seen yesterday therefore follow up intraday positions and sustaining beyond yesterday trading range will be next moves confirmations.
No guessing and no speculation. Just watch sustaining beyond yesterday range(4735-4823) for next decisive moves confirmations. As and when next moves conclusions will be drawn from intraday charts formations then will be updated in Mid-session Outlooks.
Nifty-EOD Chart(13-Dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- All trends are down.
2- Nifty is range bound between 4720-5229 for the last 74 sessions
3- Trend reversal Broadening Pattern formations during last 86 sessions at the bottom of 13 months long term correction.
Conclusions
Most uncertain European news led highly volatile markets for the last 86 sessions between 4640-5400 and sustaining beyond this range will be next long term trend. Until Nifty is trding within mentioned ranges till then views should remain for trading within these ranges.
Sentiment is weak today morning after Red closing in US markets therefore Nifty will trade and prepare for next moves within yesterday trading range(4735-4823) after negative opening. As buying and selling both were seen yesterday therefore follow up intraday positions and sustaining beyond yesterday trading range will be next moves confirmations.
No guessing and no speculation. Just watch sustaining beyond yesterday range(4735-4823) for next decisive moves confirmations. As and when next moves conclusions will be drawn from intraday charts formations then will be updated in Mid-session Outlooks.
Technical Analysis,Researches & Market Outlook(14-12-2011)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart(13-dec-2011):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Support between 4735-4765
2- Selling between 4780-4795
3- Whole day trading between 4735-4823
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Indian markets closed near the top of the day but mixed intrady trading patterns with both buying at lower levels and selling at higher levels.
As intraday support seen above strong support range(4640-4690) today therefore survival hopes of Trend reversal Broadening Pattern is still alive but selling also seen at higher levels therefore complete confirmations are required despite closing at day's higher levels after last 45 minutes sharp surge.
Follow up moves(buying/selling) and finally sustaining beyond 4735-4815 tomorrow will give next moves confirmations and should be watched first.
 |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Support between 4735-4765
2- Selling between 4780-4795
3- Whole day trading between 4735-4823
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Indian markets closed near the top of the day but mixed intrady trading patterns with both buying at lower levels and selling at higher levels.
As intraday support seen above strong support range(4640-4690) today therefore survival hopes of Trend reversal Broadening Pattern is still alive but selling also seen at higher levels therefore complete confirmations are required despite closing at day's higher levels after last 45 minutes sharp surge.
Follow up moves(buying/selling) and finally sustaining beyond 4735-4815 tomorrow will give next moves confirmations and should be watched first.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Dec-2011
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(13-Dec-2011)
Main features of today trading are as follows
1- Green closing.
2- White Candle.
3- Volatile market today
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Dec-2011): 17.38
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1105
BSE DECLINES : 1626
NSE ADVANCES : 519
NSE DECLINES : 905
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +130650(+30.95%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +161250(+3.21%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +599250(+23.61%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +330500(+3.92%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +54300(+1.33%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +66050(+1.13%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +309900(+6.79%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -97150(-2.25%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,800.60 (+36.00 Points & +0.76%)
Sensex- closed at 16,002.51(+132.16 Points & +0.83% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,492.05(-22.95 Points & -0.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,918.17(-42.31 Points & -0.71%)
1- Green closing.
2- White Candle.
3- Volatile market today
Ratios
Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(13-Dec-2011): 17.38
Advances & Declines
BSE ADVANCES : 1105
BSE DECLINES : 1626
NSE ADVANCES : 519
NSE DECLINES : 905
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 4600 CE(Dec)- +130650(+30.95%)
Nifty- 4600 PE(Dec)- +161250(+3.21%)
Nifty- 4700 CE(Dec)- +599250(+23.61%)
Nifty- 4700 PE(Dec)- +330500(+3.92%)
Nifty- 4800 CE(Dec)- +54300(+1.33%)
Nifty- 4800 PE(Dec)- +66050(+1.13%)
Nifty- 4900 CE(Dec)- +309900(+6.79%)
Nifty- 4900 PE(Dec)- -97150(-2.25%)
Closing
Nifty- closed at 4,800.60 (+36.00 Points & +0.76%)
Sensex- closed at 16,002.51(+132.16 Points & +0.83% )
CNX MIDCAP - closed at 6,492.05(-22.95 Points & -0.35%)
BSE SMALL CAP- closed at 5,918.17(-42.31 Points & -0.71%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2011
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 4936
R2 4880
R1 4840
Avg 4784
S1 4744
S2 4688
S3 4648
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4897 Trgt 2
H5 4875 Trgt 1
H4 4852 Long breakout
H3 4826 Go Short
H2 4817
H1 4808
L1 4791
L2 4782
L3 4773 Long
L4 4747 Short Breakout
L5 4724 Trgt 1
L6 4702 Trgt 2
R3 4936
R2 4880
R1 4840
Avg 4784
S1 4744
S2 4688
S3 4648
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 4897 Trgt 2
H5 4875 Trgt 1
H4 4852 Long breakout
H3 4826 Go Short
H2 4817
H1 4808
L1 4791
L2 4782
L3 4773 Long
L4 4747 Short Breakout
L5 4724 Trgt 1
L6 4702 Trgt 2
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2011
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 4964
R2 4901
R1 4856
Avg 4793
S1 4748
S2 4685
S3 4640
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4920 Trgt 2
H5 4895 Trgt 1
H4 4870 Long breakout
H3 4840 Go Short
H2 4830
H1 4820
L1 4801
L2 4791
L3 4781 Long
L4 4751 Short Breakout
L5 4726 Trgt 1
L6 4701 Trgt 2
R3 4964
R2 4901
R1 4856
Avg 4793
S1 4748
S2 4685
S3 4640
Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 4920 Trgt 2
H5 4895 Trgt 1
H4 4870 Long breakout
H3 4840 Go Short
H2 4830
H1 4820
L1 4801
L2 4791
L3 4781 Long
L4 4751 Short Breakout
L5 4726 Trgt 1
L6 4701 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2011
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels
R3 8947
R2 8795
R1 8674
Avg 8522
S1 8401
S2 8249
S3 8128
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8831 Trgt 2
H5 8767 Trgt 1
H4 8703 Long breakout
H3 8628 Go Short
H2 8603
H1 8578
L1 8527
L2 8502
L3 8477 Long
L4 8402 Short Breakout
L5 8338 Trgt 1
L6 8274 Trgt 2
R3 8947
R2 8795
R1 8674
Avg 8522
S1 8401
S2 8249
S3 8128
Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 8831 Trgt 2
H5 8767 Trgt 1
H4 8703 Long breakout
H3 8628 Go Short
H2 8603
H1 8578
L1 8527
L2 8502
L3 8477 Long
L4 8402 Short Breakout
L5 8338 Trgt 1
L6 8274 Trgt 2
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