Live Proofs of 100% Accurate Predictions and Levels

Proofs of  09-10-2015 Analysis accuracy

Although Nifty closed 48 points down near the lower levels of the day yesterday but we were not Bearish but Bullish therefore told following conclusive lines yesterday in "Finally 8097-8139 will decide next big trend but view is Bullish"::-

1- Finally 8097-8139 will decide next big trend 
2- view is Bullish 

100% Acccuracy has been proved today from following moves of Nifty today:-

1- Nifty opened 57 points up today.
2- 8139 was given and Nifty got supports exactly at 8139.65 today.
3- Bullish view was told and whole day positive zone trading was seen today and also Nifty closed 60.35 points up today.

Proofs of  08-10-2015 Analysis accuracy

When Nifty closed at the higher levels of the day on 07-10-2015 then we told following lines same day in "Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook(08-10-2015)"

1- selling market signals generation today
2- today closing was near the higher levels of the day also therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched tomorrow 

As was told on 07-10-2015 and 100% same happened on 08-10-2015 in following manner:-

1- selling market signals generation was told and Nifty closed 48 points down as well as closing near the lower levels of the day at 8129.35.
2- Condition of sustaining above previous session closing(8177.40) was told and Nifty could not sustain above it as well as Nifty slipped to 8175 in first 21 seconds.

Finally 8097-8139 will decide next big trend but view is Bullish

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market 

Outlook(09-10-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (08-Oct-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
2- Consolidation Patterns between 8106-8139
3- Whole day actual trading between 8106-8180

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although Nifty closed near the higher levels of the day yesterday but intraday selling patterns formations were seen therefore we told following conclusive lines yesterday in "Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook(08-10-2015)":-

1- selling market signals generation today.
2- As consolidation patterns were also seen and today closing was near the higher levels of the day also therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched tomorrow

Condition of sustaining above yesterday closing(8177.40) was told and Nifty could not sustain above it. Nifty slipped to 8175 in first 21 seconds and after that whole day traded today below 8180 as well as closed near the lower levels of the day at 8129.35.

Although today closing near the lower levels of the day but firstly Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel and consolidation Patterns formations in last 4 hours between 8106-8139. As consolidation between 8097-8115 on 06-10-2015 and follow up consolidation was seen within and above it today therefore if Nifty sustain above 8139 then that will be strong indication valid break out confirmation of last 27 sessions range(7540-8092) resultant immediate strong rally towards and above 8200.

Finally 8097-8139 will decide next big trend but view is Bullish despite 48 points negative closing near the lower levels of the day today. 

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market 
Outlook(08-10-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (07-Oct-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
2- Selling between 8167-8185
3- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
4- Consolidation between 8150-8164
5- Whole day actual trading between 8133-8188

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following levels with its importance were updated yesterday in "Finally 8092-8185 will decide Next Big Trend":-  

finally valid break out 8092-8185 should be watched for next big trend confirmations 

Nifty traded almost whole day between mentioned levels and also closed within it today with both consolidation and selling patterns formations. Intraday volatility within 55 points without much sideways moves today but completely under performed Global markets because all the global markets traded with very good gains and Dow's Futures was also more than 125 points up while Indian markets traded most time with nominal gains and moves into negative zone as well which means selling market signals generation today. 

As consolidation patterns were also seen and today closing was near the higher levels of the day also therefore firstly sustaining it beyond should be watched tomorrow because that will firstly give next trend indication. 

Detailed analysis have already been explained in above mentioned topic yesterday and next moves should be understood according to that.

Finally 8092-8185 will decide Next Big Trend 

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(07-10-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (06-Oct-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 8130-8157

2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel

3- Consolidation between 8097-8115

4- Selling between 8155-8180

5- Whole day actual trading between 8097-8180

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As sentiment was strong today morning because Dow Jones closed more than 300 points up yesterday therefore all the Asian markets were trading with good gains resultant gap up opening of Indian markets but profit booking was also seen in first 2 hours . As Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel with lower levels consolidation was also therefore recovery from lower levels but selling patterns formations at higher levels of the day.

27 Sessions sideways market between 7540-8092 and and this range was forcefully broken out on 05-10-2015 but its technical confirmation is still left which will be after 3% up moves above the top of range(8092) or 3 sessions closing above it. As some selling was also seen today therefore minimum next 2 sessions closing above it with follow up consolidation is also technically required yet.

Short and Intermediate Term trends are up and Long Term Trend is still down which will be up after sustaining above its decider 200 Day EMA(today at 8185). As both consolidation and selling within 8097-8180 therefore expected that Nifty will firstly trade within this range tomorrow. 

As complete selling is required for fusing of on going rally therefore until it will not happen in the coming 2/3 sessions till then view will not be Bearish. It is also confirm that once confirmation of sustaining above 8092 will mean high possibility of Long Term Trend turning up after sustaining above  200 Day EMA. Certainly it will result fresh rally above life time high after that 4000 points rally correction completion at 7546 on 07-09-2015 which started from 5118.85 on 28-08-2013 and completed at 9119.20 on 04-03-2015. 

Bearish Hanging Man EOD Candle formation with some selling today therefore some down moves within today trading range is expected tomorrow but finally valid break out 8092-8185 should be watched for next big trend confirmations because:-

1- 8092 will give 27 sessions break out confirmation.

2- 8185 will give Long Term Trend confirmation

Post-open Outlook(06-10-2015)

Intermediate and Short Term trends have turned up after previous 4 sessions rally and Nifty failed to test today Long Term Trend decider 200 Day EMA(8185) and slipped after opening high formation at 8180.95. As short term indicators are overbought after on going rally therefore Very Short Term Correction/intraday correction may be seen any day but until compete selling patterns will not develop till then decisive down moves will not be seen.

27 Sessions trading range(7540-8092) forcefully broken out yesterday but on the back of strong Global cues. As there is news based huge volatility in all the global markets therefore confirmation through sustaining above 8092 is must for trend reversal and correction completion at 7546 on 07-09-2015 of that 4000 points rally which started from 5118.85 on 28-08-2013 and completed at 9119.20 on 04-03-2015.

Rally Continuation after Correction Completion

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(06-10-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (05-Oct-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- 75 Points recovery in first minute after strong opening
2- 3 hours consolidation between 8052-8068
3- Higher levels consolidation in last hour between 8111-8128
4- Whole day actual trading between 8006-8128

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As most Global markets closed strong last Friday and resultant all the Asian markets were trading in Green and some markets were more than 1.5% up also today morning therefore 75 Points recovery in first minute after strong opening. Last 27 sessions sideways trading between 7540-8092 and firstly 3 hours consolidation between 8052-8068 as well as higher levels consolidation in last hour between 8111-8128 therefore strong signals rally continuation in the coming sessions.

Once sustaining above the top of last 27 Sessions trading range(8092) will mean fresh rally beginning after previous 4000 points rally(5118-9119) correction completion and it is expected also because last hour consolidation was also seen above the the top 27 Sessions trading range.

Post-open Outlook(05-10-2015)

Dow Jones closed 200 points up and most of the Global markets also closed with sufficient gains last Friday as well as all the Asian markets were in Green and some were more than 1.5% up today therefore sentiment boosted and strong opening of Indian markets and more than 1% up today.

As selling was seen on 01-10-2015 therefore some down moves were expected but strong Global cues led rally was seen in Indian markets also today. 3 Resistance ranges were updated in previous Outlook and now Nifty is trading within 2nd resistance range. As some consolidation was seen today and some times Bullish markets consolidate at higher levels also therefore firstly valid break out of 2nd resistance range(8032-8055) should be watched for 1st signal of next decisive moves because most time trading within this range in first hour today.

Sideways market and technically preparation for next big decisive moves

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Oct 05 to Oct 09,2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Oct-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 7991-8007
2- Selling between 7954-7977
3- More than 5 hours trading between 7932-7977
3- Whole day actual trading between 7932-8007

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As last 27 sessions sideways trading 7540-8092 and no material in EOD charts patterns therefore just click following previous Weekly analysis topics links for:-

1- Detailed analysis of 4000 points rally EOD charts from 28-08-2013(5118.85) to 04-03-2015(9119.20)
2- Correction from 04-03-2015(9119.20) to 08-09-2015(7539.50)
3- Huge 10 months Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern formations between 22-08-2014 and 21-08-2015 with its neckline at 7940
4- 23 Sessions actual trading between 7540-8092 from 24-08-2015 to 24-09-2015 with higher levels selling and lower levels consolidations

Topic links are as follows:-

1- Finally correction continuation towards 7104/6761(Sep 14 to Sep 18,2015)
2- Just watch 7691 for on fresh Down Moves beginning towards 7104/6761(Sep 21 to Sep 24,2015) 
3- Next Trend after RBI Credit Policy will get confirmations from 23 Sessions Range 
(Sep 28 to Oct 01,2015)

Previous 27 sessions trading between 7540-8092 and last 3 resistances of this range are as follows:-

1- 7995-8010
2- 8032-8055
3- 8068-8090

First resistance range was between 7995-8010 and fresh selling was seen within and below this range between 7991-8007 on 01-10-2015 and follow up selling was also seen same day between 7954-7977 therefore some down moves are expected in the beginning of next week.

As Bearish Rising Wedge formation between 7824-7957 in last hour on 30-09-2015 and more than 5 hours trading within and above this range between 7932-7977 with above mentioned selling on 01-10-2015 therefore some emergence of decisive down moves possibility also.

Technically Indian markets are well poised for Short Term down moves but Dow Jones closed 200 points up last Friday and most of the Global markets also closed with sufficient gains same day therefore some up moves with intraday volatility is expected next Monday but expected that finally Nifty will not be able to sustain above day's highest(8007) and strong possibility to slip below 7824 and towards following next supports:-

1- 7875-7898
2- 7748-7796(weaker support)
3- 7693-7720
4- 7558-7647(strong support)

As RBI has cut Repo rates by 50 BPS therefore it is big sentiment boosting and 27 sessions like long trading range(7540-8092) valid break out has power to generate next big trend as well as has trend reversal strength also therefore 7540-8092 should be watched for following next trend:-

1- Valid break out above 8090 will mean trend reversal confirmation resultant fresh rally above life time high after previous 4000 points rally(5118-9119) correction completion. 
2- Valid break down below 7540 will mean correction continuation towards 7104/6761 but follow up selling is firstly required in next week because good supports are lying below previous sessions lowest(7932)

As sufficiently good supports and resistances within 27 sessions sideways trading range therefore expected that Nifty will technically prepare for next big decisive moves within this range.

भारत के महान और ईमानदार प्रधानमंत्री शास्त्री जी के जन्मदिवस पर

सभी देशवासियों को हार्दिक बधाई 

शास्त्री जी ने 1965 के युद्ध के समय फटी धोती तक पहनी थी, अपने बच्चों का ट्यूशन तक बंद करवा दिया था

और औने गार्डन में फूलों की जगह सब्जिया खुद उगाई थी

Firstly Watch Valid Break out Most Crucial Range

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(01-10-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation Patterns between 7875-7898
2- 5 Waves of Bearish Rising Wedge formation in last hour. 
3- Whole day actual trading between 7875-7957

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Dow's Futures was trading 100 points up at the opening time of all Indian markets and most Asian markets were also trading in Green therefore 80 points up opening of Indian markets and after that 4 hours consolidation between 7875-7898 as well as slow up moves in last 2 hours.

Previous 26 sessions trading between 7540-8092 and next 3 resistances of this range are as follows:-

1- 7995-8010
2- 8032-8055
3- 8068-8090

Bearish Rising Wedge formation in last hour today and Short Term indicators have turned overbought after last 2 sessions strong rally as well as above mentioned 3 resistances are also lying above today highest and fresh consolidation is still required for next decisive up moves therefore Nifty will trade between 7824-8090 in the coming 1/2 sessions. 

Certainly coming 1/2 sessions will be most crucial because follow up consolidation is must to cross and sustain above mentioned resistances. If it happens then trend reversal will be considered but confirmation will be after sustaining above 26 sessions trading range highest(8092).

As complete selling is also required for fresh down moves and it has not developed yet therefore some more up moves are still expected between 7824-8090 but volatility may remain high within this range and next trend beyond this range will be as follows:-

1- Valid break out above 8090 will mean trend reversal confirmation resultant fresh rally after previous 4000 points rally(5118-9119) correction completion. 
2- Valid break down below 7824 will mean first signal of correction beginning towards 7104/6761 and correction continuation confirmation will be below today lowest(7875)

As 7824-8090 has developed most crucial therefore firstly its Valid break out should be watched for next trend first signal/confirmations.

Just Watch 25 Sessions Trading Range for Big Decisive Moves Confirmations 

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(30-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (29-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- 100 Points surge after RBI Credit policy
2- 234 Points intraday rally
3- 100 Points slipping in last hours.
4- Whole day actual trading between 7692-7926

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

When Dow Jones was trading 300 points down after more than 2% negative closing of all European markets and Indian markets closing near the lower levels of the after loosing 73 points on 28-09-2015 then we were not Bearish and told following lines in "RBI Credit policy is last Hope of Bulls amid All Global Markets Crashing":-

1- Certainly higher levels complete selling was not seen and some consolidation was also seen in first 5 hours sideways trading 
2- sustaining below first 5 hours trading range(7832-7890) is must for decisive down moves below today lowest(7787)
3- next trend will be decided according to RBI Credit policy announcements after 11:00 AM which is last hope of Bulls

Following lines were told at on 27-09-2015 in "Next Trend after RBI Credit Policy will get confirmations from 23 Sessions Range":-

1- 50 BPS cut is less expected and its announcement will mean immediate forceful up moves but trend reversal will be considered only after sustaining above 23 sessions trading range highest(8092)
2- Correction is very much in continuation towards its technical targets at 7104/6761 but importance of valid break out of last 23 sessions like long sideways range also can not be ignored because such long time ranges have trend reversal strength also. 
3- Certainly last 23 sessions trading range has power to form big trend therefore firstly watch its valid break out in next RBI Credit Policy week for confirmations.

As following reasons still therefore Nifty will be understood range bound within last 25 Sessions range:- 

1- Today rally was only RBI Credit Policy news generated and not after intraday complete consolidation
2- Technical positions reverses also during today like news led intraday volatility 

Last 25 sessions sideways trading between 7540-8092 with higher levels selling and lower levels consolidations and Correction is on towards its technical targets at 7104/6761 but 25 sessions like long sideways range has trend reversal strength also therefore finally valid break out of mentioned 25 sessions range should be watched for next big decisive moves confirmations. 

RBI Credit policy is last Hope of Bulls amid All Global Markets Crashing 

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(29-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (28-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation Patterns between 7832-7854
2- Consolidation Patterns between 7843-7862
3- Selling Patterns between 7866-7880
4- Selling Patterns between 7870-7890
5- 5 Hours Mixed Patterns between 7832-7890
6- Sudden fall with 100 points sharp fall in Dow's Futures and in all fast slipping of all European markets
7- Whole day actual trading between 7787-7890

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As first 5 hours trading was with both consolidation and selling therefore Mixed Patterns formations will be understood at higher levels of the day today. Although closing near the lower levels of the day after slipping from higher levels but after 100 points sudden sharp down moves in Dow's Futures and fast slipping of all the European markets.

Certainly higher levels complete selling was not seen and some consolidation was also seen in first 5 hours sideways trading therefore sustaining below first 5 hours trading range(7832-7890) is must for decisive down moves below today lowest(7787)

As Dow Jones is now trading 300 points down after more than 2% negative closing of all European markets therefore all the Asian markets may trade in deep Red on 29-09-2015 and resultant Indian markets will also open gap down but next trend will be decided according to RBI Credit policy announcements after 11:00 AM which is last hope of Bulls otherwise technically Nifty is well prepared to move towards 7104/6761 after crashing of all the Global markets.

Next Trend after RBI Credit Policy will get confirmations from 23 Sessions Range 

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Sep 28 to Oct 01,2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Aug 24 to Sep 24,2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in last 23 Sessions intraday charts

1- 165 Points gap down opening on 24-08-2015
2- 23 Sessions actual trading between 7540-8092 from 24-08-2015 to 24-09-2015 with higher levels selling and lower levels consolidations

Conclusions from 23 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Last 23 Sessions sideways market between 7540-8092 after huge 165 points gap (8060-5225) down opening on 24-08-2015 with higher levels selling and lower levels consolidations and last Friday closing at almost middle of this range. As both sufficiently good selling at higher levels and equally good consolidations at lower levels also therefore market require some more technical positions formations for next decisive moves beyond this range. 

Expected that Nifty will firstly trade next 2/3 sessions between 7540-8092 and prepare for next big trend within this range because valid break of this 23 Sessions trading range will certainly produce blasting moves beyond this range.

Intra Day Chart Analysis(24-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (24-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 7804-7833(Immediate Supports)
2- Consolidation Patterns formations in last hours between 7864-7894
3- Whole day actual trading between 7804-7894

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As up moves after lower levels consolidations and follow up consolidation patterns formations also at higher levels of the day therefore firstly some up moves are expected in the beginning of next week. 

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

As detailed analysis of EOD charts have already been updated in previous weeks Weekly analysis and no material changes in previous week therefore not being posted in this week but will be considered for drawing final conclusions. Just click following previous Weekly analysis topics links for EOD charts ready references:- 

1- Just watch 7691 for on fresh Down Moves beginning towards 7104/6761(Sep 21 to Sep 24,2015) 
2- Finally correction continuation towards 7104/6761(Sep 14 to Sep 18,2015)

Trends of Nifty are as follows:-

1- Long Term Trend is down
2- Intermediate Term Trend is sideways between 7540-8092
3- Short Term Trend is sideways

RBI Credit Policy will be announced on 29-09-2015 and Nifty will remain volatile till then but following decisive moves will be seen after following changes in rates:-

1- 25 BPS cut is very much expected but priced in and finally down moves will be seen after initial volatility.
2- 50 BPS cut is less expected and its announcement will mean immediate forceful up moves but trend reversal will be considered only after sustaining above 23 sessions trading range highest(8092)

Expected that Nifty will firstly prepare next Monday for post Credit Policy trend but follow up consolidation is must after last Friday consolidation for next decisive moves above 8092 because good selling below it was also seen in last 23 sessions.

Correction is very much in continuation towards its technical targets at 7104/6761 but importance of valid break out of last 23 sessions like long sideways range also can not be ignored because such long time ranges have trend reversal strength also. 

Certainly last 23 sessions trading range has power to form big trend therefore firstly watch its valid break out in next RBI Credit Policy week for confirmations.

Correction Continuation Possibilities below 7691

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market 

Outlook(24-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day up moves in Bearish Broadening Rising Channel
2- Whole day actual trading between 7724-7882

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Dow Futures was more than 150 points down and all the Asian markets were in deep Red therefore gap down opening in Indian markets but whole day up moves in lines with up moves in Dow Futures which recovered 200 points from lower levels and strong trading European markets.

Following conclusive lines were told yesterday in "Finally correction continuation amid High Volatility":-

Expected that Nifty will remain volatile between 7691-8055 up to RBI Credit Policy and finally correction will remain continued because no confirmation of its completion yet.

Nifty traded within above mentioned range between 7724-7882 today and expected that Nifty will trade within mentioned range up to RBI Credit Policy as well as correction continuation possibilities are still alive below 7691 because today whole day up moves were in Bearish Broadening Rising Channel but coming couple of sessions may be highly volatile despite rates cutting expectations in RBI Credit Policy and today closing near the higher levels of the day.

Finally correction continuation amid High Volatility

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(23-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Mixed Patterns between 7971-8021
2- Sharp down moves after Dow Jones Futures's huge fall
3- Whole day actual trading between 7788-8021

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although first 4 hours trading with mixed patterns formations between 7971-8021 but sharp down moves beginning and  closing near the lower levels of the day after more than fall 200 points sudden huge fall in Dow Jones Futures and more than 2% sharp slipping of all European markets.

Although Long Term Trend is down and today down moves have given Bearish markets continuation confirmations but coming sessions will be volatile due to rates cut expectations in RBI Credit Policy and Derivative expiry.

Expected that Nifty will remain volatile between 7691-8055 up to RBI Credit Policy and finally correction will remain continued because no confirmation of its completion yet.

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market  
Outlook(22-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (21-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Up moves with consolidations
2- Up moves with sufficient corrections
3- Whole day actual trading between 7909-7987

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As all the US and European markets closed more than 1% down last Friday and all the Asian markets were also trading in deep Red today morning therefore Indian markets traded whole day in negative zone after Gap down opening. Although such high depressed sentiments but Indian markets moved up whole day and also closed flat near the higher levels of the day. As today up moves were with intraday consolidations and sufficient corrections therefore some up moves can not be ruled out tomorrow and until fresh selling will not develop till then Nifty will not slip below today lowest. 

Last 2 sessions trading between 7909-8055 with lower levels today consolidation and higher levels good selling last Friday therefore Nifty will firstly traded and prepare for next decisive moves within this range. As RBI Credit Policy on 29th Sep therefore Nifty will firstly prepare for post policy decisive moves within this range(7909-8055) and finally valid break out of this range will be strong indication of next trend after Credit Policy announcements.

Although all the Global markets slipped fast in last 2 sessions after FOMC meet last Thursday but Indian markets have out performed and closed flat today after good Up moves last Friday. Certainly Indian markets have shown some strength but good selling was also seen between 8023-8055 last Friday also therefore view will be cautious and firstly intraday trading patterns formation will be watched tomorrow between 7909-8055 and then final conclusions will be updated accordingly because Our Policy is:- "No gossiping never guessing and whatsoever market suggest,only that is always updated"

Just watch 7691 for on fresh Down Moves beginning towards 7104/6761 

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Sep 21 to Sep 24,2015)

Nifty-EOD Chart (18-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 5118.85 on 28-08-2013(Wave-1 beginning after 'ABC' correction completion)
2- Wave-1(6415.25 on 09-12-2013)
3- Wave-2(5933.30 on 04-02-2014)
4- Wave-3(8626.95 on 04-12-2014)
5- Wave-4(7961.35 on 17-12-2014)
6- Wave-5(9119.20 on 04-03-2015 and 'ABC' correction beginning)
7- Wave-A(7940.30 on 12-06-2015) 
8- Wave-B(8654.75 on 23-07-2015)
9- Wave-C continuation with recent bottom formation at 7539.50 on 08-09-2015 
10- Pull back rally continuation with recent top formation at 8055 on 18-09-2015 

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

16 Months long 4000 Points strong rally from 28-08-2013 to 04-03-2015 between 5118.85-9119.20 with many times new life times high formation and after that its 'ABC' correction continuation but no confirmation of its completion yet and now Pull back rally continuation from  7539.50 with recent top formation at 8055 on 18-09-2015.

Waves structure of on going 'ABC' correction and Pull Back Rally

Nifty-EOD Chart (18-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Wave-5 completion at 9119.20 on 04-03-2015 and Wave-A of 'ABC' correction beginning after life time high formation)
2- Wave-1 of Wave-A(8269.15 on 27-03-2015)
3- Wave-2 of Wave-A(8844.40 on 15-04-2015)
4- Wave-3 of Wave-A(7997.15 on 07-05-2015)
5- Wave-4 of Wave-A(8489.55 on 22-05-2015)
6- Wave-5 of corrective Wave-A completion(7940.30 on 12-06-2015)
7- Wave-B completion and corrective Wave-C beginning(8654.75 on 23-07-2015)
8- Wave-1 of Wave-C(7667.25 on 25-08-2015)
9- Wave-2 of Wave-C(8091.80 on 28-08-2015)
10- Wave-3 of Wave-C(7539.50 on 08-09-2015)
11- Pull back rally continuation with recent top formation at 8055 on 18-09-2015 

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Corrective Wave-3 of Wave-C is on with recent bottom formations at 7539.50 on 08-09-2015 but after that Pull back rally beginning in previous weeks which is now in continuation with recent top formation at 8055 on 18-09-2015 and no confirmation of its completion yet.

Intra Day Chart Analysis(18-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (18-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 8023-8055(Immediate Resistances)
2- Whole day actual trading between 7956-8055

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As good selling at the higher levels of the day between 8023-8055 on the back of FOMC decision last Thursday therefore this range will be immediate resistance and until Nifty will not sustain above 8055 after complete consolidation till then next up moves above it will not be considered. 

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Trends of Nifty are as follows:-

1- Long Term Trend is down
2- Intermediate Term Trend is sideways between 7539-8091
3- Short Term Trend is up

Detailed analysis of on going correction with immediate target at 7104.30 with Fibonacci Retracement levels have been updated in following topic on 06-09-2015 just click following topic link and go through:-

Next Target of Nifty at 7104.30

10 months huge Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern formations and its Neck line was broken down and last 9 sessions closing was below it also therefore target according to this at 6761 with calculations has already been updated in following topic on 13-09-2015,just click following topic link and go through:- 

Finally correction continuation towards 7104/6761

Following 3 selling ranges(resistances) were updated on 29-08-2015 in "Next Trend Confirmations through Crucial Levels amid Global Cues led Huge Volatility"

1- 7897-7930
2- 7995-8010
3- 8032-8055

Nifty retraced exactly from 8055 last Friday after FOMC news led higher levels good selling and Bearish Gravestone Doji candle formation was also seen on EOD chart therefore it is a strong signal of on going Pull Back Rally completion and fresh down moves beginning. 

As some supports above 7540 therefore follow up complete selling is must for next down moves and if it develops in the beginning of next week then decisive down moves will be seen towards the lowest point(7540) of on going correction and possibility of slipping below it also can not be ruled out because next targets of on going correction are at 7104 and 6761.

Rising Channel formations from 09-09-2015 to 16-09-2015 between 7691-7914 and expected that Nifty will firstly trade within this range as well as prepare for next big moves. As finally valid break out of this range will decide the fate of on going Pull Back Rally and on going correction therefore should be firstly watched in next week for confirmations. As above mentioned target of on going correction has not been achieved yet therefore expected that follow up selling will develop and finally Nifty will slip below 7691 as well as fresh down moves will be seen towards 7104/6761 but for precautions firstly watch 7961 for confirmations. 

Pre-FOMC Outlook on the basis of intraday charts patterns formations

As intraday charts of all the Asian and European markets have shown clear selling patterns formations today therefore expected that fresh down moves will be seen in Global Stock Markets tomorrow despite whatsoever FOMC announcements at 11:30 PM today.

गणेश चतुर्थी और हमारे सर्वाधिक आदरणीय  एवम महानतम प्रघान मंत्री मोदी जी के जन्म दिन की  आप सभी को बहुत सारी हार्दिक बधाइयाँ

Wishing you all congratulations by heart on Ganesh Chaturthi and Birth day of our most Respectable the Greatest Prime Minister Modi ji.

Just watch valid break out of Rising Channel for next trend confirmation after FOMC meet

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(18-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Sep 09 to Sep 16,2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in last 6 Sessions intraday charts

1- Rising Channel formations
2- Lower levels buying within channel
3- Higher levels selling within channel

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
2- Support between 7854-7872
3- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
4- Selling between 7900-7913
5- Whole day actual trading between 7854-7913

Conclusions from intra day charts analysis

Last 6 sessions trading within Rising Channel with lower levels buying and higher levels selling therefore view will not be Bullish despite blasting global markets rally today and now DOW Jones trading more than 100 points up on less possibility of Interest rates hike by FOMC on 17-09-2015. Usually Rising Channels are understood Bearish formation and until Nifty will not sustain above upper Rising line till then view will not be Bullish.

As some higher levels selling was also seen after lower levels supports today therefore if Nifty fails to sustain above today highest then sharp fall will be seen and confirmation will be valid break down of lower Rising line of Rising Channel.

If no rates hike tomorrow then high volatility after strong opening will be seen and sharp fall is confirm in the situation of rates hike and just watch valid break out Rising Channel for next trend confirmation after FOMC meet but our view is not Bullish despite Global markets strong rally today.

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market 

Outlook(16-09-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (15-Sep-2015):-

Just click on chart for its enlarged view

Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 7855-7880
2- Selling between 7840-7853
3- Minor Head and Shoulders Pattern formations
4- Neckline broken down and closing below it today
5- Consolidation between 7819-7828
6- Consolidation between 7800-7816
7- Whole day actual trading between 7800-7880

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As higher levels selling and minor Head and Shoulders Pattern formations also therefore signals of fresh down moves but lower levels consolidation was also seen therefore today intraday patterns will be understood Mixed patterns formations and sustaining beyond today trading range should be firstly watched tomorrow for decisive big moves next Friday after FOMC meet on 17-09-2015.