Just Watch valid break out of 8310-8458 for next Trend

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(31-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Up moves in Bearish Rising Channel
2- Selling between 8441-8458(Immediate Resistances)
3- Intraday volatility in last 2 hours between 8409-8438
4- Whole day actual trading between 8409-8458

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following lines were told on 28-07-2015 in "First Signal of on going Correction Completion":-

1- Whole day 75 points sideways trading with negative zone closing near the lower levels of the day 
2-as such selling patterns were not seen but on the contrary consolidation patterns were seen 
3- Pull back rally possibility can not be ruled out in the next 1/2 sessions after follow up consolidations

Following lines were told on 29-07-2015 in "Pull Back rally continuation after follow up consolidation":-

1- Nifty traded whole day within mentioned supports range(8310-8384) today with follow up intraday consolidation patterns formations after yesterday consolidation within this range therefore mentioned supports range has become more stronger. 
2- As last 2 sessions good consolidations within previous supports range(8310-8384) therefore strong signals of that correction completion which started on 23-07-2015 from 8654.75. 
3- Pull Back rally will remain continued

When Nifty closed near the lower levels of the day on 28-07-2015 then Pull back rally possibility was told in the next 1/2 sessions and following closing was seen in next 2 sessions:-

1- Nifty closed 38 points up on 29-07-2015  
2- Nifty closed 47 points up on 30-07-2015  

As firstly up moves in Bearish Rising Channel and after that higher levels selling 8441-8458 today therefore this range will be understood immediate Resistances of Nifty and firstly consolidation is required for next decisive up moves above today highest(8458.80).

Certainly good consolidation within previous supports range(8310-8384) in last 2 sessions and this range has become strong supports and until more selling will not develop after today selling till then Nifty will not slip below 8310. In the same manner until more consolidation will not be seen till then Nifty will not sustain above 8458 also therefore Nifty will be understood sideways between 8310-8458 and will firstly prepare for next decisive moves within this range.

As valid break out of 8310-8458 will decide next trend after follow up moves between this range therefore should be firstly watched in the coming sessions and next trend will be decided according to intraday patterns formations within this range.

Pull Back rally continuation after follow up consolidation

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(30-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (29-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 8339-8355(Immediate Supports)
2- Consolidation between 8351-8364(Immediate Supports)
3- Whole day actual trading between 8339-8381

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following lines were told yesterday in "First Signal of on going Correction Completion":-

1- whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel therefore Pull back rally possibility can not be ruled out in the next 1/2 sessions after follow up consolidations.
2- Supports between 8310-8384 was updated on 25-07-2015 in "Firstly Watch 8196-8384 for correction continuation / completion" and Nifty traded most of the time within this range today with intraday consolidation patterns formations therefore mentioned supports range has become stronger
3- emergence of first signal of that correction completion which started on 23-07-2015 from 8654.75

As was told 100% same happened and Pull back rally beginning was seen as well as Nifty closed 38 points up today. 

 Nifty traded whole day within mentioned supports range(8310-8384) today with follow up intraday consolidation patterns formations after yesterday consolidation within this range therefore mentioned supports range has become more stronger. 

As last 2 sessions good consolidations within previous supports range(8310-8384) therefore strong signals of that correction completion which started on 23-07-2015 from 8654.75. Once sustaining above 8384 will mean fresh up moves after correction completion 

Expected that Pull Back rally will remain continued but more follow up consolidation is also required for fresh rally above 8654.75 because 7 Sessions most time trading range(8560-8642) was broken down forcefully on 24-07-2015 after higher levels selling. 

First Signal of on going Correction Completion

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(29-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (28-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel
2- Whole day actual trading between 8322-8397

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Whole day 75 points sideways trading with negative zone closing near the lower levels of the day but as such selling patterns were not seen but on the contrary consolidation patterns were seen through whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel therefore Pull back rally possibility can not be ruled out in the next 1/2 sessions after follow up consolidations.

Supports between 8310-8384 was updated on 25-07-2015 in "Firstly Watch 8196-8384 for correction continuation / completion" and Nifty traded most of the time within this range today with intraday consolidation patterns formations therefore mentioned supports range has become stronger and emergence of first signal of that correction completion which started on 23-07-2015 from 8654.75. Once sustaining above 8384 will mean strong signals of correction completion but more consolidation is firstly required for fresh rally above 8654.75 because 7 Sessions most time trading range(8560-8642) was broken down forcefully on 24-07-2015. 

Although all the European markets were trading with good gains and Dow's Futures was also more the 70 points up but Indian markets under performed and closed in Red today therefore view is cautious because selling on the back of strong Global cues can not be ruled out and follow up moves with finally valid break out of 8196-8384 will be watched for next trend confirmations 

A.P.J. Abdul Kalam passes away

'भारत रत्न' व देश के मिसाइल मैन एवं 

11वें राष्ट्रपति के रुप में देश को प्रतिनिधित्व देने वाले 

निर्विवाद व्यक्तित्व एपीजे अब्दुल कलाम नहीं रहे.. 

भगवान उनकी आत्मा को शान्ति दे ‪#‎सादर‬ श्रृद्धासुमन

Inspirations from the life of A.P.J. Abdul Kalam

Next Big Trend Decider is 8196-8384

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(28-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (27-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- 52 Points down in first minute after gap down opening.
2- Whole day down moves
3- Whole day actual trading between 8352-8475

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As Punjab Terrorist attack and all the Asian markets in deep Red trading therefore firstly 52 points slipping in first minute after gap down opening and whole day continuous down moves and closing near the lower levels of the day today.

As 7 Sessions most time trading range broken down forcefully on 24-07-2015 therefore following lines were told at 12:35 AM on 25-07-2015 in "Firstly Watch 8196-8384 for correction continuation / completion":- 

1- strong signals of correction continuation in the beginning of next week
2- breaking down confirmation is also required through sustaining below 8560 and once this confirmation will mean deeper correction
3- strong signals of correction continuation which may be deeper also.
4- If follow up consolidation develops within or near about 8196-8384 then last Thursday started correction completion will be considered after sustaining above 8384
5- sustaining beyond 8196-8384 should be firstly watched in the coming week for correction continuation/completion.

Sustaining beyond 8196-8384 was told for correction continuation/completion confirmations and Nifty closed within this range today at 8361. As following reasons therefore valid break out of 8196-8384 will decide next big Trend therefore should be firstly watched for confirmations:-

1- Below 8196 will mean more down moves because Long Term Trend turning down confirmations after breaking down confirmation of its decider 200 Day EMA(today at 8257).
2- Above 8384 will mean fresh rally after 714 Points previous rally correction completion near about crucial retracement levels(38.2%,50.0% and 61.8%) which are lying between 8212-8381.

Firstly Watch 8196-8384 for correction continuation / completion 

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook

(Jul 27 to Jul 31,2015)

Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Rally beginning after corrective Wave-5 completion at 7940.30 on 12-06-2015 
2- Rally completion at 8654.75 on 23-07-2015 and correction beginning.
3- Correction continuation with recent bottom formation at 8513.50 on 24-07-2015 

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Rally begun after corrective Wave-5 completion at 7940.30 which completed at 8654.75 on 23-07-2015 and now this rally correction continuation.

Retracement levels of on going rally

Nifty-EOD Chart (24-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Rally beginning at 7940.30 on 12-06-2015 
2- Rally completion at 8654.75 on 23-07-2015
3- Correction continuation

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Rally between 7940-8654 will correct accordingly to following retracement levels;-

1- 13.0%-8561
2- 23.6%-8485
3- 27.0%-8461
4- 38.2%-8381(Crucial)
5- 50.0%-8297(Crucial)
6- 61.8%-8212(Crucial)
7- 70.0%-8149
8- 76.4%-8108
8- 78.6%-8092 
10-88.6%-8021 

7 Sessions most time trading range broken down

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Jul 16 to Jul 24,2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in last 7 Sessions intraday charts

1- 7 Sessions most time trading between 8560-8642 with lower levels supports and higher levels selling.
2- 7 Sessions most time trading range broken down forcefully on 24-07-2015 

Conclusions from 7 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

Although some buying was also seen at lower levels after higher levels good selling in last 7 sessions between 8560-8642 but Nifty could not sustain within this range and broken down forcefully on 24-07-2015 therefore strong signals of correction continuation in the beginning of next week. As all the Asian markets were in Red and some were more than 1% down and today break down was depressed sentiment led also therefore breaking down confirmation is also required through sustaining below 8560 and once this confirmation will mean deeper correction.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

714 Points previous rally between 7940.30 and 8654.75 and its correction continuation with recent bottom formation at 8513.50 on 24-07-2015. As last 7 Sessions most time trading range broken down forcefully on 24-07-2015 therefore strong signals of correction continuation which may be deeper also.

Supports of previous rally between 7940-8654 are as follows:-

1- 8500-8510
2- 8425-8448
3- 8310-8384
4- 8196-8250
5- 8048-8077
6- 8000-8015
7- 7940-7980

Retracement levels of previous rally between(7940-8654) has been updated above and let consolidation develop near about above supports and retracement levels then fresh rally after on going correction completion will be considered.

As crucial retracement levels(38.2%,50.0% and 61.8%) are lying between 8212-8381 and these levels are also lying within above mentioned 3rd and 4th supports ranges(8196-8384) therefore strong possibility of on going correction completion within this supports range.

If follow up consolidation develops within or near about 8196-8384 then last Thursday started correction completion will be considered after sustaining above 8384 and firstly sustaining beyond 8196-8384 should be firstly watched in the coming week for correction continuation/completion.

Firstly Watch 8557-8654 for the Life,Length of Depth of today Started Correction

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(24-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 8630-8654(Immediate Resistances)
2- Minor selling after intraday recovery
3- Consolidation between 8591-8610(Immediate Supports)
4- Consolidation between 8574-8600(Immediate Supports)
5- Whole day down moves in Bullish Falling Channel 
6- Whole day actual trading between 8574-8654

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

As soon selling developed then following lines were told today at 11:39 AM in "Mid-session Outlook(23-07-2015)":-

Following conclusive lines were told yesterday in "Finally rally above today highest after follow up consolidation":-

Expected that finally rally above today highest(8643.90) will be seen after follow up consolidation between and near about 8623-8643

Nifty traded most time in first 2 hours within above mentioned range with selling patterns formations and follow up consolidation was not seen therefore some down moves within yesterday trading range(8499-8643) will be firstly seen.

As first 2 hours good selling between 8630-8654 therefore Nifty could not move above this range in next 2 up moves attempts and slipped after minor selling but lower levels consolidation was also seen therefore today trading between 8574-8654 will be understood with mixed patterns formations and fresh technical positions formations are firstly for decisive moves beyond today trading range.

Although negative zone today closing near the lower levels of the day but Whole day today down moves were in Bullish Falling Channel therefore view will not be Bearish until follow up selling will not develop in the coming sessions.

Today down moves were the correction of strong rally of 22-07-2015 and immediate retracement levels of today started correction are shown in following intraday chart of last 2 sessions:-

Retracement levels of last 2 sessions moves:-

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As 61.8% Retracement level is at 8557 therefore valid break out of 8557-8654 should be firstly watched in the coming sessions for the life,length of depth of today started correction.

Mid-session Outlook(23-07-2015)

Following conclusive lines were told yesterday in "Finally rally above today highest after follow up consolidation":-

Expected that finally rally above today highest(8643.90) will be seen after follow up consolidation between and near about 8623-8643

Nifty traded most time in first 2 hours within above mentioned range with selling patterns formations and follow up consolidation was not seen therefore some down moves within yesterday trading range(8499-8643) will be firstly seen.

Finally rally above today highest after follow up consolidation

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(23-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 8501-8523(Immediate Supports)
2- Consolidations through Up moves with intraday corrections
3- Mixed Patterns between 8623-8643 
4- Whole day actual trading between 8499-8643

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

When All the Asian markets were trading sufficiently down and Dow's Futures was trading more than 70 points down then gap down opening of Indian markets but firstly lower levels supports and whole day continuous up moves despite weaker opening of European markets and all around Global markets weakness. Certainly Indian markets completely out performed Global cues and it is a strong signal of strength.

Following conclusive lines were told yesterday in "Firstly Watch Next Supports and Crucial Retracement Levels for Correction Completion":-

Next supports of Nifty are as follows:-

1- 8500-8510
2- 8425-8448
3- 8320-8384

As next crucial supports are above 8320 and resistances are below 8634 therefore Nifty will be understood sideways between 8320-8634 and Nifty will prepare for next trend between this range in the coming 2/3 sessions.

Nifty got supports just below above mentioned first support range(8500-8510) at 8498.65 therefore supports between 8500-8523 have become much stronger today because today supports were amid most depressed Global markets sentiments.

Sideways Nifty was told between 8320-8634 and Nifty closed just below 8634 at 8633.50 today with lower levels supports and consolidations therefore once valid break out of 8634 will mean fresh rally after last 4 sessions sideways correction completion.

As firstly more than 1% recovery from lower levels and intraday indicators have turned over bought therefore minor profit booking can not be ruled out in last hour mixed Patterns formations between 8623-8643 and some consolidation is firstly required near about this range for next decisive rally above today highest(8643.90).

As same following view for coming sessions market therefore same lines are being repeated which were updated as final conclusions on 18-07-2015 in "Finally Rally towards and above 8882/9119.20 after 6  Bullish confirmation":-

Although sentiment may remain disturbed in next week but technically Indian markets are well poised for rally continuation after minor correction and volatility despite whatsoever happen in Parliament and performance remains in Quarterly results. 

As above mentioned 6  Bullish confirmation therefore as per our view worst is over in Indian Stock Markets and finally strong rally will be seen towards and above 8882/9119.20 in the coming weeks/months.

Expected that finally rally above today highest(8643.90) will be seen after follow up consolidation between and near about 8623-8643 

Firstly Watch Next Supports and Crucial Retracement Levels for Correction Completion.

Intra Day Chart Analysis & Market Outlook

(22-07-2015)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (21-Jul-2015):-

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Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 8590-8634(Immediate Resistances)
2- Down moves in last hour.
3- Whole day actual trading between 8518-8634

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Following conclusive lines were told on 20-07-2015 in "Firstly Watch 8559-8642 amid expected disrupted Monsoon Session of Parliament":-

Nifty will trade and prepare for next decisive moves between and near about 8559-8642 in the coming sessions therefore sustaining it beyond should be firstly watched 

Nifty firstly traded more than 5 hours between and near about 8559-8634 with intraday selling patterns between 8590-8634 and after that slipped below 8559 as well as closed below it.

As more than 5 hours selling between 8590-8634 and selling was seen within this range on 17-07-2015 also therefore this range has become immediate strong resistance and until Nifty will not sustain above 8634 after follow up consolidation till then next up moves will not be considered.

Next supports of Nifty are as follows:-

1- 8500-8510
2- 8425-8448
3- 8320-8384

As next crucial supports are above 8320 and resistances are below 8634 therefore Nifty will be understood sideways between 8320-8634 and Nifty will prepare for next trend between this range in the coming 2/3 sessions.

Previous Short term rally started on 10-07-2015 from 8315 and terminated on 21-07-2015 at 8647. Crucial retracement levels of this rally are as follows:-

1- 38.2%-8520
2- 50.0%-8481
3- 61.8%-8441

If Nifty start consolidation and get supports at or near about above mentioned supports and  retracement levels then fresh rally will be considered after today started correction completion and 61.8% retracement level(8441) is most crucial because it is lying between above mentioned 2nd supports range.

Short Term Correction is on,above mentioned next supports and crucial retracement levels should be firstly watched now for correction completion.