As I shall be busy therefore Blog will be updated after 2/3 days
ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
Pre-closing Outlook(23-10-2013)
Nifty is now trading at 6180 but when was trading at 5125 then following lines were told at 01:17 PM in previous Outlook:-
1- intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation formations
2- expected that rally will remain continued in the coming sessions and in next week after on going very short term correction completion.
As all the Global markets turned in deep Red and Dow's Futures also moved 85 points down therefore sentiment was depressed and resultant Indian markets also slipped. Intraday patterns were showing consolidation formations therefore expectations of rally continuation after on going very short term correction completion was told and same view is being repeated now.
1- intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation formations
2- expected that rally will remain continued in the coming sessions and in next week after on going very short term correction completion.
As all the Global markets turned in deep Red and Dow's Futures also moved 85 points down therefore sentiment was depressed and resultant Indian markets also slipped. Intraday patterns were showing consolidation formations therefore expectations of rally continuation after on going very short term correction completion was told and same view is being repeated now.
Mid-session Outlook-2(23-10-2013)
Although Nifty is now trading at 5125 and 77 points down at this moment but intraday patterns of today are showing consolidation formations therefore expected that rally will remain continued in the coming sessions and in next week after on going very short term correction completion.
Mid-session Outlook(23-10-2013)
Although US markets closed positive yesterday but its futures started slipping since opening today and now Dow's Futures is 50 points down,resultant all the Asian markets also declined from intraday higher levels and all are trading in Red barring Straits Times.
Indian markets also followed Global sentiment and slipped below next trend deciding range(6164-6221). Although next decisive moves confirmation will be after valid break out of 6164-6221 but expected that Nifty will finally sustain above 6221 despite now trading at 6166 because all trends are up and today down moves are only a part of very short term correction as well as today intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns formations.
Indian markets also followed Global sentiment and slipped below next trend deciding range(6164-6221). Although next decisive moves confirmation will be after valid break out of 6164-6221 but expected that Nifty will finally sustain above 6221 despite now trading at 6166 because all trends are up and today down moves are only a part of very short term correction as well as today intraday charts are showing consolidation patterns formations.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(23-10-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Oct-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation and supports between 6185-6200
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6185-6220
Although closing with minor losses but lower levels good consolidation and supports as well as down moves in Bullish Falling Channel therefore expected that on going rally will remain continued in the coming sessions and next decisive moves confirmation will be valid break out of 6164-6221.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation and supports between 6185-6200
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6185-6220
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although closing with minor losses but lower levels good consolidation and supports as well as down moves in Bullish Falling Channel therefore expected that on going rally will remain continued in the coming sessions and next decisive moves confirmation will be valid break out of 6164-6221.
Pre-closing Outlook(22-10-2013)
Whole day narrow range market with lower levels supports and consolidation patterns formations as well therefore rally continuation hopes are alive without deeper correction and next decisive moves confirmation will be valid break out of 6164-6221.
Mid-session Outlook(22-10-2013)
Although negative zone trading for the last more than 2 hours after slipping from higher levels today but intraday charts are showing consolidation indications therefore rally continuation hopes are still alive without deeper correction and next decisive moves confirmation will be valid break out of 6164-6221.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(22-10-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (21-Oct-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Consolidation and supports between 6164-6190
2- Selling indications between 6196-6204
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6164-6218
As lower levels consolidations with supports and Bullish Falling Channel formations today therefore finally up moves are expected but selling indications also seen at higher levels therefore some more follow up consolidations is also must in the coming sessions.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Consolidation and supports between 6164-6190
2- Selling indications between 6196-6204
2- Down moves in Bullish Falling Channel.
3- Whole day actual trading between 6164-6218
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
As lower levels consolidations with supports and Bullish Falling Channel formations today therefore finally up moves are expected but selling indications also seen at higher levels therefore some more follow up consolidations is also must in the coming sessions.
Pre-closing Outlook(21-10-2013)
As sentiment was heated and Short term indicators were overbought therefore some intraday/very short term correction was expected and it was seen within sideways markets with consolidations patterns today. Finally up moves are expected after some more follow up consolidations in the coming sessions.
Mid-session Outlook(21-10-2013)
Sideways markets with consolidations patterns today therefore finally up moves are expected.
Minimum target of Nifty at 6724.60
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Oct 21 to Oct 25,2013)
Nifty-EOD Chart (18-Oct-2013):- |
| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Bottom formation at 5118.85 on 28-08-2013 and Wave-1 beginning
2- Wave-1(6142.50 on 19-09-2013) completion and 'ABC' correction continuation.
3- Wave-2(5700.95 on 21-10-2013) completion and Wave-3 continuation.
4- Wave-3 continuation and recent top formation at 6201.45 on 18-10-2013.
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Impulsive Wave-3 continuation and as per Elliot Wave theory "Wave-3 should not be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5" therefore Wave 3 will move up more than Wave-1.
Wave-1 gained 6142.50-5118.85=1023.65
Wave-3 started from 5700.95 and and as per Elliot Wave theory it should gain minimum 1023.65 because it can not be shorter than Wave-1 therefore its minimum target is at:-
5700.95(Wave-3 started)+1023.65 Wave-1 gained=6724.60
As sentiment is heated and Short term indicators are overbought therefore some intraday/very short term corrections may be seen any day but as per Elliot Wave theory Nifty is well set for rally towards minimum target at 6724.60.
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 21 to Oct 25,2013)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 6417
R2 6309
R1 6249
Avg 6141
S1 6081
S2 5973
S3 5913
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6361 Trgt 2
H5 6321 Trgt 1
H4 6281 Long breakout
H3 6235 Go Short
H2 6219
H1 6204
L1 6173
L2 6158
L3 6142 Long
L4 6096 Short Breakout
L5 6056 Trgt 1
L6 6016 Trgt 2
R3 6417
R2 6309
R1 6249
Avg 6141
S1 6081
S2 5973
S3 5913
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6361 Trgt 2
H5 6321 Trgt 1
H4 6281 Long breakout
H3 6235 Go Short
H2 6219
H1 6204
L1 6173
L2 6158
L3 6142 Long
L4 6096 Short Breakout
L5 6056 Trgt 1
L6 6016 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Oct 21 to Oct 25,2013)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 11437
R2 11110
R1 10927
Avg 10600
S1 10417
S2 10090
S3 9907
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 11277 Trgt 2
H5 11150 Trgt 1
H4 11024 Long breakout
H3 10884 Go Short
H2 10837
H1 10790
L1 10697
L2 10650
L3 10603 Long
L4 10463 Short Breakout
L5 10337 Trgt 1
L6 10210 Trgt 2
R3 11437
R2 11110
R1 10927
Avg 10600
S1 10417
S2 10090
S3 9907
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 11277 Trgt 2
H5 11150 Trgt 1
H4 11024 Long breakout
H3 10884 Go Short
H2 10837
H1 10790
L1 10697
L2 10650
L3 10603 Long
L4 10463 Short Breakout
L5 10337 Trgt 1
L6 10210 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook(18-10-2013)
As Dow Jones recovered more than 100 points from lower levels and closed flat yesterday therefore sentiment improved and most Asian markets were in Green,resultant Indian markets are trading positive since opening as well as crossed all the resistances,now trading at the top of on going rally.
Wave-3 continuation after 4 sessions correction completion therefore following lines are being repeated which were told in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(17-10-2013):-
Wave-3 continuation after 4 sessions correction completion therefore following lines are being repeated which were told in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(17-10-2013):-
It should be kept in mind that once valid break out above 6156 will mean high possibility of new all time high formation and we are expecting it on 18-10-2013 or in next week.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(18-10-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Oct-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 6085-6110
3- Whole day actual trading between 6033-6110
Indian markets are technically poised for all time high formations because Wave-3 is continued for targets above all time highs but sentiment turned depressed and seling developed because CBI filed a FIR against Kumar Mangalam Birla and Former coal secretary P C Parakh which shaked the confidence of Industry and bureaucracy.
As Prime Minister Manmohan Singh was coal Minister at the time of scam therefore Mr Parakh commented that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh cannot escape responsibility and he should also be an accused as he is equally responsible in coal block allocations.
Sentiment dampened because PM name was involved logically and market slipped after good selling at higher levels. Previous 3 sessions trading between 6046-6156 with lower levels supports and higher levels selling within this range and closing at the lowest of this range today at 6045.85 after good selling between 6085-6110 today therefore until Nifty will not sustain above today highest(6110) till then next up moves will not be considered.
Next trend confirmation through valid break out of 6046-6156 was told in most of the previous Outlooks today and Nifty closed at 6045.85,once sustaining below it will mean deeper correction after the failure of Wave-3 and should be firstly watched tomorrow for confirmations.
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Selling between 6085-6110
3- Whole day actual trading between 6033-6110
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Indian markets are technically poised for all time high formations because Wave-3 is continued for targets above all time highs but sentiment turned depressed and seling developed because CBI filed a FIR against Kumar Mangalam Birla and Former coal secretary P C Parakh which shaked the confidence of Industry and bureaucracy.
As Prime Minister Manmohan Singh was coal Minister at the time of scam therefore Mr Parakh commented that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh cannot escape responsibility and he should also be an accused as he is equally responsible in coal block allocations.
Sentiment dampened because PM name was involved logically and market slipped after good selling at higher levels. Previous 3 sessions trading between 6046-6156 with lower levels supports and higher levels selling within this range and closing at the lowest of this range today at 6045.85 after good selling between 6085-6110 today therefore until Nifty will not sustain above today highest(6110) till then next up moves will not be considered.
Next trend confirmation through valid break out of 6046-6156 was told in most of the previous Outlooks today and Nifty closed at 6045.85,once sustaining below it will mean deeper correction after the failure of Wave-3 and should be firstly watched tomorrow for confirmations.
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 6170
R2 6140
R1 6092
Avg 6062
S1 6014
S2 5984
S3 5936
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6123 Trgt 2
H5 6105 Trgt 1
H4 6087 Long breakout
H3 6066 Go Short
H2 6059
H1 6052
L1 6037
L2 6030
L3 6023 Long
L4 6002 Short Breakout
L5 5984 Trgt 1
L6 5966 Trgt 2
R3 6170
R2 6140
R1 6092
Avg 6062
S1 6014
S2 5984
S3 5936
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6123 Trgt 2
H5 6105 Trgt 1
H4 6087 Long breakout
H3 6066 Go Short
H2 6059
H1 6052
L1 6037
L2 6030
L3 6023 Long
L4 6002 Short Breakout
L5 5984 Trgt 1
L6 5966 Trgt 2
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2013
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels
R3 6201
R2 6170
R1 6120
Avg 6089
S1 6039
S2 6008
S3 5958
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6152 Trgt 2
H5 6133 Trgt 1
H4 6115 Long breakout
H3 6093 Go Short
H2 6085
H1 6078
L1 6063
L2 6056
L3 6048 Long
L4 6026 Short Breakout
L5 6008 Trgt 1
L6 5989 Trgt 2
R3 6201
R2 6170
R1 6120
Avg 6089
S1 6039
S2 6008
S3 5958
Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6152 Trgt 2
H5 6133 Trgt 1
H4 6115 Long breakout
H3 6093 Go Short
H2 6085
H1 6078
L1 6063
L2 6056
L3 6048 Long
L4 6026 Short Breakout
L5 6008 Trgt 1
L6 5989 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-10-2013
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Levels
R3 10627
R2 10545
R1 10459
Avg 10377
S1 10291
S2 10209
S3 10123
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10543 Trgt 2
H5 10504 Trgt 1
H4 10466 Long breakout
H3 10420 Go Short
H2 10404
H1 10389
L1 10358
L2 10343
L3 10327 Long
L4 10281 Short Breakout
L5 10243 Trgt 1
L6 10204 Trgt 2
R3 10627
R2 10545
R1 10459
Avg 10377
S1 10291
S2 10209
S3 10123
Bank Nifty(Oct Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 10543 Trgt 2
H5 10504 Trgt 1
H4 10466 Long breakout
H3 10420 Go Short
H2 10404
H1 10389
L1 10358
L2 10343
L3 10327 Long
L4 10281 Short Breakout
L5 10243 Trgt 1
L6 10204 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook-2 (17-10-2013)
Nifty is hovering around 6046 for the last half hour after higher levels selling,sustaining beyond it should be firstly watched for deeper correction confirmations.
Mid-session Outlook(17-10-2013)
Indian markets are technically poised for all time high formations because Wave-3 is continued for targets above all time highs but view is cautious today and valid break out of 6046-6156 should be firstly watched because sentiment is being dampened due to following recent developments:-
1- CBI filed a FIR against Kumar Mangalam Birla and Former coal secretary P C Parakh over alleged irregularities in the allocation of a coal block in Orissa, sending shock waves among industrialists and bureaucrats across the country.
2- Mr Parakh commented that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh cannot escape responsibility in the controversial allocations and PM should also be an accused as he is equally responsible in coal block allocations.
1- CBI filed a FIR against Kumar Mangalam Birla and Former coal secretary P C Parakh over alleged irregularities in the allocation of a coal block in Orissa, sending shock waves among industrialists and bureaucrats across the country.
2- Mr Parakh commented that Prime Minister Manmohan Singh cannot escape responsibility in the controversial allocations and PM should also be an accused as he is equally responsible in coal block allocations.
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