ॐ ह्रीं श्रीं लक्ष्मीभयो नमः॥
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 19-Jul-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(19-Jul-2013)
Main features of today trading are as follows
RatiosIndex Options Put Call Ratio: 1.34
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.22
Nifty P/E Ratio(19-Jul-2013): 18.30
Nifty P/B Ratio(19-Jul-2013): 3.09
Dividend Yield (19-Jul-2013): 1.37
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,015
BSE Declines : 1,325
NSE Advances : 519
NSE Declines : 822
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5700 CE(Jul)- -111,900(-8.18%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Jul)- -1,540,650(-25.00%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(Jul)- -141,400(-5.60%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jul)- -841,600(%-9.27)
Nifty- 5900 CE(Jul)- -544,600(-15.30%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jul)- 1,287,200(14.95%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(Jul)- -178,800(-2.92%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jul)- 502,850(8.06%)
Nifty- 6100 CE(Jul)- -62,750(-1.09%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jul)- 272,650(9.09%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 20,149.85(21.44 Points & 0.11%)
Nifty- closed at 6,029.20(-8.85 Points & -0.15%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,408.10(-60.20 Points & -0.81%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 2,908.45(-17.15 Points & -0.59%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-07-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 6102
R2 6084
R1 6056
Avg 6038
S1 6010
S2 5992
S3 5964
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6075 Trgt 2
H5 6064 Trgt 1
H4 6054 Long breakout
H3 6041 Go Short
H2 6037
H1 6033
L1 6024
L2 6020
L3 6016 Long
L4 6003 Short Breakout
L5 5993 Trgt 1
L6 5982 Trgt 2
R3 6102
R2 6084
R1 6056
Avg 6038
S1 6010
S2 5992
S3 5964
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 6075 Trgt 2
H5 6064 Trgt 1
H4 6054 Long breakout
H3 6041 Go Short
H2 6037
H1 6033
L1 6024
L2 6020
L3 6016 Long
L4 6003 Short Breakout
L5 5993 Trgt 1
L6 5982 Trgt 2
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-07-2013
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 6106
R2 6090
R1 6066
Avg 6050
S1 6026
S2 6010
S3 5986
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6082 Trgt 2
H5 6073 Trgt 1
H4 6064 Long breakout
H3 6053 Go Short
H2 6049
H1 6045
L1 6038
L2 6034
L3 6031 Long
L4 6020 Short Breakout
L5 6010 Trgt 1
L6 6001 Trgt 2
R3 6106
R2 6090
R1 6066
Avg 6050
S1 6026
S2 6010
S3 5986
Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 6082 Trgt 2
H5 6073 Trgt 1
H4 6064 Long breakout
H3 6053 Go Short
H2 6049
H1 6045
L1 6038
L2 6034
L3 6031 Long
L4 6020 Short Breakout
L5 6010 Trgt 1
L6 6001 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 22-07-2013
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Levels
R3 11496
R2 11378
R1 11187
Avg 11069
S1 10878
S2 10760
S3 10569
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11307 Trgt 2
H5 11237 Trgt 1
H4 11166 Long breakout
H3 11081 Go Short
H2 11053
H1 11025
L1 10968
L2 10940
L3 10912 Long
L4 10827 Short Breakout
L5 10756 Trgt 1
L6 10686 Trgt 2
R3 11496
R2 11378
R1 11187
Avg 11069
S1 10878
S2 10760
S3 10569
Bank Nifty(Jul Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 11307 Trgt 2
H5 11237 Trgt 1
H4 11166 Long breakout
H3 11081 Go Short
H2 11053
H1 11025
L1 10968
L2 10940
L3 10912 Long
L4 10827 Short Breakout
L5 10756 Trgt 1
L6 10686 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jul 22 to Jul 26,2013)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 6248
R2 6157
R1 6093
Avg 6002
S1 5938
S2 5847
S3 5783
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6187 Trgt 2
H5 6150 Trgt 1
H4 6114 Long breakout
H3 6071 Go Short
H2 6057
H1 6043
L1 6014
L2 6000
L3 5986 Long
L4 5943 Short Breakout
L5 5907 Trgt 1
L6 5870 Trgt 2
R3 6248
R2 6157
R1 6093
Avg 6002
S1 5938
S2 5847
S3 5783
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6187 Trgt 2
H5 6150 Trgt 1
H4 6114 Long breakout
H3 6071 Go Short
H2 6057
H1 6043
L1 6014
L2 6000
L3 5986 Long
L4 5943 Short Breakout
L5 5907 Trgt 1
L6 5870 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jul 22 to Jul 26,2013)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 12562
R2 12187
R1 11580
Avg 11205
S1 10598
S2 10223
S3 9616
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 11967 Trgt 2
H5 11740 Trgt 1
H4 11513 Long breakout
H3 11243 Go Short
H2 11153
H1 11063
L1 10882
L2 10792
L3 10702 Long
L4 10432 Short Breakout
L5 10205 Trgt 1
L6 9978 Trgt 2
R3 12562
R2 12187
R1 11580
Avg 11205
S1 10598
S2 10223
S3 9616
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 11967 Trgt 2
H5 11740 Trgt 1
H4 11513 Long breakout
H3 11243 Go Short
H2 11153
H1 11063
L1 10882
L2 10792
L3 10702 Long
L4 10432 Short Breakout
L5 10205 Trgt 1
L6 9978 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook-2(19-07-2013)
1st resistance range(6040-6061) was updated in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(19-07-2013) and Nifty is hovering around this range since opening as well as traded within 6027-6062 today with lower levels supports and higher levels selling.
As higher levels selling seen within resistance range today therefore decisive down moves will be considered after valid breaking down of 6027,firstly it should be watched in the coming week. Next immediate moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 6027-6062.
As higher levels selling seen within resistance range today therefore decisive down moves will be considered after valid breaking down of 6027,firstly it should be watched in the coming week. Next immediate moves confirmation will be sustaining beyond 6027-6062.
Mid-session Outlook(19-07-2013)
Nifty slipped below 6040 after Some selling but recovered also from lower levels and now again trading within mentioned 1st resistance range(6040-6061) after some lower levels supports. Both lower levels supports and higher levels selling seen within 6027-6060 today and no final conclusions from intraday patterns yet. It should be kept in mind that complete selling patterns are required for any decisive down moves from present trading levels.
Post-open Outlook(19-07-2013)
As some recovery in US Futures and Asian markets therefore sentiment improved and positive zone trading seen within 1st resistance range(6040-6061) after gap up opening. Although Nifty is trading with some gains but its Futures is trading flat and its premium reduced by 10 points. Although it is a negative indication but today intraday chart has not shown any selling pattern formation yet therefore firstly mentioned resistance break out should be watched for next immediate moves confirmations.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(19-07-2013)
Nifty-EOD Chart (18-Jul-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts
1- Wave-5 top formation at 6229.45 on 20-05-2013 and 5 waves correction continuation
2- Wave 1(5936.80 on 24-05-2013)
3- Wave 2(6133.75 on 30-05-2013)
4- Wave 3(5683.10 on 13-06-2013)
5- Wave 4(5863.40 on 13-06-2013)
6- 5566.25 on 24-06-2013 and corrective Wave-A completion.
7- Wave-a of Wave-B(5904.35 on 19-07-2013)
8- Wave-b of Wave-B(5760.40 on 03-07-2013)
9- Wave-c of Wave-B continuation with top formation at 6051.10 on 19-07-2013
As US Futures were weak yesterday therefore all Asian markets were weak and European markets also opened in Red but sudden jump seen in all European and Indian markets after sudden surge in US Futures yesterday. Although US markets closed with good gains yesterday but Dow's Futures is trading is 50 points down today morning and most Asian markets are trading in Red today morning as well as SGX Nifty also traded 29 points down today morning.
Wave-B 18 sessions with high volatility,gap down and gap up opening from FOMC news and most fluctuating cues from US markets/Futures as well as new top formation yesterday. Next resistances are as follows:-
1- 6040-6061
2- 6072-6130(Strong resistance range)
Although complete selling patterns are required on daily and intraday charts for the beginning of Wave-c after Wave-B completion but highly volatile last 18 sessions of Wave-B. Nifty traded between first resistance range yesterday and but 2nd resistance range is strong. As 76.4% retracement level is at 6072 therefore sustaining it beyond should be watched today and in the coming sessions for continuation/completion of Wave-c of Wave-B.
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1- Wave-5 top formation at 6229.45 on 20-05-2013 and 5 waves correction continuation
2- Wave 1(5936.80 on 24-05-2013)
3- Wave 2(6133.75 on 30-05-2013)
4- Wave 3(5683.10 on 13-06-2013)
5- Wave 4(5863.40 on 13-06-2013)
6- 5566.25 on 24-06-2013 and corrective Wave-A completion.
7- Wave-a of Wave-B(5904.35 on 19-07-2013)
8- Wave-b of Wave-B(5760.40 on 03-07-2013)
9- Wave-c of Wave-B continuation with top formation at 6051.10 on 19-07-2013
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
As US Futures were weak yesterday therefore all Asian markets were weak and European markets also opened in Red but sudden jump seen in all European and Indian markets after sudden surge in US Futures yesterday. Although US markets closed with good gains yesterday but Dow's Futures is trading is 50 points down today morning and most Asian markets are trading in Red today morning as well as SGX Nifty also traded 29 points down today morning.
Wave-B 18 sessions with high volatility,gap down and gap up opening from FOMC news and most fluctuating cues from US markets/Futures as well as new top formation yesterday. Next resistances are as follows:-
1- 6040-6061
2- 6072-6130(Strong resistance range)
Although complete selling patterns are required on daily and intraday charts for the beginning of Wave-c after Wave-B completion but highly volatile last 18 sessions of Wave-B. Nifty traded between first resistance range yesterday and but 2nd resistance range is strong. As 76.4% retracement level is at 6072 therefore sustaining it beyond should be watched today and in the coming sessions for continuation/completion of Wave-c of Wave-B.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(18-07-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (17-Jul-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Selling between 5973-5988
2- Support between 5926-5935
3- High volatility in last hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 5926-5988
Although Bullish news of 2nd round of FDI reforms but firstly 4 hours selling and after that fast slipping from higher levels. High volatility in last hours and lower levels supports also seen therefore if sentiment does not remain boiling tomorrow morning then Nifty will firstly trade within today trading range and prepare for next trend. As higher levels good selling and lower levels minor supports today therefore down moves possibility is high and it should be kept in mind that once forceful break down or sustaining below 5918 will mean sharp fall possibility after corrective Wave-C confirmation.
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1- Selling between 5973-5988
2- Support between 5926-5935
3- High volatility in last hours
3- Whole day actual trading between 5926-5988
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Although Bullish news of 2nd round of FDI reforms but firstly 4 hours selling and after that fast slipping from higher levels. High volatility in last hours and lower levels supports also seen therefore if sentiment does not remain boiling tomorrow morning then Nifty will firstly trade within today trading range and prepare for next trend. As higher levels good selling and lower levels minor supports today therefore down moves possibility is high and it should be kept in mind that once forceful break down or sustaining below 5918 will mean sharp fall possibility after corrective Wave-C confirmation.
As both lower levels supports and higher levels selling between 5926-5988 today therefore firstly valid break out of this range should be watched tomorrow.
Pre-Closing Outlook(17-07-2013)
Although strong news flow but we never posted any Bullish view because intraday charts of previous sessions were showing selling patterns formations. When Nifty was trading near higher levels of today then also we told following line in previous Outlook:-
now trading near higher levels of today but with selling patterns indication and view is cautiously bearish
Now Nifty is trading above next support range(5918-5930) and and it is last hope for Bulls.
now trading near higher levels of today but with selling patterns indication and view is cautiously bearish
Now Nifty is trading above next support range(5918-5930) and and it is last hope for Bulls.
Mid-session Outlook(17-07-2013)
Nifty traded between 5963-5989 after gap up opening and now trading near higher levels of today but with selling patterns indication and view is cautiously bearish,mentioned today trading range valid break out will be next trend strong indication.
Pre-open Outlook(17-07-2013)
Asian markets are mixed today morning after US and European markets negative opening yesterday and Govt announced 2nd round of FDI reforms yesterday therefore some intraday up moves and intraday volatility can not be ruled out today after positive opening today. View is cautious and not Bullish because selling signals seen in intraday charts of both previous sessions.
As big decision from Govt yesterday therefore its positive reaction will be seen on Indian markets today and good up moves will be seen in those sectors also which are broadly opened for foreign investments. Although view is still not Bullish and finally Wave-C correction is still expected but following levels valid break out will be firstly watched for next trend first indication/confirmations:-
1-5960-6020(Next trading range and Nifty will firstly prepare for trend within this range)
2-6023-6034(Break out will be strong rally confirmation)
3-5930-5955(Break down will be first indication of Wave-C correction and confirmation will be below 5918)
As big decision from Govt yesterday therefore its positive reaction will be seen on Indian markets today and good up moves will be seen in those sectors also which are broadly opened for foreign investments. Although view is still not Bullish and finally Wave-C correction is still expected but following levels valid break out will be firstly watched for next trend first indication/confirmations:-
1-5960-6020(Next trading range and Nifty will firstly prepare for trend within this range)
2-6023-6034(Break out will be strong rally confirmation)
3-5930-5955(Break down will be first indication of Wave-C correction and confirmation will be below 5918)
Let market prepare,take positions for next decisive moves and intraday charts start to form patterns accordingly then next trend will be updated in the same manner as being done for the last more than 3 years.
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(17-07-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (16-Jul-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Firstly selling patterns formations.
2- Whole day up moves in Bearish Rising Channel.
3- Most time trading between 5930-5955
3- Whole day actual trading between 5930-5966
Firstly gap down opening and then up moves after bottom formation at 11:30 AM as well as closing near the higher levels of the day today. Most time trading between 5930-5955 and up moves seen within this range in Bearish rising Channel therefore no up moves confirmation from intraday charts formations despite today closing near higher levels of the day. As some selling patterns formations in first hour and Whole day up moves in Bearish rising Channel also seen therefore finally down moves below today lowest can not be ruled out but confirmation is firstly required through valid breaking out of above mentioned most time trading range(5930-5955).
It should also be kept in mind that after valid breaking down of following levels will be corrective Wave-C confirmation and deeper correction as well:-
1- 5930
2- 5918
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| Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Firstly selling patterns formations.
2- Whole day up moves in Bearish Rising Channel.
3- Most time trading between 5930-5955
3- Whole day actual trading between 5930-5966
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
Firstly gap down opening and then up moves after bottom formation at 11:30 AM as well as closing near the higher levels of the day today. Most time trading between 5930-5955 and up moves seen within this range in Bearish rising Channel therefore no up moves confirmation from intraday charts formations despite today closing near higher levels of the day. As some selling patterns formations in first hour and Whole day up moves in Bearish rising Channel also seen therefore finally down moves below today lowest can not be ruled out but confirmation is firstly required through valid breaking out of above mentioned most time trading range(5930-5955).
It should also be kept in mind that after valid breaking down of following levels will be corrective Wave-C confirmation and deeper correction as well:-
1- 5930
2- 5918
As selling indication seen in today intraday charts therefore finally down moves below 5918 turned alive today.
Pre-Closing Outlook(16-07-2013)
Firstly most time trading between 5930-5955 and now trading above 5955 but as such no buying patterns seen today and recent up moves above 5955 may be for short covering of those who would have shorted under depressed sentiments immediately after gap down opening today.
Firstly sustaining beyond 5955 should be watched today for next moves first indication.
Firstly sustaining beyond 5955 should be watched today for next moves first indication.
Mid-session Outlook(16-07-2013)
Although recovery from lower levels after gap down opening but most time trading between 5930-5955 and firstly sustaining beyond this range should be watched for next immediate move confirmations. It should be kept in mind that after valid breaking down of following levels will be corrective Wave-C confirmation and deeper correction as well:-
1- 5930
2- 5918
1- 5930
2- 5918
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