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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 29-Apr-2013
Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(29-Apr-2013)
Main features of today trading are as follows
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.18
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.07
Nifty P/E Ratio(29-Apr-2013): 17.59
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 1,263
BSE Declines : 1,087
NSE Advances : 747
NSE Declines : 564
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(May)- -33,650(-2.62%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(May)- 168,100(4.86%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(May)- -54,450(-2.01%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(May)- 623,750(12.78%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(May)- 7,950(0.23%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(May)- 354,100(6.93%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(May)- 76,050(1.66%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(May)- 503,500(15.41%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(May)- 256,100(6.55%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(May)- 138,450(13.16%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,387.50(100.78 Points & 0.52%)
Nifty- closed at 5,904.10(32.65 Points & 0.56%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,810.40(95.25 Points & 1.23%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,225.20(5.65 Points & 0.18%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-04-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5975
R2 5946
R1 5925
Avg 5896
S1 5875
S2 5846
S3 5825
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5954 Trgt 2
H5 5942 Trgt 1
H4 5931 Long breakout
H3 5917 Go Short
H2 5913
H1 5908
L1 5899
L2 5894
L3 5890 Long
L4 5876 Short Breakout
L5 5865 Trgt 1
L6 5853 Trgt 2
R3 5975
R2 5946
R1 5925
Avg 5896
S1 5875
S2 5846
S3 5825
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5954 Trgt 2
H5 5942 Trgt 1
H4 5931 Long breakout
H3 5917 Go Short
H2 5913
H1 5908
L1 5899
L2 5894
L3 5890 Long
L4 5876 Short Breakout
L5 5865 Trgt 1
L6 5853 Trgt 2
Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-04-2013
Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 5990
R2 5962
R1 5940
Avg 5912
S1 5890
S2 5862
S3 5840
Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5968 Trgt 2
H5 5956 Trgt 1
H4 5945 Long breakout
H3 5931 Go Short
H2 5927
H1 5922
L1 5913
L2 5908
L3 5904 Long
L4 5890 Short Breakout
L5 5879 Trgt 1
L6 5867 Trgt 2
R3 5990
R2 5962
R1 5940
Avg 5912
S1 5890
S2 5862
S3 5840
Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5968 Trgt 2
H5 5956 Trgt 1
H4 5945 Long breakout
H3 5931 Go Short
H2 5927
H1 5922
L1 5913
L2 5908
L3 5904 Long
L4 5890 Short Breakout
L5 5879 Trgt 1
L6 5867 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-04-2013
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 12870
R2 12760
R1 12671
Avg 12561
S1 12472
S2 12362
S3 12273
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12784 Trgt 2
H5 12738 Trgt 1
H4 12692 Long breakout
H3 12637 Go Short
H2 12619
H1 12601
L1 12564
L2 12546
L3 12528 Long
L4 12473 Short Breakout
L5 12427 Trgt 1
L6 12381 Trgt 2
R3 12870
R2 12760
R1 12671
Avg 12561
S1 12472
S2 12362
S3 12273
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12784 Trgt 2
H5 12738 Trgt 1
H4 12692 Long breakout
H3 12637 Go Short
H2 12619
H1 12601
L1 12564
L2 12546
L3 12528 Long
L4 12473 Short Breakout
L5 12427 Trgt 1
L6 12381 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook-2(29-04-2013)
Although selling signals at higher levels but lower levels good consolidations today and until Nifty will not sustaining below today lowest(5869) till then next down moves will not be considered.
Mid-session Outlook(29-04-2013)
As previous 2 sessions range bound market with both lower levels buying and higher levels selling patterns between 5862-5922 therefore market was not prepared for any side decisive moves and trading as well as preparing for next moves between mentioned range.
Some selling signals at higher levels today but lower levels good buying last Friday therefore firstly valid break out of 5862-5922 should be watched for next Short Term Trend confirmations.
Some selling signals at higher levels today but lower levels good buying last Friday therefore firstly valid break out of 5862-5922 should be watched for next Short Term Trend confirmations.
Short Term Correction Possibility
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook
(Apr 29 to May 03,2013)
Nifty-EOD Chart (26-Apr-2013):-Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Impulsive Wave 3 completion at 6111.80 on 29-01-2013
2- Corrective Wave 4 continuation
3- Wave A(5663.60 on 04-03-2012)
4- Wave B(5971.20 on 11-03-2012)
5- Corrective Wave C of Wave 4 completion(5477.20 on 10-04-2013)
6- Impulsive Wave 5 continuation and its top formation at 5924.60 on 25-04-2013.
3- Bearish Harami Candle formation on 26-04-2013 near the top of on going Wave-5
Conclusions from EOD chart analysis
Impulsive Wave 1 begun at 4531.15 on 20-12-2011 after 13 Months correction completion and Wave 3 was completed at 6111.80 on 29-01-2013. Detailed analysis of Wave 1 to Wave 3 has already been updated in following topic on 21-04-2013:-
Impulsive Wave 5 is on after Wave 4 correction completion at 5477.20 on 10-04-2013 and its top formation at 5924.60 on 25-04-2013. Technically Wave-5 should form new top above the highest of Wave-3(6111.80). As per Elliot Wave Theory:-
Wave-3 should never be shorter than both Wave-1 and Wave-5
Wave-3 gained 1341.55 Points 6111.80(Wave-3 top)-4770.25(Wave-3 bottom)
Wave-5 should not gain more than 1341.55 Points which started from 5477.20 therefore its highest level will be less than 6818.75(5477.20+1341.55)
Fibonacci Levels above Wave-3 top(6111.80) are as follows:-
113.0%- 6193
123.6%- 6260
127.0%- 6282
138.2%- 6353
150.0%- 5428
161.8%- 6502
As 161.8% is crucial therefore firstly its possibility will be considered. Technically Wave-5 failure or its completions after double top formations possibility should be kept in mind because it also happens sometimes.
It is confirm that market require complete selling patterns minimum on Daily charts for reevrsal of Wave-5 and until that will not happen till then its continuation will be seen.
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Apr 25 & Apr 26,2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Higher levels selling and lower levels buying patterns formations.
2- High volatility in last hours on 25-04-2013.
3- Bullish falling Channel formations on 26-04-2013.
4- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5862-5922
Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis
Range bound 2 sessions with both buying and selling patterns formations therefore mixed formations with good selling at higher levels and complete consolidations are required for next up moves above 5862.
Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)
All trends are up but Short term Indicators are overbought after 447 points rally in 10 sessions. As Bearish Harami Candle formation on 26-04-2013 near the top of on going rally with higher levels selling also in last 2 sessions between 5862-5922 therefore correction will also be considered and confirmations will be after valid breaking down of previous 2 sessions lowest(5862).
As Political temperature will be high in next week because of CBI chief affidavit in Apex court disclosing P.M.interference therefore volatility will be high. Technically Short Term Correction is due and if political situations worsen then deeper correction will be seen. R.B.I. Credit Policy will be announced on 3rd May and high possibility of rates reduction as well as CRR cut.
Technically up moves are expected after correction completion if no immediate risk to Manmohan Singh Government.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 26-Apr-2013
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(26-Apr-2013)
Main features of today trading are as follows
Ratios
Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.15
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(26-Apr-2013): 17.49
Advances & Declines
BSE Advances : 960
BSE Declines : 1,409
NSE Advances : 499
NSE Declines : 817
Nifty Open Interest Changed Today
Nifty- 5600 CE(May)- -58,200(-4.33%)
Nifty- 5600 PE(May)- -70,950(-2.01%)
Nifty- 5700 CE(May)- 11,600(0.43%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(May)- 314,550(6.89%)
Nifty- 5800 CE(May)- 20,850(0.60%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(May)- 241,400(4.96%)
Nifty- 5900 CE(May)- 422,500(10.14%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(May)- 345,750(11.84%)
Nifty- 6000 CE(May)- 582,350(17.49%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(May)- -63,800(-5.72%)
Closing
Sensex- closed at 19,286.72(-120.13 Points & -0.62%)
Nifty- closed at 5,871.45(-44.85 Points & -0.76%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,715.15(-62.80 Points & -0.81%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,219.55(-43.45 Points & -1.33%)
Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-04-2013
Nifty Spot-Levels
R3 5945
R2 5926
R1 5898
Avg 5879
S1 5851
S2 5832
S3 5804
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5918 Trgt 2
H5 5907 Trgt 1
H4 5896 Long breakout
H3 5883 Go Short
H2 5879
H1 5875
L1 5866
L2 5862
L3 5858 Long
L4 5845 Short Breakout
L5 5834 Trgt 1
L6 5823 Trgt 2
R3 5945
R2 5926
R1 5898
Avg 5879
S1 5851
S2 5832
S3 5804
Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy
H6 5918 Trgt 2
H5 5907 Trgt 1
H4 5896 Long breakout
H3 5883 Go Short
H2 5879
H1 5875
L1 5866
L2 5862
L3 5858 Long
L4 5845 Short Breakout
L5 5834 Trgt 1
L6 5823 Trgt 2
Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-04-2013
Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 5955
R2 5937
R1 5912
Avg 5894
S1 5869
S2 5851
S3 5826
Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5930 Trgt 2
H5 5920 Trgt 1
H4 5910 Long breakout
H3 5898 Go Short
H2 5894
H1 5890
L1 5883
L2 5879
L3 5875 Long
L4 5863 Short Breakout
L5 5853 Trgt 1
L6 5843 Trgt 2
R3 5955
R2 5937
R1 5912
Avg 5894
S1 5869
S2 5851
S3 5826
Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 5930 Trgt 2
H5 5920 Trgt 1
H4 5910 Long breakout
H3 5898 Go Short
H2 5894
H1 5890
L1 5883
L2 5879
L3 5875 Long
L4 5863 Short Breakout
L5 5853 Trgt 1
L6 5843 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 29-04-2013
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Levels
R3 12824
R2 12747
R1 12625
Avg 12548
S1 12426
S2 12349
S3 12227
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12703 Trgt 2
H5 12658 Trgt 1
H4 12613 Long breakout
H3 12558 Go Short
H2 12540
H1 12522
L1 12485
L2 12467
L3 12449 Long
L4 12394 Short Breakout
L5 12349 Trgt 1
L6 12304 Trgt 2
R3 12824
R2 12747
R1 12625
Avg 12548
S1 12426
S2 12349
S3 12227
Bank Nifty(May Fut)-Trading Strategy
H6 12703 Trgt 2
H5 12658 Trgt 1
H4 12613 Long breakout
H3 12558 Go Short
H2 12540
H1 12522
L1 12485
L2 12467
L3 12449 Long
L4 12394 Short Breakout
L5 12349 Trgt 1
L6 12304 Trgt 2
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 29 to May 03,2013)
Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 6069
R2 5997
R1 5934
Avg 5862
S1 5799
S2 5727
S3 5664
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6007 Trgt 2
H5 5976 Trgt 1
H4 5945 Long breakout
H3 5908 Go Short
H2 5895
H1 5883
L1 5858
L2 5846
L3 5833 Long
L4 5796 Short Breakout
L5 5765 Trgt 1
L6 5734 Trgt 2
R3 6069
R2 5997
R1 5934
Avg 5862
S1 5799
S2 5727
S3 5664
Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 6007 Trgt 2
H5 5976 Trgt 1
H4 5945 Long breakout
H3 5908 Go Short
H2 5895
H1 5883
L1 5858
L2 5846
L3 5833 Long
L4 5796 Short Breakout
L5 5765 Trgt 1
L6 5734 Trgt 2
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Apr 29 to May 03,2013)
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels
R3 13192
R2 12974
R1 12753
Avg 12535
S1 12314
S2 12096
S3 11875
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 12979 Trgt 2
H5 12877 Trgt 1
H4 12774 Long breakout
H3 12653 Go Short
H2 12613
H1 12573
L1 12492
L2 12452
L3 12412 Long
L4 12291 Short Breakout
L5 12188 Trgt 1
L6 12086 Trgt 2
R3 13192
R2 12974
R1 12753
Avg 12535
S1 12314
S2 12096
S3 11875
Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy
H6 12979 Trgt 2
H5 12877 Trgt 1
H4 12774 Long breakout
H3 12653 Go Short
H2 12613
H1 12573
L1 12492
L2 12452
L3 12412 Long
L4 12291 Short Breakout
L5 12188 Trgt 1
L6 12086 Trgt 2
Mid-session Outlook-2(26-04-2013)
Although gap up strong opening yesterday but we were cautious because of already mentioned negative news flow and markets turned range bound. As some cooling of(or correction) was also required after 7 sessions strong rally therefore 2 sessions range bound market between 5862-5922 with high volatility yesterday. Sometimes Bull markets does not correct deep and completes correction with range bound mode therefore following ranges valid break out should be firstly watched now:-
1- 5876-5909(most time trading today and yesterday)
2- 5862-5922(Actual trading range of yesterday after high volatility in last hours)
1- 5876-5909(most time trading today and yesterday)
2- 5862-5922(Actual trading range of yesterday after high volatility in last hours)
Mid-session Outlook(26-04-2013)
Almost following lines were told yesterday in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(26-04-2013):-
1- high volatility in last hours and mentioned range broken out both sides. As technical positions reverses during such volatility and negative news flow(Tension with China and JPC report on Coal scam) also therefore view is cautious.
2- sustaining beyond 5876-5909 should be firstly watched tomorrow for next Short Term Trend confirmations.
Nifty is trading and preparing for next trend within mentioned range since opening today and could not sustain at higher levels. Following conclusions will be drawn after sustaining beyond mentioned range:-
1- Below 5876 will mean correction of previous 7 sessions strong rally.
2- Above 5909 will mean rally continuation with high possibility of strong rally after crossing on going resistance range(5820-5965).
1- high volatility in last hours and mentioned range broken out both sides. As technical positions reverses during such volatility and negative news flow(Tension with China and JPC report on Coal scam) also therefore view is cautious.
2- sustaining beyond 5876-5909 should be firstly watched tomorrow for next Short Term Trend confirmations.
Nifty is trading and preparing for next trend within mentioned range since opening today and could not sustain at higher levels. Following conclusions will be drawn after sustaining beyond mentioned range:-
1- Below 5876 will mean correction of previous 7 sessions strong rally.
2- Above 5909 will mean rally continuation with high possibility of strong rally after crossing on going resistance range(5820-5965).
Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(26-04-2013)
Nifty-Intra Day Chart (25-Apr-2013):-
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts
1- Up moves in Rising Channel.
2- First 5 hours narrow range trading between 5876-5909
2- High volatility in last hours.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5862-5923.
First 5 hours narrow range trading between 5876-5909 with up moves in Rising Channel after gap up opening and channel down but high volatility in last hours and mentioned range broken out both sides. As technical positions reverses during such volatility and negative news flow(Tension with China and JPC report on Coal scam) also therefore view is cautious.
All trends are up and technically no selling today therefore rally continuation is expected in the coming sessions but view is cautious and sustaining beyond 5876-5909 should be firstly watched tomorrow for next Short Term Trend confirmations.
Just click on chart for its enlarged view |
1- Up moves in Rising Channel.
2- First 5 hours narrow range trading between 5876-5909
2- High volatility in last hours.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5862-5923.
Conclusions from intra day chart analysis
First 5 hours narrow range trading between 5876-5909 with up moves in Rising Channel after gap up opening and channel down but high volatility in last hours and mentioned range broken out both sides. As technical positions reverses during such volatility and negative news flow(Tension with China and JPC report on Coal scam) also therefore view is cautious.
All trends are up and technically no selling today therefore rally continuation is expected in the coming sessions but view is cautious and sustaining beyond 5876-5909 should be firstly watched tomorrow for next Short Term Trend confirmations.
FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 25-Apr-2013
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