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Weekly Outlook(Mar 18 to Mar 22,2013) and Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 16-03-2013 will be updated within next 3/4 hours today
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 15-Mar-2013


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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 15-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII15-Mar-2013 4384.653365.721018.93

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII15-Mar-2013 1048.841633.32-584.48
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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(15-Mar-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio:1.09
Total Options Put Call Ratio:1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(15-Mar-2013):17.72

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,089
BSE Declines : 1,786
NSE Advances :   517
NSE Declines : 1,007

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5600  CE(Mar)- -6,400(-1.47%)
Nifty- 5600  PE(Mar)- -160,400(-2.20%)

Nifty- 5700  CE(Mar)- -47,800(-4.05%)
Nifty- 5700  PE(Mar)- 47,800(0.44%)

Nifty- 5800  CE(Mar)- -176,650(-5.30%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Mar)- -775,700(-8.28%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Mar)- 216,150(3.80%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Mar)- -470,300(-7.92%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Mar)- 422,400(5.81%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Mar)- -535,700(-15.75%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,427.56(-142.88 Points & -0.73%)
Nifty- closed at 5,872.60(-36.35 Points & -0.62%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,725.70(-63.40 Points & -0.81%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,302.60(-18.75 Points & -0.56%)
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-03-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6008
R2 5976
R1 5924
Avg 5892
S1 5840
S2 5808
S3 5756

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5956     Trgt 2
H5 5937     Trgt 1
H4 5918     Long breakout
H3 5895     Go Short
H2 5887
H1 5879
L1 5864
L2 5856
L3 5848     Long
L4 5825     Short Breakout
L5 5806     Trgt 1
L6 5787     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 6036
R2 6001
R1 5949
Avg 5914
S1 5862
S2 5827
S3 5775

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5984     Trgt 2
H5 5964     Trgt 1
H4 5944     Long breakout
H3 5920     Go Short
H2 5912
H1 5904
L1 5889
L2 5881
L3 5873     Long
L4 5849     Short Breakout
L5 5829     Trgt 1
L6 5809     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 18-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12341
R2 12220
R1 12049
Avg 11928
S1 11757
S2 11636
S3 11465

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12172     Trgt 2
H5 12106     Trgt 1
H4 12039     Long breakout
H3 11959     Go Short
H2 11932
H1 11905
L1 11852
L2 11825
L3 11798     Long
L4 11718     Short Breakout
L5 11651     Trgt 1
L6 11585     Trgt 2
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Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 18 to Mar 22,2013)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6143
R2 6057
R1 5964
Avg 5878
S1 5785
S2 5699
S3 5606

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6053     Trgt 2
H5 6011     Trgt 1
H4 5970     Long breakout
H3 5921     Go Short
H2 5904
H1 5888
L1 5855
L2 5839
L3 5822     Long
L4 5773     Short Breakout
L5 5732     Trgt 1
L6 5690     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Mar 18 to Mar 22,2013)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 12872
R2 12556
R1 12186
Avg 11870
S1 11500
S2 11184
S3 10814

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 12517     Trgt 2
H5 12355     Trgt 1
H4 12193     Long breakout
H3 12004     Go Short
H2 11941
H1 11878
L1 11753
L2 11690
L3 11627     Long
L4 11438     Short Breakout
L5 11276     Trgt 1
L6 11114     Trgt 2
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Mid-session Outlook(15-03-2013)

Although Indian markets moved up sharply after WPI data yesterday but we clearly mentioned next Resistances between 5940-5970 in all the previous Outlooks as well as told the condition of valid break out above 5970 for the confirmation of any uptrend. We told following lines in Preparation for Post Credit Policy Trend:-

1- 5874-5893(crossed yesterday but sustaining above is required yet)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)

Nifty could not sustain above mentioned resistances despite trading above 5940 today and slipped more than .75% down after loosing more than .50% gains. As today down moves are without as such selling patterns therefore will be understood only intraday volatility and sustaining beyond following crucial levels will decide next trend:-

1- 5874-5893(1st indication)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)
3- 5792-5920( Next trend confirmation)
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Post-open Outlook(15-03-2013)

As most Asian markets moved up sharply in last 1 hour and some turned more than .75% up from negative zone trading therefore sudden improvement in sentiment and benchmark Indices are more than half pct up. Resultant good opening in Indian markets and Nifty traded between next and most crucial resistance range(5940-5970),firstly sustaining beyond 5940 should be watched for next moves first strong indication. 
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Nifty(Mar Fut)- Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 15-03-2013

 -------------------------------------------------
Buy at or above:-5948
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5964
2nd Targets:5983
3rd Targets:6003
4th Targets:6022
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5929
-------------------------------------------------
Sell at or below:-5929
-------------------------------
1st Targets:5912
2nd Targets:5893
3rd Targets:5874
4th Targets:5855
-------------------------------
Stop Loss:5948
-------------------------------------------------
Trading guidance:-

1- Trade with Strict Stop Loss
2- Trade along the trend.
3- Cover at any Target or hold for next target with previous target as Stop Loss.
4- May reverse yours trade also according to market with previous level as Stop Loss.
5- Profitable intraday trading strategy in trending and volatile markets.
6- Firstly  go through today Outlooks also for better profits and more accuracy.
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Preparation for Post Credit Policy Trend

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(15-03-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (14-Mar-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Sharp down after opening and sideways trading till WPI inflation data announcement
2- Slow up moves in Rising Channel after WPI inflation data announcement.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5792-5920 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Sharp down immediately after opening and sideways trading till WPI inflation data announcement. As Core inflation reduced therefore recovery on expectations of rates cut by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013.  Although Nifty crossed immediate resistance(5893) and it is strong indication of strength but on the back of positive news flow and up moves were without required force therefore selling development can not be ruled out.

Sentiment turned strong after sharp surge yesterday and Indian markets will trade under the sentiment of rate cut expectations and prepare for post Credit Policy moves. As strong resistances between 5940-5970 therefore any decisive up trend will be possible after valid break out above 5970 and till then range bound market is expected between 5792-5970 under all types of Bullish/Bearish sentiments in pre Credit Policy sessions.

Pre-open Outlook(15-03-2013)

Although US markets closed with sufficient gains yesterday but Asian markets are mixed today morning therefore sentiment is quiet and expected that Nifty will firstly hover around 5900. Strength of resistances are as follows:-

1- 5874-5893(crossed yesterday but sustaining above is required yet)
2- 5940-5970(strong resistances)

Following levels should be firstly watched:-

1- 5874(valid break down will mean fresh down moves)
2- 5893-5940(trading positions within this range will form next trends)

As market has to prepare for next trend therefore post Credit Policy moves will be ubderstood from intraday charts patterns formations and will be updated in Mid-session Outlooks.
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 14-Mar-2013


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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 14-Mar-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII14-Mar-2013 3261.112654607.11

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII14-Mar-2013 893.791722.98-829.19
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2013


Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6084
R2 6002
R1 5955
Avg 5873
S1 5826
S2 5744
S3 5697

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6039     Trgt 2
H5 6009     Trgt 1
H4 5978     Long breakout
H3 5943     Go Short
H2 5931
H1 5919
L1 5896
L2 5884
L3 5872     Long
L4 5837     Short Breakout
L5 5806     Trgt 1
L6 5776     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2013

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 6134
R2 6041
R1 5990
Avg 5897
S1 5846
S2 5753
S3 5702

Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6086     Trgt 2
H5 6052     Trgt 1
H4 6018     Long breakout
H3 5978     Go Short
H2 5965
H1 5952
L1 5925
L2 5912
L3 5899     Long
L4 5859     Short Breakout
L5 5825     Trgt 1
L6 5791     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 15-03-2013

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Levels

R3 12828
R2 12480
R1 12285
Avg 11937
S1 11742
S2 11394
S3 11199

Bank Nifty(Mar Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12656     Trgt 2
H5 12522     Trgt 1
H4 12388     Long breakout
H3 12239     Go Short
H2 12189
H1 12139
L1 12040
L2 11990
L3 11940     Long
L4 11791     Short Breakout
L5 11657     Trgt 1
L6 11523     Trgt 2
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Pre-Closing Outlook(14-03-2013)

As today rally is news based and on rate cut expectations by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013 therefore follow up moves in the coming 2 sessions will be watched for next moves confirmations. Strong resistances between 5940-5970 and sustaining it beyond after Credit Policy will be confirmations of next big trend and expected that till then Nifty will trade between 5792-5970 under all types of Bullish/Bearish sentiments.
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Mid-session Outlook(14-03-2013)

As Core inflation reduced therefore recovery from lower levels on rate cut expectations by RBI in Credit Policy on 19 March 2013. Nifty is trading above immediate resistance(5893) for the last 1 hour and it is strong indication of strength. Market showed good enthusiasm after inflation data and it may remain continued up to Credit Policy as well as follow up trading positions tomorrow and next Monday will decide next trend but should be kept in mind that any decisive up trend will be possible after valid break out above 5970 and till then range bound market is expected between 5792-5970.  
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Post-open Outlook(14-03-2013)

Following Formula was posted first time today:-

Profits=Our today Outlook+Intraday Trading Strategy,levels and Targets for 14-03-2013 

That correction is being seen today which was clearly told not only yesterday but being updated since 08-03-2013. WPI data today and it may lead volatility,any decisive up move will be considered only above 5970
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