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Next Trend Decider 5883-5984

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook
(14-02-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (13-Feb-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5960-5969
2- Last more than 1 hour down moves in Bullish falling Channel
3- Whole day actual trading between 5925-5969

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Most time trading between previous resistance range(5930-5984) with fresh intraday selling between 5960-5969 and after that slipping in Bullish falling Channel therefore wait and watch policy despite closing near lower levels. As both lower levels consolidation between 5883-5900 on 13-02-2013 before higher levels selling today therefore Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves and will firstly remain range bound betwen 5883-5984 and take positions for next decisive moves in the coming sessions and its valid break out will decide next trend.
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SILVER-Apr Fut-1st Intraday/Positional Selling of 13-02-2013-Covering

SILVER-Mar Fut-1st Intraday/Positional-Sold on 13-02-2013-Intraday Traders may COVER AND BOOK PROFIT Immediately and Positional traders may carry over-CMP-57439
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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 13-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII13-Feb-2013 3209.042408.73800.31

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII13-Feb-2013 966.341256.03-289.69
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 13-Feb-2013


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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

3 5876
R2 5904
R1 5913
Avg 5941
S1 5950
S2 5978
S3 5987

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5885     Trgt 2
H5 5893     Trgt 1
H4 5901     Long breakout
H3 5911     Go Short
H2 5915
H1 5918
L1 5925
L2 5928
L3 5932     Long
L4 5942     Short Breakout
L5 5950     Trgt 1
L6 5958     Trgt 2
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Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6021
R2 6000
R1 5968
Avg 5947
S1 5915
S2 5894
S3 5862

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5989     Trgt 2 
H5 5977     Trgt 1
H4 5965     Long breakout 
H3 5950    Go Short 
H2 5945
H1 5940
L1 5931
L2 5926
L3 5921     Long 
L4 5906     Short Breakout 
L5 5894     Trgt 1 
L6 5882     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12623
R2 12570
R1 12483
Avg 12430
S1 12343
S2 12290
S3 12203

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12536      Trgt 2 
H5 12504     Trgt 1
H4 12472     Long breakout 
H3 12434     Go Short 
H2 12421
H1 12408
L1 12383
L2 12370
L3 12357     Long 
L4 12319     Short Breakout 
L5 12287     Trgt 1 
L6 12255     Trgt 2
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CRUDEOIL-Feb Fut-Selling Trade

CRUDEOIL-Feb Fut-Sell-Positional-SL-5276 & TGT-5166-CMP-5237(Lalit39)
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SILVER-Mar Fut-Selling Trade

SILVER-Mar Fut-Sell-/Positional-SL-57826 & TGT-57211-CMP-57525(Lalit39)

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Pre-Closing Outlook(13-02-2013)

Indian markets are flat but when were trading near today higher levels then we cautioned after covering our buying positions and market slipped as well as lost all intraday gains. Next moves preparation trading range is 5883-5984 and its break out should be watched for next moves confirmations. 
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Mid-session Outlook-2(13-02-2013)

As intraday selling patterns formations and negative news of corruption in I. A. F. Helicopter deal therefore cautious view was updated in previous Outlook and market slip also from higher levels. Next moves preparation trading range is 5883-5984 and its break out should be watched for next moves confirmations.
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Mid-session Outlook(13-02-2013)

Some confusion today due to news of corruption in I. A. F. Helicopter deal therefore view is cautious and until Nifty will not sustain above today highs and 5984 till then immediate up move will not be considered.
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NIFTY-Feb Call Option(6000)-Bought on 12-02-2013-Covering

NIFTY-(Jan CE-6000)-Bought on 12-02-2013--Cover immediately-CMP-48(Lalit39)
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Post-open Outlook(13-02-2013)

Although strong rally today but when Indian markets were in Red after weaker IIP data then also we did not posted Bearish views but on the contrary told for Up Moves:-

1- At 02:18 PM:- "intraday patterns are showing buying formations therefore up moves possibility above 5915 has increased"

2- At 12:59 PM:-"As market digested negative news and got support at lower levels today therefore until Nifty will not sustain below 5883 till then further down move will not be considered"
Strong rally today but equally strong resistances are between 5970-5984 and once sustaining above 5984 will mean fast up moves after Pre Budget Rally confirmations.   

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Pull Back rally on Cards

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Feb 11 to Feb 13,2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 2 Sessions intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5883-5900.
2- 2 Sessions most time trading between 5883-5915
3- 2 Sessions actual trading between 5883-5927

Conclusions from 2 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

As 2 Sessions most time trading between 5883-5915 with lower levels good supports and consolidation patterns formations therefore this range broken out in last hour on 12-02-2013. Expected that Pull Back rally will be seen in the coming sessions but resistances are lying between 5930-5984 therefore fresh consolidation is required for sustaining above 5984 and market will take its complete time to complete consolidation process.

Firstly Pull Back rally is expected and after sustaining above 5984 strong rally will be seen.

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FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Feb-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Feb-2013 2528.321924.16604.16

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Feb-2013 814.971227.12-412.15
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FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Feb-2013


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Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Feb-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- CNX Midcap and CNX Smallcap closed in Red.
3- White Candle formation.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.92
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Feb-2013): 17.83

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances :
BSE Declines :
NSE Advances :
NSE Declines :

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5800  CE(Feb)- 45,850(6.02%)
Nifty- 5800  PE(Feb)- -35,800(-0.55%)

Nifty- 5900  CE(Feb)- -7,800(-0.29%)
Nifty- 5900  PE(Feb)-  365,600(5.32%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- -30,450(-0.52%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)-  34,600(0.93%)

Nifty- 6000  CE(Feb)- -27,350 (-0.37%)
Nifty- 6000  PE(Feb)- -48,150(-3.09%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19561.04(100.47 Points & 0.52%)
Nifty- closed at 5,922.50(24.65 Points & 0.42%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,063.00(-30.35 Points & -0.37%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,484.00(-11.65 Points & -0.33%)
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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5978
R2 5952
R1 5937
Avg 5911
S1 5896
S2 5870
S3 5855

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6  5963    Trgt 2 
H5  5953    Trgt 1
H4  5944    Long breakout 
H3  5933    Go Short 
H2  5929 
H1  5925
L1  5918
L2  5914
L3  5910     Long 
L4  5899     Short Breakout 
L5  5890    Trgt 1 
L6  5880    Trgt 2
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Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2013

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 6001
R2 5974
R1 5957
Avg 5930
S1 5913
S2 5886
S3 5869

Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5985     Trgt 2 
H5 5975     Trgt 1
H4 5965     Long breakout 
H3 5953     Go Short 
H2 5949
H1 5945
L1 5936
L2 5932
L3 5928     Long 
L4 5916     Short Breakout 
L5 5906     Trgt 1 
L6 5896     Trgt 2
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Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-02-2013

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Levels

R3 12649
R2 12559
R1 12508
Avg 12418
S1 12367
S2 12277
S3 12226

Bank Nifty(Feb Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12599     Trgt 2 
H5 12567     Trgt 1
H4 12534     Long breakout 
H3 12495     Go Short 
H2 12482
H1 12469
L1 12444
L2 12431
L3 12418     Long 
L4 12379     Short Breakout 
L5 12346     Trgt 1 
L6 12314     Trgt 2
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