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Mid-session Outlook(24-01-2013)

Although down moves were expected after some more intraday selling but weakness deepened immediately after opening due to negative news from rating agencies and Nifty traded 2 hours between next support range(6000-6020). As sentiment turned depressed and whole market turns Bearish in such mood therefore up moves are being seen after lower levels good supports but again down moves after short covering can not be ruled out.

Expected that Nifty will trade now within 6000-6068,possibility of slipping below 6000 can not be ruled out and view will be Bullish only after complete consolidations and sustaining above 6100.

Post-open Outlook(24-01-2013)

As yesterday last half hour surge was without any lower level consolidations and only a part of Bear market volatility therefore Indian markets slipped immediate after opening and it is weakness indication.

Finally Big Crrection after sideways Market

Nifty-EOD Chart (23-Jan-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Wave-3 continuation(4770.35 on 04-06-2012)
2- Sub Wave-1(5348.55 on 10-07-2012)
3- Sub Wave-2(5032.40 on 26-07-2012)
4- Sub Wave-3(5815.35 on 05-10-2012)
5- Sub Wave-4(5548.35 on 20-11-2012)
6- Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 is on.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Wave-3 continuation begun from 4770.35 and now its Sub Wave-5 is contimued with above mentioned 2 Bearish formations as well as indicators are showing negative divergence also therefore Indian markets are mature for that correction which will correct;-

1- Minimum 38.2% of Whole Wave-3 up move from 4770.35.
2- Sub Wave-5 started from 5548.35 and it will be completely corrected.

Its detailed analysis have already been updated in following topics,Just click following topic link and understand the calculation of Wave-3 targets:-


Nifty-Intra Day Chart (23-Jan-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 6052-6069
2- Support at 5021
3- Strong recovery in last half hour.
4- Whole day actual trading between 5021-6069 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

High volatility through firstly selling and strong recovery in last half hour after getting support at 5021. Whole day trading within that most crucial range(5020-6068) about which we told many times on 23-01-2013 and reacted in following manner:-


"Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068"

Firstly just watch the accuracy of our levels that Nifty traded between 6021.15-6069.80 today

Short term correction was expected and it was seen also but as soon as we saw consolidation from last 1 hour intraday charts then we cover our all shorting positions,its live proof is that we posted our Put Option covering message at  02:48 PM

We covered NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000) at Rs 28/- and that is now trading at Rs 16/-

6020 Was told many times today and Nifty reversed from 6021.15 and it is Short term correction completion strong indication.


Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Daily Charts are suggesting that Indian markets are at the verge of Big correction and market is preparing also for it through above mentioned formation of 2 Bearish formations near the top of on going rally. Immediate Resistance and supports are as follows:-

1- Resistances between 6068-6100
2- Supports between 6000-6020

As volatility remains high in selling markets therefore last half hour surge on 23-01-2013 will only mean Short term correction completion and any Bullish move will be considered only after completely sustaining above 6100. Although finally deeper correction will be seen in Intermediate term but market will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6000-6100 because strong resistances and supports within this range.

Under whatsoever Bullish or Bearish sentiment but Nifty will firstly trade between 6000-6100 in the coming session and prepare for next moves,its valid break out will give following conclusions:-

1- Above 6100 will mean slow up moves maxinun upto 6331.
2- Below 6000 will mean sharp down moves with deeper correction possibility.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 23-Jan-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII23-Jan-20133525.592722.97802.62

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII23-Jan-2013952.281804.61-852.33

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 23-Jan-2013


Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(23-Jan-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Green.
2- Many Indices closed in Red including Midcap and Smallcap.
3- Bullish Hammer Candle formation after lower levels good recovery.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 1.13
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 1.05
Nifty P/E Ratio(23-Jan-2013):18.23

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,014
BSE Declines : 1,897 
NSE Advances :   472 
NSE Declines : 1,255

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- -9,150(-1.03%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- -23,050(-0.31%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -47,250(-3.90%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)-  383,300(4.78%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- -349,250(-9.02%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- -483,850(-5.50%)

Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- -71,100(-1.00%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- -267,550(-7.95%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 20,026.61(45.04 Points & 0.23%)
Nifty- closed at 6,054.30(5.80 Points & 0.10%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,430.00(-74.75 Points & -0.88%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,713.90(-46.25 Points & -1.23%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-01-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6123
R2 6096
R1 6075
Avg 6048
S1 6027
S2 6000
S3 5979

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6102     Trgt 2 
H5 6091     Trgt 1
H4 6080     Long breakout 
H3 6067     Go Short 
H2 6062
H1 6058
L1 6049
L2 6045
L3 6040     Long 
L4 6027     Short Breakout 
L5 6016     Trgt 1 
L6 6005     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-01-2013

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 6140
R2 6109
R1 6089
Avg 6058
S1 6038
S2 6007
S3 5987

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6120     Trgt 2 
H5 6108     Trgt 1
H4 6097     Long breakout 
H3 6083     Go Short 
H2 6078
H1 6073
L1 6064
L2 6059
L3 6054     Long 
L4 6040     Short Breakout 
L5 6029     Trgt 1 
L6 6017     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 24-01-2013

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 12973
R2 12851
R1 12759
Avg 12637
S1 12545
S2 12423
S3 12331

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12884     Trgt 2 
H5 12835     Trgt 1
H4 12785     Long breakout 
H3 12726     Go Short 
H2 12707
H1 12687
L1 12648
L2 12628
L3 12609     Long 
L4 12550     Short Breakout 
L5 12500     Trgt 1 
L6 12451     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(23-01-2013)

Live Proofs of Our Accuracy

Following line was told at 08:15 AM today in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(23-01-2013):-

"Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068"

Firstly just watch the accuracy of our levels that Nifty traded between 6021.15-6069.80 today

Short term correction was expected and it was seen also but as soon as we saw consolidation from last 1 hour intraday charts then we cover our all shorting positions,its live proof is that we posted our Put Option covering message at  02:48 PM

We covered NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000) at Rs 28/- and that is now trading at Rs 16/-

6020 Was told many times today and Nifty reversed from 6021.15 and it is Short term correction completion strong indication.

NIFTY-Jan Put Option(6000)-Bought on 18-01-2013-Covering

NIFTY-Put Option(6000)-Positional Bought on 18-01-2013-Cover immediately(Nifty moved down 50 points after our call but premium not increased)-CMP-28(Lalit39)

Mid-session Outlook-2(23-01-2013)

Although sharp fall at 01:13 PM but when Indian markets were trading near higher levels then we told following line at 11:30 AM today:-

Emergence of selling formations

That Short Term correction is being seen about which we are continuously telling for the last 3 days and its continuation is expected as well.

Mid-session Outlook(23-01-2013)

Emergence of selling formations and confirmation are also required through trading ranges valid break out which have already been updated in previous Outlook.

Post-open Outlook(23-01-2013)

As last 2 hours fall of yesterday did not showed required force therefore follow up selling and valid break down of 6020 should be firstly watched for next down moves confirmations. Good selling between 6068-6100 in previous 3 sessions and complete consolidation is required within and below this range foe a decisive up move above 6100. Although most Asian markets are in Red but Indian markets are positive between 6057-6069 since opening today and it is first signal of strength. Indian markets are preparing for next trend within this range and valid break out of this range will be next moves 1st indication.

We never guess and whatsoever charts suggest,we update according to intraday charts formations . As no confirmation yet after small slipping from intraday higher levels and minor support also seen at lower level therefore valid break out should be firstly watched:-

1- 6057-6069(For next moves first indication)
2- 6020-6100(For deeper correction or rally continuation after short term correction completion}

Let market prepare and intraday start to show built in technical positions then will be updated accordingly.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(23-01-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (22-Jan-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1-First 3 hours selling between 6085-6100
2- Whole day actual trading between 6043-6100 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although Indian markets up on 18 Jan and 19 Jan but on the back of positive news flow and intraday charts also showed selling patterns therefore we told following lines:-

1-On 20-01-2013 in Down Moves after Positive Weekly Opening:-

1-"As above expectations RIL Quarterly results declaration after trading hours on 18-01-2013 therefore positive opening will be seen on 21-01-2013 but expected that Nifty will not sustain at higher levels"

Although low formation at 6040.50 on 22-01-2013 but it was predicted well before and told following lines on 21-01-2013 in "Short Term correction on Cards":-

1- Nifty will not sustain above 6068
2- will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.

Down moves started after 12:30 PM on 22-01-2013 but when Indian markets were trading near the higher levels then selling was clearly told at 11:51: AM in Mid-session Outlook(22-01-2013):-

1- intraday charts are also selling patterns
2- selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading

Confirm and good selling between 6068-6100 in previous 3 sessions and complete cosolidation is required for any decisive up moves above 6100 and follow up selling will mean sharp fall toward 5960.

Expected that Nifty will firstly trade and prepare for next moves between 6020-6068 and break out of this range will give confirmation to deeper correction or yesterday started correction completion.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 22-Jan-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII22-Jan-20133514.552468.151046.4

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII22-Jan-20131002.791858.14-855.35

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 22-Jan-2013


Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-01-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6147
R2 6124
R1 6086
Avg 6063
S1 6025
S2 6002
S3 5964

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6109     Trgt 2 
H5 6095     Trgt 1
H4 6081     Long breakout 
H3 6064     Go Short 
H2 6059
H1 6053
L1 6042
L2 6036
L3 6031     Long 
L4 6014     Short Breakout 
L5 6000     Trgt 1 
L6 5986     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-01-2013

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 6150
R2 6129
R1 6095
Avg 6074
S1 6040
S2 6019
S3 5985

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6116     Trgt 2 
H5 6103     Trgt 1
H4 6091     Long breakout 
H3 6076     Go Short 
H2 6071
H1 6066
L1 6055
L2 6050
L3 6045     Long 
L4 6030     Short Breakout 
L5 6018     Trgt 1 
L6 6005     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 23-01-2013

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 12975
R2 12886
R1 12745
Avg 12656
S1 12515
S2 12426
S3 12285

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12834     Trgt 2 
H5 12782     Trgt 1
H4 12730     Long breakout 
H3 12667     Go Short 
H2 12646
H1 12625
L1 12582
L2 12561
L3 12540     Long 
L4 12477     Short Breakout 
L5 12425     Trgt 1 
L6 12373     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(22-01-2013)

When Indian markets were trading near the higher levels today then we told following lines today in Mid-session Outlook:-

1- intraday charts are also selling patterns
2- selling signals in last more than 1 hour trading

Nifty traded at 6043 today and proved accuracy of our prediction yesterday in Short Term correction on Cards:-

1- Nifty will not sustain above 6068
2- will slip below 6048 in the coming sessions.
3- Short Term correction will be seen within 2/3 sessions.

Short Term correction is on and its continuation is expected.