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Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(03-01-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (02-Jan-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Lower levels buying.
2- Higher levels selling.
3- Higher Bottoms(B1 to B4) formations.
4- Lower tops(T1 to T3) formations.
5- Last 3 hours down moves in Falling channel(Bullish Pattern)
5- Whole day actual trading between 5985-6006 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

21 Points whole day range bound trading between 5985-6006 after gap up opening. Although both lower levels buying and higher levels selling but last 3 hours down moves in Falling channel which is Bullish formation therefore indications of up moves continuation. 

21 Sessions sideways trading range(5823-5965) broken out forcefully today and with this all trends turned up and impulsive Sub Wave-5 of Wave-3 continuation also therefore Bulls will rule Indian Stock Markets. As some intraday selling seen today therefore consolidation is required and that may also be firstly seen because Bullish markets consolidates at higher levels.

Global Party is on and Dow Jones made double century after European markets more than 2% positive closing. Such strong Asian markets tomorrow will mean again gap up opening and rally continuation after higher levels consolidations.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 02-Jan-2013


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 02-Jan-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII02-Jan-20132341.671234.011107.66

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII02-Jan-20131271.091688.5-417.41

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(02-Jan-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Sideways intraday trading after gap up strong opening.
2- Most Indices closed in Green except FMCG,IT and REALTY.
3- White candle formations.

Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.96
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.91
Nifty P/E Ratio(02-Jan-2013):18.72

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,769
BSE Declines : 1,201 
NSE Advances : 1,107
NSE Declines :   643

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- -35,700(-3.23%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)-  487,400(8.88%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -272,850(-9.96%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)-  364,900(7.90%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- -702,350(-11.82%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)-  113,350(3.48%)

Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)-  14,000(0.31%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)-  825,950(129.13%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,714.24(133.43 Points & 0.68%)
Nifty- closed at 5,993.25(42.40 Points & 0.71%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,633.55(31.05 Points & 0.36%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,074.00(21.00 Points & 0.69%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-01-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 6029
R2 6017
R1 6005
Avg 5993
S1 5981
S2 5969
S3 5957

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 6017     Trgt 2 
H5 6011     Trgt 1
H4 6006     Long breakout 
H3 5999     Go Short 
H2 5997
H1 5995
L1 5990
L2 5988
L3 5986     Long 
L4 5979     Short Breakout 
L5 5974     Trgt 1 
L6 5968     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-01-2013

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 6095
R2 6072
R1 6053
Avg 6030
S1 6011
S2 5988
S3 5969

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6077     Trgt 2 
H5 6067     Trgt 1
H4 6058     Long breakout 
H3 6046     Go Short 
H2 6042
H1 6038
L1 6031
L2 6027
L3 6023     Long 
L4 6011     Short Breakout 
L5 6002     Trgt 1 
L6 5992     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-01-2013

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 13006
R2 12954
R1 12914
Avg 12862
S1 12822
S2 12770
S3 12730

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12966     Trgt 2 
H5 12945     Trgt 1
H4 12924     Long breakout 
H3 12899     Go Short 
H2 12890
H1 12882
L1 12865
L2 12857
L3 12848     Long 
L4 12823     Short Breakout 
L5 12802     Trgt 1 
L6 12781     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(02-01-2013)

Range bound trading within 20 points with lower levels buying and higher levels selling as well as higher bottom and lower top formations. Although intraday down moves in last 3 hours but in falling channel which is Bullish pattern therefore indicating of up moves continuation and today trading range(5986-6006) break out will be firstly watched for next immediate move confirmation.

Mid-session Outlook-2(02-01-2013)

As lower top formation seen in last half hour therefore view turned cautious now and today trading range(5986-6006) break out will be firstly watched for next immediate move confirmations because both buying and selling formations seen in today intraday charts.

Mid-session Outlook(02-01-2013)

Although Nifty slipped from higher levels but it may be part of consolidation also because Sentiment is heated today and selling at higher levels will not be considered at this moment.

Post-open Outlook(02-01-2013)

Indian markets are more than 1% up in first 2 sessions of 2012 and proved our following topic accurate which was posted on 29-12-2012. Just click following topic link and understand technical reasons of on going rally which was started in Dec 2011:-


Following line has also proved accurate which was told yesterday in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(02-01-2013)

Rally continuation above 5965 is finally expected after 21 sessions sideways correction completion

Although today up moves were expected after some more consolidations but sentiment turned strong after positive global markets today morning and higher levels consolidation will be seen now after gap up opening today.

As some more consolidation is required therefore fresh long positions should be created after intraday correction completion.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(02-01-2013)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Jan-2013):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Consolidation between 5936-5951.
3- Selling between 5957-5964
2- Selling between 5953-5957
4- Most time trading between 5943-5964 
5- Whole day actual trading between 5936-5964 

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although strong gap up opening today on the back of bullish news of US Senate passing bill to avert 'fiscal cliff' and strong rally in US markets yesterday but last 2 hours intraday patterns showed selling formations also therefore some more consolidations and  valid break out above 5965 is must in the coming sessions for strong blasting rally above 5965.

28 Nifty points narrow range trading with lower levels consolidations and higher levels selling today. As both buying and selling therefore Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves and will prepare for next trend in the coming sessions.

Rally continuation above 5965 is finally expected after 21 sessions sideways correction completion and Nifty will firstly hover around today trading range as well as prepare for next trend. As sustaining beyond today trading range(5936-5964) will be next trend confirmation therefore its valid break out should be firstly watched tomorrow.  

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 01-Jan-2013

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII01-Jan-2013885.51220.46665.05

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII01-Jan-2013857.631263.77-406.14

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(01-Jan-2013)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- All the Indices closed in green.
2- Whole day positive zone trading.
3- White Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty P/E Ratio(01-Jan-2013): 18.58

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,923 
BSE Declines :   981
NSE Advances : 1,225
NSE Declines :   489

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5800 CE(Jan)- -38,650(-3.37%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Jan)- 307,550(5.87%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Jan)- -41,500(-1.45%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Jan)-  800,000(20.33%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Jan)- 468,600(8.51%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Jan)- 770,050(30.74%)

Nifty- 6100 CE(Jan)- 178,900(4.11%)
Nifty- 6100 PE(Jan)- 30,500(4.98%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,580.81(154.10 Points & 0.79%)
Nifty- closed at 5,950.85(45.75 Points & 0.77%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,602.50(97.40 Points & 1.15%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,770.60(60.45 Points & 1.63%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-01-2013

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5991
R2 5977
R1 5963
Avg 5949
S1 5935
S2 5921
S3 5907

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5978     Trgt 2
H5 5971     Trgt 1
H4 5965     Long breakout
H3 5957     Go Short
H2 5955
H1 5952
L1 5947
L2 5944
L3 5942     Long
L4 5934     Short Breakout
L5 5928     Trgt 1
L6 5921     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-01-2013

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 6089
R2 6053
R1 6030
Avg 5994
S1 5971
S2 5935
S3 5912

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 6066     Trgt 2 
H5 6052     Trgt 1
H4 6039     Long breakout 
H3 6023     Go Short 
H2 6017
H1 6012
L1 6001
L2 5996
L3 5990     Long 
L4 5974     Short Breakout 
L5 5961     Trgt 1 
L6 5947     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 02-01-2013

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 12968
R2 12872
R1 12819
Avg 12723
S1 12670
S2 12574
S3 12521

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12917     Trgt 2 
H5 12883     Trgt 1
H4 12848     Long breakout 
H3 12807     Go Short 
H2 12794
H1 12780
L1 12753
L2 12739
L3 12726     Long 
L4 12685     Short Breakout 
L5 12650     Trgt 1
L6 12616     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(01-01-2013)

As bullish news of US Senate passing bill to avert 'fiscal cliff' and strong rally in US markets yesterday therefore sentiment heated and whole day positive zone trading today. Trading between 5936-5963 today with lower levels consolidations and last 2 hours patterns are showing selling formations also therefore only some more consolidations and  valid break out above 5965 is must in the coming sessions for strong blasting rally.

Mid-session Outlook(01-01-2013)

As First 3 hours intraday consolidation patterns formations between 5936-5951 today therefore rally continuation above 5965 is expected after 20 sessions sideways correction completion.

Post-open Outlook(01-01-2013)

As most of the time intraday consolidation patterns yesterday therefore following line was told yesterday in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(01-01-2013)

"Indian markets will be positive after Green opening tomorrow"

Positive zone trading after gap up opening today and Nifty is trading between 5936-5951 which is within strong resistance range(5904-5965). Although more consolidation is required for mentioned resistance range break out above 5965 but sentiment is heated today morning therefore profit booking possibility will also be kept in mind and following ranges will be firstly watched:-

1- For next immediate moves confirmation: 5936-5951. 
2- For next rally confirmation: valid break out of 5965.

Happy New Year 2013