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Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 17-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12899
R2 12719
R1 12616
Avg 12436
S1 12333
S2 12153
S3 12050

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12802     Trgt 2 
H5 12736     Trgt 1
H4 12669     Long breakout 
H3 12591     Go Short 
H2 12565
H1 12539
L1 12488
L2 12462
L3 12436     Long 
L4 12358     Short Breakout 
L5 12291     Trgt 1 
L6 12225     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 17 to Dec 21,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6075
R2 6020
R1 5949
Avg 5894
S1 5823
S2 5768
S3 5697

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6005     Trgt 2 
H5 5977     Trgt 1
H4 5948     Long breakout 
H3 5913     Go Short 
H2 5902
H1 5890
L1 5867
L2 5855
L3 5844     Long 
L4 5809     Short Breakout 
L5 5780     Trgt 1 
L6 5752     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 17 to Dec 21,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 12863
R2 12701
R1 12562
Avg 12400
S1 12261
S2 12099
S3 11960

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 12729     Trgt 2 
H5 12659     Trgt 1
H4 12589     Long breakout 
H3 12506     Go Short 
H2 12479
H1 12451
L1 12396
L2 12368
L3 12341    Long 
L4 12258     Short Breakout 
L5 12188     Trgt 1 
L6 12118     Trgt 2
Blog will be updated on 16-12-2012 

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 14-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12667
R2 12594
R1 12467
Avg 12394
S1 12267
S2 12194
S3 12067

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  12541    Trgt 2 
H5  12496    Trgt 1
H4  12451    Long breakout 
H3  12396    Go Short 
H2  12377
H1  12359
L1  12322
L2  12304
L3  12286    Long 
L4  12231    Short Breakout 
L5  12185    Trgt 1 
L6  12140    Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(13-12-2012)

As whole market,small traders,investors and almost all were Bullish and expecting rally therefore following possibility was told today at 01:32 PM today in Mid-session Outlook:-

"sharp down panics also can not be ruled out"

As was projected same happened and sharp down moves started at 01:52 PM. 

Down moves first indication through valid break down of 5872 and now following range should be watched for next trend final confirmation:-

5829-5965

Mid-session Outlook(13-12-2012)

Following lines were told in Technical Analysis and Market Outlook today:-

1- Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves
2- Next moves preparation through sideways trading will be seen between last 9 sessions trading range(5829-5965) in the coming sessions.
3- For next moves first indication valid break out of yesterday trading range(5872-5924) should be firstly watched today.

First 4 hours trading between 5879-5907 today with slipping without force and today intraday patterns are showing consolidation indications. Market takes its own time to complete consolidation/distribution process,let it complete and intraday charts chart to show its confirm formations then next decisive moves will be projected.

As intraday charts are showing consolidation indications therefore finally up moves are expected but whole market,small traders,investors and almost all are also Bullish and expecting rally therefore continuous down moves are being seen for Stop Loss cutting and sharp down panics also can not be ruled out in the coming sessions. For confirmations valid break out of following ranges should be watched:-

1- 5872-5924(first indication)
2- 5829-5965(final confirmation)

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(13-12-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (12-Dec-2012):-
                   Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day down moves in falling Channel(consolidation formation)
2- Minor selling formation.
3- Whole day actual trading between 5872-5924

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although whole day down moves with regular new lows formation but in falling Channel(consolidation formation) and after only minor selling therefore up moves continuation hops are alive`despite lower levels closing yesterday. For next moves first indication valid break out of yesterday trading range(5872-5924) should be firstly watched today.

As 9 sessions sideways market between 5829-5965 with lower levels good supports and higher levels selling therefore Indian markets are not prepared for any side decisive moves. Next moves preparation through sideways trading will be seen between last 9 sessions trading range(5829-5965) in the coming sessions.

All trends are up and confirmation of impulsive Wave-5 therefore finally Rally continuation above 5965 is will be seen. As yesterday intraday charts are showing consolidation formations therefore rally continuation hopes are alive after follow up consolidations in the coming sessions.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(12-Dec-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed flat.
2- Most time narrow range moves.
3- Black Candle formation.
Ratios

Index Options Put Call Ratio: 0.98
Total Options Put Call Ratio: 0.93
Nifty P/E Ratio(12-Dec-2012): 18.26

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,385
BSE Declines : 1,555  
NSE Advances :   784
NSE Declines :   965

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Dec)- -58,850(-3.54%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Dec)-  615,400(10.41%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Dec)- -223,300(-6.78%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Dec)-  276,650(3.51%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Dec)- 365,750(6.51%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Dec)- 181,200(3.31%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Dec)- 781,750(7.60%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Dec)- 113,400(3.69%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,355.26(-31.88 Points & -0.16%)
Nifty- closed at 5,888.00(-10.80 Points & -0.18%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,370.75(10.55 Points & 0.13%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,700.60(1.05 Points & 0.03%)

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 12-Dec-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 12-Dec-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII12-Dec-20124380.293427.54952.75

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII12-Dec-2012993.21358.27-365.07

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5966
R2 5945
R1 5916
Avg 5895
S1 5866
S2 5845
S3 5816

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5938     Trgt 2 
H5 5926     Trgt 1
H4 5915     Long breakout 
H3 5901     Go Short 
H2 5897
H1 5892
L1 5883
L2 5878
L3 5874     Long 
L4 5860     Short Breakout 
L5 5849     Trgt 1 
L6 5837     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 6003
R2 5983
R1 5955
Avg 5935
S1 5907
S2 5887
S3 5859

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5976     Trgt 2
H5 5965     Trgt 1
H4 5954     Long breakout
H3 5941     Go Short
H2 5936
H1 5932
L1 5923
L2 5919
L3 5914     Long
L4 5901     Short Breakout
L5 5890     Trgt 1
L6 5879     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 13-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12601
R2 12545
R1 12472
Avg 12416
S1 12343
S2 12287
S3 12214

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12529     Trgt 2 
H5 12500     Trgt 1
H4 12470     Long breakout 
H3 12435     Go Short 
H2 12423
H1 12411
L1 12388
L2 12376
L3 12364     Long 
L4 12329     Short Breakout 
L5 12299     Trgt 1 
L6 12270     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(12-12-2012)

Although whole day not sustaining at higher levels and slipping also even after above expectations good IIP data as well as more than 5 times new lows formation but intraday charts are showing consolidation formations therefore up moves continuation hops are alive.

For next moves first indication valid break out of 5884-5923 should be firstly watched.

Mid-session Outlook-3(12-12-2012)

Although intraday up move after getting lower levels support but not sustaining at higher levels and now down after selling formation. As only intraday volatility between 5884-5923 with both lower levels supports and higher levels selling therefore valid break out of 5884-5923 should be firstly watched for next moves first indication.

Mid-session Outlook-2(12-12-2012)

First 3 hours trading between 5884-5923 with negatively responding IIP data but intraday charts are not showing selling formations and showing lower levels intraday supports formations..  

Today trading range(5884-5923) valid break out should be firstly watched for next moves first indication.

Mid-session Outlook(12-12-2012)

Market could not show required enthusiasm on above expectation good IIP data therefore selling on good news possibility. Until Nifty will not cross today highs till then next up move will not be considered.

Rally continuation after Sideways Correction completion

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (Dec 05 to Dec 11,2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in last 5 Sessions intraday charts

1- Support between 5839-5860 on 06-12-2012
2- Positive news(FDI Bill passing in Parliament) led good selling between 5930-5946 on 07-12-2012
3- Mixed Patterns between 5940-5964 on 11-12-2012
4- Support between 5867-5877 on 11-12-2012 
5- High volatility on 11-12-2012

Conclusions from 5 Sessions intra day chart analysis 

As good selling also between 5930-5946 on 07-12-2012 after getting Support between 5839-5860 on 06-12-2012 therefore slipping and support getting possibility at or near about next support range(5839-5860) was clearly projected with following lines in Pre-Closing Outlook on 10-12-2012:-

"minor slipping possibility is alive and support getting possibility is at or near about next support range(5839-5860)"

Whatsoever was projected one day before same happened next day on 11-12-2012 and Indian markets slipped as well as got support also at 5867 which is just above mentioned support range(5839-5860).

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (11-Dec-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Mixed Patterns between 5940-5964
2- Support between 5867-5877
3- High volatility
3- Whole day actual trading between 5867-5964

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Firstly sharp recovery immediately after opening and after that negative news from Parliament led down moves but supports at lower levels and some recovery also in last half hour. Only volatily without much technical positions formations yesterday.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

Just click following link and understand Indian markets technicals:-


Development of good supports at lower levels and also clear resistances at higher levels in last 5 sessions with high volatility yesterday. As technical positions reverses during yesterday like news based volatility therefore Indian markets are not fully prepared for any side decisive moves and follow up moves with fresh technical positions are required for next immediare direction.

All trends are up and confirmation of impulsive Wave-5 therefore finally Rally continuation above 5964 is expected after ongoing sideways correction completion. As sideways correction is on and market is not prepared for any side direction therefore firstly next moves preparation through sideways trading will be seen in the coming sessions between last 5 sessions trading range(5839-5964).

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 11-Dec-2012



FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 11-Dec-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII11-Dec-20123605.682295.81309.88

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII11-Dec-2012860.591888.93-1028.34