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Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5937
R2 5915
R1 5902
Avg 5880
S1 5867
S2 5845
S3 5832

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5924     Trgt 2 
H5 5916     Trgt 1
H4 5908     Long breakout 
H3 5898     Go Short 
H2 5895
H1 5892
L1 5885
L2 5882
L3 5879     Long 
L4 5869     Short Breakout 
L5 5861     Trgt 1 
L6 5853     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 5972
R2 5950
R1 5936
Avg 5914
S1 5900
S2 5878
S3 5864

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5959     Trgt 2 
H5 5951     Trgt 1
H4 5942     Long breakout 
H3 5932     Go Short 
H2 5929
H1 5926
L1 5919
L2 5916
L3 5913     Long 
L4 5903     Short Breakout 
L5 5895     Trgt 1 
L6 5886     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 05-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12504
R2 12397
R1 12333
Avg 12226
S1 12162
S2 12055
S3 11991

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12442     Trgt 2 
H5 12402     Trgt 1
H4 12363     Long breakout 
H3 12316     Go Short 
H2 12300
H1 12284
L1 12253
L2 12237
L3 12221     Long 
L4 12174     Short Breakout 
L5 12135     Trgt 1 
L6 12095     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(04-12-2012)

More than 14 hours trading in 3 sessions between 5852-5898 with:-

1- support between 5829-5848 on 30-11-2012. 
2- support between 5860-5871 today.
1- Selling between 5890-5898 yesterday.
2- Selling between 5884-5876 today. 

44 Sessions sideways trading range( 5549-5815) broken out on 28-11-2012 but follow up consolidation is must for sustaining above 5815. As higher levels selling therefore consolidation is must for any up moves above 5900 and its signals also seen at lower levels today. As down moves seen after above mentioned higher levels selling therefore:-

1- Today intraday lowest(5860) should be firstly watched for correction continuation/completion confirmation.
2- Above mentioned support(5829) should be finally watched for correction continuation/completion confirmation.

Indian markets may be volatile according to news flow from Parliament therefore valid break out of 5815-5900 should be watched for next decisive trend confirmation.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook(04-12-2012)

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (01-Dec-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Selling between 5890-5898
2- Mixed Patterns between 5856-5862
3- Whole day actual trading between 5856-5898

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

All trends are up and 44 Sessions sideways trading range( 5549-5815) broken out in previous week after 350 points forceful rally in 10 sessions. As such blasting rally in previous weeks therefore minimum very short term correction was due and it signals were seen through quiet sideways market yesterday.

Firstly selling between 5890-5898 and after that sideways trading with mixed intraday patterns between 5856-5882 seen yesterday. Follow up confirm buying/selling today between 5856-5882 will start following next moves:-

1- Rally continuation without any deep correction above 5882 or
2- Correction of previous week rally below 5856 and then sustaining beyond 5815 will also decide the fate of 44 sessions sideways market between 5549-5815.

Sustaining beyond following ranges should be firstly watched today for next sustained moves:-

1- For 1st signal: 5856-5882
2- For confirmation: 5815-5900

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 03-Dec-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII03-Dec-20121955.341652.67302.67

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII03-Dec-20121087.321423.26-335.94

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(03-Dec-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices closed in Red.
2- Broad based Indices closed in Green.
3- Doji Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(03-Dec-2012): 18.32

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,645
BSE Declines : 1,273  
NSE Advances : 1,117
NSE Declines :   683 

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Dec)- -128,050(-5.43%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Dec)-  364,550(6.74%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Dec)- -250(-0.01%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Dec)-  726,400(14.61%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Dec)- 255,550(6.18%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Dec)- 352,050(12.69%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Dec)- 829,100(12.63%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Dec)- 22,550(1.22%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,305.32(-34.58 Points & -0.18%)
Nifty- closed at  5,870.95(-8.90 Points & -0.15%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,228.65(88.85 Points & 1.09%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,677.80(39.20 Points & 1.08%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5939
R2 5919
R1 5894
Avg 5874
S1 5849
S2 5829
S3 5804

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5915     Trgt 2
H5 5904     Trgt 1
H4 5894     Long breakout
H3 5882     Go Short
H2 5878
H1 5874
L1 5865
L2 5861
L3 5857     Long
L4 5845     Short Breakout
L5 5835     Trgt 1
L6 5824     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 5978
R2 5955
R1 5933
Avg 5910
S1 5888
S2 5865
S3 5843

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6  5956    Trgt 2 
H5  5945    Trgt 1
H4  5935    Long breakout 
H3  5923    Go Short 
H2  5919
H1  5915
L1  5906
L2  5902
L3  5898    Long 
L4  5886    Short Breakout 
L5  5876    Trgt 1 
L6  5865    Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 04-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12746
R2 12483
R1 12331
Avg 12068
S1 11916
S2 11653
S3 11501

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12607     Trgt 2 
H5 12507     Trgt 1
H4 12407     Long breakout 
H3 12293     Go Short 
H2 12255
H1 12217
L1 12140
L2 12102
L3 12064     Long 
L4 11950     Short Breakout 
L5 11850     Trgt 1 
L6 11750     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(03-12-2012)

Detailed analysis has already been updated in 3 previous Outlooks and only following change in 1st signal range:- 

1- For 1st signal: 5856-5882

Mid-session Outlook(03-12-2012)

Quiet sideways market today after previous week blasting rally,firstly profit booking and after that sideways trading between 5861-5882. All trends are up after previous week strong rally but very short term indicators are overbought therefore small correction is due and being seen today.

Follow up confirm buying/selling today and tomorrow will give confirmation to:-

1- Rally continuation without any deep correction or
2- Correction of previous week rally and then sustaining beyond 5815 will also decide the fate of 44 sessions sideways market between 5549-5815.

Sustaining beyond following ranges should be firstly watched:-

1- For 1st signal: 5861-5882
2- For confirmation: 5827-5900

Post-open Outlook(03-12-2012)

Profit booking signals emerging today and sustaining beyond last Friday trading range(5827-5884) should be firstly watched for:-

1- Previous week rally continuation or
2- Short term correction of Previous week rally. 

Technical Analysis,Research & Weekly Outlook(Dec 03 to Dec 07,2012)

Nifty-EOD Chart (30-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- 6335.90 on 08-11-2010(Long term correction begun).
2- 4531.15 on 20-12-2011(Rally beginning after 13 Months correction completion).
3- Wave-1 completion(5629.95 on 22-02-2012).
4- Wave-2 completion(4770.35 on 04-06-2012).
5- Wave-3 completion(5815.35 on 05-10-2012).
6- Wave-4 (Bottom formation at 5549).
7- 44 Sessions sideways correction between 5549-5815 with Bullish Flag formation.
8- 44 Sessions sideways trading range break out on 29-11-2012.
9- Wave-5 formation but its confirmation is required yet.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Although  Wave-5 formation and 44 Sessions sideways trading range(5549-5815) break out on 29-11-2012 but validity confirmation is required yet through:-

1- 3 Days sustaining above 5815.
2- Minimum 3% up moves from the highest((5815) of the previous 44 Sessions trading range.

Nifty-Intra Day Chart (30-Nov-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Whole day without force up moves.
2- Whole day actual trading between 5827-5884

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although Whole day without force up moves but with intraday corrections therefore no hurdle for next up moves and only more consolidation is required for next rally above 5884.

Conclusions (After Putting All Studies Together)

As Bullish Flag formation confirmations therefore following Bullish views were posted on 24-11-2012 in "Bullish Flag formation confirming strong Wave-5 Rally" 

strong and blasting up moves will be seen without much deeper correction. 

Above Bullish market was projected well before the beginning of strong 279 Nifty points rally in previous week.

44 Sessions sideways trading range break out in previous week and its validity confirmation is required yet.Let it happen in the coming couple of sessions then more than 7% rally will be seen in the coming weeks.

FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 30-Nov-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII30-Nov-20128357.276745.841611.43

DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII30-Nov-20121455.742254.37-798.63 

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(30-Nov-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Benchmark Indices cloed in Green.
2- 2nd consecutive closing above 44 sideways sessions range.
3- White Candle formation.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 0.97
Nifty P/E Ratio(30-Nov-2012): 18.33

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1,681
BSE Declines : 1,297 
NSE Advances : 1,131
NSE Declines :   675 

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5700 CE(Dec)- -25,500(-1.07%)
Nifty- 5700 PE(Dec)-  646,600(13.59%)

Nifty- 5800 CE(Dec)- -67,500(-1.86%)
Nifty- 5800 PE(Dec)-  1,081,750(27.81%)

Nifty- 5900 CE(Dec)-  457,200(12.43%)
Nifty- 5900 PE(Dec)-  1,214,600(77.87%)

Nifty- 6000 CE(Dec)-  533,800(8.85%)
Nifty- 6000 PE(Dec)-  417,000(29.08%)

Closing 

Sensex- closed at 19,339.90(168.99 Points & 0.88%)
Nifty- closed at 5,879.85(54.85 Points & 0.94%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 8,139.80(99.70 Points & 1.24%)
CNX Smallcap- closed at 3,638.60(33.20 Points & 0.92%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-12-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5958
R2 5921
R1 5900
Avg 5863
S1 5842
S2 5805
S3 5784

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5937     Trgt 2 
H5 5923     Trgt 1
H4 5910     Long breakout 
H3 5894     Go Short 
H2 5889
H1 5884
L1 5873
L2 5868
L3 5863     Long 
L4 5847     Short Breakout 
L5 5833     Trgt 1 
L6 5820     Trgt 2

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-12-2012

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 5992
R2 5959
R1 5934
Avg 5901
S1 5876
S2 5843
S3 5818

Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5967     Trgt 2 
H5 5953     Trgt 1
H4 5940     Long breakout 
H3 5924     Go Short 
H2 5919
H1 5914
L1 5903
L2 5898
L3 5893     Long 
L4 5877     Short Breakout 
L5 5863     Trgt 1 
L6 5850     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 03-12-2012

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Levels

R3 12423
R2 12327
R1 12263
Avg 12167
S1 12103
S2 12007
S3 11943

Bank Nifty(Dec Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 12361     Trgt 2 
H5 12326     Trgt 1
H4 12288     Long breakout 
H3 12244     Go Short 
H2 12229
H1 12214
L1 12185
L2 12170
L3 12155     Long 
L4 12111     Short Breakout 
L5 12073     Trgt 1 
L6 12038     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 03 to Dec 07,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 6230
R2 6057
R1 5968
Avg 5795
S1 5706
S2 5533
S3 5444

Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 6152     Trgt 2 
H5 6090     Trgt 1
H4 6028     Long breakout 
H3 5953     Go Short 
H2 5928
H1 5903
L1 5854
L2 5829
L3 5804    Long 
L4 5729     Short Breakout 
L5 5667     Trgt 1 
L6 5605     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Dec 03 to Dec 07,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 13182
R2 12678
R1 12418
Avg 11914
S1 11654
S2 11150
S3 10890

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 12972     Trgt 2
H5 12787     Trgt 1
H4 12602     Long breakout
H3 12380     Go Short
H2 12304
H1 12232
L1 12084
L2 12010
L3 11935     Long
L4 11713     Short Breakout
L5 11898     Trgt 1
L6 11343     Trgt 2