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Just Watch 200-Day SMA for Blasting rally

Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Averages are as follows:

200-Day EMA is at-5131
200-Day SMA is at-5202

Conclusions

Short and Intermediate term trends are up and long term trend turning up confirmation will be after  sustaining above 200-Day EMA as well as 200-Day SMA. Last 2 sessions closing above 200-Day EMA and testing of 200-Day SMA on 27-01-2012.

Strong breathless rally seen in last one month but last confirmation for blasing rally is left through sustaining above 200-Day SMA because Nifty got stiff resistance at 200-Day SMA 3 times earlier.

Long term trend turning up final confirmation will be after sustaining above 200-Day SMA and should be watched firstly in next week.

Rally after very short term correction

Technical Analysis and Research For 30-01-2012

Nifty-EOD Chart(27-Jan-2012):-

Technical Patterns and Formations in EOD charts

1- Begining of strong rally on 20-12-2011 from 4531.15.
2- Trend Reversal 113 Sessions sideways market between 4720-5229 is intact.
3- Trend Reversal Broadening Pattern at the bottom of 14 months correction is intact.
4- Falling Trendline Correction from 5399 and its upward cross over.
5- Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline.

Conclusions from EOD chart analysis 

Bullish pattrens are very much intact and Nifty is trading near the higher levels of these patterns. Testing of Falling trend line from 6336 and Nifty retraced 7 times earlier from this falling trendline. As sentiment is heated therefore therefore very short term correction is due now.

Very Short Term Correction is Due

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 30-01-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(27-Jan-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 5163-5185
2- Selling Patterns between 5187-5194
3- Selling Patterns between 5200-5210
4- Up moves without force in rising channel.
5- Whole day trading between 5163-5210

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis 

Although closing near the top of the day after lower levels support but up moves have been without force as well as higher levels selling patterns also therefore view is cautions. Rally is on but correction is over due because short term indicators are heated and very short term correction may be seen for cooling down of overbought indicators.

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(27-Jan-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Closing near the top of the day after lower levels support.
2- Mixed closing in Indices,some close positive and some in Red.
3- Intraday patterns are showing mixed patterns.

Ratios

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.31
Nifty P/E Ratio(27-Jan-2012): 18.55

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1799
BSE Declines : 1099
NSE Advances : 961
NSE Declines : 492


Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- -89100(-3.46%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- +1358950(+46.20%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- +406850(+9.38%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- +1255550(+99.08%)

Nifty- 5300 CE(Jan)- +1008850(+34.44%)
Nifty- 5300 PE(Jan)- +161450(+26.38%)


Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,204.70(+46.40 Points & +0.90%)
Sensex- closed at 17,233.98(+156.80 Points & +0.92%)
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,089.65(+38.65 Points & +0.55%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,491.69(+83.24 Points & +1.30%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-01-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5281
R2 5249
R1 5226
Avg 5194
S1 5171
S2 5139
S3 5116

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5259     Trgt 2
H5 5246     Trgt 1
H4 5234     Long breakout
H3 5219     Go Short
H2 5214
H1 5209
L1 5198
L2 5193
L3 5188     Long
L4 5173     Short Breakout
L5 5161     Trgt 1
L6 5148     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-01-2012

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 5286
R2 5255
R1 5233
Avg 5202
S1 5180
S2 5149
S3 5127

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5265     Trgt 2
H5 5253     Trgt 1
H4 5241     Long breakout
H3 5226     Go Short
H2 5221
H1 5216
L1 5207
L2 5202
L3 5197     Long
L4 5182     Short Breakout
L5 5170     Trgt 1
L6 5158     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 30-01-2012

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 10205
R2 10075
R1 9934
Avg 9804
S1 9663
S2 9533
S3 9392

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 10067     Trgt 2
H5 10004     Trgt 1
H4 9942      Long breakout
H3 9867      Go Short
H2 9842
H1 9817
L1 9768
L2 9743
L3 9718     Long
L4 9643     Short Breakout
L5 9581     Trgt 1
L6 9518     Trgt 2

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 30 to Feb 03,2012)

Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 5469
R2 5343
R1 5273
Avg 5147
S1 5077
S2 4951
S3 4881


Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 5407     Trgt 2
H5 5359     Trgt 1
H4 5311     Long breakout
H3 5257     Go Short
H2 5239
H1 5221
L1 5186
L2 5168
L3 5150     Long
L4 5096     Short Breakout
L5 5048     Trgt 1
L6 5000     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels & Trading Strategy(Jan 30 to Feb 03,2012)

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Levels

R3 10549
R2 10259
R1 10036
Avg 9746
S1 9523
S2 9233
S3 9010

Bank Nifty Spot-Weekly Trading Strategy 

H6 10345     Trgt 2
H5 10220     Trgt 1
H4 10095     Long breakout
H3 9954     Go Short
H2 9907
H1 9860
L1 9765
L2 9718
L3 9671     Long
L4 9530     Short Breakout
L5 9405     Trgt 1
L6 9280     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(27-01-2012)

Strong global cues led Whole day positive market with lower levels intraday support is telling for continuation of on going rally

Mid-session Outlook(27-01-2012)

Although intraday mixed patterns with selling indications between 5150-5174 on 25-01-2012 but positive markets today after strong global cues led gap up opening but mixed signals are visible today also.

As today positive market is on the back of strong global cues therefore sustaining beyond today trading range will be watched next moves confirmation because mixed intraday(5163-5195) patterns.

Wish You All Happy Republic Day


Very Short Term Correction is Due

Nifty-Micro Analysis of Intra Day Chart For 27-01-2012

Nifty-Intra Day Chart(25-Jan-2012):-
Just click on chart for its enlarged view
Technical Patterns and Formations in today intraday charts

1- Support between 5130-5140
2- Intraday mixed patterns with clear selling indications between 5150-5174 in last 3 hours.
3- Whole day trading between 5130-5174

Conclusions from intra day chart analysis

Whole day sideways trading between 5130-5174 with lower levels support between 5130-5140 and last 3 hours volatile market with intraday mixed intraday patterns but clear selling indications also seen between 5130-5174 today.

As already over bought indicators and intraday selling indications also today therefore very short term correction possibility can not be ruled out for cooling down of heated indicators.

Nifty traded with mixed intraday patterns between 4120-4140 on 24-01-2012 and today again mixed patterns(5130-5174) with higher levels selling indications therefore firstly trading between 5120-5174 and then slipping below 5120 may be seen next Friday. Running Bullish market and deeper correction will get confirmation after follow up selling and sustaining below 5120 only.

FII Trading Data in Derivatives Segment on 25-Jan-2012


FII & DII trading activity in Capital Market Segment on 25-Jan-2012

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII25-Jan-20123920.652773.641147.01


DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Julket Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII25-Jan-20121162.311874.31-712

Indian Stock Markets Closing Reports(25-Jan-2012)

Main features of today trading are as follows

1- Selling Indications from intraday patterns today
2- All the Indices closed in Green except CG and Reality.
3- Midcap and Smallcap closed more than 1% up while benchmark Indices closed with minor gains.
4- Whole day trading in sideways market within 44 points.

Nifty Put Call Ratio: 1.07
Nifty P/E Ratio(25-Jan-2012): 18.38

Advances & Declines

BSE Advances : 1810
BSE Declines : 1050
NSE Advances :  961
NSE Declines :  483

Nifty Open Interest Changed Today

Nifty- 5000 CE(Jan)- +205150(+9.77%)
Nifty- 5000 PE(Jan)- +1259850(+44.99%)

Nifty- 5100 CE(Jan)- +351550(+15.82%)
Nifty- 5100 PE(Jan)- +1031750(+51.15%)

Nifty- 5200 CE(Jan)- +777050(+21.64%)
Nifty- 5200 PE(Jan)- +512950(+68.09%)

Closing 

Nifty- closed at 5,158.30(+30.95 Points & +0.60%)
Sensex- closed at 17,077.18(+81.41 Points & +0.48% )
CNX Midcap - closed at 7,051.00(+96.95 Points & +1.39%)
BSE Smallcap- closed at 6,408.45(+70.44 Points & +1.11%)

Nifty Spot-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-01-2012

Nifty Spot-Levels

R3 5222
R2 5198
R1 5178
Avg 5154
S1 5134
S2 5110
S3 5090

Nifty Spot-Trading Strategy

H6 5202     Trgt 2
H5 5192     Trgt 1
H4 5182     Long breakout
H3 5170     Go Short
H2 5166
H1 5162
L1 5153
L2 5149
L3 5145     Long
L4 5133     Short Breakout
L5 5123     Trgt 1
L6 5113     Trgt 2

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-01-2012

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 5251
R2 5224
R1 5202
Avg 5175
S1 5153
S2 5126
S3 5104

Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 5230     Trgt 2
H5 5219     Trgt 1
H4 5207     Long breakout
H3 5194     Go Short
H2 5189
H1 5185
L1 5176
L2 5172
L3 5167    Long
L4 5154     Short Breakout
L5 5142     Trgt 1
L6 5131     Trgt 2

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels & Trading Strategy for 27-01-2012

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Levels

R3 10075
R2 10001
R1 9920
Avg 9846
S1 9765
S2 9691
S3 9610

Bank Nifty(Jan Fut)-Trading Strategy

H6 9996     Trgt 2
H5 9960     Trgt 1
H4 9925     Long breakout
H3 9882     Go Short
H2 9868
H1 9854
L1 9825
L2 9811
L3 9797     Long
L4 9754     Short Breakout
L5 9719     Trgt 1
L6 9683     Trgt 2

Pre-Closing Outlook(25-01-2012)

Whole day sideways trading between 5130-5174 with lower levels consolidation between 5130-5140 and last more than 3 hours volatile moves with intraday mixed patterns between 5150-5174. As Nifty is trading between resistance range(5130-5225) therefore such slow moves are possible but more or less mixed intraday patterns today  therefore sustaining beyond will be confirmation.next Friday.

Whole day trading above 200-Day EMA and sustaining above will be strong signal of rally.